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AUTHOR:
TerrorismCentral Editorial Staff

TITLE:
TerrorismCentral Newsletter - January 14, 2007

SOURCE:
TerrorismCentral, January 14, 2007

TEXT:

US President Bush announced "The Way Forward in Iraq". Our coverage of what he calls a new strategy includes the presidential address, congressional hearings, and international response, as well as the latest list of incidents in Iraq. Other news highlights this week include European strategies to jointly address climate change and a unified energy policy, fresh outbreaks of avian influenza, and a wide range of other topics. Recommended Reading focuses on the fifth anniversary of the first arrivals to the US detention center in Guantanamo Bay.


CONTENTS:

NEWS HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK:

1. Global Terrorism Monitor
2. Political Risk Monitor
3. AML/CFT Monitor
4. Emerging Threat Monitor
5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor
6. Disaster Reduction Monitor
7. Recommended Reading
8. Asset Management Network News


1. Global Terrorism Monitor

Terrorism is a global phenomenon, and The Global Terrorism Monitor, is the only publication that directly addresses the key transnational issues it presents. Published monthly, it includes expert analysis, statistical trends, and the policies, practices, and technologies that help to mitigate this persistent threat. Purchase a subscription at our online store:
TAMNI Publications

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GTM Africa
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Algerian terrorist leader Abu Musab Abdulwadood of the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC) announced that he is waiting for orders from Osama bin Laden to fight against the French and Americans looting Algeria's treasures.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/10/africa/AF-GEN-Algeria-Terror-Group.php

Northwestern Central African Republic (CAR) is beset with rebel groups that want to overthrow President Bozize. This situation is compounded by spillover from the conflict in Darfur, Sudan, which contributes to growing insecurity throughout the country. High tension between Sudan, Chad, and CAR is not propitious to reconciliation.
http://www.un.org/Docs/journal/asp/ws.asp?m=S/2006/1034

Chad disputes a Union of Forces for Democracy and Development (UFDD) claim that they captured the northeastern town of Ounianga Kebir at down on Saturday, inflicting heavy casualties on government forces. The government says that UFDD were briefly in the town then retreated towards Sudan.

Djibouti Foreign minister Mahmoud Ali Youssouf said that this week's US airstrikes in Somalia has been undertaken from the US base in the country, but without informing Djibouti authorities. Djibouti has condemned the raids, and said they were counterproductive to achieving peace, particularly due to reports of significant civilian casualties.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6254759.stm

Former Ethiopian dictator Mengistu Hasile Mariam has been sentenced in absentia to life in prison for genocide in connection with his Red Terror campaign against suspected opponents. Victims' representatives plan to appeal in favor of the death penalty. Mengistu is living in exile in Zimbabwe, which ways it will not extradite him.

The Ethiopian-US alliance to invade Somalia is the topic of this article:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/alqaida/story/0,,1989401,00.html

A spokesman for the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) said in an email message that attacks and kidnappings would resume and expand. On Wednesday, nine South Korean workers at a Daewoo oil facility in Bayelsa state and one Nigerian worker were taken hostage. They were freed unharmed on Friday.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/cover/january07/08012007/f408012007.html

Officials in Rivers State have established contact with the kidnappers of five Chinese telecom workers taken hostage last week.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/niger_delta/nd310012007.html

The trial of former Rwandan village prefect Colonel Tharcisse Renzaho, accused of being a main perpetrator of the genocide, has opened at the UN war crimes tribunal in Tanzania.
http://69.94.11.53/ENGLISH/PRESSREL/2007/508.htm

Rwanda has called on France to arrest Agathe Habarimana, wife of former Rwandan President Juvenal Hanyarimana, on charges that she was one of the main planners of the 1994 genocide. Such allegations led recently to France denying her refugee status. France itself is under investigation for its possible role in the genocide.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/10/europe/EU-GEN-France-Rwanda-Presidents-Widow.php
http://www.guardian.co.uk/rwanda/story/0,,1987596,00.html

A US gunship carried out at least two air strikes in southern Somalia. Although they were targeting alleged Islamist fighters and al Qaeda operatives, including suspects connected with the 1998 bombings of the US embassies in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam, at least two dozen civilians were killed. This represented the first overt US military action since 1994, although they had been supporting the interim government and Ethiopia's military action. US ships have been monitoring Somali waters for some time. Further airstrikes were reported later in the week, but none of the air strikes succeeded in killing the three al Qaeda suspects primarily targeted (Fazul Abdullah Mohammed, Saleh Ali Saleh Nabhan, and Abu Talha Al-Sudani). This new front on the US "war on terror" led UN Secretary General Ban to express concern that this new dimension, which is beyond a local or even regional conflict, could escalate hostilities. Clashes outside the presidential palace at the end of the week left six dead and ten injured. Overall, airstrikes and fighting killed more than 70 people this week. Since fighting broke out in December, there have been more than a thousand casualties.
http://www.defenselink.mil/News/NewsArticle.aspx?id=2625
http://www.cusnc.navy.mil/articles/2007/003.html
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N08415011.htm
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=295190
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6244097.stm
http://www.nationmedia.com/dailynation/nmgcontententry.asp?category_id=1&newsid=89268
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6251077.stm
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/13/world/africa/13proxy.html

Sudanese government aircraft launched raids on two locations in Darfur, in yet another of the ceasefire violations that have virtually obliterated the peace process. As violence has flared again, rising insecurity has forced large-scale evacuation of humanitarian workers.

Sudan's government and Darfur rebels agreed to a 60-day ceasefire and peace summit. Former UN ambassador and current Governor of the state of New Mexico, Bill Richardson, brokered the truce.
http://www.governor.state.nm.us/press.php?id=338

Tunisian police battled suspected Islamic militants, leaving 12 dead. Fifteen alleged members of the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC) were also arrested. During the investigation, police found plans for assaults on foreign embassies, and explosives.

Uganda's Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) rebels say that public statements from Sudan President Omar al-Bashir and his deputy Salva Kiir indicate that LRA is not welcome in Sudan. LRA says it will not participate in further talks in southern Sudan, but would consider Nairobi as a neutral location for any further talks.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57043
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GTM Americas
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Argentina has arrested former police chief Juan Ramon Morales, who is suspected of involvement in a right-wing Triple A, paramilitary death squad that operated under the military government in the 1970s.

Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) guerilla commander Nayibe Rojas ("Sonia") has gone on trial in the US. He had been captured in southern Colombia then extradited to the US, where she faces drug trafficking charges. Prosecutors plan to paint FARC as a drug cartel, not a legitimate opposition force.

Peru's President Alan Garcia is appealing the Inter-American Court of Human Rights December order that Peru should compensate families of Shining Path rebels summarily executed in a prison riot 15 years ago, during Fujimori's military dictatorship. He, and some of public opinion, believes that the $20 million involved, as well as the court ruling to pay public homage to the victims, would honor terrorists.
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=N09201844
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/6246917.stm

Peru's Interior Minister Pilar Mazzetti has admitted that investigations have found no connection between eight farmers arrested for involvement in an alleged terrorist ambush last December, and Shining Path rebels.
http://www.livinginperu.com/news/3002

US President Bush addressed military personnel and families at Fort Benning, Georgia. The following remarks prompted concerns that the administration is planning attacks inside Iran:
"...Iraq must be viewed in the larger context of the Middle East. It's important for Iran and Syria to understand that we will disrupt their attacks on our forces, that we will interrupt the flow of support from Iran and Syria. We'll seek out and destroy the networks providing advanced weaponry and training to our enemies in Iraq. Iran's desire to have a nuclear weapon has caught the attention of the world. It is a very dangerous -- that would be a dangerous situation if the Iranians were able to achieve a nuclear weapon. We will continue to pressure Iran, and call upon the world to do so, to end its nuclear weapons ambitions. I made a statement last night that I had ordered the deployment of an additional carrier strike group to the region. I also talked about Patriot missile systems in the region, to help others deal with the external threats. We will use our full diplomatic resources throughout the Middle East."
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/01/20070111-7.html

This week a US raided an Iranian government building in northern Iraq, detaining four. Iranian diplomats were also detained in December. US officials say that military action in Iran is a last resort.
http://armed-services.senate.gov/e_witnesslist.cfm?id=2464
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/13/world/middleeast/13strategy.html

Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte delivered his Annual Threat Assessment to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. He highlighted Iran and North Korea as proliferation threats; terrorism threats from al Qaeda and Hezbollah; the risks in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan, regional conflicts in Africa and Asia, and energy.
http://www.dni.gov/testimonies/20070111_transcript.pdf
http://www.dni.gov/testimonies/20070111_testimony.pdf

In an interview with Federal Radio News, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Detainee Affairs, Charles Stimson ("Cully"), said he found it "shocking" that major American law firms would agree to represent Guantanamo detainees, and read on the air a list of prominent law firms that have been involved in Guantanamo litigation. He added " I think, quite honestly, when corporate CEOs see that those firms are representing the very terrorists who hit their bottom line back in 2001, those CEOs are going to make those law firms choose between representing terrorists or representing reputable firms, and I think that is going to have major play in the next few weeks. And we want to watch that play out." and suggested that the firms were receiving funds from suspicious sources. A Pentagon spokesman later said that these remarks do not represent the views of the Defense Department or the administration.
http://www.federalnewsradio.com/index.php?sid=1029671&nid=318
http://www.aclu.org/safefree/detention/27971prs20070112.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/13/washington/13gitmo.html
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/11/AR2007011101698.html

The Pentagon and CIA have been using National Security Letters to aggressively expand into domestic intelligence gathering.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/14/washington/14spy.html
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/13/AR2007011301486.html
http://www.aclu.org/safefree/nationalsecurityletters/index.html

Shahawar Matin Siraj was sentenced in New York court to 30 years in prison for his role in conspiring to plant explosive devices at the 34th Street subway station in Manhattan in August 2004
http://www.usdoj.gov/siraj_pr.pdf
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GTM Asia Pacific
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The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) met under high security in the southern Philippines, despite three bombings in Mindanao shortly before the meeting, which were called isolated incidents unconnected with the meeting. Joint counterterrorism efforts were one of the topics on the agenda, culminating with agreement on the ASEAN Convention on Counter Terrorism.
http://www.aseansec.org/19250.htm

Mohammad Ali Elomar is on trial in Sydney, Australia, for allegedly purchasing five rocket launchers stolen from the army that he planned to use against a nuclear reactor and parliament.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/parliament-target-of-rockets/2007/01/10/1168105040305.html

Burma's military junta has released five 88 Generation group members, jailed last October on charges of attempting to destabilize the country. Forty political detainees were freed last week in connection with the 59th independence anniversary celebration.

Chinese police launched a raid against a suspected East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) training camp in the western autonomous region of Zinjiang, which has a sizeable Uighur Muslim minority. Police report killing 18 and capturing 17. One policeman was killed and a second injured. China claims these raids uncovered evidence of links to international terrorist organizations.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007-01/08/content_5580233.htm

East Timor's former Interior Minister Rogerio Lobato has gone on trial for allegedly supplying weapons to a rebel leader and his gang members. The charges stem from last year, when 600 soldiers were dismissed, triggering battles with soldiers, and later contributing to ongoing gang and ethnic violence.

Indonesia has extradited Pratheepan Thavarajah, who was arrested earlier this month when attempting to board a flight to Malaysia. The suspected Tamil Tiger rebel was sentenced in absentia in US court to 15 years prison for attempted to smuggle weapons to Sri Lanka.

On Sulawesi Island, two alleged Jemaah Islamiah militants were killed and seven arrested in Poso, where violence between Christians and Muslims is endemic. At the funeral for the two suspects, an angry mob attacked and beat to death local police chief Lieutenant Colonel Rudy Sufahriadi.

Pointing to recent successes against Abu Sayyaf, Philippines President Arroyo said that terrorists operating in the country and throughout Southeast Asia would be annihilated.
http://www.philstar.com/philstar/NEWS200701090403.htm

Soon after her comments, suspected Islamist militants exploded bombs in two southern cities, killing seven, and injuring more than 20.

Thailand has removed rubbish bins from main thoroughfares following their use to hide bombs in the attacks on New Year's Eve. Garbage disposal and street cleaning workers have been instructed in identification and notification of suspicious objects. The perpetrators remain unidentified, and international specialists have been called in to assist the investigation. They have determined that nine, not eight, bombs exploded.

The emergency decree will be extended in the southern provinces of Pattani, Yala, and Narathiwat for another three months. Incidents in these areas continue, including shootings and bombings directed at government officials, particularly police and teachers, as well as sectarian targets. Today, suspected Islamic militants beheaded a Buddhist man, and shot dead his wife. The Pattani Fighters signed an anti-Buddhist note left on the man's body. Another Buddhist was killed in a drive-by motorcycle shooting.
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GTM Europe
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Bosnian Serb wartime commander General Dragomir Milosevic has gone on trial at the UN war crimes tribunal in The Hague for allegedly leading attacks against civilians during the siege of Sarajevo, in which more than 11,000 people were killed.
http://www.un.org/icty/pressreal/2007/PA297-e.htm

Mounir al-Motassadek has been sentenced to 15 years. The German court imposed the maximum sentence following his conviction as an accessory to the 9/11 attacks. He is appealing the sentence.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,458610,00.html

Germany's Beirut embassy warns that participation in international peacekeeping operations in Lebanon presents an increased threat against German interests and citizens.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,458389,00.html

Classified documents have revealed that German authorities provided the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) the information it needed for the extraordinary rendition of German citizen Mohammed Haydar Zammar. A parliamentary investigation into this and other assistance to the CIA continues.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,459075,00.html

In Athens, Greece, a rocket was fired into the US embassy compound, causing minor property damage. Those responsible are unknown, but the attack is believed part of the broad anarchist campaign.

