Return to Newsletter Archive

AUTHOR:
TerrorismCentral Editorial Staff

TITLE:
TerrorismCentral Newsletter - July 2, 2006

SOURCE:
TerrorismCentral, July 2, 2006

TEXT:

Although the growing crisis in the Middle East is dominating the news, it is taking place in the context of other events happening around the world. This is illustrated both by such reports as massive Indonesian demonstrations outside the US embassy in Jakarta, calling for the US to help resolve the situation. Interconnections extend even further, as can be seen in the intersections of reports on terrorism, political violence and energy, the "invisible web" of the global "war on terror" and how different legal systems address it. Such connections are reported in many other ways throughout this Newsletter, and in more detail in the monthly Monitor publications.


CONTENTS:

NEWS HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK:

1. Global Terrorism Monitor
2. Political Risk Monitor
3. AML/CFT Monitor
4. Emerging Threat Monitor
5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor
6. Disaster Reduction Monitor
7. Recommended Reading
8. Asset Management Network News


1. Global Terrorism Monitor

For detailed analysis, background information and source documents become a Global Terrorism Monitor subscriber. You can purchase this and other titles here:
TAMNI Publications

--------------------------------------------------
GTM Africa
--------------------------------------------------
Algeria reports about 200 Islamic militants have surrendered under the amnesty that runs from February through August, representing perhaps a quarter of the active guerillas. Under the amnesty 2,200 former fighters have been released from prison, and 37,800 prisoner applications for amnesty are being considered.

Burundi's National Liberation Forces (FNL) rebels says it is committed to peace negotiations but will not be bullied into signing a ceasefire by the Saturday deadline.

Chadian rebels attacked the Central African Republic (CAR). Fighting left 20 rebels, 13 government soldiers, and two African Union peacekeepers dead. CAR has asked for additional international assistance.

An African Union expert panel has recommended that former Chadian president Hissene Habre face war crimes charges in Africa, rather than being extradited to Belgium.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=54341A

Ivory Coast New Forces rebels and those forces loyal to the government have failed to reach agreement of issues including pay, rank, and integration. They will meet again on 6 July.

Mali has reached a peace agreement with Tuareg rebels in which they drop demands for autonomy in exchange for development to reduce poverty.

Nigerian militants freed two Filipino oil workers after they had been held for five days.

Nigeria has declared the Bakassi Boys, a vigilante group operating in Abia state, a terrorist organization.

Somalia's tentative ceasefire did not last long. The Union of Islamic Courts (UIC) attacked two checkpoints manned by armed men loyal to defeated warlord Abdi Hassan Qeybdid, with the Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter Terrorism. Six people in Qeybdid's camp were killed. UIC proceeded to remove all checkpoints in Mogadishu, the Somali capital, and continued their expansion through the country. By the end of the week, the Islamists claimed control over the country, and changed their name to Supreme Islamic Council of Somalia (SICS). Despite UIC recognition of the interim government SICS says it will rule Somalia under Sharia law, and reintegrate the breakaway regions of Puntland and Somaliland. The interim government dismissed their claims.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=275958
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/07/01/AR2006070100850.html

Sudan has lifted restrictions on the UN and permitted the first meeting of the Darfur Joint Commission, but President Omar al-Beshir refuses UN forces, continuing to characterize an international peacekeeping force as an occupation. Despite his position, the African Union insists that its peacekeeping troops will leave by the end of September, with or without a replacement force. Meanwhile, Darfur remains in crisis.
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2006/sc8765.doc.htm

Uganda's Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) rebel leader Joseph Kony denied accusations of atrocities in his first major interview, with the BBC. The International Criminal Court invites Kony and four other LRA commanders to defend their case in court.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/newsnight/5124762.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/5126120.stm
http://www.icc-cpi.int/cases/UGD.html
--------------------------------------------------
GTM Americas
--------------------------------------------------
Two Canadian teenagers arrested in connection with the alleged Ontario terrorist cell were denied bail and will face charges under the federal Anti-Terrorism Act for participating in or contributing to a terrorist group and for receiving terrorism-related training. One also faces the charge of committing indictable offenses for a terrorist group.

In Haiti, Canadian missionary Ed Hughes was freed after his hostages were paid a ransom. He plans to keep his orphanage running, but fears returning lest he be targeted a third time by kidnapping gangs. Abductions in Haiti had fallen during heightened security while elections took place, but have increased since then, including 29 incidents in May, more than double the number in April.

The US Supreme Court, in a 5 to 3 decision, has ruled that presidential powers at a time of war do not extend to establishing military tribunals without legislative input. They further held that as constituted, the tribunals violated the US military code of justice and the Geneva Conventions. The decision does not order the closure of the Guantanamo Bay detention center, and leaves the fate of some 460 inmates unresolved. The decision has put pressure on foreign democracies to intervene with their citizens detained in Guantanamo, as seen particularly in Canada (Omar Khadr) and Australia (David Hicks
http://www.supremecourtus.gov/opinions/05pdf/05-184.pdf
http://www.defenselink.mil/home/features/Detainee_Affairs/

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has completed the National Infrastructure Protection Plan.
http://www.dhs.gov/dhspublic/interapp/editorial/editorial_0827.xml

The "Terrorism Index" consulted a bipartisan group of foreign policy experts and found strong agreement is not winning the war on terror, the national security apparatus is in disrepair, and another large-scale attack will occur within the next ten years.
http://www.americanprogress.org/site/pp.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=1763037

Writing in The Chronicle of Higher Education, John Gravois addresses "Professors of Paranoia?" a discussion of academics who give credence to 9/11 conspiracy theories. Also note the related conference, mentioned in the article.
http://chronicle.com/free/v52/i42/42a01001.htm
http://www.911truth.org/911rtt/

Conspiracy theories regarding the 9/11 attacks were the topic of a Popular Mechanics investigation published in the March 2005 issue to detail and debunk the 16 most pernicious.
http://www.popularmechanics.com/blog/science/1270822.html
--------------------------------------------------
GTM Asia Pacific
--------------------------------------------------
The Australian government is under pressure to remove David Hicks, who is held at the US detention camp in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, and let him face justice in his native country.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200607/s1676264.htm
http://www.news.com.au/story/0,10117,19658193-29277,00.html
http://www.theage.com.au/news/National/Hicks-should-be-brought-home-prosecutor/2006/07/02/1151778799874.html

Meanwhile, Australia is struggling to determine an appropriate prison term for Faheem Khalid Lodhi, the first Australian convicted of preparing a terrorist act. Sentencing is scheduled for 13 July.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200606/s1674986.htm
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,1961,00.html
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/convicted-terrorist-no-call-for-life-term/2006/06/29/1151174314745.html

Indonesia is preparing executions for convicted Bali bombers Imam Samudra, Amrozi, and Ali Ghufron ("Mukhlas"). To ensure safety, the executions will not be held in Bali, but in a secure, remote location. A defense attorney will petition the Supreme Court to review the sentence, which was passed under a law not in place at the time the crime was committed
http://www.thejakartapost.com/yesterdaydetail.asp?fileid=20060628.H01

Abu Bakar Ba'asyir gave his first sermon following his release from prison, calling for Sharia law and taking the opportunity to consolidate support.
http://www.thejakartapost.com/yesterdaydetail.asp?fileid=20060626.H02

Tensions in the southern Philippines province of Mindanao have increased since the 23 June bombing that killed two and narrowly missed Governor Datu Andal Ampatuan. Pro-government militias alleged that the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) - including was involved in the attack, and has links to Jemaah Islamiah and al Qaeda, using these allegations to launch a number of attacks. MILF has denied these charges, but clashes continue, leaving about 21 dead and a thousand families displaced.  MILF has been engaged in peace talks with the federal government, and international monitors are attempting to intervene.
http://www.philstar.com/philstar/news200607029901.htm
http://www.sunstar.com.ph/static/net/2006/07/02/int.l.group.intervenes.to.stop.maguindanao.clash.html

New Peoples Army (NPA) rebels ambushed a police patrol, killing two in San Andres, Catanduanes. Clan fighting in Bukidnon province killed five. NPA was also responsible for burning down valuable farm equipment because they believed the company owner was abusive to his workers.

