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AUTHOR:
TerrorismCentral Editorial Staff

TITLE:
TerrorismCentral Newsletter - May 7, 2006

SOURCE:
TerrorismCentral, May 7, 2006

TEXT:

Global news highlights in this issue range from scenario planning for pandemic flu to use of a coffee shop to front a money laundering operation. In Recommended Reading, we are featuring three key reports addressing causes, consequences, and intervention in terrorism: "2006 Failed States Index"; "Country Reports on Terrorism 2005"; and "Uniting Against Terrorism: Recommendations for a Global Counter-Terrorism Strategy".


CONTENTS:

NEWS HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK:

1. Global Terrorism Monitor
2. Political Risk Monitor
3. AML/CFT Monitor
4. Emerging Threat Monitor
5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor
6. Disaster Reduction Monitor
7. Recommended Reading
8. Asset Management Network News


1. Global Terrorism Monitor

The Global Terrorism Monitor is a monthly 16-page print publication. News highlights from the past week are provided in this free email update, but detailed analysis, background information and source documents are only available to subscribers. For subscription information, emailinfo@tamni.com.

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GTM Africa
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In southeastern Chad, Sudan government-backed Janjaweed militiamen attacked villages near UN camps that contain 200,000 Sudanese refugees. Four villagers were killed and five injured, and a thousand head of cattle were stolen. Following this incident on Monday, additional Chadian police have been deployed. Deteriorating security conditions continue to swell the numbers of displaced persons.

In Democratic Republic of Congo, the UN's Human Rights Division in north Katanch announced the results of their investigation into the events of 13-19 February. During this time, military personnel and Mai-Mai militiamen were responsible for 33 summary executions, and 64 other cases of human rights violations. Continued unrest in the region has led the UN to establish a field coordination office there.
http://www.monuc.org/News.aspx?newsID=10901
http://www.monuc.org/news.aspx?newsId=10926

Kenya's military is undertaking a massive operation, including armored vehicles and military helicopters, to disarm cattle raiders.
http://somalinet.com/news/world/English/2439
http://allafrica.com/stories/200605040838.html
http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/RWB.NSF/db900SID/HMYT-6PDLJY?OpenDocument

Following the recent explosion in Port Harcourt, Nigeria, the army has told 350,000 civilians resident at the army barracks to vacate the area over this weekend. This housing was originally designed for temporary refuge during the civil war, but has become permanent to the extent that the army sold plots of land for development.
http://allafrica.com/stories/200605050142.html

A Sharia Court in Somalia ordered a 16-year-old boy to stab to death his father's killer in a public execution.
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory?id=1913984

Herman van Rooyen and Rudi Gouws are members of the white supremacist Boeremag, standing trial in South Africa for treason, including a plot to assassinate Nelson Mandela. During a lunch break, the two defendants escaped. Police have set up a hotline for information to recapture them. Twenty others are also on trial. The two men are considered armed and dangerous, but the Boeremag in general presents a low security threat.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=270821
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=270841

The Sudan Liberation Movement (SLM) has signed a peace agreement with the government, but an SLM faction and the Justice and Equality Movement (JEM) have refused to join it.

Zimbabwe has drafted the Suppression of Foreign and International Terrorism Bill, to further curb terrorist or mercenary activities.
http://www.herald.co.zw/inside.aspx?sectid=2748&cat=1
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GTM Americas
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Canadian Prime Minister Harper has launched a public inquiry into the 23 June 1985 Air India bombing. This follows multiple private government inquiries and a long criminal trial that left many questions unanswered, and only one conviction in the case.
http://www.pm.gc.ca/eng/media.asp?id=1145
"Air India Flight 182"
https://terrorismcentral.com/Newsletters/2005/040305.html#FeatureArticle
"Air India Flight 182 Lessons To Be Learned"
https://terrorismcentral.com/Newsletters/2005/112705.html#FeatureArticle

The Toronto Police Service refused to let organizers of a World Tamil Movement event hire paid-duty officers because they felt it inappropriate to receive money from an organization under investigation for its alleged links to the Tamil Tigers.
http://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout/Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1146348609609

Colombian police generals Mauricio Gomez and Mario Gutierrez have resigned for failures of security that led to the attempted kidnap and murder of former president Cesar Gaviria's sister, Liliana Gaviria.

Having determined that five ethnic Uighurs from China held at Guantanamo Bay are no longer enemy combatants, the US Department of Defense has released them to Albania. Their release had been delayed because the detainees feared prosecution in China, and it was difficult to find a country where they could be resettled.

A federal jury in Alexandria, Virginia, completed their long deliberations in the sentencing case of convicted al Qaeda member Zacarias Moussaoui, determining that he should serve the rest of his life in prison without the chance of parole.
http://www.vaed.uscourts.gov/notablecases/moussaoui/index.html

In the case of former Florida professor Sami Amin Al-Arian, the judge lengthened the term of his plea bargain to 57 months in prison, followed by deportation. The sentence was imposed for his support of Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), a designated terrorist organization.
http://tampa.fbi.gov/dojpressrel/2006/terroristsent050106.htm

The American Academy of Actuaries estimates that insured losses from a large terrorist attack in New York could be as high as $778 billion.
http://www.actuary.org/pdf/casualty/tris_042106.pdf
http://www.actuary.org/newsroom/pdf/tris_april06.pdf
http://www.actuary.org/pdf/casualty/tris_032906.pdf
http://www.actuary.org/newsroom/pdf/tris_march06.pdf

The National Governors Association issued a survey of state homeland security departments and the challenges they face. Respondents were particularly critical of the quality of intelligence provided by the federal government.
http://www.nga.org/Files/pdf/0604HLSDIRSURVEY.pdf
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GTM Asia Pacific
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Australian Security Intelligence Organization (ASIO) Director General Paul O'Sullivan addressed the Sydney Institute. He discussed the evolution of the organization and others similar to it, and pointed to ASIO's range of responsibilities beyond terrorism, which include espionage, sabotage, politically motivated violence, promotion of communal violence, attacks on Australia's Defense system, and acts of foreign interference both domestically and against Australian interests abroad. He emphasized that although threats had been detected and disrupted, terrorist attacks remain feasible and could occur without warning, originating offshore of form people long established in the community.
http://www.asio.gov.au/Media/Contents/PDF/Sydney Institute Speech.pdf

Burma's military junta claimed that opposition groups of exiles have coordinated terrorist attack plans with internal opposition forces (e.g. the pro-democracy opposition National League for Democracy party). They claim that more than 20 people have been sent into the country to bomb targets in three cities. Meanwhile, a border offensive against the Karen ethnic minority continues, driving thousands from their homes, many taking refuge in Thailand. Human Rights Watch has called for urgent international action to address the killing and abuse of the Karen minority.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/4972484.stm
http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/05/02/news/myanmar.php
http://www.irrawaddy.org/aviewer.asp?a=5706&z=156
http://www.hrw.org/english/docs/2006/05/03/burma13301.htm

Two internet cafes in the Chinese city of Hefei were bombed. The small explosions killed two people and injured four. They are being investigated, but may be connected to rival business groups.

Indonesian police garnered intelligence during last week's raid targeting militant leader Noordin Mohammad Top. Based on this information, police found explosives and other equipment of the same type used in last year's attack in Bali, when three suicide bombers killed 20 people. Police also identified a man killed in the raid as Jabir ("Gempur Budi Prakoso", a Jemaah Islamiah bombmaker.

The International Crisis Group released "Terrorism in Indonesia: Noordin's Networks". This report finds:
"Police are closing in on Noordin Mohamed Top, South East Asia's most wanted terrorist, but the problem of his support structure must still be tackled. Noordin has used personal networks, based around an inner circle of Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) members but gradually expanding beyond them, to build a following committed to al-Qaeda style attacks ñ even though many in JI disapproved. Noordin has shown remarkable determination and capacity to plan operations even as he loses his closest colleagues to police dragnets. The network of JI schools, administrative structures, family and business contacts remains. For four years, Noordin has worked the jihadist networks to build a following of diehard loyalists, and those same networks may be available to others even if he himself is arrested."
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?l=1&id=4092

Joni Akmad Fauzani was sentenced to four years in prison in Indonesian court for harboring Noordin early last year. Abdullah Sonata was sentenced to seven years for withholding information about terrorists.

A Philippine soldier was injured and four New People's Army (NPA) guerillas killed when clashes followed an army patrol, in Mindanao.

Moro Liberation Front (MILF) concerns over technical details of the ancestral domain issue have deadlocked peace negotiations with the Philippines government.
http://www.sunstar.com.ph/static/zam/2006/05/06/news/milf.rp.peace.talks.end.in.deadlock.html

Thai security officials suggest that Satun province, which has not experienced the violence of the southernmost provinces of Narathiwat, Pattani and Yala, may be used as a safe haven for leaders of the insurgency.
http://www.bangkokpost.com/020506_News/02May2006_news03.php
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GTM Europe
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The European Parliament's Temporary Committee on the alleged use of European Countries by the CIA for the transport and illegal detention of prisoners has posted their draft interim report, now in several languages, here:
http://www.europarl.eu.int/comparl/tempcom/tdip/default_en.htm

The Norwegian Defense Research Establishment and the Center for Defense Studies at King's College, London, held a meeting in which use of psychological profile - and its lack of effectiveness - was one of the major discussion points, summarized in Paul Reynolds article, "Seeking out the suicide bombers", here:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/4958314.stm

A Russian court has acquitted Kazbek Dukuzov and Musa Vakhayev, both Chechens, of the murder of Paul Klebnikov, the American editor of the Russian edition of Forbes magazine. Fail Sadretdinov was acquitted of organizing the gang and separate charges of attempted murder. Prosecutors argue that crime kingpin, now fugitive, Khozh-Akhmed Nukayev, featured in Klebnikov's anti-corruption writings, had paid for the alleged contract killing.

In Turkey, two military police have gone on trial for their role in an execution squad set up to summarily execute suspected Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) rebels. Specifically, they are charged in an attack on a shop owned by a PKK supporter that killed one man and injured a second.

The UK will extradite Moutaz Almallah Dabas to Spain after his challenge that he could face human rights violations was rejected in London's High Court. The Syrian-born Spanish citizen is suspected of involvement in the 2004 Madrid train bombings. This decision was made on Thursday. On Wednesday, Spanish police arrested his brother Mohannad, a Syrian.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/spain/article/0,,1767617,00.html
http://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2005/11/17/espana/1132238601.html (in Spanish)

The UK home office will increase anti-terror control reviews from once to four times per year.
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/homeaffairs/story/0,,1765872,00.html

The 25th anniversary of the death of Bobby Sands was marked on 5 May. Sands was the first of ten Irish Republican Army (IRA) hunger strikers who campaigned for political status in 1981.