Greek anarchist group Revolutionary Liberation Action claimed responsibility for arson attacks on three banks and the offices of New Democracy in central Athens, in support of three convicted anarchists who have launched a hunger strike. There were no casualties.

An Italian court is hearing evidence in a case to decide whether to indict 25 alleged CIA agents and several Italians, including the former head of military intelligence, for the forcible rendition in 2003 of Muslim cleric Osama Mustafa Hassan ("Abu Omar").

Victims' assistance group ANAVAFAF says that Italian soldiers are still dying from exposure to depleted uranium during the wars in Bosnia and Kosovo. The US fired some 40,000 rounds of depleted uranium during those conflicts in the 1990s. Fifty veterans have died and 200 are seriously ill, with a higher than normal percentage of cancer victims, including an excessive number with Hodgkin's disease. There are similar reports regarding Balkan peacekeepers from the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain.
http://www.ansa.it/site/notizie/awnplus/english/news/2007-01-09_10938237.html

Basque separatist group ETA has now formally acknowledged that it carried out last week's Madrid airport garage bombing that killed two people, but insisted that its permanent ceasefire (announced March 2006) remains in effect. Spain's Interior Minister Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba said he saw no way to resume the peace process.

MI5, Britain's domestic security service, is offering national threat level alerts and updates via email.
https://www.mi5.gov.uk/output/Page575.html

Mahmoud Abu Rideh has appeared before a High Court judge to challenge an extremely restrictive control order that his attorneys contend violate European human right laws and threaten his mental health. During the hearing he threatened to kill himself, falsely stating that he had a razor blade, and was removed from court.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/terrorism/story/0,,1987149,00.html http://www.lutonmuslims.co.uk/letteraburdh.htm

British double agent Eddie Chapman ("Zigzag") volunteered for a suicide mission to blow up Hitler, but documents from the newly released archives reveal that MI5 turned him down. Here are extracts from Ben Macintyre's new book, "Agent Zigzag: The True Wartime Story of Eddie Chapman" (Bloomsbury).
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,7-2538813,00.html
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8802-2540439,00.html
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,458873,00.html
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GTM Middle East
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Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas declared the Hamas security force illegal. In response, Hamas will double its armed forces to 12,000 men. The US plans to provide $86.4 million to Abbas' security force. This has done nothing to ease distrust and has fueled sectarian tensions. The war of words reached a fresh height when Fatah legislator Muhammad Dahlan branded Hamas murderers and thieves. Factional violence so far this month has killed more than 30 people and injured more than 100.

Peruvian photographer Jaime Razuri has been freed in Gaza, six days after masked gunmen kidnapped him. The Palestinian Popular Resistance Committees, one of the groups involved in the June 2006 capture of Israeli soldier Corporal Gilad Shalit, says that he is in good health but will not be released until Palestinian prisoners held in Israel are freed.

Just after US President Bush's speech promising to stem Iranian support for the Iraqi insurgency, US soldiers backed by helicopters were raiding an Iranian consular office in Irbil, the Kurdish capital of northern Iraq. Six people were arrested, and computers and documents seized. Iran has demanded their release and protested the raid as a violation of international law. Iraqi officials support their position. Bush approved the raid.
http://www.irna.ir/en/news/view/menu-236/0701146397161905.htm
http://today.reuters.com/news/articlenews.aspx?type=worldNews&storyID=2007-01-14T103712Z_01_MAC638878_RTRUKOC_0_US-IRAQ.xml3 http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,459083,00.html

Iraq is beset by surging violence. In the 24 hours to Monday evening, police recovered 25 bodies, most tortured. Gunmen ambushed a bus carrying dozens of cleaners and other workers from the Shiite Sadr City district of Baghdad en route to the airport. Reports of the number killed are as high as 15, and 11 were also injured. Mortar rounds in a residential district killed two civilians and injured four. Clashes between gunmen and Iraqi army forces killed one civilian and injured two. Two more civilians died and five were injured in a roadside bombing that targeted a convoy of official vehicles. A bomb planted under a car killed two and injured two. A roadside bomb near a bus carrying pilgrims exploded, injuring three. A policeman was killed and two people injured in a roadside bomb. Gunmen in the Doura district killed six members of a Shiite family as they were packing to move. In Mosul, five bodies were found. A suicide truck bomber at a checkpoint in Ramadi killed two policemen and injured three. Gunmen in Samarra kidnapped senior tribal chief named Naji Hussein Jubara. Iraqi army troops report killing 26 insurgents and injuring 43 across Iraq. A UNICEF worker was shot dead while driving his car in Baghdad.

On Tuesday Iraqi forces launched another attempt to take control of the capital, and soon called for US support. Hours of fighting gave them control of most of Haifa Street, and left more than 50 dead. Two US soldiers died from wounds sustained in combat in Anbar province and one was shot dead in Diyala.

In the 24 hours to Wednesday evening police recovered 60 bodies with gunshot injuries and signs of torture from across Baghdad. Eight bodies were found across Mosul. Other bodies were found in Iskandariya, Mahaweel, and Qaim. Gunmen opened fire on two buses of Shiite pilgrims returning from Mecca, killing 11 and injuring 14. In Tal Afar a suicide car bomber killed himself and four people, and injured 11 at a busy market. Another suicide car bomb targeting a police patrol killed a child and injured three policemen and one civilian. In Mosul, three mortar rounds near a girl's high school injured three students, two women, and three children. A roadside bomb in Kirkuk injured three. A car bomb exploded near a gas station in Mahmudiya killed one person and injured three.

Baghdad police recovered 37 bodies in the 24 hours to Thursday evening, most tortured by death squads before being shot. US forces attacked an Iranian government office in Arbil, arresting five diplomats and staff. In the 24 hours to Friday evening, police found ten bodies, most tortured, around Baghdad. Seven bodies, including a journalist and an Iraqi army officer, were found around Mosul. Three tortured and shot bodies were recovered in Basmaia. An armed assault in Ishaqi left three civilians dead.

On Saturday morning an English-speaking contractor was shot and killed by Australian soldiers in Baghdad. An inquiry is under way. Police found 31 bodies, many shot dead and tortured. Mortar attacks killed a woman and injured ten. Gunmen in Baiji killed two civilians and stole their vehicle. Kirkuk gunmen fired on engineers and construction workers, killing two and injuring three. Two tortured, blindfolded, and shot bodies were found in Iskandariya; one a policeman.

Ghaith Abdul-Ahad calls on his experiences from the Iraqi battlefield to address how the Sunni insurgency has become a jihad against Shias, not Americans.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/Iraq/Story/0,,1989397,00.html

Iraq's High Tribunal has dropped all charges against the late Saddam Hussein, but the trial of six remaining defendants will continue. The Anfal genocide trial focuses on the 1980s campaign against Kurds, in which chemical weapons were used.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6239853.stm

Another video showing the late Saddam Hussein after his execution has appeared online.
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/083B0DE9-7E86-437C-9267-D37ECB1B4AD4.htm

Israel Defense Forces Central Command reported that Israeli casualties had fallen in 2006, but terrorist activities increased. Last year, 11 Israelis were killed in two suicide bombings inside the Green Line - the lowest since 2001 - but 187 Palestinians now in Israeli custody were involved in suicide bombing conspiracies.
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/810496.html

Israel's intelligence agency Shin Bet reports that people who received Israeli citizenship for family reunification carried out 38 of 272 suicide bombings in Israel (14 percent). Shin Bet has asked the government to extend a temporary law that prevents reunification for reasons of security.
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/810936.html

Military Intelligence head Major General Amos Yadlin said that al Qaeda militants are arriving in Lebanon to attack UN forces and other western elements, and that Iran was continuing to supply Hezbollah.
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/811432.html

Jordanian security forces shot dead a suspected al Qaeda militant, Suleiman Anjadi, and captured a second suspect, Awni Mansi.

Overnight last Sunday, arsonists attacked shops owned by Hamas supporters in the West Bank town of Ramallah. Monday morning gunmen opened fire on the car of the former Palestinian finance minister, Salam Fayyad, but the independent Member of Parliament was not in the car at the time. The Deputy Mayor Nablus, Mahdi Hamdali, was released, two days unknown gunmen kidnapped him.
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GTM South Asia
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In Afghanistan, NATO troops returning to base in Paktika province opened fire when a vehicle approached at high speed, killing an Afghan civilian who worked on the base. On Wednesday NATO troops fighting in the east report killing up to 150 Taleban, while Afghan defense estimated less than half that number. There has been no independent confirmation of casualties. On Thursday, 13 civilians were confirmed dead in NATO air strikes that also killed up to 16 Taleban in Helmand province. NATO raids today reportedly killed 30 Taleban.

Afghan warlord Gulbuddin Hekmatyar claimed that his fighters helped Osama bin Laden and Ayman al-Zawahiri escape the US offensive in 2001.
http://kutv.com/topstories/topstories_story_011112539.html

Guardian reporter Declan Walsh joined US troops hunting for al Qaeda, using an audio slideshow to illustrate that Iraq was easy compared to Kunar province.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/flash/0,,1986485,00.html

Attacks in India's northeastern state of Assam that started last weekend, killing nearly 70, continued into a fourth day on Monday, when suspected United Liberation Front of Assam (ULFA) gunmen attacked brick factory workers, killing seven and injuring an eighth. Two suspected rebels were killed on Tuesday. Thousands of army, paramilitary, and police forces are spanning the state in the hunt for rebels. ULFA has threatened to target political leaders if the offensive continues.
http://www.hindustantimes.com/news/7454_1899620,000800050001.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/6244429.stm

In Indian-administered Kashmir, a gunbattle killed two separatist militants and a villager. At least 12 others were injured in grenade attacks.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/DEL204290.htm

The Janatantrik Terai Mukti Morcha (JTMM) is a Maoist splinter group that called a 3-day strike that closed businesses and hindered movement in the central Teral region. There were some attacks on vehicles and small businesses. On Saturday JTMM set off five bombs that destroyed six shops.
http://www.kantipuronline.com/kolnews.php?nid=97399

Pakistan's Supreme Court has taken up the cases of 41 persons who disappeared, and whose relatives believe abducted in the "war on terror". A judge has ordered the government to increase their efforts to locate the missing people.

In Balochistan province, a rebel attack has killed at least two Pakistani paramilitary troops. Four rebels were injured and arrested.

Sri Lanka's military reported capturing a Tamil Tiger base, but the Tigers say government shells hit a hospital complex in Trincomalee, killing three civilians and injuring 21. On Tuesday, two more civilians were reported dead from army shelling. Tamil Tiger mortars injured three soldiers at their camp on Thursday.


2. Political Risk Monitor

What may appear to be a small local event, like publishing a cartoon, can often turn out to have a surprising international impact. Your subscription to the Political Risk Monitor provides this analysis, as well as detailed profiles of individuals and other entities. Each monthly issue also includes quick tips for executives managing multinational operations. Purchase a subscription at our online store:
TAMNI Publications

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PRM Africa
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"DR Congo: Staying Engaged After the Elections" is a new report from the International Crisis Group that finds:
"The international community must renew its strong political engagement after Congo’s successful elections if the momentum of a still incomplete peace process is to be maintained. When the mandate of the UN peacekeeping mission (MONUC) is renewed in February, the Security Council should redefine its political role, but the mission needs to be able to continue to assist in conflict prevention and management, as well as supporting state institutions, monitoring human rights abuses and enforcing the arms embargo. The International Committee for Supporting the Transition (CIAT) will be disbanded when the new government is inaugurated this month, but donors should create a smaller successor body."
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=4604&l=1

Guinea trade unions launched a general strike to force salary increases in line with the high cost of living, and to encourage President Conte, who is elderly and in poor health, to step down.

Ivory Coast closed its border with Ghana following an attack at a checkpoint in which three members of the security forces were killed and 12 people were injured. The incident is believed to be criminal, rather than political, in nature.

The UN Security Council extended through June the mandate of the Operation in Ivory Coast (UNOCI) and authorized it to cooperate with the mission in Liberia in preventing arms from crossing the border.
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2007/sc8937.doc.htm

Moroccan authorities closed Nichane magazine and charged its editor and a reporter, Driss Ksikes and Sanaa al-Aji, with defaming Islam and damaging public morality for publishing an article that looked at popular jokes, including religious jokes.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/low/africa/6239825.stm
http://www.ifex.org/en/content/view/full/80085/
http://www.nichane.ma/communique/sommaire_communique.html (in French and Arabic)

Nigeria's appeals court has ruled that Vice President Atiku Abubakar's official privileges should be restored pending a Supreme Court ruling on whether he effectively resigned by declaring himself as a presidential candidate for the opposition Action Congress. He had been suspended from the ruling People's Democratic Party following corruption charges.