Violence continued in southern Thailand. On Tuesday, suspected insurgents, possibly with the Runda Kumpulan Kecil (RKK), ambushed a military convoy that was protecting teachers en route to school. A bomb killed one soldier instantly. Four volunteers survived but were shot dead. Shooting incidents in other areas killed three more. Following these five deaths, three schools were closed. On Wednesday, drive-by shootings killed one villager and injured two people, one a schoolteacher. A gunman attacked a karaoke bar, killing one and injuring five. Facilities serving alcohol or offering hostess services have become fresh targets for Islamist militants. An ambush and roadside bomb targeted a group of monks on Thursday, but there were no casualties.  Drive-by shootings injured three people. At least seven additional suspects have been detained, and bomb disposal funding will be increased.
--------------------------------------------------
GTM Europe
--------------------------------------------------
The Council of Europe has approved Resolution 1507 (2006) that calls for steps to ensure an end to renditions, including legal measures, internal inquiries, and monitoring of foreign agents. The Council also approved Recommendation 1754 (2006), referring to the resolution, and requesting urgent international initiatives to address an effective legal framework for terrorism that maintains human rights, democracy, and the rule of law.
http://assembly.coe.int/Main.asp?link=/Documents/AdoptedText/ta06/Eres1507.htm
http://assembly.coe.int/Main.asp?link=/Documents/AdoptedText/ta06/EREC1754.htm
http://www.coe.int/T/E/Com/Files/Events/2006-cia/

The International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia has convicted former senior Bosnian Muslim commander Naser Oric of having failed to prevent war crimes against Bosnian Serbs. He was sentenced to two years in prison, but will be released since he has already been in custody for three.
http://www.un.org/icty/pressreal/2006/p1094e-summary.htm

French authorities are accused of illegally kidnapping Ilich Ramirez Sanchez ("Carlos the Jackal"). Carlos the Jackal's attorneys have filed a legal complaint against General Philippe Rondot, who disclosed his role in the Sudan-based kidnapping in a newspaper interview.
http://english.eluniversal.com/2006/06/01/en_pol_art_01A715847.shtml
http://www.lefigaro.fr/france/20060329.FIG000000122_affaire_du_corbeau_perquisitions_chez_le_general_philippe_rondot.html (in French)

Greek anarchists participated in then disrupted a student demonstration against education reforms. The anarchists threw stones and Molotov cocktails and broke into a part of Athens University.
http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_politics_100006_23/06/2006_71243

Romanian police have detained Florin Lesch on suspicion of planning a car bombing to protest Romanian assistance in Iraq.
http://www.daily-news.ro/article_detail.php?idarticle=28080

Russian President Putin has ordered special services to "find and destroy" the Iraqi militants that killed four Russian diplomats.
http://today.reuters.com/News/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=L28896719

Chechen rebel leader Doku Umarov has appointed Shamil Basayev as vice president. Basayev is Russia's most wanted man, charged with multiple terrorist attacks and planning the Beslan school siege.
http://www.rferl.org/features/default.aspx?Year=2006&Month=6&Day=28

Javier Garcia Gaztellu and Irantxu Gallastegi have been sentenced in Spanish court to 50 years in jail. The two members of Basque separatist group ETA were found guilty of the 1997 kidnap and murder of local councilor Miguel Angel Blanco.

UK intelligence and security services are on heightened alert ahead of warnings that the 7/7 anniversary may prove a compelling date to launch a major terrorist attack.
http://news.scotsman.com/index.cfm?id=963172006

Britain's High Court ruled that control orders, which impose restrictions on suspects when there is insufficient evidence for judicial proceedings, are illegal and incompatible with European human rights law.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/5125668.stm
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/06/29/nrights29.xml&sSheet=/news/2006/06/29/ixuknews.html
http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/legal/article1129703.ece
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-2247622,00.html
http://www.parliament.uk/parliamentary_committees/home_affairs_committee/terrorism_detention_powers.cfm

The Commons Foreign Affairs Committee published "Foreign Policy Aspects of the War against Terrorism". The report addresses the continuing worldwide terrorist threat, the evolution of al Qaeda, issues with renditions and detentions, and country-specific threats, including the deteriorating security situation in Iraq. They warned that al Qaeda presents "an extremely serious and brutal threat
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200506/cmselect/cmfaff/573/57302.htm

Richard O'Donnell has been sentenced in Northern Ireland court to 4.5 years in prison for a minor role in an Irish Republican Army (IRA) extortion plot. James Clarke was sentenced to a year in prison for hiding a pair of gloves worn by a loyalist murderer.
--------------------------------------------------
GTM Middle East
--------------------------------------------------
Egypt's warning that Israel should not take the peace treaty for granted is just one measure of the rapid deterioration in Middle East security. Although Egypt is reportedly mediating between the Palestinians and Israelis, the situation has continued to escalate.

The crisis began a week ago when three Palestinian militant groups launched a daring attack against an Israeli post and kidnapped a young soldier. To gain his freedom, the militants demanded the release of all the Palestinian women and children held in Israeli prisons. Israel demanded an unconditional release and refused negotiations. In the past, it has been somewhat routine for Israel to enter into exchanges, even to retrieve dead bodies. This suggests that Israel has leveraged this incident to escalate efforts to remove what it considers a terrorist government, a goal held since the Hamas election victory. Hamas did call for the protection and release of the hostage, but said that it was a reasonable response to repeated civilian deaths, including the rocket attack that killed family beach-goers last month.

Israel has undertaken major military actions in Gaza and the West Bank. They launched raids in which 64 Hamas leaders, including most of the cabinet, were arrested. Massive ground and air strikes were launched, including one operation that destroyed the Palestinian Prime Minister's residence. The only power station in Gaza was also attacked, cutting electricity, and shutting off running water. Several bridges and other critical infrastructure targets were also destroyed. Casualties from these attacks are unclear, but the humanitarian situation is dire. All this has failed to secure the release of Corporal Gilad Shalit, and Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has ordered the military to intensify its actions. In the context of current operations, it is unclear what this intensification would involve. Hamas emphasizes that it has refrained from striking similar civilian targets, but if the Israeli incursion continues even schools and power plants could be targeted. Today, thousands of Indonesians demonstrated outside the US Embassy to protect the Israeli military operation.

Israel did not limit its response to Palestinian territories. It flew into Syria, dropping leaflets and buzzing the summer palace of Syrian President Bashar Assad. Several Hamas leaders have taken refuge in Syria.

And here was another week in Iraq:
* On Monday - the day after the national reconciliation plan was released - a bomb attached to a motorcycle exploded near Baquba, killing 35 villagers, including many children. In Hilla, a bomb in the main shopping area killed 30 and injured dozens more. In Baghdad, a bodyguard to parliamentary leader Adnan al-Dulaimi was shot dead. In six other incidents, seven policemen were killed. Other shootings claimed some 25 more lives. In addition, ten students were kidnapped.
* In Kirkuk on Tuesday a suicide car bomb at a gas station killed the driver and three others, injuring several more. Attacks near Baghdad killed two US soldiers. Near Baquba, a booby-trapped motorcycle exploded in a market where young Iraqis were watching a World Cup match. 22 were killed, mostly young men and children. About 40 people were injured. In Hilla, a homemade bomb in a market killed ten and injured 79.
* Several US troops were killed in three separate bombings on Wednesday. Shiite militiamen fired mortars at a Sunni mosque in Miqdadiyya, destroying the mosque and 20 shops.
* On Thursday, bodies of 19 tortured Sunnis were found hanged from electric poles. There were bombings and other attacks across the country, including a suicide car bomber in Kirkuk that struck the funeral of a Shiite soldier, killing four and injuring 27. There were at least a dozen shooting deaths, including a trash collector, a university security chief, a baker, an electrician, a construction worker, and a mother. The body of a kidnapped 15-year old was found, as well as seven handcuffed, bound and bullet-ridden bodies.
* On Friday, three insurgents were killed in a raid near Baqouba. Three bound and shot bodies were found.
* Sadr City, Baghdad was the scene of a huge explosion on Saturday. A car bomb was detonated as a police patrol passed through a busy market. At least 77 were killed and about 100 injured, including both civilians and police. Sunni Member of Parliament Taiseer Najah al-Mashhadani and at least seven of her bodyguards were kidnapped. Other incidents killed at least 15 people, and some 26 bodies were found in three locations.
* Today, another car bomb explosion in a Baghdad market killed three and injured 17. There were multiple mortar attacks and gunfire.

Iraqi officials arrested Abu Qudama, a Tunisian identified as one of seven al-Qaeda involved in the February bombing of the Shia shrine in Samarra.
--------------------------------------------------
GTM South Asia
--------------------------------------------------
In Afghanistan, a suicide bomber killed himself in an attack against US-led coalition troops, which injured two children. A coalition soldier died of injuries form combat in Kunar. In Helmand, slashes on Tuesday killed 12 Taleban and two British soldiers. On Wednesday a landmine killed another coalition soldier and injured three, also in Helmand. Fighting in Uruzgan province killed 12 Taleban and injured two Afghan soldiers. On Friday, a Taleban rocket hit a coalition base at Kandahar airport, injuring ten coalition soldiers, including a critically injured Canadian. Coalition forces attacked a compound in Nuristan province, destroying two buildings in which the bodies of 14 suspected militants were found. On Saturday, a rocket-propelled grenade killed two British soldiers in Helmand. Others were injured.