In July, Abdelbaset Ali Mohmed al-Megrahi, convicted in the 1988 Lockerbie bombing, will have appeals heard regarding the length of his prison sentence, currently set at a minimum of 27 years.
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GTM Middle East
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In Gaza, an explosion at Jabaliya refugee camp killed two and injured three. An investigation will determine whether the building was destroyed by an Israeli artillery shell, stored shells, or accidental detonation of explosives. Israeli air strikes were responsible for the deaths of five people in Gaza, targeting Popular Resistance Committees commander Moumtaz Dourghmush, but killing his relatives and two Palestinian policemen instead.

According to Iraq's Defense Ministry, Iran has launched a second attack on Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) positions in Iraq. Iraq's parliament has asked for a full report on the allegations, and in Turkey, people are speculating whether this is an effort by Iran to gain Turkish support in the dispute over Iran's nuclear program.
http://www.globalterrorismmonitor.com/2006/05/GTM0701.shtml
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=2&article_id=24088
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4979798.stm

Sectarian violence in Iraq has now displaced nearly 100,000 Iraqis, although the chaotic environment makes these calculations difficult. Contributing to this are ongoing military operations and insurgent attacks. On Tuesday, a suicide car bomb killed three bodyguards of Anbar province governor Maamoun Sami Rashid al-Alwant, who was injured. A US military raid on a suspected safe house in Balad killed ten. In Baghdad, a bomb in a minibus exploded in a market, killing two and injuring five. Four bodies showing signs of torture were found shot dead. In two roadside bombings, an Iraqi civilian and a US soldier were killed. Overnight, four Shia students were pulled from a bus and shot dead. On Wednesday, a man blew himself up in a crowd of Falluja police recruits, killing 15. The tortured and bullet riddled bodies of 14 young men were found in Baghdad, where insurgents also killed four college students and four others travelling on a minibus. An explosion in a market killed two civilians. A roadside bomb killed a US civilian and injured two others. On the positive side, two German hostages were set free. Thursday, a suicide bomber in Baghdad killed at least nine, including two women and a child, and injured 46 outside a courthouse. A roadside bomb on Friday killed three US soldiers in Babil province. Yesterday a British helicopter was shot down and crashed into a building in Basra, killing those aboard. In disturbances following the crash, five local residents, including two children, were shot dead and 19 people injured. The UK has denied accusations that their troops fired the fatal shots, and an investigation is under way. Today, car bomb attacks in Baghdad and Karbala killed at least 14 people, and injured many more.

The US army released a videotape they say comprised outtakes of a video released last week, showing Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the leader of al Qaeda in Iraq, having trouble firing a machine gun, rather than in heroic military action.
http://www.mnf-iraq.com/
http://www.defenselink.mil/news/May2006/20060504_5016.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/06/world/06zarqawi.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/05/world/middleeast/05iraq.html

Motassem Suleiman was sentenced in Jordan's security court, to five years' hard labor for conspiracy to commit acts of terrorism. Nine others accused of membership in a militant Islamist group were sentenced to terms of between two and five years, and seven others were acquitted.

Israeli soldiers raided the West Bank town of Tulkarm. Although their target was Islamic Jihad, they killed a Palestinian mother of five, Eitas Zalat, and injured her two daughters, as they sat in their living room. The army promised an investigation into the incident.
http://www.btselem.org/English/Press_Releases/20060501.asp
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/4963598.stm

In Nablus, Israeli forces conducting an arrest raid killed one Palestinian man they said was preparing to throw a firebomb.

Mohammed Hamdi al-Ahdal, ("Abu Issam al-Mekki") was sentenced to three years and one month in prison by Yemeni court, for his involvement in a 2002 attack on a helicopter carrying employees of Texas-based Hunt Oil in 2002. He was acquitted on charges of being part of a group that aims to attack foreign interests and of receiving funds from Al-Qaeda to finance attacks in Yemen. His alleged accomplice, Ghalib al-Zaidi, was acquitted. In another case, the court delayed verdicts against 19 men, including four Saudis, suspected of comprising a terror cell plotting attacks against US interests in Yemen.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=2&article_id=24134
http://www.yobserver.com/news_10011.php
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GTM South Asia
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Afghan police found the decapitated body of the Indian engineer kidnapped on 28 April. The Taleban claimed his death was accidental, although they had previously said he would be killed unless Indian people and companies left Afghanistan within 24 hours. On Tuesday a suspected suicide bomber killed himself and a civilian bystander on a highway outside Kabul, apparently targeting coalition forces. Judge Sheikh Mohammed was killed in a drive-by shooting late Tuesday night in Farah province. A bomb exploded outside the Nangarhar governor's office, but there were no casualties. Two NATO vehicles traveling south of Kabul were hit with a bomb on Friday, killing two Italian soldiers and injuring four. In Helmand province a suicide attacker targeting Canadian forces in Helmand province killed a civilian and two policemen.

Afghan warlord Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, leader of Hizb-e-Islami, told al Jazeera television that he is ready to fight for al Qaeda.
http://edition.cnn.com/2006/US/05/04/afghan.insurgent/index.html

In the Indian state of Gujarat, Muslims protested the demolition of a mosque in the city of Baroda. Police fired on the demonstrators, sparking three days of riots, in which six people have died. A curfew has been imposed, and security forces reinforced. Police say the action is in furtherance of their efforts against illegal construction work and does not target particular religious groups. Local residents insist that the shrine is 200 years old. The Supreme Court ordered that demolitions be suspended pending an investigation into the events.

In Indian-administered Kashmir, the week began with two serious Lashkar-e-Toiba attacks, apparently timed to disrupt the Indian Prime Minister's meeting with the All-Party Hurriyat. The first incident took place in Doda district, in which 19 Hindus, including a 9-year-old girl, were forced from their homes and killed; eleven others were injured. The second attack was in Udhampur district, involving the abduction and murder of 13 Hindus. A strike was called to protest the killings.

Nepal's Maoist rebels have welcomed a government offer of a ceasefire and dropping of terrorism charges. The Maoists has announced a 3-month ceasefire last week, and this offers an indefinite truce. Note this interview with Senior Maoist leader Ram Bahadur Bhandari
http://www.globalterrorismmonitor.com/2006/05/GTM0702.shtml

In Pakistan's Bajaur tribal region at the Afghan border, unidentified armed men attacked a security post. Three policemen were killed in the exchange of fire. The uncle of the governor of the North West Frontier Province was shot dead, and one of his bodyguards injured, as well as two attackers. The motive is unknown.

Last weekend, Tamil Tiger rebels launched an operation against the breakaway faction headed by former Tiger, Colonel Karuna, which is suspected of suspecting support from the Sri Lankan military. The death toll from the fighting is disputed, with a tiger spokesman reporting no losses, but that they killed at least ten with the Karuna group. Karuna reports losing five, and killing seven. Other reports suggest about 20 people were killed in the fighting. On Monday, the Tigers were blamed for a mine attack in the northeastern port town of Trincomalee. Although apparently targeting a naval patrol, only one naval official was killed, as were four civilians. Four sailors and four civilians were also injured. An attack in Jaffna on Tuesday (World Press Freedom Day) shot dead two members of a Tamil-language newspaper, and injured two. The identity of the masked gunmen is unknown, but is suspected to be an extrajudicial killing on the part of government security forces. Thursday, hand grenades thrown at an army checkpoint in Jaffna killed at least seven people. On Friday, the Sri Lankan navy reported that it had been attacked by Tamil Tiger boats and retaliated with air strikes that destroyed one.


2. Political Risk Monitor

The Political Risk Monitor is a monthly 16-page print publication. News highlights from the past week are provided in this free email update, but detailed analysis, background information and source documents are only available to subscribers. For subscription information, email info@tamni.com.

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PRM Africa
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Chad held presidential elections in which President Idriss Deby ran for a third term. There was a low turnout due to the combination of an opposition boycott (against corruption) and rising insecurity. Diplomatic sources estimated a ten percent turnout, but the electoral commission put it at 70 percent. Deby's third term seems assured.
http://www.iol.co.za/index.php?click_id=68&art_id=qw1146812941934B234&set_id=
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L05773967.htm
http://za.today.reuters.com/news/newsArticle.aspx?type=topNews&storyID=2006-05-01T090350Z_01_ALL132582_RTRIDST_0_OZATP-CHAD-20060501.XML
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=270634

Democratic Republic of Congo's presidential and parliamentary elections have been rescheduled from 18 June to 30 July. UN peacekeeping forces have been meeting with traditional chiefs, particularly in the troubled eastern region, to strengthen community relations in advance of this challenging undertaking.  Details and a candidate list can be found here:
http://www.politicalriskmonitor.com/2006/05/PRM0701.shtml

Note that the latest issue of the Journal of International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict, just released, focuses on the situation in DRC. (German and English)
http://www.ifhv.de

As one of Morocco's initiatives to promote moderate Islam, 50 women have been appointed as Mourchidats, or Islamic guides. They will be able to provide basic religious instructions in mosques, but leading Friday prayers will still be limited to men.
http://www.wtov9.com/news/9160174/detail.html
http://www.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/africa/05/04/morocco.women.ap/

Sierra Leone faces serious and growing tensions stemming from youth unemployment, the dire economic situation, rampant corruption and mismanagement. There are also growing border tensions with Guinea and the trials of former fighters, including former Liberian President Charles Taylor, are also potentially destabilizing. These are among the findings delivered in UN Secretary General Annan's first report to the Security Council since the peacekeeping mission ended and the UN Integrated Office in Sierra Leone (UNIOSIL) was established.
http://www.un.org/Docs/journal/asp/ws.asp?m=S/2006/269
http://www.un.org/Depts/dpko/missions/uniosil/

South Africa has declassified an investigation into the "third force" behind massacres against black civilians in the waning days of apartheid. The Steyn report, named after its author, former defense forces chief of staff Pierre Steyn, it finds that elements in the apartheid regime helped increase tensions between black communities, to undermine black majority rule. The apartheid-era army and police ordered extrajudicial executions, staged attacks on commuters and laborers, stockpiled weapons, and many other activities. When the report was presented in 1992, many of the leading members of the security services were forced to retire or dismissed.
http://www.sundayindependent.co.za/index.php?fArticleId=3224900
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/5F0909C4-8ECC-471A-81AB-60A33D79A8E0.htm
http://www.wits.ac.za/saha/

Sudan's government has signed a peace agreement with the Sudan Liberation Movement (SLM) government, but an SLM faction and the Justice and Equality Movement (JEM) have refused to join it.