Emeka Ezeuko ("Reverend King") has been sentenced to death by hanging for setting fire last July to six members of his Christian Praying Assembly after accusing them of adultery. One woman was killed.
http://allafrica.com/stories/200701120228.html
http://www.thisdayonline.com/nview.php?id=67839
http://www.tribune.com.ng/14122006/features.html

Somalia's interim President Abdullahi Yusuf arrived in the capital Mogadishu on Monday. Last weekend, Ethiopian forces completed their advance against the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC), generating anti-Ethiopian demonstrations and attacks. Somali warlords met with Yusuf while fighting between presidential guards and gunmen loyal to one of the warlords took place outside. Warlords Mohamed Qanyare Afrah, Musa Sudi Yalahwo, Omar Mohamed Mohamoud, Issa Batan Alin, Abdi Hassan Awale Qeiybdid, Omar Habeb, and Bashir Raghe Shirar have reportedly agreed to surrender their weapons and support their militiamen's transition into the national army.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6255085.stm

Somalia's parliament has voted to declare three months of martial law.

The 2005 peace agreement in southern Sudan was supposed to end 21 years of war between the Muslim north and the Christian south. Instead, on this second anniversary, the two sides are blaming each other for the failure to implement its terms. Militias continue to operate, power sharing is slow and incomplete, and there is no resolution over the major issue of oil resources.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/MCD946013.htm
http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article19667

Zimbabwe's inflation rate reached 1,281.1 percent in December.
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PRM Americas
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Former Argentine President Isabel Peron has been arrested in Spain on an Argentine arrest warrant for the 1976 disappearance of a leftist activist, a suspected victim of the Triple A death squad.

"Bolivia's Reforms: The Danger of New Conflicts" is a new report from the International Crisis Group. It says:
" Bolivia’s first indigenous president, Evo Morales, will mark his first anniversary in office on 22 January 2007 amid rising civil unrest. Growing instability could lead to future violence if leaders fail to negotiate an end to the current standoff. Representatives of both peasant families and large landowners should publicly condemn violence, the government should stop using attacks on elites to rally indigenous support, and the eastern region civic groups should stop their separatist threats. International mediators should be called on to help bridge the disputes at the constituent assembly, and to help wade through the complicated technical aspects of land management disputes. Only when these first steps are made will this government have a chance to move the country toward greater social cohesion, economic progress and equity. Otherwise there is a real risk of Bolivia’s gradual disintegration.
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=4602&l=1

In Bolivia's third largest city, Cochabamba, violence has broken out between supporters of the local governor, Manfred Reyes, who wants autonomy from President Morales, and local coca growers who support the president's reform agenda. During demonstrations and counterdemonstrations clashes broke out, leaving two dead and hundreds injured.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/13/america/LA-GEN-Bolivia-Protests.php
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N12300936.htm

Opposition criticism of President Morales has surfaced following the revelation that more than two-dozen Venezuelan military entered the country without congressional approval.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/09/world/americas/09bolivia.html?

Colombia has continued spraying coca crops along the border with Ecuador. Ecuador has not taken the case to the Organization of American States (OAS). Ecuador argues that the aerial fumigation is a hostile act that destroys crops and threatens public health in Ecuador. Subsequently, Colombia said that its spraying was nearly complete, and Ecuador's President-elect Correa said that the dispute has been resolved through advance notice and improved oversight. Until the spraying is halted, Ecuador will not reinstate its ambassador.
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ap/world/4465387.html
http://www.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/americas/12/22/colombia.ecuador.ap/index.html
http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/1222/p07s02-woam.html

Daniel Ortega has been sworn in as President of Nicaragua. He last ruled for 11 years after the Sandanista revolution of 1979. The former revolution plans to take action against poverty, and change the constitution to improve democracy.

US President Bush has announced his new plan for Iraq. It ignores the proposals of the Iraq Study Group and others recommending diplomatic measures to concentrate on a military "surge" that involves more than 20,000 additional troops, closely embedded with Iraqi forces with the goal of supporting Iraq's efforts to maintain its own security. This represents less than the number there this time last year; other coalition forces are remaining static or drawing down. Iraqi Prime Minister expressed his support, while consistently failing to deliver in any measure. The plan includes a billion-dollar investment in jobs: a tiny fraction of what has already been devoted, unsuccessfully, to reconstruction efforts. For such reasons, The Way Forward in Iraq has been met with skepticism and hostility, even among Republican Party members deeply loyal to the President. Polls show overwhelming opposition to the plan.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/infocus/iraq/
http://www.whitehouse.gov/ask/20070112.html
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/nation/4469816.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/11/opinion/20070111_BUSHSPEECH_GRAPHIC.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/14/washington/politicsspecial/14memo.html

Here is selected analysis and commentary from around the world:
* BBC Monitoring (Global)
"Press savages Bush's Iraq plan"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6255361.stm
"US media skeptical about Iraq plan"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6251037.stm
* Daily Times (Pakistan)
"Underside of Bush's latest urge for surge in Iraq"
http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2007%5C01%5C13%5Cstory_13-1-2007_pg3_1
* Le Figaro (France)
"Bush's Last Chance"
http://www.lefigaro.fr/english/20070111.WWW000000439_bush_s_last_chance.html
* Financial Times (UK)
"Surge towards debacle in Iraq and MidEast"
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/ef4edfbe-a19f-11db-8bc1-0000779e2340.html
* The Guardian (UK)
"The Madness of President George"
http://commentisfree.guardian.co.uk/eric_alterman/2007/01/alterman_on_surge.html
"The Triumph of Death"
http://www.guardian.co.uk/cartoons/stevebell/0,,1987686,00.html
* Houston Chronicle (US)
"National Religious Leaders speak out against Iraq strategy"
http://blogs.chron.com/keepthefaith/2007/01/national_religious_leaders_spe.html
* The Independent (UK)
"The March of Folly"
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/fisk/article2144057.ece
* Al Jazeera (Qatar)
"Bush Iraq plans buck public opinion"
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/EA868211-8505-4667-A4D6-3F590B165EA0.htm
* The Jordan Times (Jordan)
"Not the America that once was"
http://www.alrai.com/frame.php?type=LINK&link=http://www.jordantimes.com/
* New York Times (US)
"Past Time to Get Real on Iraq"
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/09/opinion/09tue1.html
"Thrusting New Strategy on a 'Sovereign Nation'"
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/09/world/middleeast/09assess.html
* The Peninsula (Qatar)
"Experts skeptical of Iraqi prime minister"
http://www.thepeninsulaqatar.com/commentary/commentaryother.asp?file=januarycommentary382007.xml
* Der Spiegel (Germany)
"More Blood, More Money, More Doubts"
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,459048,00.html
* Sydney Morning Herald (Australia)
"A new strategy, a last chance"
http://www.smh.com.au/news/editorial/iraq-a-new-strategy-a-last-chance/2007/01/11/1168105111277.html
* The Telegraph (UK)
"Bush Boldly Decides on One Last Roll of the Dice"
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2007/01/11/dl1101.xml
"Too Little, Too Late"
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/01/11/wiraq211.xml
* The Washington Post
"Congressional Pushback"
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/13/AR2007011300958.html

The House Committee on Foreign Affairs is holding a series of briefings and hearings on Iraq this month. They began with reaction to Bush's speech then heard from Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.
http://foreignaffairs.house.gov/press_display.asp?id=259
http://foreignaffairs.house.gov/press_display.asp?id=261
http://foreignaffairs.house.gov/press_display.asp?id=263
http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2007/78640.htm

Rice also testified before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. The Senate held several other briefings regarding Iraq, including alternatives to the President's plan, and will conduct more hearings later this month.
http://foreign.senate.gov/hearings/2007/hrg070110a.html
http://foreign.senate.gov/hearings/2007/hrg070111a.html
http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2007/78605.htm
http://foreign.senate.gov/hearings/2007/hrg070111p.html

The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) released a special report on "Securing, Stabilizing, and Rebuilding Iraq: Key Issues for Congressional Oversight. GAO-07-308SP", which is based on the 67 Iraq-related reports and testimonies GAO has provided Congress since the invasion. Topics covered include strategy and costs; security conditions; governance challenges; reconstruction challenges; US military readiness; and improving acquisition outcomes.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-308SP

The US Army has apologized for sending letters to officers killed or injured in action, urging them to return to duty.
http://www.army.mil/-newsreleases/2007/01/06/1237-vice-chief-expresses-senior-army-leadership-disappointment-in-letter-error/

The National Academy of Science reviewed a White House Office of Management and Budget proposal to standardize risk assessments with standard evaluation procedures. The review liked the idea, but found that the standards were unclear, incomplete, unbalanced, and poorly defines, and should be withdrawn. Technical guidance should be left with the specific agency.
http://www8.nationalacademies.org/onpinews/newsitem.aspx?RecordID=11811l

Syracuse University's Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse reports on "a complex, obscure and in some cases controversial procedure under which an estimated 300,000 non-citizens have been deported from the US in the last decade and a half after being categorized as 'aggravated felons'." This number is increasing rapidly, but although many of those categorized as "aggravated felons" have previously been convicted of very serious crimes, others have been involved in less serious charges and misdemeanors, raising concerns among immigration groups. Also note the related articles regarding the difficulties in challenging deportation, and the use of anti-terrorism laws to reject legitimate asylum seekers.
http://trac.syr.edu/immigration/reports/175/
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/07/AR2007010701281.html
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/07/AR2007010701144.html

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez has sworn in his new cabinet. In comments following the ceremony, he announced plans to move further towards a socialist republic, including nationalizing key power and telecommunication companies and ending foreign ownership of crud oil refineries. Following the announcement, Venezuelan financial markets fell sharply. Chavez himself has been sworn in for a third term, and plans to amend the constitution to permit unlimited numbers of consecutive terms.
http://www.venezuelanalysis.com/news.php?newsno=2187
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PRM Asia Pacific
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The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) met in the Philippines, where they signed several agreements to reinforce political, economic and social cooperation. A key agreement would accelerate the move towards a community charter like that used by the EU.
http://www.aseansec.org/19260.htm

The Islamic Friendship Association of Australia (IFAA) has apologized for comments made by top Muslim cleric Sheikh Taj el-Din Al Hilali. He suggested that Muslim Australians had more right to live in the country than the white descendants of convicts. This followed remarks last year comparing contemporary women to undressed meat.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200701/s1825372.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6260755.stm

China and Russia vetoed a draft resolution calling for Burma (Myanmar) to release all political prisoners, begin a widespread dialog, and end military attacks and human rights abuses against ethnic minorities. China and Russia said the issues were internal affairs that did not threaten international peace and security, and were therefore outside the appropriate realm of the Security Council. ASEAN asked Burma's military junta to increase the pace of democratization and national reconciliation.
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=21228&Cr=myanmar&Cr1=

Last Friday, Chinese authorities entered the Jianying Hope School, where they forced 2,000 students, mainly children of poor migrant workers, onto buses. Some 300 government officials and police insisted that the school was illegal, unsuitable, and used unqualified teachers. Instead, it was found that the school's lease had expired and that it was located in a land clearance area marked for development. After finding this out, parents and teachers arrived on Monday to demand that the children finish their school term. Police violently dispersed the crowd, but caused no serious injuries.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/09/asia/AS-GEN-China-School-Clash.php

Fiji's self-appointed interim Prime Minister, Commander Frank Bainimarama, has appointed new ministers to form his interim government. As his grip on power increases, so does the risk of violence.

Japan has elevated the defense agency to a full-fledged ministry. Although a largely symbolic move, China expressed concerns rooted in Japan's past military aggression.

Kazakhstan's Prime Minister Danial Akhmetov unexpectedly resigned, forcing the government to step down, and casting doubt over the next government.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/01/08/news/kazakh.php

South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun has proposed that South Korea and Japan abandon naming a disputed body of water known respectively as the East Sea or the Sea of Japan, and instead adopt a common name, such as the Sea of Peace of the Sea of Friendship. The Dokdo/Takeshima islands are also disputed, as are other issues deriving from Japan's World War II occupation. Japan has reacted coolly to the suggestion, as has the South Korean public.
http://times.hankooki.com/lpage/nation/200701/kt2007011219224111990.htm
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/tokyo-wont-agree-to-sea-change/2007/01/09/1168104983418.html

Thailand, citing the security situation, has revoked the diplomatic passport of ousted Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, and told local media not to publicize his or his representative's comments.
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PRM Europe
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Austria's Social Democrats (center-left) and People's Party (conservative) have agreed to form a Grand Coalition, three months after a close general election.

Czech President Vaclav Klaus has appointed a new government led by Prime Minister Mirek Topolanek. However, it will have only 100 of the 200 seats in parliament, and depends on two independent members to achieve a majority. The new government faces a vote of confidence within 30 days.

In "On the march - how Germany's extreme right is making gains in the blighted east", Bertrand Benoit describes how patient fieldwork is helping the National Democratic party build a power base in poor rural areas.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/a189eb54-9f86-11db-9e2e-0000779e2340.html

The Lithuanian Catholic Church plans to sue MTV for a satirical cartoon program, 'Popetown'.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,459076,00.html
http://www.tvsquad.com/2007/01/06/popetown-keeps-offending-video/

In Poland, the Archbishop of Warsaw, Stanislaw Wielgus, resigned minutes before his inauguration, following recent disclosures that he had cooperated with communist-era secret police. He had previously denied the charges.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/low/europe/6238743.stm
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,458307,00.html
http://today.reuters.com/news/articlenews.aspx?type=topNews&storyID=2007-01-08T091145Z_01_L07772881_RTRUKOC_0_US-POLAND-CHURCH.xml

Russian authorities maintaining a ban imposed on Georgian fruit and vegetables refused to let trucks carrying more than a thousand tons of tangerines enter North Ossetia. The drivers of some 60 trucks are blocking the crossing to South Ossetia, where pro-Russian separatists refuse to recognize Georgia's authority. Russia sent armored personnel carriers to the checkpoint, and North Ossetia security says they will restore order.