A Bangladesh court acquitted all 23 accused in the 1999 Udichi conference bombing that killed ten and injured more than 150. The judge said the prosecution failed to prove the charges and called for legal action against an investigating officer who made a false statement.
http://www.thedailystar.net/2006/06/29/d6062901011.htm

In the Indian state of Chhattisgarh, BBC reporter Jill McGivering spent three days traveling with Maoist fighters in the jungle.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/5071784.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/5074918.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/5072170.stm

In Indian-administered Kashmir troops killed eight suspected militants who tried to cross the Line of Control that divides Kashmir. In another incident troops laid siege to a house. During the operation one army officer and two militants died. A cash reward is offered for Bilal ("Salahudin"), believed the Lashkar-e-Toiba mastermind in Kashmir responsible for this and several other attacks.  

India's army reports that militants now prefer to enter Indian-administered Kashmir through Nepal rather than across the Line of Control.

A suicide bomber in Pakistan's North Waziristan province killed himself and six soldiers, and injured at least two others, ignoring a 1-month truce called the day before.

A suspected suicide bomber killed Sri Lankan Major General Parami Kulatunga near a military base outside Colombo. Three other people also died in that incident on Monday. On Wednesday, Tamil Tigers clashed with the Sri Lankan navy. Five soldiers and up to 12 rebels were reported killed. The government has reinforced sea defenses, including foiling an apparent attempt at a harbor attack.


2. Political Risk Monitor

For detailed analysis, background information and source documents available only to subscribers of the Political Risk Monitor, visit our online store:
TAMNI Publications

--------------------------------------------------
PRM Africa
--------------------------------------------------
The African Union failed to adopt a democracy charger when ministers refused to accept constitutional limits to let unpopular presidents stay in office.

"Beyond Victimhood: Women's Peacebuilding in Sudan, Congo and Uganda" is a new report from the International Crisis Group that finds:
"Countries in crisis and the wider international community must do much more to support women's involvement in solving Africa's deadliest conflicts. In Sudan, Congo and Uganda, an array of women's organisations and leaders are doing remarkable work, under difficult circumstances, especially in community organisations and informal conflict resolution mechanisms. Still, women remain marginalised in formal peace processes and post-conflict governments. Donors and others in the international community all need to do much more to offer sustainable support rather than just rhetoric. It is not merely a question of fairness or equity: women make a difference in part because they often adopt a more inclusive approach toward security and address key social and economic issues that would otherwise be ignored. Peace agreements, post-conflict reconstruction and governance work better when women peace activists are involved."
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?l=1&id=4185

Democratic Republic of Congo has released two of seven UN peacekeepers from Nepal that have been held for nearly a month. Police training has been accelerated in advance of elections beginning 30 July. As the election campaign launched, violence claimed 13 lives.

Eritrea has released one of the ten Eritrean UN staff members it has detained for several months.

Ethiopia's Prime Minister Meles Zenawi says that Somalia's Islamic Courts leader, Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys, is a threat to Ethiopia. Awey's was head of al-Qaeda-linked al-Itihaad al-Islamiah, a group that Ethiopia had assisted Somalia's interim president Abdullah Yusuf defeat in the 1990s. Border security has been increased.

Liberia has launched a Truth and Reconciliation Commission.

Mauritania voted 97 percent in favor of a new constitution, including presidential term limits, with a 76.5 percent turnout. The referendum had been organized by the military junta that took power in a bloodless coup last year, and has now fulfilled one step in their promise of free and fair elections.

Somalia's Union of Islamic Courts, which controls large areas of the country, has called on other African governments to block calls for international peacekeepers made by the interim government. A joint African-Arab assessment mission will visit the country next week.

Uganda has been invited by Sudan to join peace talks with the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA).
--------------------------------------------------
PRM Americas
--------------------------------------------------
Argentina has warned of a hardline approach to their claims on fishing, oil, and other rights in the Falkland Islands.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,6,00.html

Bolivia is voting on a plan for a new constitutional assembly.

Brazilian gangs attacks police stations near Sao Paulo. Police killed 13 of the attackers.

Mexico is holding presidential elections, with a sharp choice between the leading candidates: free market continuity, or joining the region's shift left.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/low/americas/5114662.stm

Former Mexican President Luis Echeverria has been placed under house arrest for the alleged student massacre in 1968.

The US Supreme Court ruled that criminal defendants who were not notified of their right under an international treaty that allows diplomatic assistance are not entitled to special accommodation, such as late appeals, leaving no obvious appeal for violations of the Vienna Convention.
http://www.supremecourtus.gov/opinions/05pdf/04-10566.pdf

USA Today has updated its report on NSA monitoring of domestic telephone records to acknowledge that they could not confirm that BellSouth or Verizon had provided data to NSA.
http://www.mediainfo.com/eandp/news/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1002765161
--------------------------------------------------
PRM Asia Pacific
--------------------------------------------------
Australia and Indonesia have made progress in reestablishing good diplomatic relationships that have been marred first by immigration issues and, most recently, after a letter from Australian President Howard that was highly critical of the release of militant cleric Abu Bakar Ba'asyir. Indonesian President Susilo Banbang Yudhoyono saw the letter as hectoring and nearly cancelled the summit.

East Timor Prime Minister Mari Alkatiri has resigned. After the announcement, people took to the streets dancing with joy, hoping that this finally signals an end to the violence and tension that plagued the world's newest nation over the past few weeks. Six other cabinet ministers have also resigned. Further conflict burst out in rival demonstrations between his supporters and critics. Now, Nobel laureate Jose Ramos Horta has been appointed to run the government until a successor Prime Minister is found.
Announcement:
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/alkatiris-statement/2006/06/26/1151174122636.html
Reports:
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/alkatiri-resigns-as-timor-pm/2006/06/26/1151174114108.html
http://www.theage.com.au/news/World/Alkatiri-seeks-to-delay-investigators/2006/06/30/1151174374513.html
http://www.theage.com.au/news/world/ramos-horta-urges-australia-to-lead-un-force/2006/07/02/1151778815377.html
Analysis:
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/timors-relief--and-a-promise-of-peace/2006/06/26/1151174135491.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/from_our_own_correspondent/5041052.stm

The Indonesia-Timor Leste Truth and Friendship Commission has received Indonesian military and government support to question all those allegedly involved in human rights abuses after the 1999 independence referendum

Philippine government negotiators will present another proposal on the issue of ancestral domain to the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). This has been the main stumbling block towards a final peace agreement.
http://www.sunstar.com.ph/static/gen/2006/07/02/news/gov.t.to.present.rebel.group.proposal.on.territory.issue.html

Thailand's Election Commission is considering whether to reschedule the 15 October general election in light of prosecution recommendations that both the ruling Thai Rak Thai party and the main opposition Democrats should be disbanded for violating election laws.

The UN High Commissioner for Refugees has called for Kazakhstan to respect Gabdurafikh Temirbaev's refugee status, which he was granted after the Andijan incident, and not deport him to Uzbekistan.

Vietnam's legislature has approved its new leadership, comprised of economic reformers still loyal to the Communist Party.
--------------------------------------------------
PRM Europe
--------------------------------------------------
Italian voters rejected a referendum to radically boost the powers of the Prime Minister and regions.

Macedonia's Prime Minister Vlado Buckovski called for an end to political violence in the lead-up to 5 July elections.

The Netherlands' government has resigned following an internal dispute over the way Immigration Minister Rita Verdonk handled the citizenship case of Somali-born Dutch Member of Parliament Ayann Hirsi Ali.
http://service.spiegel.de/cache/international/0,1518,424458,00.html

Russia's parliament has agreed to remove the "against all" voting option in future elections.

Following Serbian Prime Minister Kostunica's statement that Kosovo will always remain part of Serbia, the International Crisis Group has released "Southern Serbia: In Kosovo's Shadow" The report finds:
"Despite the current calm in Serbia's Presevo Valley, there is potential for retaliatory violence related to the final status decision on neighbouring Kosovo later this year. Important progress has been made in the valley since the insurgency ended in 2001, but fresh action is needed to avoid negative spill-over from Kosovoís looming independence. The international community and Kosovo politicians should continue to make clear that Kosovo will not be partitioned, and the Presevo Valley will remain within Serbia. The Serbian government needs to abandon any thought of partitioning Kosovo and should revitalise the Coordination Body it has charged with overseeing southern Serbia. The balance of policing responsibilities should be shifted to the multi-ethnic police from the paramilitary, nationalist Gendarmerie. All parties should take security measures to prevent targeting of minority groups.
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=4184&l=1

The Ukraine opposition has staged a sit-in to obstruct election of the new prime minister and establishment of the government.