Although the US was the first to condemn the situation in Darfur as genocide, it has not followed with action to address the world's worst humanitarian disaster. This situation may change as public awareness is rising, including a huge march in Washington DC last weekend (that included the arrest of several protesting congressional representatives), and an episode of popular television show ER (emergency room) taking place in Darfur.
http://www.nbc.com/ER/episode_guide/270.shtml
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sudan/story/0,,1768104,00.html
http://edition.cnn.com/2006/SHOWBIZ/TV/05/04/apontv.er.indarfur.ap/
http://www.savedarfur.org/
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PRM Americas
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Argentina has asked the International Court of Justice to address its dispute with Uruguay over utilization of their shared river. The dispute arises from Uruguay's desire to construct two paper pulp mills, which Argentina says violates notification and consultation provisions of the 1975 Statute of the River Uruguay. Large numbers in Argentina, buoyed by President Nestor Kirchner, vigorously have protested against the potential environmental harm and damage the local economy, while Uruguay points to much needed new employment opportunities.
http://www.icj-cij.org

Read about Bolivia's nationalization of energy supplies in Critical Infrastructure/Energy, below.

The Canada-United States Bi-National Planning Group completed a review of defense and security arrangements between the two countries. Key recommendations include:
*  Develop a Canada-U.S. vision, providing direction and authority for enhanced coordination and cooperation among foreign policy, defense and security organizations.
* Execute a "Comprehensive Defense and Security Agreement," providing authority and guidance for increased information sharing and cooperation among Canada-U.S. partners.
* Develop and implement a nation-to-nation information-sharing agreement, providing direction and authority for information sharing among Canada-U.S. defense and security organizations, while recognizing restrictions under national laws and policies.
Last week Canada and the US signed an agreement to renew the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) agreement, but this is subject to parliamentary debate in Canada.
http://www.canadianally.com/ca/bpg/
http://www.norad.mil/n

Canada's Ontario province has appointed former premier David Patterson to lead mediation in the standoff between Six Nations protestors opposed to new construction and all interested parties. The indigenous community has occupied the construction site for more than two months.
http://www.aboriginalaffairs.osaa.gov.on.ca/

Juan Ramon Salgado, deputy leader of Honduras' governing Liberal Party, has been shot dead at his home, by three unidentified gunmen. The motive is not known but is thought connected to organized crime. Honduras is on the main narcotics trafficking route between Colombia and the US.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N02287027.htm

In the Mexican town of San Salvador Atenco rioting broke out on Wednesday when three street vendors were arrested for trading without permits. The rioting continued into Thursday, when police regained control. During the clashes, people armed with machetes and Molotov cocktails attacked police, who retaliated with batons and tear gas. A teenage boy was killed, dozens injured, six taken hostage, and dozens arrested.
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-mexriot5may05,0,6464349.story

Peru's election authorities have confirmed that ex-army officer Ollanta Humala will face former President Alan Garcia in the presidential run-off on 4 June.

Puerto Rico has been forced to close many government offices and schools, following a financial crisis that has left only essential services in operation. The US Congress has been unable to reach agreement on a spending plan with the dependency.
http://www.forbes.com/business/healthcare/feeds/ap/2006/05/02/ap2715886.html
http://www.gobierno.pr/ (in Spanish)

"A Day Without Immigrants" marked May Day - the international day of labor - with demonstrations across the US to highlight the importance of immigrants - both legal and illegal - to the US economy. In addition to demonstrations, many people stayed away from work, particularly in industries such as meat processing, construction and garment factories largely staffed by immigrants.  
http://www.daywithoutanimmigrant.com/
http://www.immigrantsolidarity.org/
http://blogs.usatoday.com/ondeadline/2006/05/day_without_imm.html

The number of US state and federal orders authorizing or approving interception of wire, oral, or electronic communications increased four percent in 2004, for a total of 1,772 applications. Of the total applications, 625 were submitted to federal judges, down 14 percent from 2004, and 1,148 applications were submitted to state judges, an increase of 17 percent over 2004. Orders for 22 wiretaps were approved for which no wiretaps were actually installed. In addition, one application was denied. As of December 31, 2005, a total of 4,674 persons had been arrested based on interceptions terminated in 2005, 4 percent more than in 2004.
http://www.uscourts.gov/Press_Releases/wiretap05.html

The Justice Department also issued more than 9,200 National Security Letters, seeking detailed information about more than 3,500 US citizens or legal residents in 2005.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/05/01/AR2006050101388.html

Porter Goss, director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) resigned unexpectedly after only 18 months in the position. President Bush denied that he had lost confidence in the unpopular leader. Goss provided no other explanation, but many observers point to organizational dissatisfaction, the reduced and confusing role of the agency relative to the new National Counter Terrorism Center (NCTC), and personal rivalry between Goss and NCTC director John Negroponte.
http://www.cia.gov/cia/public_affairs/press_release/2006/pr05052006.htm
http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/05/06/goss.resignation/
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/05/20060505-2.html
http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1191401,00.html
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-cia7may07,1,3634698.story
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1191802,00.html
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/nation/3845945.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/4980906.stm

The US Senate Committee held a hearing on "FBI Oversight". Testimony reviewed progress and problems, and discussed issues that included FBI surveillance of political protestors at the 2004 national political conventions. In the latter matter, the Office of the Inspector General found no wrongdoing. Hearing testimony and the OIG report can be found here:
http://www.politicalriskmonitor.com/2006/05/PRM0701.shtml
http://www.usdoj.gov/oig/special/s0604/final.pdf

Venezuela has reciprocated Peru's withdrawal of its ambassador by doing the same thing.
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PRM Asia Pacific
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China appointed two Catholic bishops without the approval of the Vatican, which has now excommunicated the two men.
http://www.catholicnews.com/data/stories/cns/0602582.htm
http://www.chinapost.com.tw/editorial/detail.asp?GRP=I&id=81639
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4972004.stm

In East Timor, rumors of fresh clashes between former soldiers and police, (following last weeks fighting that killed five), led up to three-quarters of the population of the capital, Dili, have fled. There have been no reports of new violence, but rumors have spread by phone text messages. Expatriates, most from Indonesia, are among those leaving. Indonesia has been assured that Dili is safe, and warned not to intervene. President Gusmao reminded the international community of the country's ongoing need for aid.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/4975722.stm

"Managing Tensions on the Timor-Lest/Indonesia Border" is a new International Crisis Group report. They suggest:
" loser border cooperation between Indonesia and Timor-Leste is needed to help reduce a legacy of tension. Although Timor-Leste has other significant security problems - most recently the 28-29 April rioting in Dili - fears of significant violence along the border with Indonesian West Timor are largely unfounded. The shared land border has been mostly peaceful: smuggling and illegal crossings, rather than militia incursions, have emerged as the main security issues. A soft-border regime is needed to establish an infrastructure for legal cross-border trade and improving security cooperation. Other recommended measures include investing in road works and deploying more police. The two countries should also work with donors on livelihood- and income-generation projects, address serious justice issues related to the 1999 violence and devise a lasting solution for ex-refugees."
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?l=1&id=4090

Fiji is holding their first general elections since the 2001 coup, in which ethnic tensions underlie the rivalry between Prime Minister Laisenia Qarase of the Fijian-dominated United Fiji Party (SDL), against Mahendra Chaudhry's predominantly ethnic Indian Labor party. The population of about 900,000 is 51 percent Fijian, 44 percent Indian, and the balance of European and Chinese origin. Voting continues until 13 May and results are expected around the 18th.
http://www.elections.gov.fj/

Indonesia plans to change labor laws to limit workers' rights to organize, go on strike, or receive compensation following dismissal. National protests last month led President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono to agree to further consultation, but protests this week turned violent, including widespread property destruction. Police responded to a crowd of up to 50,000 with tear gas and water cannon.

Japan and the US have completed their negotiations on restructuring the US military presence, reaching agreement that:
* 8,000 US marines and their family members will relocate from Okinawa to Guam
*Japan will pay $6 billion of the $10 billion cost
* US military facilities will become shared next year and five may possibly return to Japanese control
* US Patriot missiles will be deployed as soon as possible
* The US airfield on Okinawa will move to two runways in a less congested area
* US aircraft air wing will move from Atsugi (near Tokyo) to Iwakuni by 2014
http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/n-america/us/security/scc/joint0605.html
http://www.usarj.army.mil/

Philippines' Supreme Court ruled that the state of emergency imposed in February was legal but certain police and army actions were unconstitutional. Chief Justice Artemio Panganiban said the emergency measure had "nuclear teeth that must indeed be defanged" and that it tested the outer limits of presidential prerogatives that, unrestrained, could destroy the country.

Singapore held general elections on Saturday. Official results confirm that the ruling People's Action Party (PAP) has won 82 of 84 seats in the parliament. This was the same number as in 2001, even though for the first time the opposition contested more than half the constituencies, compared to a third in 2001
http://www.elections.gov.sg/

Solomon Islands' parliament elected opposition candidate Manasseh Sogavare the new Prime Minister, by 28 to 22 votes. He had served previously, and now takes the place of Snyder Rini, whose election in late April led to serious riots. A reinforced Australian force is maintaining peace in the area.

South Korea has announced a 5-year plan for development on the Dokdo islands. Known as Takeshima in Japan, these islands are disputed, and this measure is likely to increase tensions between the two countries.
http://www.korea.net/News/News/NewsView.asp?serial_no=20060504027

Thailand's Election Commission will wait to endorse winners of last month's election until after complaints are resolved.
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PRM Europe
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Georgia marked 15 years since the creation of its own armed force with the 3-day Georgia Defense Conference, at which the Defense Ministry presented its Strategic Defense Review to an audience including senior NATO officials. Defense Minister Irakli Okruashvili described three main priorities: integration into NATO, improvement of ministry management, and increasing effectiveness of Georgia's armed forces.
http://www.messenger.com.ge/issues/1102_may_3_2006/n_1102_1.htm
http://jamestown.org/edm/article.php?article_id=2371042

"Russian Federation: Violent racism out of control" is a new Amnesty International report. It examines cases of assaults, some fatal, against foreign students, asylum-seekers and refugees from Africa, Asia, the Middle East and Latin America; members of ethnic groups and migrants from the Caucasus and Central Asia; as well as members of the Jewish community and Roma. The Sova Information Analytical Centre reports that last year, 28 people were murdered and 366 assaulted on racial grounds. However, many racially motivated crimes are not reported at all or not registered as such, with police and prosecutors preferring to classify them as hooliganism.
http://web.amnesty.org/library/Index/ENGEUR460182006
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20060504/47196404.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4969296.stm

Serbia failed to meet an EU deadline for handing over war crimes suspect Ratko Mladic, leading the European Commission to call off talks regarding closer ties. Ten people have been arrested in recent weeks during the search for Mladic. Deputy Prime Minister Miroljub Labus resigned to protest both the government and the UN prosecutors. Other cabinet officials may follow his lead, potentially leading to the fall of the government.