Switzerland has signed a cross-border security with Germany to improve cooperation in deterring terrorist attacks using civilian aircraft.
http://www.swissinfo.org/eng/front/detail/Swiss_German_accord_to_deter_terrorist_attacks.html?siteSect=105&sid=7418026&cKey=1168443509000

UK Prime Minister Tony Blair gave a major speech in which he acknowledged that his policy of military intervention for humanitarian purposes is controversial but essential, and that any retreat in the "war on terror" would be catastrophic.
http://www.number10.gov.uk/output/Page10735.asp

Northern Ireland Progressive Unionist Party leader David Ervine has died, aged 53. He was a loyalist paramilitary affiliated with the Ulster Volunteer Force, and was imprisoned for a car bombing in the 1970s.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/Northern_Ireland/Story/0,,1985673,00.html

The European Commission and others challenged the Scottish Nationalist Party's core assumption that an independent Scotland would automatically become a member of the European Union. Instead, membership would have to be negotiated, throwing the flagship polity of "independence in Europe" into question.
http://news.scotsman.com/index.cfm?id=35012007
http://euobserver.com/9/23197
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PRM Middle East
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Madrid Fifteen Years Later met to try to resurrect the momentum generated by that historic event, making little progress but stimulating discussion.
http://odin.dep.no/ud/english/news/speeches/minister_a/0/dok-bu.html
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=SPEECH/07/7
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=6827949
http://www.madrid15.org/

Palestinian President Abbas opposes interim peace deals. He will meet with US Secretary of State Rice and ask for US assistance in a final agreement.
http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/01/14/rice.mideast.ap/index.html

Iran's President Ahmadinejad is visiting Latin America, meeting new leftist leaders with whom he desires to ally.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/14/AR2007011400354.html

Three independent UN human rights experts called on Iran to stop the imminent execution of seven Iranian Arab dissidents on charges of "being at war with God". They are part of a group of ten, three whom were executed in December, sentenced to death in a secret trial, with convictions based on confessions extorted by torture.
http://www.unhchr.ch/huricane/huricane.nsf/view01/31A0C4FE25DC547EC125725F005D3DDA?opendocument

Following continued controversy surrounding Saddam Hussein's hanging, Iraqi President Jalal Talabani has called for a delay in the execution of Barzan al-Tikriti and Awad al-Bandar, who were sentenced to death for the mass killing of Shias in the 1980s. Talabani himself has not authority over the matter.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=2&article_id=78360

The UN refugee agency launched a $60- million appeal for emergency aid for the tens of thousands fleeing violence in Iraq every month.
http://www.unhcr.org/iraq.html

For coverage on the US Bush administration's Iraq strategy see GTM/Americas and PRM/Americas, above.

Israel has appointed Raleb Majadele as science and technology minister. He is the first Arab Muslim in Israel's cabinet. The appointment has drawn angry protests from the far right.

Protests in Lebanon have focused on labor fears over the proposed economic reform program.

Israel's High Court of Justice imposed a relatively severe fine of NIS 100,000 on construction companies building apartments in the West Bank settlement of Upper Modi'in in defiance of a temporary court injunction.
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PRM South Asia
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Afghanistan Information and Culture Ministry has banned an Indian film set around the fall of the Taliban after the ethnic Hazara minority objected to being described "the most dangerous tribe" in the country.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=4&article_id=78308

Bangladesh was plunged into political chaos when weeks of protest led to a declaration of a state of emergency. Interim President Iajuddin Ahmed stepped down, and elections scheduled for 22 January were postponed. An indefinite all-night curfew is in place, and citizen's rights have been suspended. UN and EU election observer missions are suspended. The army is enforcing the state of emergency, and Ahmed's caretaker government has been reconstituted.
http://www.thedailystar.net/2007/01/13/d7011301033.htm
http://www.thedailystar.net/2007/01/14/d7011401022.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/6255773.stm

In the Indian state of West Bengal, a general strike was called to protest government plans to acquire farmland for industrialization, after six people died in political clashes.

Nepal's Maoist Party has named the 73 people designated as members of parliament in the interim government. They will hold their first meeting on Monday.

UN monitors have arrived in Nepal to begin putting weapons held by Maoist rebels beyond use.

Ahmed Rashid reviews the year ahead in Pakistan, including general elections.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/6211639.stm

Pakistan has denied claims from US intelligence director Negroponte that al Qaeda and Taleban are hiding inside Pakistan.

A peace rally in the Sri Lankan capital Colombo was abandoned after Deputy Labor Minister Mervyn Silva and his supporters attacked and beat them, including a BBC reporter. Hundreds of journalists have responded with their own protests.
http://www.lankanewspapers.com/news/2005/12/4707.html
http://www.tamilnet.com/art.html?catid=13&artid=15473
http://www.wsws.org/articles/2007/jan2007/sril-j13.shtml


3. AML/CFT Monitor

Anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism is not simply an issue of compliance with local regulations. It is a global crime that can only be understood by crossing national or regional boundaries. Subscribers to the monthly AML/CFT Monitor receive information and analysis of worldwide incidents, trends, legal and regulatory issues, modalities, and related topics such as financial fraud and narcoterrorism. Purchase a subscription at our online store:
TAMNI Publications

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AML/CFT Incidents/Cases
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Algeria has opened the trial of 104 co-defendants accused in connection with the 2003 collapse of Khalifa Bank and disappearance of $45 million from its accounts. Most prominent among the defendants is UK businessman Abdelmoumene Rafik Khalifa, who is being tried in absentia.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=3&article_id=78305
http://www.elkhabar.com/FrEn/lire.php?ida=55875&idc=52
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,9010,00.html

China detected its largest money laundering racket, in Shanghai, when a bank reported that a customer was making money transfers multiple times a day.
http://www.shanghaidaily.com/article/?id=302261&type=Metro

Former Philippines justice secretary Hernando Perez, his wife Rosario, his brother-in-law Ramon Arceo, and business associate Ernest Escaler have been charged with money laundering, graft, extortion, and falsification of public documents.
http://www.philstar.com/philstar/News200701090401.htm

Representatives of Somalia's Union of Islamic Courts (UIC) visited London last November, where they met with Foreign Office officials, and garnered support from local sympathizers. They raised thousands of pounds for road repair and defense.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/alqaida/story/0,,1989407,00.html

Former Suriname Trade Minister Siegfried Gilds is being tried on money laundering and other charges connected with property deals.
http://www.caribbeannetnews.com/cgi-script/csArticles/articles/000050/005047.htm

Neil Kynoch has admitted using his Berkshire Motor World car dealership to help launder the proceeds of a GBP1.3 million pound bank fraud involving identity theft. Four other defendants are also on trial.
http://icberkshire.icnetwork.co.uk/0100news/0200berkshireheadlines/tm_headline=car-dealer-admits-laundering-thousands-of-pounds-cash&method=full&objectid=18449959&siteid=50102-name_page.html

Colville Hogsett, Gary William James Riddell and George Campbell Kennedy were remanded into custody in Northern Ireland on blackmail, terrorist funding, and weapons charges associated with a loyalist extortion scheme.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/northern_ireland/6236969.stm

Financing for the largest mosque in New England includes contributions from a Saudi Arabian bank that some people have accused of supporting extremists.
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/homeaffairs/story/0,,1988288,00.html

Lee Cobb and Joseph Upshaw were arrested for smuggling steroids, and have been charged with trafficking and money laundering.
http://www.kwwl.com/Global/story.asp?S=5932486&nav=2Ifu

Former New Jersey prosecutor Paul Bergrin and his associates James Cortopassi and Hiram Ortiz, were charged with money laundering and conspiracy in connection with promoting prostitution.
http://www.newsday.com/news/local/wire/newyork/ny-bc-ny--prosecutor-prosti0110jan10,0,496881.story

Also in New Jersey, medical services company MedSys's CEO Anthony Rubino has been charged with laundering the proceeds of an alien smuggling operation.
http://www.nj.com/business/ledger/index.ssf?/base/business-5/116849437521840.xml

Reverend Keigh Brooks, who founded the Power of Deliverance Temple/Judah Sanctuary of Praise, pleaded guilty to money laundering and corruption in connection with renting a home to a drug dealer.
http://www.ohio.com/mld/beaconjournal/16418268.htm

In Virginia, Monica Blair Yates has been indicted on charges of money laundering, mail fraud and wire fraud associated with the theft of nearly $1.5 million from clients for whom she was supposed to provide financial advise.
http://www.roanoke.com/news/breaking/wb/99855

Zimbabwe dismissed reports that diamonds were being smuggled into South Africa by River Ranch Limited, in violation of the Kimberley Process.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57054
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AML/CFT Legislation and Regulation
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Australian Foreign Affairs Minister Alexander Downer commented on an investigation into funding of a mosque by Saudi extremists. The Saudi embassy issued a statement expressing its shock at the comments, and the Foreign Office issued a statement that indicated they had not implicated Saudi Arabia.
http://www.foreignminister.gov.au/transcripts/2007/070108_abc.html
http://www.foreignminister.gov.au/transcripts/2007/070108_ds.html
http://www.ajn.com.au/news/news.asp?pgID=2391

China and Russia have condemned recent US actions against defense firms the US has sanctioned for allegedly selling weapons or components of WMD to Iran and Syria.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007-01/09/content_5584553.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6238805.stm

Germany's second-largest bank, Commerzbank, cites US pressure in its decision to terminate business with Iran conducted in dollars, at the end of this month.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2f452992-a1e2-11db-8bc1-0000779e2340.html

Guyana is circulating for comment a new AML bill that would include new reporting provisions, money transfer controls, and other changes to the old Money Laundering Prevention Act of 2000. Legislation to allow casinos will proceed. Prime Minister Sam Hinds said that the risk of casinos for laundering money are similar to those in any other business, and more robust AML legislation will be presented to parliament in the spring.
http://www.stabroeknews.com/index.pl/article_general_news?id=56511248
http://www.stabroeknews.com/index.pl/article_general_news?id=56511399

Iran's State Expediency Council says it supports AML efforts, including new legislation that would take into account international law and ensure that Iran is on a level with other regional states.
http://www.iranmania.com/News/ArticleView/Default.asp?NewsCode=48746&NewsKind=Current%20Affairs

Pakistan's National Assembly Standing Committee on Finance and Revenue met to review the Anti-Money Laundering Bill, 2006.
http://www.thenews.com.pk/print1.asp?id=38145

Britain's Assets Recovery Agency, established to take monies from criminals to help combat organized crime, will become part of the Serious Organized Crime Agency, established last year to address drug trafficking and other major crimes.
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/homeaffairs/story/0,,1988288,00.html

The US Treasury designated Iran's state-owned Bank Sepah, pursuant to Executive Order 13382, which freezes the assets of proliferators of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and their supporters and isolates them financially. Under secretary for terrorism and financial intelligence Stuart Levey reports that Bank Sepah has provided financial services to Iranian missile and aerospace firms previously designated as proliferators, as well as facilitating business with North Korea's chief ballistic missile-related exporter, KOMID.
http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/hp219.htm
http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/hp220.htm

Bank Sepah denies the charges and says it will pursue legal action.
http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/news/news-usa-iran-bank.html

Meanwhile, the US Bush administration is providing $86 million to support Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas' security forces, an effort that could easily backfire.
http://pewforum.org/news/display.php?NewsID=12400
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB116855166917574338.html

Dr Palitha Kohona represented the Sri Lankan government in a visit to Australia, where he called for Australia to enact laws making it illegal to raise money for the Tamil Tigers. Australia classifies the Tigers as a terrorist organization but has not implemented legislation against them.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/put-ban-on-tigers-support-sri-lanka/2007/01/08/1168104923490.html
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AML/CFT Modalities
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Addressing the case of rocket launchers stolen from the Australian Defense Force, Anthony Bergin discusses the links between terrorism and organized crime, pointing to their shared financial networks.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,21044911-7583,00.html

The Correctional Service of Canada describes organized crime in the country. The level of sophistication and complexity of organized crime has increased dramatically among traditional groups as well as eastern European, Asian and Aboriginal gangs, outlaw motorcycle gangs, Colombian cartels, and others with business connections that span the globe.
http://www.csc-scc.gc.ca/text/pblct/letstalk/2006/31-2/2_e.shtml

Mexican drug cartels are moving into Peru, supporting Shining Path's reemergence.
http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/news/world/stories/010708dnintlperucartels.3323e00.html

This is just one example of narcotrafficking in Latin America. It is also a major source for financing The Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia and other groups.
http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=36083


4. Emerging Threat Monitor

Climate change, pandemics, and global economic imbalances are just a few of the threats emerging in this 21st century. Subscribers to the Emerging Threat Monitor stay a step ahead with monthly analysis of trends and responses worldwide. It offers executives a heads-up of new risks, and details of the policies and best practices gleaned from every country around the globe. Subscriptions to Emerging Threat Monitor can be purchased at our online store:
TAMNI Publications

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ETM Corruption and Transnational Crime
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India's Supreme Court has upheld the federal parliament's decision to expel 11 members who were secretly filmed taking bribes. The Members of Parliament are from both the government and opposition parties.