As the UK marks the 90th anniversary of the Battle of the Somme, BBC reporter Patrick Jackson reports on other wars of attrition.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/magazine/5130386.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/5102512.stm

The Vatican will open its 1922-1939 wartime archives.
--------------------------------------------------
PRM Middle East
--------------------------------------------------
Egypt approved a new law on the judiciary with few reforms, and token concessions to demands for judicial independence.

Al-Dustour newspaper chief editor Ibrahim Issa and reporter Sahar Zaki were sentenced to one year in prison for defaming President Mubarak when they accused him of misusing public money while privatizing state-owned companies.

The UN Security Council was unable to reach any agreement on the rapidly deteriorating security situation between the Palestinians and Israel. For details see GTM, above.
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2006/sc8768.doc.htm

Despite heavy security, a national reconciliation plan, and an offer of amnesty, there has been no let-up in Iraq's violence. The upsurge in violence since the end of February has now led to an internally displaced population of about 1.3 million, some five percent of the population.
http://www.uniraq.org/get_article.asp?Language=EN&ArticleID=179

Kuwait held parliamentary elections which, for the first time, allowed women to vote and stand as candidates. No women won a seat, but reformists defeated the current government. The emir reappointed Sheik Nasser Al Mohammed Al Sabah as Prime Minister, and asked him to form a cabinet.

Yemen's ruling General People's Congress party has signed an agreement with opposition parties Al-Islah (Reform), the Yemeni Socialist Party, and the Unionist Popular Nasserite Organization to guarantee free and fair elections for presidential and local candidates in September. The agreement guarantees that official media will be neutral and open to all candidates, and bans use of public office or funds to influence the campaign.
--------------------------------------------------
PRM South Asia
--------------------------------------------------
Bangladesh opposition protesters demanding electoral reform clashed with police in the capital Shaka and a nearby town. One protester died after being hit by a tear gas shell and a police officer was stoned to death.

Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh heard from the families of farmers that have committed suicide after repeated crop failures, based in the "suicide belt" of the Amravati district in Maharashtra state. After hearing their stories, a relief package to address immediate needs and longer-term investments was announced, covering Amravati and five other affected districts. Measures include loan waivers and investments in irrigation, watershed development, and new agricultural products such as livestock.
http://www.dnaindia.com/report.asp?NewsID=1038805
http://indiaenews.com/2006-07/13357-pm-announces-rs375-bn-package-distraught-farmers.htm
http://www.indianexpress.com/story/7638.html
http://www.maharashtra.gov.in/marathi/mahInfo/amravati.php
http://amravati.nic.in/

Note this Christian Science Monitor 3-part special report from Scott Baldauf "India's Boom: Beyond Bangalore", starting here"
http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/0626/p01s02-wosc.html

A Nepalese court martial has jailed six soldiers for up to nine months for cowardice in battle. Seven others received shorter sentences. The case arose when a patrol came under attack by Maoist rebels.

A government panel has begun questioning senior officials in the ousted government of Nepal's King Guanendra.

Pakistan has released more than 50 tribesmen in North Waziristan as a goodwill gesture to pro-Taleban militants.

Sri Lanka's Tamil Tigers expressed regret for the suicide bombing that killed former Indian Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi. India dismissed the apology.


3. AML/CFT Monitor

The AML/CFT Monitor is a monthly 16-page print publication. News highlights from the past week are provided in this free email update, but detailed analysis, background information and source documents are only available to subscribers. Purchase a subscription at our online store:
TAMNI Publications

--------------------------------------------------
AML/CFT Incidents/Cases
--------------------------------------------------
Ahmed Abdullah, Amir Rashid and Rasheed Qambari, all Kurds who had escaped the Saddam Hussein regime and been granted asylum in the US, were convicted of running an illegal money transfer service which aided fellow Kurds. They were sentenced to probation.
http://www.timesdispatch.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=RTD%2FMGArticle%2FRTD_BasicArticle&c=MGArticle&cid=1149188765648&path=!news&s=1045855934842
Edwin Blinn Jr was sentenced in US court to 16 months in prison and a fine in a plea agreement for money laundering charges connected to falsified sales of used cars to marijuana traffickers. His sentence was lighter because of his support for Hurricane Katrina refugees.
http://www.chronicle-tribune.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060701/NEWS01/607010304/1002

Daw Meskine, Secretary General of the French Council for Imams, and his son, were arrested on suspicion of terrorism financing via Gulf countries, but were released for lack of evidence.
http://www.islam-online.net/English/News/2006-06/23/07.shtml

Andrea Schwartz has been charged with laundering drug and vice profits through real estate and other methods.
http://www.nydailynews.com/front/story/426849p-359966c.html
http://news.findlaw.com/hdocs/docs/nyc/nyschwartz606ind.html

In Montenegro, police arrested Inpek company director Radivoje Bakic and eight others suspected of money laundering and malpractice.
http://www.focus-fen.net/index.php?catid=125&newsid=90937&ch=0

The Central Bank of Kenya has placed Charterhouse Bank under statutory management in connection with a money laundering investigation. Charterhouse is accused of assisting the Nakumatt Supermarket Chain in laundering proceeds of deals in jewels, gems, and other merchandise.
http://www.centralbank.go.ke/downloads/media_releases/charterhouse.pdf
http://www.eastandard.net/print/news.php?articleid=1143954456

Bangladesh Finance Minister M Saifur Rahman informed parliament of suspected militant accounts held in Islami Bank Bangladesh, but no charges have been laid.
http://www.thedailystar.net/2006/06/28/d60628013722.htm
http://www.islamibankbd.com/page/Clarification.pdf

Russia and Uzbekistan report the arrest of 35 people from four countries that were involved in an illegal money transfer operation that financed terrorism.
--------------------------------------------------
AML/CFT Legislation and Regulation
--------------------------------------------------
The International Monetary Fund's (IMF) Executive Board reiterated the importance of AML/CFT to strengthen the integrity of financial systems and deter abuse, as they completed their assessment of the quality and consistency of assessment reports and effectiveness of coordination. An expert panel assessed samples of the reports, finding a high degree of variability in the quality and consistency of reports. Initiatives are underway to address these issues through standardization, peer review, training, and technical assistance. Complete assessments should take place every five years, and assessments should be better coordinated.
http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pn/2006/pn0672.htm

The Central Bank of Armenia held a seminar on money laundering. Armenia's major requirement at this time is to build up appropriate capacity.
http://www.arka.am/en/archive/n06/n2706/270601.html

The Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce and Industry hosted a meeting with banking associations in which they discussed abuse of the Money Laundering Act and its impact on the economy.
http://www.thedailystar.net/2006/06/28/d60628050269.htm

Bulgaria's Parliament has adopted amendments to the Measures Against Money Laundering Act that will bring it in line with FATF recommendations.
http://bulgaria.thebulgarianpost.com/story-read_bulgarian_parliament_adopts_new_laws_against_money_laundering-84.php
http://www.fia.minfin.bg/

The Reserve Bank of India has relaxed customer record-keeping guidelines for small amounts of foreign exchange.
http://www.financialexpress.com/fe_full_story.php?content_id=131869

Israel's  Knesset Constitution, Law, and Justice Committee has refused to approve proposed regulations proposed that would allow the Israel Police and General Security Service (GSS) to use Israel Money Laundering Authority data for other law enforcement purposes.
http://www.globes.co.il/serveen/globes/DocView.asp?did=1000103714&fid=1725

Malaysia's High Court overturned a lower court's dismissal of "defective" charges against Datuk V. Alexander Chako Varghese, a company director and property developer, and S. Ganesan, a scrap metal dealer. The two men will now be tried on multiple charges under the Anti-Money Laundering Act in connection with a land deal.
http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2006/6/20/courts/14589548&sec=courts

Nigeria's Economic and Financial Crimes Commission Executive Chairman Mallam Nuhu Ribadu expressed the advantages of being removed from the FATF list of Non-Cooperating Countries, and described the challenges they face to maintain this status. He also revealed that EFCC had recovered $5 billion from fraudsters in the three years since it was established.
http://www.efccnigeria.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=941

The UK Financial Services Authority (FSA) released its annual report, including these statistics on its work in 2005:
* FSA's new responsibilities for mortgage and general insurance business led to an increase in the number of authorized firms from 23,511 to 28,969
* The number of approved persons fell from 165,587 to 164,821
* Approximately 1,600 Listings transactions were approved, a 33 percent increase, especially the number of debt transactions
* The Regulatory Decisions Committee considered 172 new cases, of which four involved civil/criminal proceedings.
* The enforcement division closed 227 investigations during the year. Of these, 81 concluded with the use of powers (such as prohibition, financial penalties and variations of permissions) and 146 without the use of powers. Private warnings were issued in 12 of these 146 cases.
* FSA levied GBP 17.43 million in financial penalties during the year. Of this, GBP 13,960,860 was paid by Citigroup Global Markets Limited and GBP 3,469,140 by 16 other individuals or companies. In 2004/05, the total was GBP 22.25m, of which GBP 17m was paid by the Shell Transport and Trading Company and GBP 5.25m by 30 firms or individuals.
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pages/Library/Corporate/Annual/ar05_06.shtml