Switzerland has closed its embassy in Islamabad, Pakistan, following cases of visa fraud apparently connected to a local organized crime ring engaged in human trafficking.
http://www.swissinfo.org/eng/front/detail/Islamabad_embassy_target_of_organised_crime.html?siteSect=105&sid=6675374&cKey=1146514160000

In the UK, controversy grew over the revelation that 1,023 foreign criminals were freed rather than deported, including one connected with the murder of a woman police constable, a terrorism suspect, and others convicted of serious crimes. Charges of corruption and misconduct among government ministers added further fuel to a political fire that led the ruling Labor party to defeat in local elections in England. Now, Prime Minister Blair has announced a cabinet reshuffle:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/4976414.stm
http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/

Anjem Choudary, former UK head of al-Muhajiroun, a radical Islamic group, has been charged with organizing a protest over the satirical cartoons of the Prophet Muhammad without notifying the police. Abdul Muhid, his associate, has been charged with two counts of soliciting murder.
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PRM Middle East
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Egyptian police have detained some 50 members of the Muslim Brotherhood for campaigning against the extension of emergency law.

The funding crisis among Palestinians has deepened, despite receiving emergency funds from Arab and Muslim countries, and Russia. The US has intervened with banks to prevent financial aid reaching the territories, even to support such proposals from Arab and European countries to bypass the Hamas-led government by paying salaries directly to government workers or by sending funds to the office of the president. Meanwhile, President Abbas and the Fatah movement are planning to establish their own militia to challenge Hamas's force, and intend to bypass the government by using a referendum process in any peace talks with Israel.

Palestinian refugees in Iraq have been targeted with high levels of killing, disappearances, and hostage taking. About 34,000 Palestinians took refuge in Iraq, in three main waves in 1948, 1967, and 1991, supported by Saddam Hussein's regime. About 23,000 have been registered with the UN as refugees. Their security situation deteriorated markedly after the Samarra bombings in February, leading many to take refuge elsewhere. About 200 were stranded at the Jordan border, but now that Syria has agreed to accept them, arrangements for their transfer are underway. Another positive development was Grand Ayatollah Al-Sistani's issuance of a fatwa to protect the people and their property.

Iraq's parliament met for its first full session since the December election, but deferred debate on a review of the constitution pending appointment of a new cabinet.

The Special Inspector General for Iraq issued its quarterly report to the US Congress. It explained that reconstruction funds are nearly exhausted, and few projects will be completed, then goes on to describe five items critical to a successful transition of reconstruction activities from the US to Iraq:
* Improve infrastructure security
* Close the reconstruction cap
* Energize the oil and gas sector
* Attack corruption
* Increase donor activity
http://www.sigir.mil/reports/QuarterlyReports/Apr06/Default.aspx

Israeli's Knesset has approved incoming Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's cabinet list. It includes:
* Foreign affairs/vice premier: Tzipi Livni (Kadima)
* Defense and deputy PM: Amir Peretz (Labor)
* Transport and deputy PM: Shaul Mofaz (Kadima)
* Regional development: Shimon Peres (Kadima)
* Trade and deputy PM: Eli Yishai (Shas)
* Finance: Abraham Hirshson (Kadima)
* Interior: Ronni Bar-On (Kadima)
* Pensioner affairs: Rafi Eitan (Pensioners)
* Health: Yaacov Ben Yizri (Pensioners)
* Education: Yuli Tamir (Labor)
* Public security: Avi Dichter (Kadima)
* National infrastructure: Benjamin Ben-Eliezer (Labor)
http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Government/Current+Government+of+Israel/Ministers+and+Senior+Officials+of+the+31st+Government+of+Israel.htm

Lebanon's attorney general has received warrants for members of parliament Walid Jumblatt (Druze leader) and Marwan Hamade (telecommunications minister) to appear before a military court in Syria for alleged anti-Syrian incitement.

Israel's High Court has postponed the eviction of Jewish settlers from a building in a Palestinian area of Hebron, scheduled for Friday, until Monday. The army has declared this area a closed military zone. Security forces have surrounded the building and there have been clashes with the settlers ahead of tomorrow's deadline.
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PRM South Asia
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Afghanistan's harvest has improved, but will still fall short of at least 400,000 tons of cereals this year. To avoid food shortages that could contribute to insecurity and possible displacement to urban centers, the World Food Program has called for immediate funding to feed 3.5 million Afghans.
http://www.wfp.org

A survey of Afghans returning to the country found that social and economic rights to jobs, housing and safe drinking water were their main priorities. Only four percent of respondents cited security as a primary concern.
http://www.unhcr.org/cgi-bin/texis/vtx/news/opendoc.htm?tbl=NEWS&id=445628584

India's senior opposition leader Pramod Mahajan, of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), died nearly two weeks after being shot by his brother, who is in police custody. A state funeral was held for the influential and respected politician.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/4968896.stm
http://news.independent.co.uk/people/obituaries/article361792.ece

India and Pakistan have agreed to launch a truck service across their two sides of Kashmir. A second cross-Kashmir bus service is also planned for June.

Nepal's new Prime Minister, Girija Prasad Koirala named a new cabinet, then declared an indefinite ceasefire and lifting of terrorism charges against Maoist rebels, who previously had announced a 3-month ceasefire.

Recent fighting in Sri Lanka has displaced more than 10,000. Of these, some 8,500 were displaced after the 21 April series of explosions in the eastern town of Muttur. This week, UN agencies began delivering food, water, and other basic needs. Peace talks, however, are in hiatus.


3. AML/CFT Monitor

The AML/CFT Monitor is a monthly 16-page print publication. News highlights from the past week are provided in this free email update, but detailed analysis, background information and source documents are only available to subscribers. For subscription information, email info@tamni.com.

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AML/CFT Incidents/Cases
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Somali President Abdullahi Yusuf has criticized the US for funding warlords that have been battling the emergent central government. The US has supported these militias in their current fighting against local Islamic groups that want to implement Sharia law, considering it an essential measure in the "war on terrorism". Battles between the rival forces in march killed some 90 people.
http://today.reuters.com/news/articlenews.aspx?type=worldNews&storyid=2006-05-04T113107Z_01_L04376897_RTRUKOC_0_US-SOMALIA.xml
http://www.news24.com/News24/Africa/News/0,6119,2-11-1447_1926440,00.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/4972800.stm
http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2006/65813.htm

Lebanese President Emile Lahoud denies allegations made in a Fortune magazine  report, "Beirut bombshell", that connects the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri to the collapse of Bank al-Madina.
http://money.cnn.com/2006/05/01/news/international/lebanon_fortune_051506/index.htm
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=24219

Raul Salinas de Gortari, brother of former Mexican President Carlos Salinas de Gortari, and his sister-in-law, Adriana Lagarde, were both acquitted on money laundering charges. They had been  accused of using French banks to send more than $3 million to Switzerland, but no evidence was found linking the transfers to drug cartels.

Nigerian officials reported that they have recovered more than $1 billion in assets and cash stolen by past leaders.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/southwest/sw203052006.html

Ireland's Special Criminal Court has set 12 December for the trial of Don Bullman, who is accused in connection with money laundering for the Irish Republican Army (IRA), of which he is believed a key member.

Douglas Shyne and Natasha Singh have been indicted in New York for running a coffee business that fronted a money laundering operation, used obtain some $5 million through altered or counterfeit checks. Among those charged with conspiracy to defraud banks are Olympic gold medalist Tim Montgomery, his coach Steven Riddick, and nine others.
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/29/sports/othersports/29montgomery.html

Manten Electronics Inc. president Xu Weibo, was sentenced in New Jersey court to 44 months in prison; his wife and purchasing agent Xiu Ling Chen to 18 months; her brother and vice president Hao Li Chen to 30-months, and his wife and controller Kwan Chun Chan to six months under house arrest. They were found guilty of violating export regulations for shipping dual-use electronic equipment to entities controlled by China.
http://www.usdoj.gov/usao/nj/publicaffairs/NJ_Press/files/mant0502_r.htm

Cyprus has reacted angrily to a Forbes magazine article, "Money laundering, gun-running, sex slavery. Is tiny Cyprus the world's next tax haven?" Allegations in the article go on to implicate the island in breaking UN sanctions by selling weapons to Saddam Hussein's Iraq, and hiding money for Slobodan Milosevic. The attorney general of Cyprus issued a letter accusing Forbes of publishing defamatory and prejudicial information.
http://www.forbes.com/business/global/2006/0424/050.html
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=24203
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AML/CFT Legislation and Regulation
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Sheikh Abdul-Majid Al-Zindani , a militant Islamic scholar and founder and president of Al-Eman University in Yemen, is attempting to find lawyers willing to help him have his name removed from UN and US terrorist lists, where he is believed to have provided operational support and material to Osama bin Laden and al Qaeda. International sanctions currently have no provisions for appeal or correction of their listings.
The hard-line Islamic scholar is reported to have approached "high-profile" Yemeni lawyers to help him in his defense against the United States and UN.
http://www.yobserver.com/news_10026.php

Australia's Ministry for Education, Science and Training has provided a $12 million grant to the University of Wollongong to expand research and training at the Center for Transnational Crime Prevention (CTCP).
http://www.dest.gov.au/Ministers/Media/Bishop/2006/05/b001040506.asp
http://media.uow.edu.au/news/2006/0504a/index.html

Bangladesh's Finance and Planning Minister, M. Saifur Rahman, announced that the government will no longer allow black money to be whitened, in contravention to the country's anti-money laundering laws. The black economy in Bangladesh could be as much as 50 percent of the formal economy.
http://www.thedailystar.net/2006/05/01/d605011502120.htm

The State Bank of India, the country's largest bank, has come out with comprehensive guidance on AML and Know Your Customer anti-money launder guidelines.
http://www.statebankofindia.com/viewsection.jsp?lang=0&id=0,15,111

The UK Financial Services Authority (FSA) will no longer require that companies notify FSA of the roles and responsibilities of their FSA-approved senior managers. FSA estimates this small measure will save the industry about GBP 2 million a year in administration costs.
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pages/Library/Communication/PR/2006/043.shtml

The US Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) has announced the final rule under which mutual funds are required to file Suspicious Activity Reports.
http://www.amlcftmonitor.com/2006/05/AML0701.shtml

US Treasury Secretary Snow praised FinCEN employees in this speech, which describes the importance of their work in disrupting terrorist financing as well as more traditional areas:
http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/js4235.htm
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AML/CFT Modalities
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Joseph LaForte, his brother James LaForte, Jr., their mother Tina LaForte, their father James LaForte, Sr., and friend Jaime Lynn Guli, had been arrested and charged in New York last October for mortgage fraud. These charges have now been upgraded to money laundering and conspiracy. Details of the transactions involved are provided in this article:
http://www.northcountrygazette.org/articles/050206MoneyLaundering.html

Note the FSA review of insurance intermediaries handling client money, in Critical Infrastructure/Banking, below.