A Dahaf Institute poll finds that 84 percent of Israelis believe their political leadership is corrupt.
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/812010.html

Corruption investigations regarding Israel's tax authority are expanding to include Prime Minister Olmert.

A South Korean investigation into a corruption scandal involving bribery at the Financial Supervisory Service may also implicate senior politicians.
http://www6.lexisnexis.com/publisher/EndUser?Action=UserDisplayFullDocument&orgId=101730&topicId=101180003&docId=l:556446769

After a bribery investigation into the sale of British fighter jets to Saudi Arabia was dropped, delivery of 72 Eurofighter is getting under way. In the UK, legal action is being taken against the Serious Fraud Office, alleging that rather than the excuse of national security that was given, the investigation was dropped for political reasons.
http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/01/08/saudi.warplanes.ap/
http://www.thelawyer.com/cgi-bin/item.cgi?id=123649&d=122&h=24&f=46
http://www.baesystems.com/
http://www.sfo.gov.uk/news/prout/pr_497.asp?id=497

Now, the UK Serious Fraud Office (SFO) has asked for legal assistance from South Africa following explosive new allegations of dirty money and influence peddling in a BAE arms deal with South Africa.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleId=295457
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ETM Economies and Financial Systems
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The World Economic Forum's 2007 Global Risk Report highlights "a growing disconnect between the power of global risks to cause major systemic disruption, and our ability to mitigate them. It highlights current needs, and recommends innovations including global coalitions around specific issues, and escaping risk silos.
http://www.weforum.org/en/media/Latest%20Press%20Releases/Global_Risks_2007_report

Foreign direct investment (FDI) grew in 2006 for the third consecutive year to reach $1.2 trillion, according to initial estimates released by the UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). However, economic growth is likely to slow this year because of high commodity prices and other factors.
http://www.unctad.org/Templates/webflyer.asp?docid=7993&intItemID=1528&lang=1

EU business confidence has overtaken the US for the first time in the five years that Grant Thornton has been producing their International Business Report. Asian business optimism outpaces both Europe and the US.
http://www.internationalbusinessreport.com/main/index1.php?page=123&lang=en&id=112904&country_id=0

France's Conseil d'orientation des retraites (Pensions Advisory Council) has called for increased employment of older workers and a fresh look at the pensions system to prevent retirement expenses creating an unsustainable economic burden.
http://www.businessinsurance.com/cgi-bin/news.pl?newsId=9222
http://www.cor-retraites.fr/

Increasing violence in the Niger Delta has led to a loss of some $4.4 billion oil revenue during the past year.
http://allafrica.com/stories/200701090118.html
http://www.nigeria.gov.ng/todayspressrelease.aspx#FG_GIVES_A_BUDGET_BREAKDOWN_FOR_N2.3_TRILLION_FOR_2007.

South Sudan has introduced a new currency. The Sudani replaces the dinar that was introduced in 1992 and was seen as a measure to extend Arabization. Northern Sudan is Muslim, while the south is Christian and animist.
http://www.cbos.gov.sd/currency/en/index.html

Over the next two years, Thailand will tighten regulations governing foreign businesses. Changes to the Foreign Business Act would prevent a foreign company from controlling more than 49 percent of the voting rights of a Thai business. Banking, retail, and other key sectors would be exempt. The proposed legislation, which must pass the parliament and the King, risks further damage to the shaky economy.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a9qvpA6NBXCc
http://nationmultimedia.com/2007/01/10/opinion/opinion_30023739.php
http://today.reuters.com/news/articlenews.aspx?type=worldNews&storyID=2007-01-09T112459Z_01_BKK28453_RTRUKOC_0_US-THAILAND-ECONOMY-INVESTMENT.xml

Vietnam has become the 150th member of the World Trade Organization.

Zimbabwe's inflation rate reached 1,281.1 percent in December.
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ETM Environment and Climate Change
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The Australian Commonwealth Scientific and Research Organization (CSIRO) has predicted that by 2050 climate change will have virtually eliminated snowfalls. University of New South Wales researchers in the Laboratory for Ecosystem Science and Sustainability say that as the snow vanishes, water yields will plummet, and the forests will dry out. In turn, there will be massive bushfires. These events will have a calamitous impact throughout the River Murray region and far beyond.
http://www.science.unsw.edu.au/news/2007/bushfire.html
http://www.csiro.au/csiro/content/standard/ps50.html

China has failed to meet its targets on emissions and energy efficiency. Several power companies have been cited for polluting or not obtaining proper environmental approvals.

European Commission head Jose Manuel Barroso has called for a post-industrial revolution in which a common European energy policy will reduce the region's greenhouse gas output by 20 percent by 2020.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/07/29
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/8
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6247723.stm

A major focus of EC efforts will be mandatory efficiency standards on all new vehicles sold in Europe, and additional costs imposed on gas guzzlers.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6257327.stm

Key points of the Commission Communication, "Limiting Global Climate Change" are:
* Climate change is already happening. It is a global problem that requires a global solution. The EU, responsible for 14 percent of worldwide emissions, cannot solve the problem alone.
* Global warming has to be limited to no more than 2 degrees C above the pre-industrial temperature to prevent dangerous levels of climate change. It is both technically feasible and economically affordable to meet this objective if major emitters act swiftly.
* To have a 50/50 chance of staying within the 2 degrees C limit, the world will need to cut greenhouse gas emissions by as much as 50 percent of 1990 levels by 2050. As an essential step towards this long-term reduction, the group of developed countries should cut their emissions to an average of 30 percent below 1990 levels by 2020 under a new global climate change agreement.
* The EU should continue to take the lead by committing autonomously to reduce its own emissions by at least 20 percent below 1990 levels by 2020. This figure should be increased to 30 percent as part of a satisfactory global agreement. The measures foreseen in the Strategic EU Energy Review, together with others already in place, will deliver a significant share of the EU reduction.
* Action by developing countries will also be essential, since their emissions are projected to overtake those from developed countries by 2020. Developing countries should start to slow the rate of growth in their emissions as soon as possible, and then reduce their emissions in absolute terms from 2020-2025 onwards. Many options are available that would deliver immediate economic and social benefits and would not affect their pursuit of economic growth and poverty reduction.
* To control climate change effectively it will also be essential to halt tropical deforestation completely within the next two decades and then reverse it through afforestation or reforestation schemes. Deforestation currently contributes around 20 percent of global greenhouse emissions - more than transport.
* By offering a 30 percent emissions reduction in the context of a satisfactory global agreement, and committing autonomously to a cut of at least 20 percent, the EU would provide a clear basis for public and private investment in a low-carbon EU economy. This will increase EU resilience to oil price shocks, spur technical innovation and improve local air quality.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/17
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/16

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reported that 2006 was the warmest year on record for the US. In this report it acknowledged for the first time that, " A contributing factor to the unusually warm temperatures throughout 2006 also is the long-term warming trend, which has been linked to increases in greenhouse gases."
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2007/s2772.htm

US President Bush lifted a ban on oil and gas drilling in the North Aleutian Basin of Alaska, known as Bristol Bay, and a second area in the Central Gulf of Mexico, both home to wildlife including endangered species. Bristol Bay may contain some 200 million barrels of oil. The US consumes 20 million barrels per day. Further environmental review will precede drilling.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/01/20070109.html
http://www.interior.gov/news/07_News_Releases/070109.html
http://www.mms.gov/PDFs/010907MMSFactSheet.pdf
http://www.mms.gov/PDFs/PL109d_.pdf (map)
http://www.mms.gov/PDFs/MMS_map_nab_area.pdf (map)
http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/ene_oil_con-energy-oil-consumption

The Detroit Motor Show featured green alternatives, although Chrysler's chief economist launched a fierce attack on "chicken little" attitudes to climate change, an report from which Chrysler issued a response deeming the description of the meeting misleading.
http://media.gm.com/servlet/GatewayServlet?target=http://image.emerald.gm.com/gmnews/viewmonthlyreleasedetail.do?domain=74&docid=31656
http://media.gm.com/servlet/GatewayServlet?target=http://image.emerald.gm.com/gmnews/viewmonthlyreleasedetail.do?domain=74&docid=31747
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6247371.stm
http://www.daimlerchrysler.com/dccom/0-5-7145-1-687391-1-0-0-0-0-0-11979-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0.html
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ETM Human Rights
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Human Rights Watch (HRW) released World Report 2007, on the fifth anniversary of the arrival of the first Guantanamo Bay detainees. (See Recommended Reading, below, for full details on the anniversary.) HRW says that with US credibility undermined by the Bush administration’s use of torture and detention without trial, the EU must fill the leadership void on human rights, and not be dragged down by a lowest common denominator approach. The report cites the bloody crisis in Darfur is the most pressing, with more than 200,000 dead, 2 million displaced, 4 million dependent on international food relief, and its spillover destabilizing Chad and the Central African Republic. Other urgent human rights challenges include:
* Iraq has degenerated into sectarian and political blood-letting, with civilians the principal victims.
* Ruthlessly repressive governments in North Korea, Burma, and Turkmenistan deprive their people of fundamental rights and dignity.
* Dictatorships persist in Saudi Arabia and Syria.
* China is moving backwards.
* Russia and Egypt are cracking down on non-governmental organizations.
* Iran and Ethiopia are silencing dissident voices.
* Robert Mugabe would rather drive Zimbabwe to ruin than tolerate political opposition.
* Civil war is reigniting in Sri Lanka and intensifying in Afghanistan and Somalia
* Conflict continues in Colombia.
* Israel launched indiscriminate attacks in Lebanon and littered southern Lebanon with cluster bombs during its war with Hezbollah.
* For its part, Hezbollah attacked Israeli cities without distinguishing between military and civilian objectives.
http://hrw.org/wr2k7/index.htm

Nepal's Maoist rebels are still recruiting child soldiers.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57040

South Africa's Treatment Information Group, which objects to the use of antiretroviral drugs to treat HIV/AIDS, has submitted a criminal complaint to the International Criminal Court, in which it charges Treatment Action Campaign head Zackie Achmat with genocide for promoting the provision and use of antiretroviral drugs to treat HIV.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=295438
http://www.int.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=14&click_id=125&art_id=vn20070111130203108C477057

The US Senate Committee on the Judiciary held a hearing on "Balancing Privacy and Security: The Privacy Implications of Government Data Mining Programs". Testimony focused on the need for accountability, oversight, and due process. Senators pointed to government data mining programs that in some cases violate US law, and promise to increase oversight.
http://judiciary.senate.gov/hearing.cfm?id=2438

The Department of Defense settled a lawsuit under which it will no longer share high school military recruitment data with third parties, and take other measures to protect privacy.
http://www.aclu.org/studentsrights/gen/27929prs20070109.html
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ETM Infectious Diseases
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The World Economic Forum's 2007 Global Risk Report cites emerging diseases, many driven by climate change, among the serious and growing threats from new risks.
http://www.weforum.org/en/media/Latest%20Press%20Releases/Global_Risks_2007_report

Avian influenza has re-emerged with new animal and human infections in China, Indonesia, and Vietnam. Backyard poultry is common in all three countries, where close contact to humans presents a serious threat of infection and emergence of a strain more easily transmitted from person-to-person. Indonesia is reporting detection of a more virulent strain in ducks.

A 14-year-old Indonesian boy was the first avian influenza fatality of 2007. Two other women have now died as well. Of 77 confirmed cases in Indonesia, 61 have been fatal.

Avian influenza has also been found on two farms in northwestern Nigeria. Mass culls are under way.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57058

The Texas National Guard was called out to evacuate ten blocks in the capital Austin, where dozens of bird deaths were reported. Preliminary measurements showed no air quality problems, and no humans were affected. Autopsies are under way.
http://www.military.com/features/0,15240,121942,00.html

The EU has implemented strict rules for imports of live captive birds to protect animal health and reduce threats to human health, in particular, avian influenza. The UN is concerned that the ban, which does not include live domestic poultry, may create black markets and undermine poor African communities.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/07/40
http://www.cites.org/eng/news/press_release.shtml

UK workers will be vaccinated for seasonal flu to help minimize the risk of catching human and bird flu at the same time.
http://www.gnn.gov.uk/environment/fullDetail.asp?ReleaseID=254912

Canada's SARS Commission, an independent investigation undertaken by Justice Archie Campbell, has released its final report, "Spring of Fear". The report includes 92 recommendations, including strong recommendations for better worker protection and disease controls.
http://www.sarscommission.ca/report/index.html

In Thailand, Thammasat University researchers warn that global warming has led cholera toxin to reproduce year-round, rather than just during the summer, suggesting the problem will spread to more locations, and there will be more outbreaks. Other diseases are likely to show similar growth.
http://nationmultimedia.com/2007/01/12/headlines/headlines_30023943.php

Duke University Medical Center researchers have developed a highly sensitive test of identifying drug-resistant HIV strains in patients.
http://www.dukehealth.org/news/9985
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ETM Legal Systems
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The Correctional Service of Canada has reviewed government proposals for minimum sentences, a 3-strikes law, and other elements of a plan to get hard on crime. The review found that these proposals would violate Charter rights of inmates, disproportionately affect aboriginal people, and lead to serious prison overcrowding, while doing little or nothing to improve public safety.
http://www.thestar.com/article/169976
http://www.csc-scc.gc.ca/

India's Supreme Court has issued a landmark ruling in which more than 200 controversial laws will be open to judicial review.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/6251067.stm