FSA also released its Better Regulation Action Plan Progress Report, including supplemental independent research into the incremental costs of compliance , estimated administration costs, and a framework for identifying and measuring benefits of regulation.
* The cost of regulation study
http://www.fsa.gov.uk//pubs/other/deloitte_cost_of_regulation_report.pdf
* A framework for assessing the benefits of financial regulation
http://www.fsa.gov.uk//pubs/other/Oxera_report_20060622.pdf
* Estimation of FSA Administrative Burdens
http://www.fsa.gov.uk//pubs/other/Admin_Burdens_Report_20060621.pdf
* Better Regulation Action Plan Progress Report
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pubs/other/2660_Action_plan.pdf

The US Financial Crimes Network (FINCen) issued Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking regarding the Threshold for the Requirement to Collect, Retain, and Transmit Information on Fund Transfers. They seek to lower the current $3,000 threshold.
http://www.fincen.gov/notice_proposed_rulemaking_funds_transfers.pdf

Response to last week's reports in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and the Los Angeles Times regarding a US government program to analyze SWIFT records of international financial transactions continued throughout the week. For example:
* Industry experts expressed surprise that the story was news
http://www.banktech.com/swift/showArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=BWYJLPLPH15V2QSNDLRSKH0CJUNN2JVN?articleID=189602154
http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/06/30/opinion/edclarke.php
http://www.postcrescent.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060630/APC0602/606300607/1036
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/blog/2006/06/28/BL2006062801268.html
* Congressional Republicans and conservative commentators called for legal action against the New York Times, including the suggestion that editor Bill Keller to be jailed for treason. The Wall Street Journal delivered a half page editorial defending its decision to print the story, and explaining how their approached differed from the Times.
http://www.opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110008585
http://mediamatters.org/items/200607010001
http://worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=50851
http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/0629/p01s02-uspo.html
http://www.sitnews.us/0606news/062906/062906_shns_terror_media.html
* The US House of Representatives passed Resolution 895, " Supporting intelligence and law enforcement programs to track terrorists and terrorist finances conducted consistent with Federal law and with appropriate Congressional consultation and specifically condemning the disclosure and publication of classified information that impairs the international fight against, etc."
http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/bdquery/z?d109:HE00895:@@@L&summ2=m&
* Other governments began to investigate whether their data protection and privacy laws were violated.
http://www.privcom.gc.ca/media/nr-c/2006/nr-c_060630_2_e.asp
http://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout/Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1151531412964
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601085&sid=axyIx_pB4Zas
http://www.privacyinternational.org/article.shtml?cmd[347]=x-347-538978
http://www.privacyinternational.org/article.shtml?cmd[347]=x-347-538985
* Also note the original report and US government reaction:
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/06/23/washington/23intel.html?ex=1151208000&en=5521f14ba35f7ecc&ei=5087%0A
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/06/20060623-4.html
http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/js4332.htm
http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/js4334.htm
http://www.swift.com/index.cfm?item_id=59897
--------------------------------------------------
AML/CFT Modalities
--------------------------------------------------
The US Senate Committee on Finance released a staff investigation providing details of their investigation into former Christian Coalition leader  Reed and lobbyist Jack Abramoff laundering funds through the Nature Conservancy and other non-profit groups.
http://origin.www.gpo.gov/congress/senate/pdf/109cp/21035/

The UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) 2006 World Drug Report was issued on June 26, the International Day against Drug Abuse and Illicit Trafficking. Among the findings:
* Cocaine production was broadly stable but consumption in Western Europe is reaching alarming levels.
* Global opium production fell five percent in 2005, but could rise again this year
* Trans-shipment of both drugs increasingly flows through Africa.
* Cannabis consumption continued to increase. It remains the most widely used illicit drug.
* Amphetamine-type stimulants remained about the same
* Overall drug abuse is being contained, but efforts to reduce both supply and demand should increase
http://www.unodc.org/unodc/en/world_drug_report.html
http://www.unodc.org/unodc/en/press_release_2006_06_26_1.html
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2006/sgsm10529.doc.htm

Canadian and US officials announced the results of Operation Frozen Timber, in which they broke up an aerial drug smuggling ring.
http://www.rcmp.ca/bc/home/news_e.htm


4. Emerging Threat Monitor

For detailed analysis, background information and source documents consider subscribing. Subscriptions to Emerging Threat Monitor can be purchased at our online store:
TAMNI Publications

--------------------------------------------------
ETM Corruption and Transnational Crime
--------------------------------------------------
The European Court of Human Rights has rejected an appeal by three British bankers against their extradition to the US. Gary Mulgrew, Giles Darby and David Bermingham face charges of wire fraud connected to the collapse of Enron.
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8209-2246765,00.html
http://www.usdoj.gov/dag/cftf/chargingdocs/berminghamindictment.pdf

Spanish police have arrested 25 people in Marbella, including nine former councilors. They join the mayor and town planner, previously arrested in connection with corruption involving property seizures.
http://www.eitb24.com/portal/eitb24/noticia/en/life/corruption-and-real-estate-fraud-police-arrest-30-people-in-marbe?itemId=D40058&cl=%2Feitb24%2Fsociedad&idioma=en

Bank of Japan governor Toshihiko Fukui has provided details of his personal assets to attempt to overcome an investment scandal, but his links with indicted fund manager Moshiaki Murakami fuel demands for his resignation.

The Center for Law Enforcement Education (CLEEN) documented corruption in the Nigerian police, but the police rejected charges that it was one of Nigeria's most corrupt institutions.
http://www.cleen.org/apo%20killing.pdf
http://www.cleen.org/launching%20of%20opportunity%20for%20justice.pdf

UK Attorney General Lord Goldsmith ordered an inquiry into the collapse of the Jubilee Line. In connection with that case, six men had been accused of fraud and corruption, but the complex case failed, partly due to problems with the jury. The report cites lack of a clear strategy to deal with such cases, which is now being rectified, including establishment of a special fraud division. A law permitting complex fraud cases to be heard without a jury has been passed but not introduced into law.
http://www.hmcpsi.gov.uk/reports/JubileeLineReponly.pdf (Report)
http://www.hmcpsi.gov.uk/reports/JubileeLineAnnexesonly.pdf (Annexes)
http://www.hmcpsi.gov.uk/reports/JubileeLineExecSummary.pdf (Executive Summary)
http://www.cps.gov.uk/news/pressreleases/138_06.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/england/5121626.stm

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's (OECD) Working Group on Bribery praises Denmark's legislative efforts towards the OECD Convention on Combating the Bribery of Foreign Public Officials, but the review recommends tougher enforcement mechanisms. A similar review of the Netherlands called for a more proactive approach to investigation and bribery. OECD called on Japan to be more proactive in enforcing foreign bribery offenses.
http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/14/21/36994434.pdf
http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/14/49/36993012.pdf
http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/54/23/37018673.pdf

Louis Eppolito and Stephen Caracappa (the "Mafia cops") conviction was overturned in US District Court, which called the government's racketeering case stretched to the breaking point after the statue of limitations had expired. There will be an appeal, and likely a new trial.
http://www.nydailynews.com/front/story/431605p-363723c.html
--------------------------------------------------
ETM Economies and Financial Systems
--------------------------------------------------
World Trade Organization (WTO) negotiations have failed. Despite the urgent need for reform, the gap between developed and developing countries has proven irreconcilable, and the brief attempt to achieve a breakthrough collapsed in deadlock on Saturday.
http://www.wto.org/english/news_e/news06_e/mod06_summary_01july_e.htm http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/07/01/AR2006070101020.html

These two reports echo the major issues in the WTO talks:

"Economic Growth in South Asia: Promising, Un-equalizing, ... Sustainable?" is a new report from the World Bank. Co-author Shantayanan Devarajan says, "South Asia's decade-long economic expansion has raised the possibility that the sub-continent could eliminate poverty in our lifetime. But to realize this dream, South Asians must create the conditions and incentives necessary to sustain and accelerate growth that benefits all. The economic well-being of several hundred millions of people depends on it". Impressive growth of as much as eight percent last year has already contributed to poverty reduction, but has also led to growing income inequality. This constraint as well as persistent conflict, corruption, and high fiscal deficits could inhibit future growth.
http://www.worldbank.org/sar

The UN Development Program released the 2006 Asia-Pacific Human Development Report, "Trade on Human Terms". The report calls for bold new domestic policies to benefit from free trade, supported by fair trade rules from industrialized countries to give the region a chance to compete in the global market. Although cheap, labor-intensive manufacturing and high-tech goods have made the region the "factory of the world", this has also exacerbated inequalities between countries and within national borders.
http://content.undp.org/go/newsroom/june-2006/asia-hdr-20060629.en
http://www.undprcc.lk/rdhr2006/rdhr2006new.asp

Russia has lifted currency controls, making the ruble fully convertible.
--------------------------------------------------
ETM Environment and Climate Change
--------------------------------------------------
Several European states missed a deadline to set caps on industry pollution for 2008-12. Estonia met the deadline, and Germany's plan was submitted but showed a plan to cut carbon emissions by less than one percent. The UK threw down the gauntlet with a promise to cut emissions by 12.5 percent.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L30241995.htm
http://www.edie.net/news/news_story.asp?id=11651&channel=0
http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/emission_plans.htm

Japan plans to bury its carbon dioxide.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/japan/story/0,,1806713,00.html

Dell announced free recycling of any of its products around the world, regardless of where it is purchased.
http://www.dell.com/content/topics/global.aspx/corp/pressoffice/en/2006/2006_06_28_rr_001?c=us&l=en&s=corp00000000000000000000
--------------------------------------------------
ETM Human Rights
--------------------------------------------------
Institutional racism is blamed for the avoidable murder in UK prison of Zahid Mubarek, killed by a racist cellmate.
http://www.zahidmubarekinquiry.org.uk/
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/3198264.stm

The International Day in Support of Victims of Torture was observed on 26 June.
http://www.un.org/events/torture/

The Convention Against Terrorism and the Optional Protocol came into force on 22 June.
http://www.unhchr.ch/huricane/huricane.nsf/view01/72D3BC54EE12C1E0C125719400569512?opendocument

The month of June is Torture Awareness Month.
http://denouncetorture.amnestyusa.org/site/c.huITL9MVJxE/b.1678543/k.BE00/Home.htm?sid=105948704

The UN Human Rights Council adopted by consensus the International Convention for the Protection of All Persons from Enforced Disappearance and voted in favor of a resolution on the Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People.
http://www.unog.ch/unog/website/news_media.nsf/(httpNewsByYear_en)/BE82C77003776B9EC125719C005D5994?OpenDocument
--------------------------------------------------
ETM Infectious Diseases
--------------------------------------------------
The World Health Organization (WHO) has released analysis of the epidemiological data on the 205 laboratory-confirmed human infections of H5N1 avian influenza. Despite data limitations, they were able to conclude:
*  The number of new countries reporting human cases increased from 4 to 9 after October 2005, following the geographical extension of outbreaks among avian populations.
* Half of the cases occurred in people under the age of 20 years; 90 percent of cases occurred in people under the age of 40 years.
* The overall case-fatality rate was 56 percent. Case fatality was high in all age groups but was highest in persons aged 10 to 39 years.
* The case-fatality profile by age group differs from that seen in seasonal influenza, where mortality is highest in the elderly.
* The overall case-fatality rate was highest in 2004 (73 percent), followed by 63 percent to date in 2006, and 43 percent in 2005.
* Assessment of mortality rates and the time intervals between symptom onset and hospitalization and between symptom onset and death suggests that the illness pattern has not changed substantially during the three years.
* Cases have occurred all year round. However, the incidence of human cases peaked, in each of the three years in which cases have occurred, during the period roughly corresponding to winter and spring in the northern hemisphere. If this pattern continues, an upsurge in cases could be anticipated starting in late 2006 or early 2007.
http://www.who.int/entity/wer/wer8126.pdf

The Asian-European Conference on Avian Influenza in Humans was held 29-30 June.
http://www.isanh.com/avian-influenza/
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/5132910.stm

The US Department of Agriculture released its 180-day report on avian influenza efforts.
http://www.usda.gov/wps/portal/!ut/p/_s.7_0_A/7_0_1OB?contentidonly=true&contentid=2006/06/0228.xml

The US House Committee on Financial Services held an oversight hearing on Pandemic Influenza Preparedness in the Financial Services Sector, overall finding that significant steps had been taken to meet this and other challenges.
http://financialservices.house.gov/hearings.asp?formmode=detail&hearing=486

The World Health Organization has issued new guidelines to reduce the risk of possible airborne transmission of tuberculosis and other infectious diseases among aircraft passengers and crew. In particular, it emphasized the need for those with multi-drug resistance TB to postpone any air travel.
http://www.who.int/tb/publications/2006/who_htm_tb_2006_363.pdf
http://www.who.int/tb/features_archive/aviation_guidelines/en/index.html
--------------------------------------------------
ETM Legal Systems
--------------------------------------------------
The House Magazine, a publication for Members of Parliament, writes in the 26 June issue of the impact of boundary changes in the next election, suggesting advances for the opposition Conservative party, and the increased possibility of a hung parliament.
http://www.epolitix.com/EN/Publications/House/1181_31/home.htm
http://www.epolitix.com/EN/Publications/House/1181_31/home.htm

Voting standards in the US have faced great scrutiny since the notorious "hanging chads" of the 2000 presidential election, in which the majority vote went to the defeated candidate. The outcome of that election was ultimately decided in the Supreme Court, but the lack of standards in Florida served to point out similar problems in other states, causing many to look at alternative voting systems. Even before that election, Florida's use of public records to clean voter registration records led to widespread disenfranchisement. Recently, Florida's Auditor General released a review of the new voter registration system. He found that systematic vulnerabilities in information security policies and procedures left the voter registration system vulnerable to theft, corruption, unauthorized access and alteration, and that security systems including virus protection, patch management, maintenance and system recovery policies must be implemented.
http://www.state.fl.us/audgen/pages/summaries/2006-194.htm
http://www.state.fl.us/audgen/pages/pdf_files/2006-194.pdf

The US Supreme Court upheld Arizona's restrictive limits on an insanity defense, ruling that states are not required to permit that mental illness prevented an individual from forming intent to commit a crime. The four dissenters to the opinion found the categorical exclusion of such evidence was irrational and unjustified.
http://www.supremecourtus.gov/opinions/05pdf/05-5966.pdf
--------------------------------------------------
ETM Populations
--------------------------------------------------
Japan's preliminary census figures show that 21 percent of the population are over 65, overtaking Italy as the country with the largest proportion of elderly people.

An Environics survey finds that more than half of Canadian employees fail to strike a balance between work and personal life, largely because of the influence of technology.
http://www.macleans.ca/topstories/business/article.jsp?content=20060619_128973_128973
--------------------------------------------------
ETM Social Responsibility
--------------------------------------------------
Material living standards are usually measured in terms of the level and growth of gross domestic product (GDP). A new Brief from the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) describes "Alternative Measures of Well-being"/ This complex concept takes into account additional monetary indicators such as leisure time, household size, and income distribution, as well as non-monetary measures of self-sufficiency, the state of the environment, well-being and happiness.
http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/26/61/36967254.pdf

The Norwegian Government Pension Fund's Council on Ethics was established in November 2004 to ensure ethical investment. Earlier this month, they published their Annual Report 2005. The report explains its mandate, which includes making recommendations against investments based on unacceptable risk of serious of systematic human rights violations and other serious violations, severe environmental damages, gross corruption, and other particularly serous violations of fundamental ethical norms. As of the beginning of this year, the following companies had been excluded: Alliant Techsystems, BAE Systems, Boeing, EADS NV, Finmeccanica, General Dynamics, Honeywell International, Kerr-McGee, L3 Communications, Lockheed Martin, Northrup Grunman, Raytheon, Safran, Thales, and United Technologies. The recommendations for each exclusion are discussed in full, in accordance with the Council's transparency mandate.
http://odin.dep.no/etikkradet/english/documents/0/dok-bn.html

Billionaire investor Warren Buffet will pledge most of his fortune to the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.
http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/donate/webdonat.html
http://www.gatesfoundation.org/AboutUs/Announcements/Announce-060625.htm
--------------------------------------------------
ETM Technology
--------------------------------------------------
France has launched Geoportail, a rival to Google Earth and Google Maps. It uses satellite images and maps with resolutions accurate up to half a meter.
http://www.geoportail.fr/
http://www.ogleearth.com/2006/06/ceci_nest_pas_u.html
http://arstechnica.com/news.ars/post/20060626-7136.html

The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) issued a report on Export Controls and High Performance Computers. They find that the President's justification of a 3-tier computer threshold does not fully address requirements of the 1998 National Defense Authorization Act.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-754R
--------------------------------------------------
ETM Weapons (WMD, Proliferation)
--------------------------------------------------
The Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) released "The North Korean Plutonium Stock Mid-2006". The assessment concludes that Pyongyang has moved from possessing sufficient plutonium for no more than two nuclear weapons to having enough for up to 13, and predicts that it could have enough for more than 17 by 2009. A reactor currently under construction could increase plutonium production tenfold.
http://www.isis-online.org/publications/dprk/dprkplutonium.pdf
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N26166867.htm

The UK House of Commons Defense Committee issued its eighth report on the UK's Strategic Nuclear Deterrent, calling for "genuine and meaningful" public debate on whether the UK should keep its nuclear arsenal.
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200506/cmselect/cmdfence/986/98602.htm

The US House Armed Services Committee held a hearing on weapons of mass destruction findings in Iraq. Here are links to the opening statement, summary, and testimony:
http://www.house.gov/hasc/schedules/6-29-06WeldonOpeningStatement.pdf
http://www.house.gov/hasc/schedules/6-29-06hearingsummary.pdf
http://www.house.gov/hasc/schedules/6-29-06GaffneyTestimony.pdf
http://www.house.gov/hasc/schedules/6-29-06KayTestimony.pdf
http://www.house.gov/hasc/schedules/6-29-06TaylorTestimony.pdf

The Arms Control Association has posted online the full transcript of their 20 June meeting on the proposed US-India nuclear cooperation agreement.
http://www.armscontrol.org/events/20060620_India_Roundtable.asp

The UN Small Arms Review Conference opened with the warning that the world is "awash with small arms", with an illegal trade each year in excess of $1 billion. The conference runs until 7 July.
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2006/sgsm10537.doc.htm
http://www.un.org/events/smallarms2006/


5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor

Critical Infrastructure Monitor gives you the background and analysis missing from these news briefings. Subscriptions can be purchased from our online store:
TAMNI Publications

--------------------------------------------------
CIM Banking and Finance
--------------------------------------------------
Morgan Stanley has been charged with failure to enforce policies to deter insider trading.
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2006/2006-103.htm

Raytheon reached a settlement for improper disclosure and accounting practices.
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2006/2006-104.htm

The South Korea Financial Supervisory Commission and the US Securities and Exchange Commission have agreed to terms of reference for regulatory discussions.
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2006/2006-102.htm

The US House Committee on Financial Services held an oversight hearing on Pandemic Influenza Preparedness in the Financial Services Sector.
http://financialservices.house.gov/hearings.asp?formmode=detail&hearing=486

The US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) released guidance on managing risks in foreign outsourcing arrangements.
http://www.fdic.gov/news/news/financial/2006/fil06052.html

Speaking at the 2006 conference of the Association of Lloyd's Members, Chairman Lord Peter Levene addressed three key areas: performance management, an optimal global trading platform, and a strategic plan.
http://www.lloyds.com/News_Centre/Briefings_and_speeches/The_Future_of_Lloyds.htm

Google has launched an online payment system, Google Checkout, which will compete with auction giant eBay.


The Securities Industry Association and the Bond Market Association have merged, creating the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.
http://www.sia.com/press/2006_press_releases/27971185.html
--------------------------------------------------
CIM Chemical
--------------------------------------------------
The US Chemical Safety Board (CSB) released detailed trailer blast damage information developed during the ongoing investigation of the explosions at the BP refinery in Texas City, Texas. The 23 March 2005 incident killed 15 workers and injured 180 when flammable liquid and vapor overfilled a blowdown drum during the startup of the refinery's isomerization unit.
http://www/csb.gov
--------------------------------------------------
CIM Commercial Facilities
--------------------------------------------------
The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) recommends that the US Secretary of State and an interagency working group develop written guidance for providing security support for future Olympic games, and develop a finance subgroup to help planning and preparations for future support. This and more detail is in "Olympic Security: Better Planning Can Enhance U.S. Support to Future Olympic Games".
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-753
--------------------------------------------------
CIM Cybersecurity
--------------------------------------------------
Microsoft has issued a warning of unpatched systems open to a critical vulnerability of the Remote Access Connection Manager (Rasman) service, used by Windows to create network connections over the telephone.
http://support.microsoft.com/kb/911280
http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/advisory/921923.mspx

Independent researcher Yash Kadakia has described application security flaws in Amazon and Microsoft web sites, among others.
http://blogs.hackerscenter.com/dcrab/

Websense reports on phishing frauds that use spoof phone messages to persuade people to visit a bogus web site, where confidential data could be stolen.
http://www.websense.com/securitylabs/alerts/alert.php?AlertID=534

A survey of the UK healthcare sector finds that the National Health Service is failing to secure mobile devices.
http://www.bjhc.co.uk/news/1/2006/n606012.htm

Vulnerabilities in electronic voting systems used in the US are described in new reports from the Brennan Center and Common Cause.
http://www.brennancenter.org/presscenter/releases_2006/pressrelease_2006_0627.html
http://www.commoncause.org/atf/cf/{FB3C17E2-CDD1-4DF6-92BE-BD4429893665}/MALFUNCTION%20AND%20MALFEASANCE%20REPORT.PDF

HSBC customers have had money stolen from accounts compromised through a call center scam operated from its Bangalore operation. A suspect has been arrested.
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,9558-2247201,00.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/india/story/0,,1809559,00.html
http://www.dnaindia.com/report.asp?NewsID=1038934

The laptop and external hard drive stolen from a US Department of Veterans' Affairs employee has been recovered, and the database it contained, with millions of records, is intact and was not accessed.
http://www1.va.gov/opa/data/Data_Security_Issue_Update.asp

A new research center, the Center for Identity Management and Information Protection (CIMIP), has been formed by a group of government agencies, corporations, and educational institutions.
http://www.utica.edu/academic/institutes/cimip/

The Office of the Privacy Commissioner of Canada commissioned a poll from EKOS Research Associates regarding their opinions on privacy. Key findings include:
* The proportion of Canadians reporting that they have a good or very good understanding of their privacy rights has doubled since 2001, rising from 13 to 26 per cent, which suggests that Canadians may be taking more control over of their personal information. Perhaps this explains why more than 85 per cent of them want to be informed by companies about the privacy implications of products or services they buy.
* Approximately 8 in 10 Canadians believe their country should be equipped with strong laws to protect their personal information. The inability to have strong privacy legislation will continue to undermine trust in their government to protect their personal information seriously.
* Although Canadians are among the most technology savvy in the world and they understand that processing personal information is core to a modern and competitive economy, only 50 per cent of those polled agree they have enough information to know the privacy implications of new technologies. In response to this need and to better serve Canadians, the Office is developing information and guidance to help individuals better understand the privacy risks and implications of new technologies such as radio frequency identification devices (RFID).
http://www.privcom.gc.ca/media/nr-c/2006/nr-c_060630_e.asp
http://www.privcom.gc.ca/information/survey/2006/ekos_2006_e.asp

The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) released two reports on managing sensitive information:
"DOD Can More Effectively Reduce the Risk of Classification Errors"
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-706
"Managing Sensitive Information: Actions Needed to Ensure Recent Changes in DOE Oversight Do Not Weaken an Effective Classification System"
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-785
--------------------------------------------------
CIM Emergency Services
--------------------------------------------------
The Organization for the Advancement of Structured Information Standards (OASIS) has approved a new standard, the Emergency Data Exchange Language Distribution Element (EDXL-DE) Version 1.0. This provides a way for emergency system vendors to create systems that will make information contained in proprietary systems readily available to first responders. EDXL-DE is part of the overall Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) for data interchange.
http://www.oasis-open.org/news/oasis-news-2006-06-20.php
--------------------------------------------------
CIM Energy
--------------------------------------------------
The International Energy Agency reports that a global switch to efficient lighting could reduce electricity costs by nearly ten percent.
http://www.iea.org/Textbase/press/pressdetail.asp?PRESS_REL_ID=182

Oil production in Iraq has risen to 2.5 million barrels per day, the highest level since 2003.

The UK Sustainable Development Commission's submission to the Energy Review finds that nuclear power alone cannot solve the UK's energy and climate change crisis.
http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=373

The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) released "Energy Security: Issues Related to Potential Reductions in Venezuelan Oil Production". The report explains that Venezuela is the world's largest oil exporter and has among the top ten greatest reserves. It owns five refineries in the US and provides about 11 percent of current US imports of crude oil and petroleum. These facts make it a key player in US energy security. But this energy security is threatened by discontinuation of US government programs that had aided Venezuelan production, lack of ready alternatives, and faltering political conditions.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-668
--------------------------------------------------
CIM Information Technology
--------------------------------------------------
Gartner's research report, "Market Share: Anti-virus (Enterprise and Consumer), Worldwide 2005", finds that global revenues from anti-virus software reached $4 billion in 2005, a 13.6 percent increase over 2004, almost evenly divided between enterprise and consumer sales.
http://www.gartner.com/press_releases/asset_154006_11.html
--------------------------------------------------
CIM Public Health and Healthcare
--------------------------------------------------
The Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) released OECD Health Data 2006. It warns that from 1990-2004 healthcare spending has grown faster than GDP in every OECD country except Finland, putting growing pressure on public finances. Accounting for 8.9 percent of GDP in 2004, most publicly financed, is likely to increase further as the population ages and expensive new medical technologies are implemented.
http://www.oecd.org/health/healthdata

The World Health Organization (WHO) issued the first ever international guidelines for safe recreational bathing areas.
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/notes/2006/np15/en/index.html

Kenya's High Court has suspended the ban on smoking in public places indefinitely.

The US House Committee on Government Reform, Subcommittee on Criminal Justice, Drug Policy and Human Resources, held a hearing on "Clinical Lab Quality: CMS and Survey Organization Oversight Should Be Strengthened". Testimony addressed a Government Accountability Office (GAO) report that found insufficient oversight to ensure laboratory quality.
http://reform.house.gov/CJDPHR/Hearings/EventSingle.aspx?EventID=46310
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-416

A new report finds that violations reported to the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) have grown, but enforcement actions have declined.
http://www.democrats.reform.house.gov/story.asp?ID=1074
--------------------------------------------------
CIM Transportation
--------------------------------------------------
The US Air Line Pilots Association (ALPA) is completing a report on the threat of man-portable air defence systems (Manpads) that will oppose the installation of countermeasures systems on board civil aircraft as threats to onboard systems integrity that may be obsolete at inception. They will suggest alternatives.
http://www.flightglobal.com/Articles/2006/06/27/207433/US+pilots+union+takes+aim+at+missile+launcher+defences+calling+countermeasures+unsafe+and.html

The US House Committee on Transportation held an oversight hearing on Baggage Screening and Explosive Detection
http://www.house.gov/transportation/
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-875T

The Public Police Institute of California released "Protecting the Nation's Seaports: Balancing Security and Cost", which points to continued vulnerabilities including lack of agency coordination.
http://www.ppic.org/main/publication.asp?i=698

The US Senate Committee on Housing and Transportation held a public transportation oversight hearing on SAFETEA-LU Implementation.
http://banking.senate.gov/index.cfm?Fuseaction=Hearings.Detail&HearingID=223
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-910T
http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/safetealu/


6. Disaster Reduction Monitor

News highlights from the past week are provided in this free email update, but detailed analysis, background information and source documents are only available to subscribers. Disaster Reduction Monitor subscriptions and other titles can be purchased here:
TAMNI Publications

--------------------------------------------------
DRM Incidents
--------------------------------------------------
Flooding in South Sulawesi, Indonesia has killed more than 200 people, with at least 135 still missing, and left heavy property damage.

A passenger bus in the Indian state of Himachal Pradesh plunged into a deep gorge, killing 17 and injuring 18 passengers.

Heavy rains and flooding in the eastern US killed at least
People dead and closed a number of government facilities along the coast, including the Internal Revenue Service and a number of financial institutions.

Sudan's Federal Ministry of Health (FMoH) has reported a total of 2007 cases of cholera between 21 April and 18 June. Of these, 77 were fatal.
http://www.who.int/csr/don/2006_06_21a/en/index.html

Flooding in Honduras has left four dead and more than 1500 displaced.

A collapsed roof in Democratic Republic of Congo killed three people among a crowd that had gathered for a campaign rally.

A freak hailstorm in Germany left one man dead and about 100 injured. The hail was the size of tennis balls, and caused property damage and loss of electricity.
--------------------------------------------------
DRM Response and Recovery
--------------------------------------------------
Supplies are being sent to the Indonesian province of South Sulawesi where floods left more than 7,500 people homeless.

China is considering imposing fines on media organizations that breach government reporting regulations.
http://english.people.com.cn/200606/27/eng20060627_277560.html
--------------------------------------------------
DRM Risks
--------------------------------------------------
"Is America's Housing Market Prepared for the Next Natural Catastrophe?" was the topic of a House hearing in which testimony suggested the need for insurers and others to address increased frequency and degree of storms, including new building standards and retrofitting vulnerable structures.
http://financialservices.house.gov/hearings.asp?formmode=detail&hearing=485&comm=5
--------------------------------------------------
DRM Mitigation
--------------------------------------------------
The Indian Ocean tsunami warning system is up and running, but additional work on data exchange and coordination will continue.

The National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies (NAMIC) has adopted a statement on natural disasters including four general principles:
* Market freedom and competitive pricing will lead to innovation in developing solutions to problems relating to disaster insurance and mitigation;
* Competitive pricing and risk-based underwriting are essential to developing and maintaining a viable disaster insurance market;
* Mitigation must be an indispensable aspect of any disaster risk management and insurance initiatives; and
* The National Flood Insurance Program should be maintained, but must be reformed.
http://www.namic.org/newsreleases06/060626nr1.asp
http://www.namic.org/pdf/06CatPrinciplesStatement.pdf.

The US Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services issued a report calling for a multifunction phased-array radar to improve catastrophe and other weather forecasting.
http://www.ofcm.gov/r25-mpar/fcm-r25.htm

In New South Wales, Australian, the city of Sydney has developed a special emergency plan for the central business district (CBD) that incorporates both evacuation plans and plans for waiting in place if necessary, usually at a place of business.
http://www.emergency.nsw.gov.au/content.php/182.html


7. Recommended Reading

Ahead of the anniversary of the 7 July bombings in London, and following on last week's theme, we are recommending books and reports on the attacks. The spread of suicide terrorism to Western Europe is a seminal moment in the contemporary history of terrorism.

Michael Gove, a Times (London) columnist and Conservative Member of Parliament, has come out with "Celsius 7/7: How the West's Policy of Appeasement Has Provoked Yet More Fundamentalist Terror - And What Has To Be Done NOW" (Weidenfeld and Nicolson)
http://www.orionbooks.co.uk/HB-39087/Celsius-7/7.htm

Here are two exclusive extracts:
"To allow Islamists to direct the post-7/7 debate was a disaster"
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8802-2240635,00.html
"The roots of Islamism"
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8802-2243871,00.html

Melanie Phillips is the author of "Londonistan: How Britain is Creating a Terror State Within", also from Weidenfeld and Nicolson. She comments on Tom Gross and his reaction to her book.
http://www.melaniephillips.com/diary/?p=1268

Related articles, interviews and reviews:
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,6-2212130,00.html
http://books.guardian.co.uk/departments/politicsphilosophyandsociety/story/0,,1798994,00.html
http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/ReadArticle.asp?ID=22443
http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=MTAxMWIxMGFmNDExYzBhNjFkMWExNGJiODAwNDhjODU=

If you missed it last week, check out reviews, interviews, and excerpts from Ron Suskind's "One Percent Doctrine". Its disclosures include the allegation that the leader of the 7/7 bombers was known as early as 2003.
https://terrorismcentral.com/Newsletters/2006/062506.html

The government reports are also of great value. "Report of the Official Account of the Bombings in London on 7 July" provides a chronological report. Parliament's "Intelligence and Security Committee Report into the London Terrorist Attacks on 7 July 1005" considered evidence from the security services to conclude that lack of resources was more to blame in not preventing the attacks, rather than any failure of individuals. Also note the government response to that report. The government has ruled out an independent inquiry, such as that conducted in the US by the 9/11 Commission.
http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/documents/7-july-report.pdf
http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/publications/reports/intelligence/isc_7july_report.pdf
http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/publications/reports/intelligence/govres_7july.pdf
http://www.guardian.co.uk/attackonlondon/story/0,,1773194,00.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/leaders/story/0,,1773114,00.html
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,542-2176663,00.html
http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/crime/article364330.ece
http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/05/11/news/london.php
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2006/05/12/dl1201.xml


8. Asset Management Network News

Visit our online store to purchase subscriptions to the Monitor series as well as our Special Reports, including our new Special Report "Trends in Terrorism: 2005".

Email info@tamni.com for details about the new products, publications, and information about services, including custom research.


HOW TO CONTACT US:

Please contact us with your questions or comments by sending email to .

If you want to be removed from this list, please reply to the message with REMOVE in the subject line.
Editorial Team
TerrorismCentral

All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2006 by The Asset Management Network Inc.

DISCLAIMER: This publication is made available with the understanding that it does not provide legal or other professional services. Although we have used sources we believe to be reliable and every effort has been taken to ensure accuracy of information, we cannot guarantee its accuracy, completeness, or usefulness. The opinions expressed in articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of The Asset Management Network Inc. The Asset Management Network Inc. is not responsible for the content of external websites. Mention of such websites does not imply endorsement. The Asset Management Network Inc. specifically disclaims any liability or loss which is incurred as a consequence, direct or indirect, of the use or application of this publication.

This Newsletter, "Global Terrorism Monitor", "Political Risk Monitor", "AML/CFT Monitor", "Emerging Threat Monitor", "Critical Infrastructure Monitor", and associated databases are published by The Asset Management Network, Inc., P.O. Box 380313, Cambridge MA 02238-0313. Tel + 1 , Fax + 1 . Email