4. Emerging Threat Monitor

The Emerging Threat Monitor will be published in print later this year. News highlights from the past week are provided in this free email update, but detailed analysis, background information and source documents are only available to subscribers. For more information, email info@tamni.com.

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ETM Corruption and Transnational Crime
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Indonesian police have arrested Eddie Widiono, President-Director of the state electricity company PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara, for corruption in connection with falsifying fees in two generator purchases in 2004.

Raytheon's board of directors has reduced Chief Executive Officer William Swenson's salary and stock grants, lowering his compensation this year by about 20 percent, following the revelation that "Swanson's Unwritten Rules of Management" was largely cribbed from other sources.
http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/micro_stories.pl?ACCT=149999&TICK=RTN&STORY=/www/story/04-24-2006/0004346311&EDATE=Apr+24,+2006
http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/micro_stories.pl?ACCT=149999&TICK=RTN&STORY=/www/story/05-03-2006/0004353657&EDATE=May+3,+2006

French Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin's career is in jeopardy following claims that he targeted his rival, Interior Minister Nicolas Sarkozy  is the Clearstream affair. The corruption scandal began to unfold when a bribery inquiry was launched in June 2001 in which a number of French officials were implicated. Defense Minister Michele Alliot-Marie has also recently been linked to the case.

Nigerian President Obasanjo has stopped presentation of the Nigerian Extractive Industry Transparency Initiative (NEITI) audit report until the auditors trace the $250 million they found missing.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/cover/may06/04052006/f304052006.html
http://www.neiti.org/
http://www.hart-group.com/extractive-industry-transparency-initiative.php

Internal controls are the first line of defense in preventing fraud, waste, and abuse. The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) found that only weak control was established at the beginning of the UN/Iraq oil-for food program, which was put in place after sanctions were imposed in 1990. In this environment, corruption thrived. In "Oil for Food Program Provides Lessons for Future Sanctions and Ongoing Reform", GAO presented lessons for designing future sanctions and strengthening existing UN programs, at the House Committee on Government Reform, Subcommittee on National Security, Emerging Threats, and International Relations:
* Assess whether the sanctions program gives undue control to the sanctioned country
* Consider the economic impact that sanctions have on neighboring countries
* Ensure that all aspects of sanctions are equally enforced
* Establish clear authority and responsibility for management, oversight, and monitoring activities
* Assess and mitigate risk as programs and funding expand
* Assess the role of internal oversight units and ensure that they have the resources and independence needed for effective oversight
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-711T
http://reform.house.gov/NSETIR/Hearings/EventSingle.aspx?EventID=42645
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ETM Economies and Financial Systems
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The Commission on Sustainable Development opened its annual meeting. Discussions focus on energy, industrial development, air pollution/atmosphere, and climate change. More than 2.4 billion people lack modern energy services, and the meeting will address extending national electricity grids, promoting trade in energy, and lowering the cost of renewable energy.
http://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/review.htm

The World Trade Organizations' (WTO) Trade Negotiations Committee opened discussions on 1 May. Senior officials believe that WTO is moving closer to a global trade agreement. Director General Pascal Lamy opened the meeting with a statement that consensus is doable if every delegate is flexible and shares a sense of urgency to complete the process.
http://www.wto.org/english/news_e/news06_e/tnc_dg_stat_1may06_e.htm
http://www.wto.org/english/news_e/sppl_e/sppl24_e.htm

The International Monetary Fund's Asia-Pacific Regional Economic Outlook predicts robust growth, but cites the risks from rising oil prices, and tightening global financial conditions and current account imbalances. The report cites the need for balanced macroeconomic policies and strengthening domestic demand.
http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2006/pr0686.htm

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) raised similar issues in their annual meeting, which called for better regional cooperation to sustain growth and expand to disadvantaged countries that will reduce the disparities shown in the "two faces of Asia".
http://www.adb.org/Media/Articles/2006/9827-Annual-Meeting-Board-of-Governors/default.asp

The IMF's Regional Economic Outlook for the Middle East and Central Asia cites above average growth of more than 6 percent, despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, but warn of high oil prices and the need for exchange rate adjustments.
http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2006/pr0689.htm
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ETM Environment and Climate Change
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The first of 21 reports from the US Climate Change Science Program updates and revised conclusions from previous reports on climate change and the impact of human activity of temperature trends. Most important, "Temperature Trends in the Lower Atmosphere: Steps for Understanding and Reconciling Differences" finds there is no longer a discrepancy in the rate of global average temperature increase for the surface compared with higher levels in the atmosphere. This had previously been used to challenge the validity of climate models used to detect and attribute the causes of observed climate change. Now, there is clear evidence that human activities have affected climate change, which cannot be explained by natural processes alone.
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2623.htm

The European Union has agreed on the text of a new law, subject to a parliamentary vote, that would address health and environment concerns related to batteries and accumulators and waste batteries and accumulators, making recycling of batteries mandatory from 2008.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=PRES/06/114&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en

In Bangladesh, indigenous people are taking action to prevent a new open pit coal mine that would dislocate some 50,000 people and cause environmental damage, including falling water levels that would harm agricultural production.
http://www.thedailystar.net/2006/05/01/d60501011914.htm
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ETM Human Rights
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The use of lethal injection for executions in the United States is under judicial scrutiny in state and federal courts and the Supreme Court. A grotesque case in Ohio has fueled criticism, after an unprecedented delay as the prison team struggled to execute double murderer Joseph Lewis Clark.
http://www.toledoblade.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060503/NEWS02/60503011/-1/NEWS
http://www.columbusdispatch.com/news-story.php?story=dispatch/2006/05/03/20060503-A1-02.html
http://www.cleveland.com/news/plaindealer/index.ssf?/base/news/114665618973330.xml&coll=2
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/05/03/national/main1576011.shtml

The UN Committee on Torture has begun a standard evaluation of the US, which required of each signatory to the Convention every four years. In this first review since 9/11, US officials have faced serious questioning regarding CIA secret prisoners, ghost prisoners, prison abuse, and many other controversial issues. The US defended its record on torture, but claimed that only activities carried out within the US were relevant, and that actions in Guantanamo Bay, Iraq, Afghanistan, or other countries were outside the scope of the inquiry. It also claimed that many details could not be shared due to the need to protect intelligence. The inquiry continues.
http://www.ohchr.org/english/bodies/cat/
http://www.voanews.com/english/2006-05-05-voa54.cfm
http://web.amnesty.org/library/Index/ENGAMR510702006
http://www.swissinfo.org/eng/international/ticker/detail/U_S_defends_treatment_of_terror_suspects.html?siteSect=143&sid=6688417&cKey=1146849891000
http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory?id=1926322
http://breakingnews.iol.ie/news/story.asp?j=181763936&p=y8y76464z

Moroccan security forces arrested human trafficking kingpin Mizanur Rahman and three accomplices. The four Bangladeshis ran the trafficking network responsible for the recent death of some 20 Bangladeshis as they attempted to reach Europe in small makeshift boats.

Following the outrage over publication of Muhammad caricatures, Israeli artists staged a contest for the best anti-Semitic cartoons. Here are the results:
http://service.spiegel.de/cache/international/0,1518,412390,00.html
http://boomka.org/blog/wp-content/plugins/falbum/wp/album.php?album=72057594067999377

World Press Freedom Day was on 3 May. On this occasion, the UNESCO/Guillermo Cano World Press Freedom Prize was awarded to Lebanese Broadcasting Corporation journalist May Chidiac, who was badly injured by a car bomb last September. The prize is named after journalist Guillermo Cano, who was assassinated in 1987 after denouncing the activities of powerful drug barons in his country, Colombia.
http://www.un.org/events/pressday/2006/
http://portal.unesco.org/ci/admin/ev.php?URL_ID=21670&URL_DO=DO_TOPIC&URL_SECTION=201&reload=1143624493

Ms. Chidiac was not the only victim of violence directed against the press. Indeed, 2005 was the deadliest year in a decade, with more than 150 journalists and media staff killed. So far this year there have been at least 88, most killed in Iraq.
http://www.ifj.org/default.asp?Index=3660&Language=EN
http://www.rsf.org/article.php3?id_article=16793

Reporters Without Borders compiled its annual worldwide list of predators of press freedom.
http://www.rsf.org/article.php3?id_article=13580

Ruhr-Universitat Bochum's Institute for International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict released the first 2006 issue of the Journal of International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict (German and English). They also announced applications for two important human rights courses. The Network on Humanitarian Assistance (NOHA) offers the Master in Humanitarian Assistance. A Master of Peace and Security Studies is a transnational and interdisciplinary program for practitioners.
http://www.ifhv.de
http://www.ruhr-uni-bochum.de/ifhv/noha/
http://www.ruhr-uni-bochum.de/ifhv/hamburg/
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ETM Infectious Diseases
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Risk Management Solutions (RMS) developed the first probabilistic model for pandemic influenza. They calculated a 20 percent chance that it could be worse than 1918, which could result in as many as 100 million deaths.
http://www.rms.com/NewsPress/PR_050206_flu.asp

Most models have used the 1918 pandemic as a worst-case scenario, but that strain was far less virulent than the H5N1 strain, and travel now is much faster.