UK Home Secretary John Reid explained to Parliament how foreign convictions are recorded, following reports that ignorance of such records may have cleared criminals to work with vulnerable people.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/01/11/nreid112.xml
http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news/foreign-convictions
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/6247715.stm

Dissatisfaction over poor pay and working conditions led Zimbabwe Police Commissioner Augustine Chihuri to predict that more than 10 percent of the police force will quit within the next few months, and efforts to prevent this could spark open rebellion.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleId=295108
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ETM Natural Resources
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Rumors of gold sparked a desperate rush to a small Brazilian town. The illegal mines threaten the environment and pose risks to the personal security and health of the residents.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/brazil/story/0,,1987511,00.html

Growing demand for India's natural stone has had a negative impact on the workers and the environment.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio4/science/costingtheearth.shtml

UN peacekeepers have been called in to assist Liberian police to enhance security and improve management of the Cocopa Plantation, helping to ensure that the government, which is consolidating democracy after 14 years of civil war, has control over the country's natural resources and the communities where they are found.
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=21225&Cr=liberia&Cr1=
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ETM Populations
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Despite some initial hurdles, Botswana's displaced San Bushmen will finally return home.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57033
http://www.survival-international.org/news.php?id=2151

The National Population and Family Planning Commission of China reports that 118 boys were born to every 100 girls in 2005, indicating that by 2020 there will be 30 million more men of marriageable age than women. This gender imbalance could lead to social instability, exacerbated by a large increase in the elderly population and limited resources.
http://www.npfpc.gov.cn/en/en2007-01/news20070112.htm

Mortality rates in China's least developed rural areas, where just under half the population live, are four to six times higher than urban areas, accounting for three quarters of total mortality.
http://www.unicef.org/media/media_38010.html

Details of more than 30 million British immigrants, obtained from ship and other archival records, are now available on a new website:
http://www.ancestorsonboard.com
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ETM Social Responsibility
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The Los Angeles Times reviewed the goals of the Gates Foundation relative to their investments, finding a number of serious contradictions that may lead to changes among many charitable foundations. One example given was profitable holdings in energy giant Eni, which is responsible for gas flares in Nigeria that cause serious environmental and health problems not addressed by the Foundation's vaccine campaign. At this time, the Gates Foundation does not invest in tobacco stocks or companies in which ownership would represent a conflict of interest; they do not anticipate changes in their approach to investments, and reports that they could shift to ethical investments represent a misunderstanding.
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-gatesx07jan07,1,955743.story
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-gates8jan08,1,3847459.story
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-gateswebboxdec12,1,316611.story
http://www.gatesfoundation.org/AboutUs/Announcements/Announce-070109.htm

The UN Development Program is working with the European Commission to embed codes of corporate social responsibility in private sector companies among new member states Bulgaria, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland and Slovakia, and candidate countries Croatia, Macedonia, and Turkey
http://content.undp.org/go/newsroom/
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ETM Technology
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The European Commission launched ERAWATCH, a new online information platform that provides information on research systems and policies.
http://cordis.europa.eu/erawatch/

British army intelligence reports say that Iraqi terrorists are using Google Maps to hit UK targets.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/01/13/wgoogle13.xml

The UK Commons Science and Technology Committee took evidence on the space program, in which it heard that the lack of a national space program with a central budget hurt its participation in international contracts.
http://www.parliament.uk/parliamentary_committees/science_and_technology_committee/scitechspace.cfm

The US Supreme Court ruled 8 to 1 in favor of MedImmune, by finding that its payment of royalties did not forfeit its right to challenge a Genentech patent.
http://www.supremecourtus.gov/opinions/06pdf/05-608.pdf

Wake Forest University School of Medicine researchers report another potential source of stem cells, using amniotic fluid rather than embryos.
http://www1.wfubmc.edu/news/NewsArticle.htm?Articleid=2020

The US House of Representatives passed - again - a bill supporting stem cell research. President Bush says he will veto the bill, as he did before, and congress is unlikely to have enough votes to overturn the veto.
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ETM Weapons (WMD, Proliferation)
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The Center for Nonproliferation Studies has released a special report, "North Korea Likely to Conduct Second Nuclear Test". In it, Daniel Pinkston and Shin Sungtack describe recent reports indicating possible preparations at the Mount Mant'ap nuclear test site, a step in line with North Korean officials' repeated warnings that they are prepared to continue nuclear activities. Political and technical factors suggest that North Korea should be expected to conduct at least one or two more nuclear tests before its leaders can be confident in their "nuclear deterrent".
http://www.cns.miis.edu/pubs/week/pdf/070108.pdf

Only 46 countries and the EU have reported to the UN regarding steps taken to apply sanctions imposed on North Korea.
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2007/sc8938.doc.htm

The US House Committee on Foreign Affairs held a hearing on Next Steps in the Iran Crisis, revealing sharp divisions on whether to attempt diplomatic engagement.
http://foreignaffairs.house.gov/press_display.asp?id=262

Iranian authorities have arrested a suspect who worked for the Iranian Parliament’s Research Center, for allegedly selling nuclear secrets to exiled Iranian opposition group the People’s Mujahedeen.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/09/africa/ME-GEN-Iran-Nuclear-Spy.php

In a BBC interview, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said that "Japan cannot tolerate North Korea owning nuclear weapons nor the means to deliver them", and called for international cooperation t prevent this.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6241431.stm

The Sunday Times (London) reported last week that Israel's air force is training to attack Iran's nuclear facilities with tactical nuclear weapons. Israeli officials denied the report.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/newspaper/0,,176-2535310,00.html
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory?id=2776918

US officials plan to take the "best ideas" from two very different designs for a new generation of nuclear warheads.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/07/washington/07nuke.html

IAEA sponsored a conference in Algeria where African nations gathered to discuss ways to improve nuclear security, including monitoring uranium mining and preventing smuggling. South Africa has Africa's only nuclear power plants. It, as well as Egypt, Ghana, Libya, Morocco, and Nigeria have research reactors. 38 African countries are members of IAEA.
http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2007/dg_algeria.html

Here is the latest news on the investigation of the death by polonium of Alexander Litvinenko:
* Russian federal services detected no radiation traces in Russian planes
http://www.tass.ru/eng/level2.html?NewsID=11136967&PageNum=0
* British police detectives suspect that Litvinenko may have been poisoned twice
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/01/07/nlitvin07.xml
* Britain's Health Protection Agency found 116 of nearly 600 people tested positive
http://www.hpa.org.uk/hpa/news/articles/press_releases/2007/070111_pol210.htm
* Testing now includes 48 countries to evaluate about 450 visitors who may have been exposed.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/11/AR2007011101805.html

Nevada residents most likely to be affected by debris thrown up by the massive conventional Divine Strake explosion are concerned that radioactive particles left in the soil from years of prior nuclear tests could be thrown into the air and threaten the population.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/11/us/11nevada.html
http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/living/health/16431879.htm
http://www.reviewjournal.com/lvrj_home/2007/Jan-06-Sat-2007/news/11815598.html
http://www.sltrib.com/ci_4998530

Lack of expertise and export control loopholes in Japan suggest that the Mitutoyo case is just the tip of the iceberg in the threat of nuclear trafficking.
http://search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-bin/nn20070109b2.html

A Navy analysis of the October 2001 anthrax outbreak in the Hart Senate office building has found evidence that spores infected people outside the building that had been presumed to be unexposed.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/health/2007-01-08-anthrax-usat_x.htm


5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor

The 21st century is the interdependent century. Understanding the implicit and explicit networks on which we rely, and the interdependencies among the sectors of the critical infrastructure is essential for business continuity, economic success, and our very survival. The Critical Infrastructure Monitor, published monthly, analyzes these sectors, regulatory frameworks, and issues of enterprise risk management in global supply chains. Subscriptions can be purchased from our online store:
TAMNI Publications

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CIM Agriculture and Food
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The Food and Agriculture Organization reports that proliferation of standards and codes relating to the growing and supply of foods has generated increasing challenges for developing countries to penetrate markets in richer States but good agricultural practices can also help the developing world cope with globalization
http://www.fao.org/newsroom/en/news/2007/1000475/index.html

The International Atomic Energy Agency is working with African countries to use the sterile insect technique (SIT), where radiation is used to sterilize otherwise healthy insects, which are then released to mate without producing offspring, thus controlling and gradually eradicating the pest population, thereby improving food security.
http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2007/dg_algeria.html

Biofuels are part of the European Commissions plans for alternatives to oil in transport.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/5

Cheap and plentiful animal fats may be the source of the next bio-diesel fuels.
http://www.azstarnet.com/allheadlines/163511

North Korea has called on a German farmer who breeds rabbits the size of dogs to help set up a giant rabbit farm to help alleviate chronic food shortages.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,458863,00.html
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CIM Banking and Finance
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EU rules for cross-border Euro payments have significantly reduced charges. A EU 100 cross-border transfer, which would previously have cost on average EU 24, now costs on average EU 2.50.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/07/32

The European Commission reports that in 2006 the number of counterfeit euro coins removed from circulation was around 164 000. The number increased over 63 000 compared to 2005 but this remains insignificant relative to the total number of 69 billion genuine euro coins in circulation. The 2-euro is most frequently counterfeited, most often with the German national side.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/19

Visa has launched a mobile payments platform.
http://www.corporate.visa.com/md/nr/press310.jsp

The London Stock Exchange continues to fight a hostile takeover by Nasdaq.
http://www.londonstockexchange.com/en-gb/about/Newsroom/pressreleases/2007/nasdaq12jan.htm
http://observer.guardian.co.uk/business/story/0,,1989621,00.html
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CIM Chemical
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A sulfurous odor spread across much of Manhattan and northeastern New Jersey, leading to evacuations and other precautions. Air detectors did not sound an alarm, and its source remains unknown. The odor dispersed after several hours.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/09/nyregion/09smell.html
http://www.wnbc.com/liveat5/10694568/detail.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/10/nyregion/10smell.html

US senators are fighting preemption of chemical security laws. New Jersey, in particular, has legislation much stronger than rules recently proposed by the Department of Homeland Security (DHS).
http://www.govexec.com/story_page.cfm?articleid=35856

The International Dairy Foods Association is concerned that because food and dairy processing facilities often use anhydrous ammonia in refrigeration systems, they could be considered chemical facilities under DHS proposed rules.
http://www.idfa.org/news/stories/2007/01/plant_security.cfm
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CIM Commercial Facilities
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The UK Home Builders Federation is working with the Housing Ministry and environmental groups to discuss ways to ensure that buildings, starting with new homes, are both energy efficient and affordable.
http://www.hbf.co.uk/index.php?id=1577&tx_ttnews[tt_news]=10123&tx_ttnews[backPid]=819&cHash=d7d61609bf
http://www.communities.gov.uk/index.asp?id=1505511
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CIM Cybersecurity
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Adobe has released a patch for cross-site scripting vulnerabilities that also addresses earlier releases of Reader and Acrobat.
http://www.adobe.com/downloads/updates/

Microsoft's monthly patch release included four fixes.
http://www.microsoft.com/athome/security/update/bulletins/200701.mspx
http://isc.sans.org/diary.html?storyid=2034
http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/ms07-jan.mspx

Microsoft got help from the National Security Agency (NSA) to secure the Windows Vista operating system.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/08/AR2007010801352.html

A federal grand jury in Texas has indicted 53 former workers at a Swift meat processing plant on charges of felony identity theft.
http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/dn/latestnews/stories/011007dnmetcactus.28b6b0a3.html

Gabriel Murillo and Kartik Patel have been charged with unauthorized access of a computer in connection with hacking the Los Angeles, California, city traffic center to change traffic lights at four intersections in connection with a job action. Murillo is also charged with identity theft, and Patel with disruption or denial of computer services. Both men were engineers with the Automated Traffic Surveillance Center.
http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/california/la-me-trafficlights9jan09,1,1377761.story

A TRUSTe survey finds that 82 percent of Americans support biometric identification on passports despite 53 percent agreeing that the use of biometrics will greatly reduce personal privacy because the government can track movements, and 63 percent agree that there is high potential for government misuse of the information. More than two-thirds believe that biometric identification on identity documents will make identity theft harder, but also believe that criminals will find a workaround.
http://www.truste.org/about/press_release/01_09_07.php

VeriSign's iDefense unit is offering an $8,000 bounty to researchers who discover previously undocumented vulnerabilities in Windows Vista or IE7 that could allow remote execution or other serious flaws. http://labs.idefense.com/vcp/challenge.php#more_q1+2007%3A+vulnerability+challenge
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CIM Dams and Bridges
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Dams have assumed greater importance as Australia's drought continues. A proposed dam for southeast Queensland is on the table, pending environmental and other reviews. Critics say that damming the Mary River would be ecologically and socially disastrous, and any water would be too expensive.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200701/s1825708.htm
http://www.sd.qld.gov.au/dsdweb/v3/guis/templates/content/gui_cue_cntnhtml.cfm?id=39781

Brazil has closed a bauxite mine after a tailings dam burst.
http://www.mineweb.net/sustainable_mining/577087.htm

The US Energy Department's Inspector General issued a scathing report on the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's (FERC) hydroelectric dam security plans. They found FERC lacked in ensuring licensees followed through on security improvements; lacked documentation and quality control of security assessments; and lacked documentation of yearly security inspections.
http://www.ig.energy.gov/documents/IG-0750.pdf