The US Implementation Plan for the National Strategy for Pandemic Influenza isn't concerned about the odds. This plan acknowledges that the government would have little impact on the outcome of a major pandemic, and that people should not expect a response similar to more common disasters. Rather than relying on the government, the plan calls for corporations to take a place on the front line of prevention and response. It calls for companies, other organizations, and individuals to help manage the impact, including dealing with rationing of medical care, and a list of recommendations that range from telecommuting to face masks for coughing children. It offers no suggestions regarding how to pay for preparedness or the services required during a pandemic. These costs could well exceed the financial resources of individuals, businesses, and government agencies.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/homeland/pandemic-influenza.html

The World Economic Forum, with Booz Allen Hamilton, conducted a simulation of an influenza pandemic. Participants found that in the event of a pandemic:
* The world will shift from "one of equals" to "not all equal," as essential workers in health care and other industries need to be vaccinated so they can keep working.
* Essential services and employees need to be prioritized – before an influenza attack – to maintain continuity.
* Non-essential services must be shut down in an orderly manner.
* Telecommunications will likely be overwhelmed early in the pandemic. Some experts speculated that the Internet could shut down within two to four days of the outbreak. This implies that government and businesses must coordinate and plan for the use of alternative communications channels—and telecommuting will not be a viable option. A method of prioritizing Internet access would be needed to allow key organizations and individuals to access information and communicate necessary actions.
* Governments will likely direct the general population to stay in their homes, and to minimize social contact.
* As a result, the government may need to assume national control, as in wartime, of critical infrastructure and resources including food, fuel, and healthcare. In addition, governments will need to assume responsibility for the "last mile" in delivery of food and other critical supplies to the populace.
http://www.boozallen.com/home/about/article_news-ideas/2912247?lpid=66005
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ETM Legal Systems
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The UK inspector of prisons and chief inspector of criminal justice compiled a report discussing Maghaberry prison in Northern Ireland, finding that the maximum security facility was twice as costly as similar facilities in England or Wales. Separation of loyalist and republication prisoners is associated both with higher financial costs, but also means that prisoners are more likely to be confined to cells and are less able to participate in recreational or educational activities.
http://www.niprisonservice.gov.uk
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ETM Populations
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The European Union directive on the right to move and reside freely in the Union is one of the most visible rights conferred to EU citizens. An estimated seven million Union citizens have taken advantage of their rights and now live in another Member State of the Union. Despite this, difficulties remain, and major steps to make full freedom of movement a reality are promised.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/06/179&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en

Following a Department of Finance Canada consultation on pension legislation and regulation, the government has proposed changes to pension funding rules that would provide ten years instead of five for defined benefit plan sponsors to fund pension deficits, given certain conditions. Similar measures are progressing in the UK and other countries that face an aging workforce and insufficient replacement revenue to finance current retirement levels.
http://www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca/
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ETM Technology
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The Royal Society called for disclosure of how products containing nanoparticles are tested for consumer safety. This request came as the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars released an inventory of more than 200 consumer products, ranging from laptop computers to cosmetics, which use nanotechnology, and the US Senate held hearings on "Economic Development Opportunities Through Nano Commercialization"
http://www.royalsoc.ac.uk/news.asp?id=4639
http://www.nanotechproject.org/index.php?id=44
http://commerce.senate.gov/hearings/witnesslist.cfm?id=1867
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ETM Weapons (WMD, Proliferation)
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Iran has offered to permit intrusive International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspections if the issue of its nuclear program is removed from the Security Council and returned to IAEA. If the standoff is not resolved, Iran says it will withdraw from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT). A draft UN resolution submitted by France, the UK and the US would make legally binding the demand to suspend uranium enrichment and ensure nuclear activities are purely peaceful, paving the way for enforcement measures such as sanctions. The resolution is being circulated under the same Chapter 7 rules that were in place in the lead-up to the war in Iraq, which is being heavily criticized by China and Russia. Meanwhile, Iran is continuing uranium enrichment and research activities, and rejects "nuclear apartheid".
http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2006/iranreport_sg.html
http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/05/07/news/iran.php
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=24200
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2006-05/07/content_4516905.htm

The challenge of balancing economic and security interests for those doing business with Iran is illustrated in this article about German companies:
http://service.spiegel.de/cache/international/0,1518,413998,00.html

Brazil has opened a new centrifuge facility, making it one of a small group of countries capable of enriching uranium. Brazil has one of the largest uranium reserves in the world and plans to be energy independent within a decade. Safeguards with IAEA supervision are designed to prevent diversion to weapons production.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/05/06/AR2006050601537.html
http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/brazil/nuke.htm
http://www.iaea.org/inis/ws/countries/brazil.html

Pakistan announced that ,with the release of Mohammad Farooq (the last scientist detained for his role in AQ Khan's nuclear supermarket) investigations are closed.
http://www.dawn.com/2006/05/03/top1.htm
http://www.newkerala.com/news2.php?action=fullnews&id=52575
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/4965566.stm
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/16/world/asia/16chron-khan.html?ex=1147060800&en=6962f35954f88f71&ei=5070

The possibility that an enemy could use chemical or biological weapons against US forces led to a Government Accountability Office (GAO) evaluation. "Chemical and Biological Defense: DOD Needs Consistent Policies and Clear Processes to Address the Survivability of Weapon Systems Against Chemical and Biological Threats" recommends consistent inclusion of survivability in acquisition policies, and that the associated database is comprehensive.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-592

Haiti, Niue, Suriname, Tanzania and Yemen have established national authorities in accordance with their respective obligations under the Chemical Weapons Convention.
http://www.opcw.org/


5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor

The Emerging Threat Monitor will be published in print later this year. News highlights from the past week are provided in this free email update, but detailed analysis, background information and source documents are only available to subscribers. For more information, email .

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CIM Agriculture and Food
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Australian Security Intelligence Organization (ASIO) Director General Paul O'Sullivan addressed the Food Chain Safety and Security Strategy Conference, offering his perspective on food security with these observations:
* The most characteristic aspect of this sector, to my mind, is the extent of the interdependencies and the diversity of processes that are required to deliver food to the final consumer.
* It is perhaps also important to note that, in contrast to other critical infrastructure sectors such as electricity or communications, it is not the physical infrastructure of the food sector that is important. The food itself must be safe.
* Even when the core business processes operate 'to spec', they remain subject to the influence and, at times, devastating impact of natural disasters, pests and disease, or malicious acts.
* Malicious acts, whether they involve real acts of harm or hoaxes, can cause significant disruption to businesses and consumers alike.
* Previous experience has been that such malicious acts have been criminal in nature, driven by perpetrators either seeking to extort money or enact a form of revenge. In the case of Masterfoods, withdrawal of Mars and Snickers bars was estimated to have cost the company around $10m following an extortion attempt that received significant publicity last year. Similarly, the recall of Arnott's biscuits, triggered by another extortion attempt, had an even larger estimated cost impact of around $22m. Difficulty in identifying the extortionist led to prolonged damage to consumer confidence, no doubt exacerbating the financial impact.
* These events can have a wider impact on the community and, in extreme cases, have the potential to undermine the community's confidence in the safety and integrity of the food supply. It would not be surprising, therefore, if such an impact might hold appeal for a potential terrorist.
http://www.asio.gov.au/Media/Contents/PDF/Food Sector Speech.pdf

EU officials have lifted an export ban imposed in 1996 against export of British beef. The decision comes after a decline in cases of bovine sponiform encephalopathy (BSE, mad cow disease). Now, live cattle born after 1 August 1996 and beef from cattle slaughtered after 15 June 2005 can be exported. Some EU states, including France, need to amend legislation to allow exports, and initial markets are expected to be Greece, Italy ad the Netherlands.

Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan - are the focus of a European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) and World Bank initiative that aims to boost economic growth in the crucial agriculture sector. The project plans to use a streamlined approach to finance more and smaller rural projects, mobilizing more investment and encouraging ongoing economic reform.
http://www.fao.org/newsroom/en/news/2006/1000286/index.html
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CIM Banking and Finance
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The UK Financial Services Authority (FSA) conducted a pilot review into the handling of client money by general insurance intermediaries. This work showed worrying failure by both wholesale and retail intermediaries to comply with FSA rules on client money potentially putting consumers at risk of financial loss, and therefore a large-scale review will be conducted later this year. The most serious issues found in the pilot were:
* shortfalls in client money accounts that could not be corrected;
* firms failing to do the client money calculation correctly (with some not doing it at all) or on time;
* firms failing to observe trust law and potentially risking client money;
* non-compliance with terms of risk transfer agreements (RTAs);
* firms failing to account for money held at third parties;
* a general lack of awareness of the requirement to have client money systems and controls audited; and
* clients not told about matters affecting their money.
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pages/Library/Communication/PR/2006/045.shtml
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CIM Chemical
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The US Chemical Safety Board will investigate a propylene explosion at Huntsman Corporation's Port Arthur, Texas manufacturing plant. The facility, also known as the Light Olefins Unit (LOU), produces ethylene, propylene, cyclohexane and benzene. There were no casualties, but a major fire will force the plant to remain closed for some time. This has already led to temporary shutdowns following supply shortages for manufacturers, including Nova Chemicals Corp.
http://www.huntsman.com/index.cfm?PageID=5549&News_ID=1499&style=4544
http://www.csb.gov/index.cfm?folder=news_releases&page=news&NEWS_ID=290

Having concluded cleanup of deteriorating rocket fuel (melange) in Georgia, the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) has moved from the Caucasus to Eastern Europe and Central Asia. In addition to major environmental risks, there is a serious security threat should terrorists or other criminal groups gain access to or destroy the storage tanks.
http://www.osce.org/item/18842.html

The European Commission has fined seven companies a total of EU388 million for operating a cartel in the chemicals sector. Arkema (France), Akzo Nobel (Netherlands), FMC Foret (Spain), Kemira (Finland), Snia and Edison (Italy) and Solvay (Belgium) exchanged confidential, commercially important information, limited output, allocated market shares and customers, and fixed prices of hydrogen peroxide and perborate.
http://europa.eu.int/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/06/560&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=fr
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CIM Commercial Facilities
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Tan Kian Hoon, chairman of Singapore's National Crime Prevention Council, discusses counterterrorism features in the way buildings are designed and managed in Business Times Singapore. He recommends a process known as the Crime Prevention Through Environmental Design principles (CPTED). For example, buildings should be hardened to protect the structures from bombings, ballistic attacks, and forced entries, and perimeter defenses such as surveillance, detection, and physical barriers. Buildings should be designed to preventing collapse in an explosion, and reducing such dangers as flying glass.
http://business.times.asia1.com.sg
http://www.cpu.sa.gov.au/sa_cpted.htm
http://www.ncpc.gov.sg/pdf/CPTED%20Guidebook.pdf

Nigeria's Minister of Internal Affairs has threatened to close banks and companies who have not registered private security guards with the ministry. They claim that unlicensed guards are often unqualified or turn out to be criminals.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/niger_delta/nd103052006.html

Universities in Baghdad have implemented checkpoints and other security measures after a number of attacks that killed 25 college students and led many others to stop attending.
http://www.criticalinfrastructuremonitor.com/2006/05/CIM0701.shtml
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CIM Cybersecurity
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Mozilla has released a Firefox browser fix to address a serious security in handling JavaScript.
http://www.mozilla.org/security/announce/2006/mfsa2006-30.html

A critical buffer overflow vulnerability in the Unix and Linux X-Windows system has been identified. Patches are available.
http://secunia.com/advisories/19900
http://scan.coverity.com/news.html

Redspin offers a white paper describing the increased vulnerability presented when banks move automated teller machines (ATMs) from propriety networks to TCP/IP.
http://www.redspin.com/press_04_13_06.html