A US Bureau of Reclamation report on Folsom Dam safety recommends retrofitting for security and other enhancements that could close the recreational area in California for up to seven years.
http://www.edhtelegraph.com/articles/2007/01/10/news/top_stories/02point.txt
http://www.usbr.gov/mp/nepa/nepa_projdetails.cfm?Project_ID=1808.
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CIM Defense Industrial Base
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The US Congress recently passed legislation that brings defense contractors under the Uniform Code of Military Justice.
http://www.brookings.org/views/articles/psinger/20070104.htm

The American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI), Steel Manufacturers Association (SMA), Specialty Steel Industry of North America (SSINA) and United Steelworkers (USW) released "Steel and the National Defense". It says that the US steel industry's ability to supply the defense establishment will depend on its ability to compete in its commercial markets and maintain an onshore manufacturing presence. Losing this would leave the US dangerously dependent upon unreliable foreign sources of supply.
http://www.steel.org/AM/TemplateRedirect.cfm?Template=/CM/ContentDisplay.cfm&ContentID=18258
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CIM Emergency Services
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"Spring of Fear" is the final report of the SARS Commission, an independent inquiry in Canada. 45 percent of those infected with Sudden Acute Respiratory Syndrone were healthcare workers, and two nurses and a doctor died. The report includes 92 recommendations, including strong recommendations for better worker protection and disease controls, and better integrated information with those on the front line.
http://www.sarscommission.ca/report/index.html

Scotland's Wishaw General Hospital accident and emergency was forced to reopen following a 64 percent were experiencing unprecedented patient levels. Three hospitals in Lanarkshire county have seen unprecedented levels of activity, supporting criticism of a decision to close the Monklands casualty unit, one of only three in the county.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/scotland/glasgow_and_west/6244815.stm
http://www.nhslanarkshire.co.uk/News/Winter+Pressures.htm

Coordination between hospitals and state and national emergency planners is essential to ensure coordination during mass casualty and other emergencies.
http://www.washtimes.com/metro/200-7858r.htm
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CIM Energy
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Belarus took legal action against Russia for not paying a new oil transit tax. Russia claims the charges are illegal, so Belarus began siphoning off oil as payment in kind. In turn, supplies were cur off. Transneft's Druzhba pipeline is a key supplier to Europe, where supplies in Poland and branches of the pipeline towards the southeast were affected, as was 20 percent of Germany's supply. This disagreement is an example of a new form of "proxy war" in which Russia is using its energy resources to achieve political goals, in particular, domination of former USSR components and satellites.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6244855.stm
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/01/12/news/belarus.php
http://www.osce.org/item/22874.html
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,458401,00.html
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,458662,00.html

At the end of the week Russia agreed to reduce charges to Belarus, from the $180 previously demanded to $53 per ton. Belarus, in exchange, has lifted the transit tax and will share profits from refined oil exports.
http://www.itar-tass.com/eng/level2.html?NewsID=11152058
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20070112/58992033.html

The EU has agreed on joint action to tackle disruptions in oil supplies from Russia.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/07/35
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/07/34

Georgia has started taking gas from Azerbaijan, in a move to reduce dependence on Russian supplies.
http://www.today.az/news/business/34903.html
http://www.messenger.com.ge/issues/1273_january_11_2007/n_1273_3.htm

Here is a map illustrating how oil and gas travel from Russia to Western Europe.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,458871,00.html

Since the majority shareholder of the Sakhalin-2 project has changed, from a consortium led by Shell to the Russian gas monopoly Gazprom, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has withdrawn its support.
http://www.ebrd.com/new/pressrel/2007/201sakh11jan.htm

European Commission head Jose Manuel Barroso has called for a post-industrial revolution in which a common European energy policy will address both environmental and energy concerns, including the vulnerabilities revealed this week in the dispute between Belarus and Russia. A common energy market is key to achieving the three European energy objectives of competitive costs, energy efficiency and investment including emissions trading, and supply security.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/9
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/7
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6244465.stm

The EC issued an Action Plan to support these goals.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/6
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/13

Technology plays a key role in these EU plans for cheaper renewables, greater efficiency, and global leadership of the energy industry.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/14
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/07/8
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/2&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en

European electricity and gas networks require urgent improvements to ensure a well-functioning united energy market.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/11

Indonesia has terminated its Natuna oil and gas contract with Exxon Mobile.
http://www.tempointeractive.com/hg/ekbis/2007/01/12/brk,20070112-91156,uk.html
http://today.reuters.com/news/articleinvesting.aspx?view=CN&storyID=2007-01-05T113122Z_01_SP151410_RTRIDST_0_INDONESIA-NATUNA-EXXON-UPDATE-1.XML

Turkey has postponed privatization of parts of the electricity distribution network, at least until after the elections, for fear that it would increase prices.

As soybean oil prices increase, biodiesel is looking to exploit cheap and plentiful animal fats, starting with chickens.
http://www.azstarnet.com/allheadlines/163511

US Interior Secretary Dirk Kempthorne announced that he has increased the royalty rate for most new offshore deepwater federal oil and gas leases to 16.7 percent (1/6th).
http://www.interior.gov/news/07_News_Releases/070109.html
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CIM Information Technology
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The One Laptop Per Child program will be released for general sale next year. Customers would purchase two: one for themselves and one going to the developing world. The program launches with five million deliveries this summer.
http://www.laptop.org/

Australia is undertaking a trial of the Green Machines among its indigenous populations.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/laptops--desktops/australia-trials-lowcost-laptop/2007/01/12/1168105153500.html

The Consumer Electronics Show was held this week. Top news included the launch of Apple's iphone and dropping the word computer from the company's name.
http://www.cesweb.org

For excellent coverage, check out BBC Newsnight's Geek Week.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/newsnight/6241879.stm
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CIM Nuclear Reactors, Materials, and Waste
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The EU's approach to nuclear power, safety and security is "for each member state to decide whether to use nuclear power. Nuclear power can have an important role to play in the European Union's energy mix: but it is important to continue to address issues surrounding safety and security. In recognition of this, the European Commission has proposed the establishment of an EU High Level Group of national nuclear regulators in order to further develop a common understanding and European rules in the field of nuclear safety and security."
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/10

British health and safety inspectors are investigating a broken pipe at the Sizewell A nuclear power station, which leaked 40,000 gallons of radioactive water. The leak was contained in the plant.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/england/suffolk/6242083.stm
http://www.eveningstar.co.uk/content/eveningstar/news/story.aspx?brand=ESTOnline&category=News&tBrand=ESTOnline&tCategory=news&itemid=IPED09%20Jan%202007%2014%3A08%3A23%3A043

The UK Health and Safety Executive with other nuclear regulators published guidance on new nuclear power station designs.
http://www.hse.gov.uk/press/2007/e07002.htm

The US Department of Energy released its strategic plan for the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership. It identifies the technology, economic and environmental information necessary to move forward on initiatives including:
* Expand nuclear power to meet growing energy demand;
* Develop, demonstrate, and deploy advanced technologies for recycling spent nuclear fuel without separating plutonium;
* Develop, demonstrate, and deploy advance reactors that consume transuranics;
* Establish reliable fuel services worldwide;
* Develop, demonstrate, and deploy proliferation resistant reactors appropriate to power grids and;
* Develop enhanced safeguards to ensure nuclear energy systems are used for peaceful purposes.
http://www.energy.gov/news/4595.htm
http://www.gnep.energy.gov/pdfs/gnepStrategicPlanJanuary2007.pdf
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CIM Public Health and Healthcare
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More than 12 million people suffer dog or snake bites and scorpion stings each year. The World Health Organization now plans to boost local production of crucial therapeutic sera which can make the difference between life and death or crippling disability for millions of people in poor countries.
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/notes/2007/np01/en/index.html
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs099/en/index.html

The International Atomic Energy Agency is working with African countries in using nuclear and isotopic techniques to assess immune responses of individuals infected by various diseases, to monitor the emergence of drug resistance, and to evaluate the effectiveness of nutrition strategies. Current Agency projects support applying these techniques to national and regional efforts to combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and tuberculosis. Isotope sterilization is being used to combat the tsetse fly, which carries trypanosomosis (sleeping sickness). It is also continuing work to train developing countries in radiation technology and training to diagnose and treat cancer.
http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2007/dg_algeria.html

US television host Oprah Winfrey has opened a girls' school in South Africa that is offering free HIV tests and treatment if necessary. She set an example by taking an HIV test herself. Only half of girls aged 15 will live to see their 60th birthday, due to the scale of the AIDS pandemic.
http://www2.oprah.com/ophilanthropy/owlaf/owlaf_landing.jhtml
http://www.mrc.ac.za/

The US Senate Committee on Finance held a hearing on "Prescription Drug Pricing and Negotiation: An Overview and Economic Perspectives for the Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit". A key component in the testimony was provided by the Government Accountability Office (GAO), based on the findings of their report "Prescription Drugs: An Overview of Approaches to Negotiate Drug Prices Used by Other Countries and US Private Payers and Federal Programs". Current legislation prohibits price negotiations, and congress is considering amending the statute to allow the Secretary of health and Human Services to directly negotiate prices with drug manufacturers. GAO explains that other countries use a range of approaches to limit drug costs, including ceiling prices, reference prices, and profit limits.
http://finance.senate.gov/sitepages/hearing011107.htm
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-358T

The collapse of Zimbabwe's economy has led to the collapse of its once renowned health service.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?area=/breaking_news/breaking_news__africa/&articleId=295252
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CIM Telecommunications
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Repairs on underground cables in Asia have revealed an unprecedented level of damage from the December earthquake. 21 support cables occurred, representing more than normally seen across all of Asia in a year. Systems will not be fully back online before next week. China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan have all been adversely affected by the disaster, which demonstrated the vulnerabilities of these key assets.
http://www.globalmarinesystems.com/news/taiwan05Jan07.pdf

Apple's iPhone may "upset the mobile cart".
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6248603.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/6247803.stm
http://www.apple.com/pr/library/2007/01/09iphone.html

Meanwhile, Cisco has taken legal action for trademark infringement over the name.
http://newsroom.cisco.com/dlls/2007/corp_011007.html?CMP=ILC-001
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CIM Transportation
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Fatal airline accidents reached a 10-year low in 2006, falling from 34 in 2005 to 27 in 2006. Only seven involved passenger jets, but controlled flight into terrain accounted for as many as a quarter of fatal accidents.
http://www.flightglobal.com/Articles/2007/01/09/Navigation/195/211402/.html

The European Ombudsman has called on the European Commission to correct inaccurate and misleading information contained in public information on air passenger rights, following a complaint two airline associations. http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=EO/07/1

Following the Adam Air disaster, Indonesia's Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology is developing and testing an inexpensive but more accurate aircraft tracking system. Several recent incidents in Indonesia have raised serious concerns over its air safety standards.
http://asiasentinel.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=336&Itemid=32
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/JAK90463.htm

Switzerland and Germany signed an aerospace cooperation agreement to address shared intelligence and response in the event of a terrorist attack using civilian aircraft.
http://www.swissinfo.org/eng/front/detail/Swiss_German_accord_to_deter_terrorist_attacks.html?siteSect=105&sid=7418026&cKey=1168443509000

The US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) issued new safety rules for long-range flights. They require jets that fly long distances over oceans or polar regions with no airports have emergency plans for those on board.
http://www.faa.gov/news/press_releases/news_story.cfm?newsId=7975

The US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is providing $445 million among five grant programs to fund ports, transit systems and other components of the critical infrastructure. Of $201.2 million for the Port Security Grant Program 60 percent will be directed toward eight "Tier 1" ports believed to be at highest risk for terrorism: New York-New Jersey, New Orleans, Houston-Galveston, Los Angeles-Long Beach, Puget Sound in Washington state, Delaware Bay, San Francisco Bay and Sabine-Neches River in Texas. The Transit Security Grant Program will $171.8 million for security of rail and bus systems, of which $141 million will go New York-Connecticut-New Jersey, National Capital Region, Boston, San Francisco Bay Area, Chicago, Philadelphia, Greater Los Angeles and Atlanta. $8 million will go to Amtrak for passenger rail security efforts and coordination. Some funds will support ferry, bus, and trucking initiatives.
http://www.dhs.gov/xnews/releases/pr_1168366069190.shtm

The International Maritime Organization has formed a new subdivision to focus on maritime security.
http://www.imo.org/

The US House of Representatives has passed a measure requiring 100 percent screening of air and maritime cargo. The measure now passes to the Senate. The cargo industry and the Bush administration generally oppose the measure.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/09/washington/09terror.html
http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/opinion/orl-ed12207jan12,0,4471267.story
http://www.aircargonews.com/070110/ussecuritybill.html
http://www.aviationweek.com/avnow/news/channel_aviationdaily_story.jsp?id=news/WHI01117.xml

Canada is investing $370 million on an electronic manifest system to speed trade with the US while strengthening security.
http://cbsa-asfc.gc.ca/newsroom/release-communique/2007/0112windsor-e.html

Shortfalls in performance of the US rail system are harming energy supplies, as they hinder coal production.
http://www.riskcenter.com/story.php?id=14069

German engineers have developed a driverless rail taxi.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,458893,00.html
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CIM Water
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The International Atomic Energy Agency is working with African countries to use isotope hydrology as a tool in managing water resources. Because water contains different isotopes, isotopic dating can be used to estimate the origins and movement of water and determine the availability and capacity of underground aquifers.
http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2007/dg_algeria.html

Dental floss has become a major problem at wastewater pumping stations and treatment plants in Toronto, Ontario, where people have been flushing it down the toilet.
http://www.thestar.com/article/169538



6. Disaster Reduction Monitor

Natural and manmade events are inevitable, but they need not become disasters. Subscribers to the monthly Disaster Reduction Monitor learn from past incidents to prevent future disasters. It includes analysis of historical events, emerging risks and risk mitigation, and features new techniques to address disaster reduction, ranging from technical advances to regulatory best practices and micro-finance. Disaster Reduction Monitor subscriptions and other titles can be purchased here:
TAMNI Publications

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DRM Incidents
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A plane carrying mostly Turkish construction workers crashed near Balad, Iraq, killing 33 people, and leaving one severely injured survivor. Fog during landing was blamed for the incident.