University of Calgary researchers describe new techniques to create spam that can bypass even the best filters and trick experienced users by analyzing email patterns and mimicking messages sent by friends, making if more likely that you inadvertently would access malicious items. The researchers also propose realistic solutions to mitigate these risks.
http://www.ucalgary.ca/news/april06/virus.html

SANS Institute top 20 internet security vulnerabilities spring report described eight major trends:
* Rapid growth in critical vulnerabilities being discovered in Mac OS/X including a zero-day vulnerability (OS/X still remains safer than Windows, but its reputation for offering a bullet-proof alternative to Windows is in tatters.)
* Substantial decline in the number of critical vulnerabilities in Windows Services, offset by flaws in client-side software, including the WMF vulnerability and Internet Explorer flaws, listed in Trend #3.
* Continuing discovery of multiple zero-day vulnerabilities in Internet Explorer.
* Rapid growth in critical Firefox and Mozilla vulnerabilities.
* Surge in commodity zero-day attacks used to infiltrate systems for profit motives.
* Rapid growth in three types of critical vulnerabilities allowing direct access to databases, data warehouses, and backup data (Oracle, Veritas Back-Up and SQL Injection attacks).
* A continuing surge in file-based attacks, especially using media and image files, Microsoft Excel files, and more.
* A rapidly spreading scourge of successful spear-phishing attacks, especially among defense and nuclear energy sites.
http://www.sans.org/top20/2005/spring_2006_update.php

The US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has taken action against two companies that secretly downloaded spyware onto unsuspecting consumers' computers. A default judgment against Sanford Wallace and Smartbot.Net orders them to give up $4,089,500 gained by exploiting a security vulnerability in Microsoft Internet Explorer in order to distribute spyware. Odysseus Marketing and its principal, Walter Rines, who also used surreptitious spyware, were ordered to stop collecting consumer information.
http://www.ftc.gov/opa/2006/05/seismic.htm

FTC also filed federal complaints charging five Web-based operations with obtaining and selling consumers’ confidential telephone records to third parties in violation of federal law. FTC is asking for a permanent halt to the sale of the phone records, and for the courts to order the operators to give up the money made through these illegal operations.
http://www.ftc.gov/opa/2006/05/phonerecords.htm

A case of identity fraud has cheated aspiring British musicians out of thousands of pounds. The case involved a criminal introducing himself as AC/DC producer George Young, then obtained money, credit cards, and passports in connection with fake opportunities in the music industry.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/music/acdc-rocked-by-id-scam/2006/05/03/1146335785397.html
http://www.metalhammer.co.uk/news/article/?id=43968
http://www.roadrunnerrecords.com/blabbermouth.net/news.aspx?mode=Article&newsitemID=51755

The Center for Democracy and Privacy has released Privacy Best Practices for RFID Technology (interim draft). In a related technology development, IBM has announced "clipped tags" that  "permit a consumer to disable a tag by mechanically altering the tag in such a way that the ability of a reader to interrogate the RFID tag by wireless mean is inhibited".
http://www.cdt.org/privacy/20060501rfid-best-practices.php
http://domino.watson.ibm.com/library/cyberdig.nsf/1e4115aea78b6e7c85256b360066f0d4/d25e54db29daa9aa8525707c00702c9f?OpenDocument&Highlight=0,karjoth

In Canada, the Greater Ontario Transit Authority found that the scrolling messages on many of their trains was hacked to display "Stephen Harper Eats Babies" instead of the usual station and travel messages. (Stephen Harper is the Canadian Prime Minister.) A remote control device is used to program such signs, but this system was not password protected. To change it, new software is being supplied, and it will take about three days to make all the necessary changes.
http://www.exclusivead.com/Stephen Harper LED Response.pdf
http://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout/Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1146520226985

The Reconnex Insider Threat Index reports these leading risk indicators:
* Webmail – In line with previous Insider Threat Index findings, 89 percent of companies assessed had Webmail running over their networks.
*SSN – 89 percent of companies leaked Social Security numbers.
* CCN – 67 percent of companies exposed credit card numbers.
* Instant Messenger (IM) – Because IM can easily leave the network without detection, most organizations forbid its use, yet 78 percent of companies had IM on their networks.
* Peer-to-Peer (P2P) – P2P file sharing protocols, banned by most companies because they pose grave risks to corporate security, were found in 78 percent of companies, compared to 35 percent in all of 2005.
* Remote access protocols – These were present in 66 percent of companies.
* Rogue VOIP protocols – 22 percent of organizations had Skype on their networks.
http://www.reconnex.net/news/articles/pr_05.01.06B.asp

The UK Information Commissioner issued a guidance note recommending use of federated identity management standards and software that provides anonymity to computer users.
http://www.ico.gov.uk/eventual.aspx?pg=SR&cID=8324

The US National Governors Association's Center for Best Practices released "Protecting Privacy in Integrated Justice Systems". The brief calls for states to implement major improvements in data safeguards. Recommended privacy practices include:
*  Establishing a collaborative process to develop privacy policies for justice information sharing initiatives;
* Identifying areas where justice information sharing initiatives put individuals' privacy protections at risk;
* Conducting legal analyses of privacy laws and regulations that impact justice information sharing systems;
* Defining statewide privacy principles to govern the operation of justice information sharing initiatives;  
* Developing privacy policies that protect information in different contextual settings; and
 * Enforcing accountability and setting minimum security statewide standards for justice information sharing initiatives.
http://www.nga.org/Files/pdf/0604CJISPRIVACY.PDF

Switzerland's Consumer Protection Association is concerned by the data protection raised by two large retailers plans to launch loyalty cards tracking consumer buying habits.
http://www.swissinfo.org/eng/front/detail/Supermarket_credit_cards_cause_concern.html?siteSect=105&sid=6675133&cKey=1146498776000
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CIM Energy
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Bolivian President Evo Morales has nationalized the natural gas and oil industries, inviting foreign companies to agree to new contracts or leave within the next six months. This measure is designed to ensure that most benefits from natural resources accrue to the people of Bolivia, not to multinational corporations. Bolivian gas is mainly sold to neighboring states, and soon after the nationalization the presidents of Argentina, Brazil and Venezuela agreed to new prices for Bolivian gas. Internationally, Spain, which has significant interests in the country, says they have reached an understanding and will continue discussions over new contracts. This is not the case with other groups, which do not see Bolivia as a key player in international markets.
http://www.plenglish.com/article.asp?ID={F5188587-7D07-41A6-AD70-DD64E993BCA2})&language=EN
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/4964300.stm
http://service.spiegel.de/cache/international/0,1518,414056,00.html
http://www.vheadline.com/readnews.asp?id=55734
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000086&sid=aLFQDkVP4hpA&refer=latin_america
http://www.forbes.com/2006/05/04/bolivia-petrobras-brazil-cx_po_0504autofacescan10.html
http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D8HD798O2.htm?campaign_id=apn_home_down&chan=db

Sanda National Laboratories report "SANDIA REPORT SAND2005-7339 (Unlimited Release) Printed January 2006, Review of the Independent Risk Assessment of the Proposed Cabrillo Liquefied Natural Gas Deepwater Port Project" says that in the worst case scenario an LNG release could extend 7.3 miles, up from an estimate of 2 miles in 2004. Now a film, "The Risks and Danger of LNG" focuses on these dangers and calls on the government to conduct large-scale tests that could help improve unreliable and inconsistent computer models.
http://www.slc.ca.gov/Division_Pages/DEPM/DEPM_Programs_and_Reports/BHP_Deep_Water_Port/RevisedDraftEIR/1aCabTransport/PDF%20Text-All%20Sections/4.02%20Public%20Safety.pdf
http://lngdanger.com/
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CIM Nuclear Reactors, Materials, and Waste
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The UK Health and Safety Executive is bringing a criminal prosecution against operators of the Sellafield nuclear reprocessing plant for breaching safety conditions and permitting a serious leak that was not immediately detected.
http://www.hse.gov.uk/press/2006/e06052.htm
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CIM Public Health and Healthcare
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"Rats and Human Health in Africa" was an international workshop held in South Africa last week. Attendees from 20 countries found that rising numbers of rodents in Africa pose an increasing threat of serious diseases such as bubonic plague and Lassa fever. The problem is associated with increased urbanization and poor sanitary systems.
http://www.nri.org/news/newslatest.htm#rats
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=270817&area=/breaking_news/breaking_news__africa/

"Progress for Children: A Report Card on Nutrition" is a new UN report that finds more than a quarter of all children under five in developing countries are underweight or poorly nourished. This contributes to 5.6 million child deaths each year, even though many remedies, such as providing vitamin A, cost just a few cents.
http://www.unicef.org/nutrition/index_33721.html

In an effort to combat childhood obesity, the US, the Alliance for a Healthier Generation has negotiated an agreement with Cadbury Schweppes, Coca Cola and PepsiCo to provide only unsweetened juice, water and low-fat milks will be sold in elementary and middle schools, with diet drinks allowed in high schools.
http://www.healthiergeneration.org/beverage.html
http://www.ftc.gov/opa/2006/05/childhoodobesity.htm
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CIM Transportation
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The US National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) released an unclassified National Strategy to Combat Terrorist Travel. It cites three strategic objectives:
* Suppress Terrorists' Ability to Cross International Borders: using intelligence collection, analysis, production and dissemination; and terrorist screening and information sharing with foreign partners
* Help Partner Nations Build Capacity to Limit Terrorist Travel: through engagement with multilateral organizations; international financial and technical assistance; and denial of safe have to terrorists
Deny Terrorists Access to Resources That Facilitate Travel: by implementing global standards for travel documents, and monitoring and defeating terrorist travel facilitator networks
http://www.nctc.gov/docs/u_terrorist_travel_book_may2_2006.pdf

In November 2004 the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) permitted commercial airports to apply to use private screeners in place of government screeners, under the Screening Partnership Program (SPP). There were concerns over liability of private contractors, the division of responsibilities between TSA and private companies, and similar issues. The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) released "Airport Security: Progress Made to Set Up Program Using Private-Sector Screeners, but More Work Remains". This new report says that roles and responsibilities must be documented and communicated, and performance measures and targets established.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-166

The International Maritime Bureau has released its "Report on Piracy and Armed Robbery Against Ships". The latest statistics indicate that global piracy in the first quarter of 2006 had increased 8 percent compared to 2005, with 61 versus 56 attacks. Overall, the level of piracy has reached a plateau. This is attributed to increased law enforcement, awareness, and anti-piracy measures taken by shipmasters in high risk areas. Worldwide, Somali and Nigerian waters are most dangerous, and violent attacks are on the increase. Current alerts warn of the northeast and eastern coast of Somalia, and the Gelasa Straits in Indonesia.
http://www.icc-ccs.org/main/news.php?newsid=67
http://www.icc-ccs.org/prc/piracyreport.php

The US Department of Homeland Security released the Maritime Infrastructure Recovery Plan.
http://www.dhs.gov/dhspublic/display?content=5583

The Nigerian Trawler Owners Association has called on the government to provide better protection against pirates along coastal areas, which is harming fishing.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/business/may06/05052006/b405052006.html

A new Maritime Rescue Coordination Center (MRCC) has opened in Kenya. It will provide rapid response to piracy attacks and accidents at sea.
http://www.imo.org/
http://za.today.reuters.com/news/NewsArticle.aspx?type=topNews&storyID=2006-05-05T141150Z_01_BAN551097_RTRIDST_0_OZATP-KENYA-MARITIME-20060505.XML

Deepwater is a US Coast Guard program first designed to produce aircraft and vessels to support traditional at-sea roles, but this was expanded to address expanded counterterrorism activities. This is a very large program, and many of the plans to replace or renovate assets have been fraught with problems. The US Government Accountability Office's (GAO) new report, "Coast Guard: Changes to Deepwater Plan Appear Sound, and Program Management Has Improved, but Continued Monitoring Is Warranted" provides a current review of Deepwater's progress.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-546

The Faeroe Islands have opened an underwater tunnel, the second of its kind in the Faeroes, that unites 85 percent of the population by road, rather than sailing among the 18 islands.
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CIM Water
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An external review of the Asian Development Bank's (ADB) water policy finds the organization must "do more and do better" to turn the Water for All policy into action. Asia's water sector is critical for development and change, and to support this ADB should:
*  Increase its commitments and develops capacity on water assistance
* Develop long-term partnerships with stakeholders in its developing member countries and donors
* Build on progress made in integrated water resource management to focus on stakeholder needs and ownership
* Promote 'business unusual' in water services
* Improve its processes to ensure effective policy implementation
http://www.adb.org/Media/Articles/2006/9805-Annual-Meeting-water-policy/default.asp

The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) released "Securing Wastewater Facilities: Utilities Have Made Important Upgrades but Further Improvements to Key System Components May Be Limited by Costs and Other Constraints". The report explains:
"Wastewater facilities provide essential services to residential, commercial, and industrial users, yet they may possess certain characteristics that terrorists could exploit to impair the wastewater treatment process or to damage surrounding infrastructure. For example, large underground collector sewers could be accessed by terrorists for purposes of placing destructive devices beneath buildings or city streets".
GAO recommends that the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) identify ways to better coordinate activities and share information.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-390


6. Disaster Reduction Monitor

The Disaster Reduction Monitor will be published in print later this year. News highlights from the past week are provided in this free email update, but detailed analysis, background information and source documents are only available to subscribers. For more information, email info@tamni.com

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DRM Incidents
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To understand the devastating impact of the east African drought, read this firsthand account by pastoral elders in Ethiopia:
http://www.disasterreductionmonitor.com/2006/05/DRM0701.shtml

Angola's death toll from the cholera outbreak now exceeds 1,000: 25 deaths per day.
http://allafrica.com/stories/200605050062.html
http://www.msf.org/

Armenia's Armavia Airlines A-320 airbus crashed into the Black Sea, killing all 113 passengers and crew. Russian authorities say that bad weather is a more likely cause than terrorism, but the investigation continues, including efforts to recover the flight recorders. Two days after this incident, a second Armavia Airbus was destroyed in a fire.

An earthquake measuring 8.1 on the Richter scale, and large aftershocks, struck Tongo and issued a tsunami alert. However, a power failure on the Pacific Island nation meant they did not receive the warning. The emergency satellite system malfunctioned. Fortunately, the waves did not materialize and there was little damage and no serious injuries.
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DRM Response and Recovery
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The UN Children's Fund (UNICEF) launched a new water network to serve up to 30,000 victims of the Pakistani earthquake.
http://www.unicef.org/media/media_33759.html

The US Minerals Management Service reports that hurricanes Karrina and Rita destroyed 113 petroleum platforms and damaged 457 pipelines, a sharp increase from prior estimates that may increase further as underwater inspections continue.
http://www.mms.gov
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DRM Risks
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A lava dome has formed on the southern slope of Mount Merapi volcano in Indonesia. It is one of about 129 active volcanoes in the country and last erupted in 1930, when it killed some 1,300 people.

The US Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs released "Hurricane Katrina: A Nation Still Unprepared".
http://hsgac.senate.gov/_files/Katrina/FullReport.pdf
http://hsgac.senate.gov/index.cfm?Fuseaction=Links.Katrina

Two recent reports form the US Government Accountability Office (GAO) address issues with wildfires. "Wildland Fire Management: Update on Federal Agency Efforts to Develop a Cohesive Strategy to Address Wildland Fire Threats" explains that the number of acres burned by wildland fires from 2000 to 2005 was 70 percent greater than in the 1990s,  while federal fire management appropriations tripled. Six different federal agencies are involved in managing and responding to wildfires, but still have not developed a coordinated and cohesive strategy. Catastrophic damage will continue to increase until an adequate long-term federal response is implemented and operational. In a related matter, the small trees, limbs and brush ("woody biomass") left after thinning vegetation on public lands may be developed commercially to help underwrite the cost of thinning.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-671R
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-336
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DRM Mitigation
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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced a milestone in the expanded US tsunami warning system. 24-hour staffing and more detection buoys will allow speedier forecasting.
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2620.htm

New Orleans Mayor C. Ray Nagin presented the consolidated Hurricane Preparedness Plan for the 2006 hurricane season, which begins 1 June. The plan envisions a complete evacuation, with no refuge of last resort. The stadium that was used unsuccessfully as a refuge during Hurricane Katrina would be a staging post for moving residents, primarily on trains. The city has not yet completed a contract with Amtrak to cover these requirements.
http://secure.cityofno.com/portal.aspx?portal=46&tabid=38
http://www.nola.com/news/t-p/frontpage/index.ssf?/base/news-5/1146986995259510.xml

The International Federation of Employee Benefits Plans (IFEB) issued "Disaster Planning". In addition to providing sample plans and checklists that incorporate new threats of avian influenza, the 550-page publication incorporates survey results that find:
* 53 percent of organizations have a disaster plan, and 27 percent are planning to create one within a year
* Recent disasters have led 67 percent of those with a plan to update it
* Most disaster plans include employee counseling or assistance programs, and emergency payroll distributions or cash advances
http://eservice.ifebp.org/site/vision_productsearch.asp?TrackID=&VID=&CID=&ABSTRACTQTY=&DID=&page=1&MODE=2&PRODUCT=6177

The US Department of Treasury announced an interim final rule as part of its implementation of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Extension Act of 2005 (TRIA). It addresses changes to the types of commercial property and casualty insurance covered by TRIA, clarifies requirements for insurers in satisfying the mandatory insurance availability provisions, and implements a new Program Trigger loss threshold that must be met before the Federal government potentially shares in insured losses.
http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/js4242.htm


7. Recommended Reading

Three key reports addressing causes, consequences, and intervention in terrorism were released last week.

Foreign Policy magazine and the Fund for Peace released the "2006 Failed States Index". Sudan and Democratic Republic of Congo top the list, followed by Ivory Coast, Iraq, Zimbabwe, Chad, Somalia, Haiti, Pakistan, and Afghanistan. Eleven of the 20 most failed states are in Africa. The least failed of the 146 nations examined was Norway. The rankings are determined by 12 criteria, such as demographic pressures, movement of people, legacy of vengeance, economic factors and so forth.
http://www.fundforpeace.org/
http://www.foreignpolicy.com

The US Department of State released "Country Reports on Terrorism 2005". In introducing the report, Special Coordinator for Counterterrorism Henry Crumpton discussed trends noted in the report:
*
* More threats emerging from small cells and even individuals, some with more autonomy, therefore they are more difficult to detect and engage. ... We may face a larger number of smaller attacks, less meticulously planned and local, rather than transnational in scope.
* Terrorists groups are becoming more sophisticated. They use technology, especially the internet, to improve their global reach, intelligence collection and operational capacity.
* Increasing integration of terrorist and criminal enterprises.
* We have denied Iraq as a safe haven for Saddam Hussein's terrorist regime, for remnants of Abu Nidal, for Palestine Liberation Front leader Abu Abbas and Ansar al-Sunna, which operated a base near the Iranian border. This year's report includes a chapter on terrorist safe haven, including cyberspace.
* For some terrorists Iraq is also a cause. Networks that support the flow of foreign terrorists to Iraq have been uncovered in several parts of the world.
* Again in 2005, Iran remained the most active sponsor of terrorism.
http://www.state.gov/s/ct/rls/rm2/65482.htm
http://www.state.gov/s/ct/rls/crt/c17689.htm

Statistics for this report were compiled by the National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC). All items listed are approximate:
* 11,000 terrorist attacks occurred in 2005 and resulted in over 14,600 deaths.
* Iraq accounted for just over 30 percent of worldwide attacks (3500) and 55 percent of fatalities (8300)
* 630 attacks accounted for just over 50 percent of the total fatalities
* 54 percent of attacks were against facilities and/or resulted in no casualties
* At least a quarter of worldwide victims were Muslim, most in Iraq
* Other noncombatants frequently killed or injured were police (6,600), children (1000), government officials (300), clergy/religious figures (170), teachers (140), journalists (110)
* The vast majority of fatalities were from armed attacks and bombings.
* 360 suicide bombings accounted for 20 percent of fatalities
* 56 Americans were killed in terrorist attacks in 2005; 47 of these in Iraq
http://wits.nctc.gov/

For historical perspective, supporting documents and analysis, consider "Patterns of Global Terrorism" edited by TerrorismCentral's Anna Sabasteanski.
http://www.berkshirepublishing.com

Last, but most important, UN Secretary General Kofi Annan released "Uniting Against Terrorism: Recommendations for a Global Counter-Terrorism Strategy". The recommendations follow from a fundamental conviction that "terrorism in all its forms and manifestations, committed by whomever, wherever and for whatever purposes, in unacceptable and can never be justified". It builds on these fundamental components, originally presented at the Madrid conference last year:
* Dissuading people from resorting to terrorism or supporting it;
* Denying terrorists the means to carry out an attack;
* Deterring States from supporting terrorism;
* Developing State capacity to defeat terrorism, and;
* Defending human rights
From these categories come specific recommendations for member states to prevent the use of biological weapons, terrorist use of the Internet, and so forth. The General Assembly is scheduled to begin consultations on this strategy and other counter-terrorism issues on 11 May.
http://www.un.org/unitingagainstterrorism/sgstatement.html
http://www.un.org/unitingagainstterrorism/