Tropical rains saturating the mountain soil on the remote island of Sangihe caused a landslide in which at least 16 people died. A similar number remain missing, and more than 60 homes have been swept away or buried in mud. There have been many such incidents this rainy season.

Mudslides in the Philippines have also led to several fatalities.

In Sri Lanka, mudslides have killed 17 and displaced 9,000.

A series of avalanches across the Alps followed a late snow with high winds that contributed to dangerous conditions. At least eight people died, but dozens more were dug out, some in critical condition.

In the northern Indian state of Uttar Pradesh, a multi-storey building under construction in the town of Allahabad collapsed. At least eight people were killed and 27 injured. Rescue efforts and an investigation into the cause of the 5-storey buildings complete destruction, are under way.

A shaft being excavated in Sao Paulo, Brazil, for a new subway station collapsed, plunging several vehicles, including a minibus, into a giant pit. Rescue operations continue in the effort to reach some seven people feared buried.

A collision between two trains in Thailand, just south of Bangkok, killed three and injured 70 when one train was on the wrong line.

In the first US mining fatality of the year, a collapsed roof at Brooks Run mine in West Virginia killed two miners.

Major rivers have burst their banks, and the subsequent flooding in southern Malaysia has forced the evacuation of more than 90,000 people.

Storms caused power failures in the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland that shut down the Bank of Ireland's ATM service.
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DRM Response and Recovery
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In waters off the Indonesian island of Sulawesi, fragments of the Adam Air plane were found on Thursday, ten days after the plane disappeared. Neither the body of the plane nor any human remains from the 102 people on board have been found. Rewards are offered to those who find the missing pieces.
http://www.flightglobal.com/Articles/2007/01/11/Navigation/177/211470/New+year's+Day+missing+Adam+Air+737+wreckage+finally+found+in+sea+by.html
http://www.bernama.com.my/bernama/v3/news.php?id=241120
http://www.flyadamair.com/

Fourteen survivors of the Indonesian Senopati Nusantara car ferry sinking were rescued on Monday, nine days later. A passing cargo ship picked them up from their life raft.

In Mississippi, US District Judge Senter ruled that State Farm Insurance must pay for damage caused to Norman and Genevieve Broussard's home. They argued that tornado damage in August 2005 was part of Hurricane Katrina's storm surge, while State Farm insisted that its policies cover damage from wind, but not water or a combination of wind and water events. The case, which included a $2.5 punitive damages jury award, will be appealed.
http://www.statefarm.com/about/media/media_releases/broussard.asp
http://www.mssd.uscourts.gov/insurance.htm
http://cms.nationalunderwriter.com/cms/nupc/Breaking+News/2007/01/11-STATEFARM-dh
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DRM Risks
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The World Economic Forum's 2007 Global Risk Report emphasizes that today's global risks are tightly interwoven, and we must take this into account by addressing such key needs as:
* Linking energy security with considerations on climate change
* Urgently beginning work on a successor to the Kyoto agreement with three central principles: Involvement of the United States and major developing countries (particularly China and India); Differential responsibilities for future emissions’ reduction dependent upon past emissions and stage of economic development; and, Common overall responsibility for climate change
* Renewing terrorism insurance schemes scheduled to sunset in 2007 in some form; improve framework for public-private arrangements in other countries, and
* In order to prepare for a pandemic, governments should increase research into the identification of critical choke-points in the supply/value chain where skill sets are rare, interdependencies are greatest and the risk of triggering systemic failure is highest.
http://www.weforum.org/en/media/Latest%20Press%20Releases/Global_Risks_2007_report

Mount Vesuvius, the most heavily monitored volcano in the world, holds nearly three million residents within 12 miles of the crater. Evacuation plans to not take into account worst-case scenarios, including the discovery that prior eruptions had covered Naples with deposits of up to ten feet of ash.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6247573.stm

Responding to a report that insurance risk models are flawed, and can be manipulated to justify insurance rate increases, Florida politicians are examining the models, and have requested that AIR Worldwide, Applied Research Associates, EQECAT, Risk Management Solutions, and the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation release their proprietary hurricane loss projection models and underlying assumptions for review.
http://www.tbo.com/news/politics/MGBO8HU0NWE.html
http://www.myfloridahouse.gov/Sections/HouseNews/preview.aspx?PressReleaseId=82
http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/business/16431623.htm
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DRM Mitigation
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Washington Hospital Center organized a conference to discuss coordination of state and national disaster plans with hospitals, which also need access to privileged information regarding mass-casualty incidents and other emergencies.
http://www.whcenter.org/body.cfm?id=337&action=detail&ref=208


7. Recommended Reading

This week, on 11 January, marked five years since the first alleged terrorists and enemy combatants began to arrive at the US military base in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba.

Here are the official sources on the prison camp:
* Naval Station Guantanamo Bay
http://www.nsgtmo.navy.mil/
* Military Commissions
http://www.defenselink.mil/news/commissions.html
* Detainee Affairs
http://www.defenselink.mil/home/features/Detainee_Affairs/
* White House, on Military Commissions
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/10/20061017.html

The official sources provide information about the facilities and the policies adopted by the Bush administration. In addition to this material, we now have access to additional investigative reports and first person testimony.

The star witness against the detention center and its practices may be British citizen Moazzam Begg. New Press published his harrowing description on 11 September 2006. "Enemy Combatant: My Imprisonment at Guantanamo, Bagram, and Kandahar" details his extraordinary rendition by US forces in Pakistan and his series of subsequent detentions. He was released after a family campaign, and pressure from the British government, which reviewed his case and has found no grounds on which to charge him.
http://www.thenewpress.com/index.php?option=com_title&task=view_title&metaproductid=1634
http://books.guardian.co.uk/reviews/biography/0,,1733975,00.html
http://www.opendemocracy.net/conflict-terrorism/moazzam_begg_3328.jsp

Three other British detainees are features in Michael Winterbottom's prize-winning film, The Road to Guantanamo. Ruhal Ahmed, Asif Iqbal, and Shafiq Rasul were all from Tipton in the West Midlands. The "Tipton Three" were captured in Afghanistan and sent to Guantanamo Bay, where they were held in solitary confinement and subject to violent inquisitions, all apparently the result of a mistaken identification on a videotape. They were released without charge after two years.
http://www.channel4.com/film/newsfeatures/microsites/G/guantanamo/index.html
http://film.guardian.co.uk/festivals/news/0,,1711973,00.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/3509750.stm

Treatment of the Chinese Uighurs detained in Guantanamo, and the bizarre contradictions of their case is also important to consider. The US refuses to repatriate them for fear of torture, and instead have sent some to Albania, while others remain in detention.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6242891.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6189517.stm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uyghur_detainees_in_Guantanamo

Award-winning journalist David Rose's "Guantanamo: The War on Human Rights (New Press, 2004) describes his visit to Guantanamo Bay, and his detailed investigation of the claims of the British detainees, including isolation, harassment, and brutality.
http://www.thenewpress.com/index.php?option=com_title&task=view_title&metaproductid=1100
http://www.guantanamo.co.uk/
http://www.opendemocracy.net/debates/article.jsp?id=3&debateId=77&articleId=2110

Another eyewitness supports these accounts. Army Sergeant Erik Saar, with Time magazine's Viveca Novak, describes the shocking interrogation techniques and other experiences behind the scenes of America's "war on terror". His book, is "Inside the Wire: A Military Intelligence Soldier's Eyewitness Account of Life at Guantanamo" (Penguin Press, 2005).
http://www.eriksaar.com/
http://www.motherjones.com/news/qa/2005/05/saar.html
http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=05/05/04/1342253
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=4631899
http://observer.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,6903,1479040,00.html
http://www.smh.com.au/news/Global-Terrorism/Revealed-sex-and-torture-inside-the-wire/2005/01/28/1106850089795.html

Hundreds of detainees at Guantanamo Bay share similar experiences, but only as the legal machinery completes its full cycle will all the information, and the final outcome of the associated cases, be revealed.

Joseph Margulies was lead counsel in Rasul v. Bush. The lawyer and civil rights activist successfully petitioned the Supreme Court to extend the right of judicial review to Guantanamo detainees. "Guantanamo and the Abuse of Presidential Power" (Simon and Schuster, 2006) provides an excellent narrative of both interrogations and court appearances, and provides a clear and accessible explanation of the Bush administrations attempts to extend presidential authority and avoid official culpability.
http://www.simonsays.com/content/destination.cfm?tab=1&pid=512389
http://www.economist.com/books/displaystory.cfm?story_id=7109129
http://www.chicagotribune.com/features/booksmags/chi-0612150446dec17,1,7479120.storye

Margulies co-counsel in the case was Michael Ratner, President of the Center for Constitutional Rights. Ellen Ray has collected interviews with Ratner and other source material that shed further light on the case in "Guantanamo: What the World Should Know" (Chelsea Green Publishing Company, 2004)
http://www.chelseagreen.com/2004/items/guantanamo
http://www.alternet.org/rights/18927/ (excerpt)
http://www.wnyc.org/books/33453

Many voices are working for the release of the detainees, and have brought the case to life with their actions, not just on this anniversary, but every day.

At the naval base, international activists marched to demand its closure, including a former detainee, the mother of a detainee, US antiwar activist Cindy Sheehan, whose son died in Iraq, and the mother of a New York firefighter killed on 9/11. There were demonstrations outside US embassies, inside US federal offices, in homes across the US, and from Melbourne to Washington.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/cbbcnews/hi/newsid_6250000/newsid_6251900/6251917.stm
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200701/s1825478.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/6254353.stm
http://in.today.reuters.com/news/newsArticle.aspx?type=worldNews&storyID=2007-01-10T050530Z_01_NOOTR_RTRJONC_0_India-282922-1.xml
http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,,-6338627,00.html
http://www.nbc6.net/news/10725157/detail.html
http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070111/UPDATE/701110479/1020
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/12/america/NA-GEN-US-Guantanamo-Demonstrators.php
http://www.channel4.com/news/content/news-storypage.jsp?id=27607051
http://www.gulf-daily-news.com/Story.asp?Article=166870&Sn=BNEW&IssueID=29297
http://www.turkishdailynews.com.tr/article.php?enewsid=63671
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/articlenews.aspx?type=UKNews1&storyID=2007-01-12T062348Z_01_N11418390_RTRUKOC_0_UK-GUANTANAMO-PROTESTS.xml
http://www.slate.com/id/2157488/?nav=tap3

Amnesty International led worldwide protests, in which demonstrators wore the orange jumpsuits to call for detainees to be permitted basic human rights.
http://web.amnesty.org/pages/guantanamobay-index-eng

The American Civil Liberties Union and the Center for Constitutional Rights provide legal services for detainees.
http://www.ccr-ny.org/v2/gac/
http://www.aclu.org/safefree/torture/27944prs20070111.html

Human Rights Watch launched its World Report 2007, calling for the EU to step in and fill the human rights leadership void left by the Bush administration's use of torture and detention without trial.
http://hrw.org/english/docs/2007/01/05/usdom14974.htm
http://hrw.org/doc/?t=usa_gitmo

Reporters Without Borders reiterates its call for the release of Al Jazeera cameraman Sami Al-Haj, a Sudanese citizen who has been held at Guantanamo Bay without being charged or tried since 13 June 2002.
http://www.rsf.org/article.php3?id_article=20344

Governments across the world, as well as the UN, EU, and Arab League, have called for Guantanamo Bay to close, including US allies such as Germany and the UK.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/11/news/UN-GEN-UN-Guantanamo.php
http://www.radionetherlands.nl/currentaffairs/gua070111mc
http://www.upi.com/InternationalIntelligence/view.php?StoryID=200-6822r
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/libdems/story/0,,1987178,00.html
http://www.theherald.co.uk/features/letters/display.var.1118501.0.0.php

And don't forget that Guantanamo is not the only US detention facility.
https://terrorismcentral.com/Newsletters/2006/102206.html#7


8. Asset Management Network News

TAMNI has released two new Special Reports. "The Interconnected Century: Critical Security Issues" describes the ways in which individuals, governments, and businesses rely for their very survival on networks, both explicit and informal. It raises the issues of how these networks interact, and provides examples of practical ways to address risks and opportunities in each sector of the critical infrastructure.

"Trends in Terrorism 2006" provides statistical summaries and analysis of the trends in attacks, tactics, facilities, geographic distribution and other areas for 2006. It includes quantitative comparison over time, and compares these to trends over the past 40 years, and how they compare to natural disasters. This year has expanded to include a chronology of major incidents.

People who purchase a subscription to one of the Asset Management Network Monitors receive related Special Reports at no additional charge. If you purchase one of our premium subscription services between now and 31 January, ten percent of the purchase price will be donated to The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP