AUTHOR:
TerrorismCentral Editorial Staff
TITLE:
TerrorismCentral Newsletter - February 4, 2007
SOURCE:
TerrorismCentral, February 4, 2007
TEXT:
Amid the day-to-day issues that we all face, it can be difficult to face imminent threats, let alone those far in the future or in distant locations. We hope that this week's report from the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change is a wake-up call that will present an immediate opportunity to connect our daily challenges to the uncertain future we face in the light of the disastrous consequences of global warming that has been induced primarily by recent human activities. We will continue to cover this issue and measures to mitigate this threat, and look forward to hearing from our readers on this and other topics.
1. Global Terrorism Monitor
2. Political Risk Monitor
3. AML/CFT Monitor
4. Emerging Threat Monitor
5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor
6. Disaster Reduction Monitor
7. Recommended Reading
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Terrorism is a global phenomenon, and The Global Terrorism Monitor, is the only publication that directly addresses the key transnational issues this represents. Published monthly, it includes expert analysis, statistical trends, and the policies, practices, and technologies that help to mitigate this persistent threat.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP
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GTM Africa
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In Algeria, the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC), now renamed al Qaeda in the Maghreb, is believed responsible for a rocket attack on an army post in the eastern region of Batna. Five soldiers were killed, and when the army retaliated, they reported killed ten militants.
http://today.reuters.com/News/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=L30162440
http://www.elkhabar.com/FrEn/lire.php?ida=57736&idc=52
Central African Republic (CAR) has signed peace deals with factions of the People's Democratic Front and the Union of Democratic Forces Coalition rebel groups.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/03/africa/AF-GEN-Central-African-Republic.php
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=L03301434
Chad rebels continue to attack and sometimes occupy towns along the Sudan border. Rampant insecurity wreaks havoc on humanitarian activities across eastern Chad, disrupting access to hundreds of thousands of refugees and internally displaced persons and putting further strain on humanitarian relief. An international force to bring security to Darfur, Sudan, would help stop this serious spillover violence and its further regional spread.
http://www.unhcr.org/news/NEWS/45c31e5316.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6321491.stm
In Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) an ethnic-based secessionist religious sect, Bundu dia Kongo, complained about a local election last week and began to riot. In three towns, sect members raided police stations, freed prisoners, and engaged in violent attacks. Between Wednesday and Friday more than 90 people died, most civilians. UN peacekeepers have been deployed to contain the situation.
http://www.monuc.org/news.aspx?newsID=13760
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/0C0C1AD2-A1B3-4D43-92E5-926403A862B5.htm
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=297853 /
Former Union of Congolese Patriots (UPC) militia leader Thomas Lubanga is the first person to be tried in the International Criminal Court (ICC). He is accused of abducting children as young as ten and forcing them to fight in DRC's brutal civil war.
http://www.icc-cpi.int/press/pressreleases/220.html
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57250
Kenyan police have cracked the password on a computer that terrorist suspect Harun Fazul had given his wife, and say that it contained vital information on terrorism training and intelligence.
http://www.nationmedia.com/dailynation/nmgcontententry.asp?category_id=1&newsid=90555
Kenyan police have released Somali Islamist leader Sheikh Sharif Ahmed from custody. He plans to head for Yemen. There have been 70 other people arrested for alleged links to terrorism. Among these is a 4-year-old girl, whom the Kenya Human Rights Network is attempting to free.
Sobomabo George, a senior leader of the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND), and some 125 other prisoners, have been freed from detention at a Port Harcourt police station following an armed assault undertaken by some 50 militants. MEND has distanced itself from what it terms a deviation of its true goals.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/headline/f129012007.html
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/cover/january07/30012007/f230012007.html
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/niger_delta/nd430012007.html
Today, nine Chinese workers kidnapped from the offices of China's National Petroleum Company have been freed.
Republic of Congo has reached agreement with Frederic Bintsangou ("Pasteur Ntoumi"), leader of the Ninja rebels in the Conseil national de resistance (CNR, National Council of the Resistance) to transform the armed group into a political party.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57275
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=47644 (2005 interview)
Violent attacks have continued in Somalia. On Monday a gunbattle in Mogadishu began when police responded to a grenade attack. At least two people died in the subsequent hour-long fight. There were a series of armed assaults and mortar attacks during the week, culminating on Friday with mortars that killed eight people, and injuring several others, including female students of an Islamic school
Sixteen diplomatic missions and the UN have called on the Lords Resistance Army (LRA) to resume peace negotiations with Uganda, mediated in South Sudan.
http://www.monitor.co.ug/news/news02021.php
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GTM Americas
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A Canadian judge ruled there was not enough evidence to support France's claim that Abdellah Ouzghar was part of an international terrorism ring. The Moroccan-born Canadian citizen had been convicted in absentia in France for falsifying documents for a terrorist group. Canadian police arrested him six months later, in October 2001. A superior court judge has now endorsed a French extradition request, which will continue lengthy legal proceedings.
http://www.hamiltonspectator.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=hamilton/Layout/Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1169765414310
The Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) claims that the smaller National Liberation Front (ELN) has allied with the armed wing of the Norte del Valle cocaine cartel and the army to drive FARC out of Colombia's Pacific region.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/30/america/LA-GEN-Colombia-Rebel-Split.php
Clashes between FARC and the army on Thursday left three Colombian soldiers dead and five injured.
http://english.people.com.cn/200702/03/eng20070203_347260.html
New Hope for Hostages provided a list of 1,124 people they believe were kidnapped by the United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia (AUC).
http://english.people.com.cn/200702/01/eng20070201_346694.html
Intimidation associated with the murders of two advocates for paramilitary abuse victims is undermining the credibility of the demobilization process.
http://www.hrw.org/english/docs/2007/02/01/colomb15246.htm
Ecuador's Congress was discussing the new left-wing President Rafael Correa's plan to set up a popular assembly to rewrite the constitution, when protesters stormed the building, suspending debate. Police dispersed the stone-throwing demonstrators with teargas.
Amid growing fears that US President Bush is considering a nuclear first strike against Iran, even though it has no nuclear weapons and poses no immediate threat, a group of 22 prominent US physicists, including 12 Nobel laureates, has sent a letter to Congress asking them to "pass binding legislation to restrict the authority of the president to order nuclear strikes against non-nuclear-weapon states".
http://physics.ucsd.edu/petition/physicistslettercongress.html
http://ucsdnews.ucsd.edu/newsrel/science/22physicists07.asp
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/politics/article2204054.ece
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N02431946.htm
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N29232417.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6320363.stm
Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Detainee Affairs, Charles "Cully" Stimson has resigned. He said that the controversy surrounding his remarks condemning legal representation of Guantanamo detainees has hampered his effectiveness.
http://edition.cnn.com/2007/US/02/02/gitmo.resignation/index.html
http://www.federalnewsradio.com/index.php?sid=1029671&nid=318
The US military has prepared fresh charges against three Guantanamo Bay detainees. Australian David Hicks has been accused of attempted murder and providing material support for terrorists. Salim Hamdan has been accused of being bin Laden's driver in Afghanistan and transporting weapons, and Omar Khadr faces charges of murder and attempted murder violating law of war, conspiracy, and material support for terrorism. Inmates recently were intimidated with mounted photos of a dead Saddam Hussein.
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-detainees3feb03,1,1922736.story
http://www.news.com.au/sundayheraldsun/story/0,21985,21166692-2862,00.html
http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,21152926-2,00.html
http://www.thestar.com/article/177905
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/02/us/02gitmo.html
http://www.defenselink.mil/home/features/Detainee_Affairs/
The trial has opened in the case of Qatari citizen Ali al-Marri, the only person on the US mainland still held as an enemy combatant. This case considers the Bush administration claim that they have the right to jail him forever without charge.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/02/washington/02terror.html
http://edition.cnn.com/2007/LAW/02/01/detainee.lawsuit.ap/
http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=07/02/02/1533231
Following his extradition to the US, Iraqi-born Dutch citizen Wesam al-Delaema has appeared in court and pleaded not guilty to charges of plotting attacks against US forces in Iraq.
http://www.usdoj.gov/opa/pr/2007/January/07_nsd_051.html
Los Angeles Immigration Judge Bruce J. Einhorn ordered an end to 20 years of deportation proceedings against Palestinian activists Khader Hamide and Michel Shehadeh, members of the “Los Angeles Eight” (LA8), because of the government's refusal to disclose evidence favorable to the immigrants in compliance with his orders.
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/politics/scotus/la-me-laeight31jan31,1,3049428.story
http://www.arabamericannews.com/newsarticle.php?articleid=7496
http://www.ccr-ny.org/v2/reports/report.asp?ObjID=TQvl1xDMBd&Content=940
A US appeals court has reinstated a murder-conspiracy charge against Jose Padilla, a US citizen held as an enemy combatant for more than three years.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N30346238.htm
At least ten electronic devices positioned on bridges, overpasses, and other locations in Boston, Massachusetts, sparked a terrorism alert. Upon investigation, they were revealed as a poorly planned publicity campaign. The campaign involved several other cities, but other devices had not been placed in significant locations. Turner Broadcasting has accepted blame and will cover the $1 million costs of the response. The men who placed the devices, Sean Stevens and Peter Berdovsky, pleaded not guilty to charges of placing hoax devices and disorderly conduct.
http://www.here-now.org/shows/2007/02/20070201_1.asp
http://www.wbur.org/slideshows/?id=75
http://www.ajc.com/business/content/business/stories/2007/01/31/0201bizcartoon.html
http://www.boston.com/news/local/articles/2007/02/02/turner_broadcasting_accepts_blame_promises_restitution/
http://www.boston.com/news/local/articles/2007/02/01/froth_fear_and_fury/
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GTM Asia Pacific
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Australian members of parliament have joined a campaign to put pressure on the US regarding Guantanamo Bay detainee David Hicks. Prime Minister Howard set a deadline to charge hicks by the middle of February. Meanwhile, MPs are writing to US Democratic Party leaders to intervene and insist that Hicks is either returned or ensured a fair trial. Now, new charges have been prepared, and are being sent for military review before being formally proffered. Australia's Attorney General is investigating concerns that the charges are retrospective under US law. Concern over the conditions of his detention remains high.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,,-6390617,00.html
http://www.smh.com.au/news/National/Govts-Hicks-demand-not-met-Labor/2007/02/03/1169919568019.html
http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,21160741-2,00.html
Burma's military junta has launched a crackdown against the National Socialist Council of Nagaland (NSCN-K). The headquarters and two camps of the Indian separatist group have been burned down, thousands of people displaced, and many left dead or inured.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Myanmar_cracks_down_on_Indian_rebels/articleshow/1508887.cms
http://www.zeenews.com/znnew/articles.asp?aid=351035&sid=REG
Indonesian police arrested Basri ("Bagong") and Adrin, believed to be the leaders of a gang responsible for 14 cases of anti-Christian violence in Poso, Central Sulawesi, including the 2005 beheadings of three girls. Their associate Hariyanto was also arrested. Basri admitted the charges and more, telling police that he was involved in 17 sectarian and criminal acts, acting from revenge at the death in 2000 of 26 of his relatives.
In the southern Philippines, fighting between the armed civilian volunteers and a group of Muslim Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) rebels began at the end of last week, when rebels began demanding shares of rice crops. Fighting continued through the weekend, forcing thousands of residents to flee their homes. At least six people were killed. More troops were sent in, and MILF representatives, who have been part of a lengthy peace process, met with the government. On Tuesday, a truce was agreed. It orders a mutual ceasefire, separation of forces, return of evacuees, and monitoring. An investigation has been launched to identify the underlying causes of the pattern of conflict during the harvest.
http://www.sunstar.com.ph/static/dav/2007/01/31/news/joint.monitoring.team.in.midsayap.for.ceasefire.html
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,21133266-601,00.html
http://mindanews.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=1683&Itemid=50
On Friday, suspected Muslim rebels stormed a Mindanao jail, freeing 47 prisoners. Police believe MILF was involved, but the group denies any role.
In southern Thailand on Monday militants killed three rubber tappers and seriously injured a fourth in a drive-by shooting as they traveled to work. Another drive-by shootings killed a district administrator. A third drive-by shooting seriously injured three. A male teenager was found stabbed to death. Two bombs injured one soldier. On Tuesday, two grenades were launched near a newspaper and a hotel, causing property damage but no casualties. They may have been part of a campaign to further weaken confidence in the government. Some of those investigating the New Years Eve bombings believe there are links to the southern insurgency, where shootings and other attacks continued throughout the week.
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GTM Europe
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French President Chirac has received a letter from 45 members of parliament asking him to list Hezbollah as a terrorist organization.
http://www.naharnet.com/domino/tn/NewsDesk.nsf/0/71ED0503392F1F39C2257277003CD0BA?OpenDocument
France has agreed to deport suspected Basque separatist group members Asier Larrinaga Rodriguez and Garikoitz Etxebarria Goikoetxea to Spain, where they are accused of terrorism and explosives charges.
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/CF7D7ADF-F491-40C3-B0A6-6C6404B5E904.htm
Germany has issued arrest warrants for 13 suspected US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) agents believed responsible for the extraordinary rendition of German citizen Khaled al-Masri. Al-Masri wants an apology from the US, where he is pursuing a lawsuit. His case is the best documented among scores of rendition cases.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,463385,00.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/01/world/europe/01germany.html
http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,2334222,00.html
A Citibank branch targeted by suspected anarchists using a makeshift bomb on Monday received minor damage. On Friday, small homemade bombs targeting two bank branches in Athens, Greece, caused minor property damage. A gas canister bomb in Thessaloniki exploded in a Swedish diplomatic car, damaging the interior, in a second attempt against the unnamed Balkans reconstruction worker. Anarchist groups have stepped up such attacks over to protest the arrest of three protestors in a violent demonstration opposing the US-led occupation of Iraq.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/29/europe/EU-GEN-Greece-Bank-Attacked.php
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/26/europe/EU-GEN-Greece-Explosions.php
Former President of the European Court of Human Rights Luzius Wildhaber claimed that he was poisoned during a visit to Russia last October, just three days before Alexander Litvinenko was fatally poisoned in London. Russian officials rejected the claim.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/russia/article/0,,2003281,00.html
http://www.interfax.ru/e/B/politics/28.html?id_issue=11668770
A Moscow court has sentenced Maksim Panaryin, Tambiy Khubiyev and Murat Shavayev to life in prison for the February and August 2004 subway bombings.
http://www.mosnews.com/news/2007/02/02/metroterror.shtml
Police Colonel General Arkady Yedelev reported that 174 militants were killed last year in the North Caucasus, and 1,171 were detained. 239 security officers, almost 100 fewer than in 2005, were killed in counterterrorism operations across Russia. The Chechen amnesty has led to 554 militant surrenders: hundreds more continue operating in Chechnya.
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20070201/60066727.html
Spanish High Court Judge Ismael Moreno issued an order to the intelligence agency to declassify any documents related to CIA extraordinary renditions.
Sweden's foreign ministry has asked Iraq's ambassador to explain thousands of passports issued from Iraq's Stockholm embassy that were based on false information. Iraq denies issuing improper passports. There are similar reports in Norway.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6318219.stm
http://www.norwaypost.no/cgi-bin/norwaypost/imaker?id=42763
Turkey and the US are discussing coordination of the fight against the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK).
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/87f4ad24-b164-11db-b901-0000779e2340.html
http://www.turkishweekly.net/news.php?id=42386
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/04/AR2007020400262.html
Operations in five Turkish cities on Monday led to 47 arrests of suspected Islamic militants, including the suspected leader of al Qaeda in Turkey, Ekrem Kozakoglu ("Usame"). Further raids and detentions uncovered a suspected assassination plot.
http://www.turkishdailynews.com.tr/article.php?enewsid=65156
http://en.apa.az/news.php?id=20382
Nine people have been arrested in raids in northern England's city of Birmingham. They are suspected of involvement in a plot to kidnap a Muslim member of the armed services and videotape his execution as in Iraq. Finding names and addresses of serving Muslims raised particular concern, and the government is providing enhanced security for Muslim police officers.
http://www.west-midlands.police.uk/onlinepress/appeals.asp?id=1654
http://www.west-midlands.police.uk/onlinepress/appeals.asp?id=1655
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/6315989.stm
http://www.guardian.co.uk/terrorism/story/0,,2004373,00.html )
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/tm_headline=the-exploiter%26method=full%26objectid=18564195%26siteid=94762-name_page.html
http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,2-2007050503,00.html
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-2580356,00.html
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-2580302,00.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/02/02/nterr02.xml
http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/crime/article2214867.ece
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/homeaffairs/story/0,,2005141,00.html
Rizwan Ditta and Mohammad Dilal have been charged in a London court under the Terrorism Act, in connection with terrorism-related computer files.
Northern Ireland's Independent Monitoring Commission has released its 13th report. Northern Ireland Secretary Peter Hain said the report shows that , "No-one can doubt that the leadership of the Provisional IRA remains committee to following a political path and has instructed members to abandon terrorism, violence and criminality". However a breakaway faction from the Continuity IRA, Oglaigh na hEireann (ONH, Irish Defense Forces), has been formed and is appealing to Real Ira members with pipe bomb attacks against the police and other incidents. The Ulster Defense Association (UDA) and the Ulster Volunteer Force (UVF) have made some moves away from paramilitarism and criminality, but they need to accelerate these efforts and end their involvement in racist and sectarian attacks and criminality.
http://www.nio.gov.uk/thirteenth_report_of_the_independent_monitoring_commission_.pdf
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/northern_ireland/6314195.stm
Another step in the Northern Ireland peace process is marked by the historic vote of Sinn Fein members to recognize the legitimacy of the Police Service of Northern Ireland (PSNI) (formerly the Royal Ulster Constabulary, or RUC).
http://www.irishpost.co.uk/news/story.asp?j=5204&cat=news
http://commentisfree.guardian.co.uk/glenn_patterson/2007/01/post_1020.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/northern_ireland/6308175.stm
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GTM Middle East
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Egypt has charged four students with spying for Israel. The accused include dual Egyptian-Canadian national Mohamed Essam Ghoneim el-Attar, Israeli Daniel Levi, and dual Turkish-Israeli citizens Kemal Kosba, and Tuncay Bubay
The UK parliament's International Development Select Committee report on Development Assistance and the Occupied Palestinian Territories criticizes last year's decision to boycott Hamas. It argues that isolating Hamas has harmed the Middle East peace process, increased violence, and pushes Hamas closer to Iran. http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200607/cmselect/cmintdev/114/114i.pdf
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200607/cmselect/cmintdev/114/114ii.pdf
Fatah sources in Gaza claim to have arrested seven Iranian weapons experts working for Hamas. Fatah also launched a large-scale operation against the Islamic University campus they deemed a Hamas bastion. Eight people were killed in this assault, which crushed the ceasefire. The subsequent factional fighting and new ceasefire is covered in PRM/Middle East, below. Meanwhile, Israel Defense Forces are accelerating plans for an extended military operation in Gaza for fears that escalating sectarian violence will expand to anti-Israel violence.
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/821015.html
http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/02/02/israel.palestinians/index.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/02/world/middleeast/02cnd-mideast.html
Iraq's security situation continues to deteriorate, with the deadly combination of civil war alongside sectarian and terrorist attacks. Iraq's Interior Ministry estimates more than a thousand deaths this week alone.
http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/02/04/iraq.main/
On Monday in Baghdad a car bomb in the Shiite neighborhood of Hurriya killed up to five and injured as 25. A bomb on a minibus killed four and injured five near al-Mustansiriya Square. Another car bomb in Sadr City district killed one and injured three, and in the al-Baladiyat district a car bomb also killed one and injured three. A roadside bomb targeted a police patrol, injuring two policemen. Three university professors and a student were kidnapped. 21 bodies were found across the city. Southeast of Baghdad in Zaafaraniya, three mortars killed 16 and injured 28. A Shiite mosque in Tuz Khurmato was hit with a rocket-propelled grenade that killed five worshippers. Gunmen killed a teacher near Mahaweel. A US Marine died of injuries received in battle in Anbar Province.
On Tuesday a suicide bomber killed at least 23 worshippers and wounded 5 others when he blew himself up at a Shi'ite mosque in the town of Balad Ruz. A roadside bomb targeting Shiite's marking the Ashura ceremony in Khanaquin killed at least 13 and injured 39. Four Shiite pilgrims were killed and nine injured as they traveled near southern Baghdad. A mortar round in a northern district of Baghdad, which housed a shrine important in Ashura commemorations, injured nine pilgrims. In Mosul, a car bomb targeted a police patrol, killing two policemen and injuring two others. Two US soldiers and a marine died from combat injuries suffered in Anbar. Eight bodies were found across Baghdad.
On Wednesday a suicide bomber in a fuel truck hit the main gate of an Iraqi army base in Miqdadiya, injuring nine soldiers. A car bomb in New Baghdad killed one and injured six. A decapitated man was found in Mosul.
Thursday in Hilla, two suicide bombers killed themselves and 45 other people, and injured 150 near a busy market. In Baghdad, a car bomb in Rusafi shopping district killed three and injured seven. Ten mortar rounds on Ashamiya district killed two and injured nine. In the central Karrada district a suicide bomber exploded in a minibus, killing six and injuring 12. An armed assault on Baquba's Physical Education College of Diyala killed the dean, Walhan Hamed al-Rubaie. Diwaniya gunmen attacked a police patrol, killing two and injuring a third. A car bomb in Qaem targeting an Iraqi patrol left three soldiers dead and six injured. Ten bodies were found across Mosul, where a mortar round in a residential area killed two civilians. A suicide bomber attacked the governor of Tikrit. The governor escaped, but four people were injured. The US military reports killing a "foreign terrorist facilitator" and four insurgents, and detaining 29 suspected insurgents in several operations across the country. A US soldier, a Marine, and a sailor, died from injuries sustained in Anbar.
In the 24 hours to Friday evening, Iraqi security forces found 23 unidentified bodies across Baghdad. Gunmen in Kut killed defense lawyer Jaishi al-Ameer. In Mosul separate incidents led to the death of two Iraqi soldiers and three people. A roadside bomb killed two multi-national division soldiers, and two US soldiers died from combat injuries received in Anbar province. The Iraqi army reported the arrest of six militants belonging to the Shiite sect involved in last week's fighting near Najaf.
The second deadliest bombing in Iraq since the 2003 invasion took place on Saturday, when a suicide bomber driving a truck loaded with a ton of explosives drove into a market in a mainly Shiite area. The explosion killed more than 135 people and injured well over 300.
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/C12DF9A0-BBC8-45B7-BDAB-8ED08FA8F548.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6327057.stm
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/821334.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/04/world/middleeast/04iraq.html
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=L03400378
Also on Saturday, a marketplace car bomb in Mahmudiya killed eight and injured 12, and a second killed one civilian and injured nine. A mortar attack in Baghdad killed two and injured 12. Seven car bombs in Kirkuk in less than two hours killed two civilians and injured 34. An attack on a checkpoint north of Samarra killed four police commandos and injured three. Gunmen killed a Dhuluiya policeman. Falluja police found five bodies, and one was found in Iskandariya.
Today, two car bombings killed eight people: four in a Baghdad bus station and four refilling propane cylinders. Armed assaults killed another four people. US officials report they are modifying their tactics following the news that four helicopter crashes in two weeks, leaving 21 dead, were in fact shot down by ground fire.
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/25B5E8E1-CF0B-437D-9D97-CDFE3402B171.htm
Last weekend's huge battle near the holy city of Najaf is under investigation. There were up to 300 armed men and hundreds more casualties, including a purported cult leader calling himself Mahdi bin Ali bin Ali bin Abi Taleb. Hundreds have been detained for questioning. Those involved in the clashes is unclear, and has generated confusion and a raft of conspiracy theories. The cult insists it is peaceful, and reports are emerging that this event was an unpremeditated massacre.
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=IBO251204
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=79082
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16962174/site/newsweek/
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1584739,00.html
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/article2201103.ece
http://www.turkishdailynews.com.tr/article.php?enewsid=65312
http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2007/830/re4.htm
Israel suffered its first suicide bomb in nine months, and the first in the Red Sea resort town of Eilat. The Palestinian bomber detonated his explosives at a bakery, killing himself and three Israelis. Fatah's armed wing, the al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade, and the Islamic Jihad claimed responsibility for the attack. Hamas was not involved, but said the attack was a natural response to the occupation and boycott of the elected Hamas government. Islamic Jihad said the attack was designed to end factional fighting between Hamas and Fatah, and focus instead on Israel.
http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Terrorism-+Obstacle+to+Peace/Palestinian+terror+since+2000/Suicide+bombing+in+Eilat+bakery+29-Jan-2007.htm
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1167467837227&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6312657.stm
In an interview with Al Jazeera's David Foster, Israel's deputy prime minister Shimon Peres said the use of cluster bombs in Lebanon was a mistake.
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/E68EC53B-2826-41F3-BEC6-9112B7602207.htm
Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has accused Israel and the US of targeting legitimate resistance movements in the region in an effort to foment civil war.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=79082
Israeli troops shot dead two members of the al Aqsa Martyrs Brigades in the West Bank town of Nablus. A teenager was shot dead near the Ramallah separation fence.
In Yemen, Zaidi rebels resumed attacks against security forces this week, killing at least 22 soldiers, and injuring a similar number. Rebel casualties are unknown.
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GTM South Asia
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Human Rights Watch has called on signatories to the Afghanistan Compact to live up to their obligations. They report that "More than 1,000 civilians were killed in 2006, many of them as a result of attacks by the Taleban and other anti-government forces in southern Afghanistan. In all, more than 4,400 Afghans died in conflict-related violence, twice as many as in 2005 and more than in any other year since the United States helped oust the Taliban in 2001. The United Nations estimated that the armed conflict displaced 15,000 families - about 80,000 people - in southern Afghanistan".
http://www.hrw.org/english/docs/2007/01/29/afghan15223.htm
Afghan police in Helmand province report that some 30 Taleban were killed and 15 injured in a NATO ground and air attack on Wednesday. On Thursday one militant was killed and a second injured in a bomb that apparently exploded prematurely in Kunar province. That night, Taleban militants overran the Helmand town of Musa Qala. British troops had reached a peace agreement late last year and withdrew. Now, Afghanistan and NATO pledge to retake the town. On Friday coalition forces reported killing up to seven rebels in the eastern Paktika province. In the western province of Farah, up to 27 militants were killed in separate clashes with Afghan and coalition forces.
Islamic militants are suspected of throwing a bomb in the Gazipur district of Bangladesh. One policeman was killed and a second injured on patrol. It is the first such incident since the caretaker government took power last October.
The United Liberation Front of Assam (ULFA) is suspected in the execution of Congress Party leader Abdul Bashar. ULFA denies the shooting. ULFA also denies issuing threats ahead of National Games.
In Indian-administered Kashmir, sub-inspector Farooq Ahmad Gudoo and driver Farooq Ahmad Paddar have been arrested for killing Abdul Rahman Paddar, a civilian that claimed was a wanted militant, killed in a gunbattle that was allegedly staged. An investigation is under way, including exhumation of the body, and other officers have been accused of a similar staged attack that killed five people seven years ago. Protesters have seized at least two bodies of civilians allegedly shot wrongfully.
http://www.indianexpress.com/story/22181.html
http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2007%5C01%5C30%5Cstory_30-1-2007_pg7_40
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/NEWS/India/Kashmir_cop_admits_to_framing_civilians/articleshow/1547461.cms
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/6325771.stm
Nepal's former home minister and advisor to King Gyanendra, has been arrested for allegedly conspiring to encourage violence in the south. A delegation has been sent to negotiate with Madheshi protestors, who say they face discrimination. Their protests have killed more than a dozen people in recent weeks.
In the North West Frontier Province (NWP) of Pakistan on Monday a suicide bomber at a checkpoint near the Afghan border blew himself up, and killed a policeman and a civilian. Seven people were injured. Near a Bannu mosque, a rocket injured at lease 11 people. On Tuesday a rocket and mortar attack on a mosque in the town of Hangu left at least two dead and 14 injured. A curfew has been imposed, as further sectarian violence during the holy month of Muharram is possible. On Saturday two Pakistani soldiers were killed in a suicide bomb attack in NWP.
On Wednesday in Sri Lanka's eastern Batticaloa district, a roadside bomb killed at least six policemen and a civilian, and injured 12 policemen. Tamil Tigers were blamed for the attack. A roadside bomb on Thursday killed six policemen, four soldiers, and a civilian.
What may appear to be a small local event, like publishing a cartoon, can often turn out to have a surprising international impact. Your subscription to the Political Risk Monitor provides this analysis, as well as detailed profiles of individuals and other entities. Each monthly issue also includes quick tips for executives managing multinational operations.
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PRM Africa
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China's President Hu is visiting Africa to boost trade, which is viewed positively, and influence, which has raised new charges of colonialism.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007-02/05/content_5696348.htm
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007-02/04/content_5690911.htm
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/754980cc-b0cf-11db-8a62-0000779e2340.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6312507.stm
The African Union (AU) has selected Ghana's President John Kufuor as its new chairman, bypassing another bid by Sudan's President Omar al-Bashir because of the conflict in Darfur. Bashir remains opposed to UN troops joining the AU to provide a robust peacekeeping force in Darfur. South African President Mbeki said that the choice of Ghana should not be seen as a rejection of Bashir.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=297300
http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article20093
Chad President Idriss Deby told RFI French radio that Sudan is waging a genocidal race war in Darfur, while the world's leaders hide their heads in the sand.
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=L30439852
http://www.rfi.fr/actufr/articles/085/article_49251.asp (in French)
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) police and soldiers battled a political protest in the western province of Bas-Congo. Up to 20 people were killed.
Http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57277
Guinea-Bissau's former Prime Minister Carlos Gomes Jr. has received a written guarantee that an arrest warrant has been dropped and has left the UN mission in which he had sought refuge earlier this month, after accusing President Joao Bernardo Vieira of facilitating a recent murder.
Liberia's Supreme Court ruled that the dismissal this month of the Speaker of Parliament Edwin Snow was unconstitutional because parliament was in recess when the vote was held, therefore he should remain as Speaker.
Reports from Libya suggest that a way to avoid executing six healthcare workers convicted of infecting hundreds of children with HIV will be found soon.
Nigeria extended voter registration from Tuesday to Friday to accommodate a last minute rush.
Former warlord Sheikh Adan Mohamed Nur has been selected as Somalia's new speaker of parliament, replacing Sharif Hassan Sheikh Adan, who was dismissed in mid-January for his willingness to negotiate with Islamists. Somalia remains under martial law, and without a peacekeeping force.
Zimbabwe's white farmers face an uncertain future following the elapse on Saturday of an eviction deadline.
http://www.news24.com/News24/Africa/Zimbabwe/0,9294,2-11-1662_2063978,00.html
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PRM Americas
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Bolivians in the city of Camiri have established a blockade to halt oil and gas shipments until there is full nationalization, since new deals negotiated with foreign companies do not go far enough.
http://www.oilweek.com/news.asp?ID=7417
http://www.busrep.co.za/index.php?fArticleId=3662477
Cuban television has shown its first pictures of Fidel Castro in three months, showing his meeting with Venezuelan President Chavez and looking much stronger than before.
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,248792,00.html
More UN peacekeepers, including 350 Nepalese soldiers, are being deployed in Haiti to protect citizens from criminal gangs.
http://www.un.org/Depts/dpko/missions/minustah/
Tens of thousands in Mexico City marched to protest rising food prices. Flat corn bread, tortillas, is the country's staple food, but prices have recently increased by more than 400 percent.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/01/world/americas/01mexico.html
The US Director of National Intelligence released an unclassified summary of key judgments from the "Iraq National Intelligence Estimate". The bleak assessment cites "Iraqi society’s growing polarization, the persistent weakness of the security forces and the state in general, and all sides' ready recourse to violence are collectively driving an increase in communal and insurgent violence and political extremism", and predicts continued deterioration.
http://www.dni.gov/press_releases/20070202_release.pdf
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/03/world/middleeast/03intel.html
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/02/AR2007020200685.html
Also note the Marine Corps Assessment of Iraq Situation obtained by the Washington Post.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/02/AR2007020201197_pf.html
The Brookings Institute released "Things Fall Apart: Containing the Spillover From An Iraqi Civil War". The report says, "with each passing day Iraq sinks deeper into the abyss of civil war", and things can get worse. If the surge doesn't work, it is essential to have a plan in place to prevent the crisis in Iraq from spilling over to neighboring states, whether in floods of refugees, military intervention, economic damage, terrorism or even new insurgencies in other countries. The report offers these suggestions for containment:
* Don't try to pick winners;
* Avoid active support for partition (for now)
* Don't dump the problem on the United Nations
* Pull back from Iraqi population centers
* Provide support to Iraq's neighbors
* Bolster regional stability
* Dissuade foreign intervention
* Lay down "red lines" to Iran
* Establish a Contact Group
* Prepare for oil supply disruptions
* Manage the Kurds
* Strike at terrorist facilities
* Consider establishing safe havens or "catch basins" along Iraq's borders
http://www.brook.edu/fp/saban/analysis/jan2007iraq_civilwar.htm
The Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction had called 2006 the year of transition and observed limited progress in supporting anticorruption efforts, enhancing infrastructure security, building ministerial capacity, ensuring the sustainability of reconstruction programs and projects, increasing support for reconstruction by the international community, and improving coordination of all U.S. agencies involved in reconstruction. The January 2007 Quarterly and Semiannual Report demonstrates continued poor planning, the impact of ethnic and sectarian purges of civil servants, and millions lost in waste and fraud for reconstruction projects. One glaring case was a camp built for police trainers, including an Olympic-size pool that was never used.
http://www.sigir.mil/reports/quarterlyreports/Jan07.aspx
Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez plans to nationalize Orinoco river oil projects from May. The National Assembly held an extraordinary vote that granted him rule by degree for the next 18 months.
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PRM Asia Pacific
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The Australian Security Intelligence Organization (ASIO) gave an adverse security assessment on Iraqi Mohammad Sagar, who was detained on Nauru for more than five years. Following a reassessment this year, he has been freed, raising questions regarding the evaluations and Australian detention policies.
http://www.radioaustralia.net.au/news/stories/s1837655.htm
http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2007/s1838411.htm
Fiji coup leader and self-appointed Prime Minister Commodore Frank Bainimarama says he made it clear to the Pacific Islands Forum that there is no turning back, but that Fiji is ready to engage with outside groups.
Kyrgyzstan's parliament has approved Azim Isabekov as the new Prime Minister, ending weeks of deadlock.
Solomon Islands authorities have charged Australian Bill Johnson with conspiring to kill Prime Minister Manasseh Sogavare, further straining ties between the two countries.
http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,23739,21146525-953,00.html
Thailand's foreign ministry said the forcible repatriation of 153 Hmong refugees to Laos has been put on hold indefinitely after the US, Canada, Australia and the Netherlands gave assurances that they would take the Hmong.
http://www.bangkokpost.com/News/31Jan2007_news11.php
http://www.factfinding.org/News_Releases_2007%5Cindex.html
Vietnam's Central Committee has decided to transfer dozens of companies controlled by the Communist Party and Army to civilian ownership.
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PRM Europe
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Mainstream Members of the European Parliament united to deny committee leadership positions to radical rightists, including Mussolini's granddaughter and the leader of the French National Front.
A French court has sentenced dozens of people to between two and six years in prison for their role in a Bulgarian baby smuggling network.
Kosovo will have the right to govern itself and conclude international agreements, with international supervision, under a new UN plan. UN envoy Martti Ahtisaari will discuss the plan with the parties involved, but presently neither Serbia nor the Albanian majority of Kosovo are pleased.
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=21425&Cr=kosovo&Cr1=
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/02/04/europe/web.0204kosovo.php
http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,,-6391547,00.html
Romania's foreign minister has resigned for failure to notify the government that US forces had detained two Romanian workers in Iraq. Prime Minister Calin Tariceanu insisted that the government must protect its citizens wherever they are.
Elections in Northern Ireland have been scheduled for 7 March.
Five of the six Stormont reports prepared for the Program for Government Committee have been released, exposing debates on justice and policing, school admissions, rural planning, water, and jobs. The remaining report addresses economic issues.
http://www.niassembly.gov.uk/transitional/pfg/pfg_home.htm
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PRM Middle East
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The Middle East "Quartet" of the EU, Russia, the UN and the US, is endorsing Palestinian peace talks to end the internecine violence.
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2007/sg2122.doc.htm
Hassan Mushaima'a, the leader of Haq Movement for Liberty and Democratic Bahrain; Abdul-Hadi al-Khawaja, the head of the Bahraini Centre for Human Rights; and Shaker Abdul-Hussein, an independent activist; were arrested on Friday. Security forces used tear gas and rubber bullets to disperse some 200 people who violently protested their detention. Two people were injured. On Saturday the rights activists were charged with various political charges.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/03/africa/ME-GEN-Bahrain-Rights-Activists.php
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/92A2FBBC-D276-48BF-9963-CC8BB6586649.htm
A weekend of factional fighting between Hamas and Fatah left more than 30 dead and more injured across the Gaza Strip. Early on Tuesday, a ceasefire mediated by Egypt came into effect. Despite this, Hamas commander Hussein Shabasi was shot dead just hours after the truce came into effect. An uneasy calm remained until Thursday, when fierce internecine fighting erupted. By Saturday 27 more people were dead, and Fatah and Hamas renewed their truce, although this has not ended ongoing clashes.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6314993.stm
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/821581.html
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/47F038FD-C607-4953-9872-E73928B659F7.htm
Israeli Prime Minister Olmert has approved a plan to push the controversial barrier at least five kilometers deeper into the West Bank, to encompass the settlements of Nili and Naaleh, which house some 1,500 Jewish settlers, and would create two enclaves stranding 20,000 Palestinians.
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/819633.html
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PRM South Asia
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Afghanistan's Joint Coordination and Monitoring Board (JCMB) committed to a 5-year development plan for Afghanistan. Meanwhile, Human Rights Watch points to the failure of prior international promises. NATO has promised additional military support, and the US has sent a new equipment consignment.
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=21398&Cr=afghan&Cr1=&Kw1=afghanistan&Kw2=&Kw3=
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57274
http://www.hrw.org/english/docs/2007/01/29/afghan15223.htm
The Afghan parliament has approved an amnesty for warlords and others accused of war crimes.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/02/01/news/afghan.php
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57297
Bangladesh's High Court has suspended conduct of all elections for three months, and ordered the Election Commission to explain why the voter list should not be declared illegal. The five election commissioners, in the center of a vote rigging controversy, have all resigned. President Iajuddin Ahmed will now reorganize the delayed elections, with three new commissioners.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/30/asia/AS-POL-Bangladesh-Election.php
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/DHA98002.htm
http://www.ecs.gov.bd/
The Bangladesh Human Rights Commission (BHRC) reported:
* 276 people were killed across the country in January
* 21 were killed by members of the Rapid Action Battalion (BAT)
* Law enforcement physically tortured 498 people.
* 18223 people were arrested
* Six people sustained acid burn injuries
http://www.thedailystar.net/2007/02/03/d70203060282.htm
In the northern Indian state of Uttar Pradesh, riots began last weekend when a drunken scuffle at a Hindu wedding ended with a Muslim shot and injured in the town of Gorakhpur. Rioting between Hindus and Muslims spread to other areas of the state on Monday and Tuesday, despite a curfew. At least two people have been killed. To help contain further incidents, Muslims have agreed to cancel a planned procession to celebrate the holy month of Muharram.
Nepal's Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala has promised federalism in a future Nepal, determined through dialogue.
International donors have called on Sri Lanka and the Tamil Tigers to end violence. US ambassador Robert Blake said there was no military solution to the conflict. World Bank Vice President Praful Patel said the violence was central to any discussion about Sri Lanka, and not a topic that could be politely skirted.
http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/COUNTRIES/SOUTHASIAEXT/0,,contentMDK:21197580~menuPK:158845~pagePK:2865106~piPK:2865128~theSitePK:223547,00.html
http://colombo.usembassy.gov/jan292007.html
Anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism is not simply an issue of compliance with local regulations. It is a global crime that can only be understood by crossing national or regional boundaries. Subscribers to the monthly AML/CFT Monitor receive information and analysis of worldwide incidents, trends, legal and regulatory issues, modalities, and related topics such as financial fraud and narcoterrorism.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP
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AML/CFT Incidents/Cases
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In Operation Kolibra, Brazil's federal police and local forces in the states of Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Para and Bahia targeted a global drug-trafficking and money-laundering cartel. At least 14 arrests were made in a series of raids. 54 people had been arrested in prior operations.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/30/america/LA-GEN-Brazil-Drug-Ring.php
The Dominican Republic opened the preliminary hearing against former colonel Pedro Julio Goico (Pepe Goico) on money laundering charges. Several other former military figures are also charged.
http://www.dominicantoday.com/app/article.aspx?id=21991
Egypt's public prosecutor has frozen assets of 29 Muslim Brotherhood members and their families for "money laundering and financing an illegal group". Money laundering charges were for the first time laid against six members last December, and this asset freeze is also the first time such measures have been taken against the Brotherhood.
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/073FC332-7426-4732-A402-53F444187CD4.htm
http://aawsat.com/english/news.asp?section=1&id=7841
Kenya has held Abukar Omar Aden for more than a month without legal representation, on a misdemeanor charge of entering the country illegally. He is suspected of financing the ousted Somali Union of Islamic Courts, but has not been charged with this offense. A court is reviewing his continued detention.
http://www.nationmedia.com/dailynation/nmgcontententry.asp?category_id=1&newsid=90726
In England, former police officer Emma Wheatcroft has been charged with money laundering, willful misconduct, and illegally obtaining personal data. Her associate Matthew Nyack has been charged with drug offenses.
http://www.mk-news.co.uk/mknews/DisplayArticle.asp?ID=45920
English police arrested Daniel Lawrence, the director of Print Inspiration Ltd, in a money laundering investigation. Searches on the main office and three other addresses continue.
http://www.thisislancashire.co.uk/news/headlines/display.var.1161213.0.six_houses_searched_in_money_laundering_probe.php
Two Indonesian men arrested in Guam have appeared in US court. Reinhard Rusli and Helmi Soedirdja pleaded guilty to money laundering and other charges in a US sting operation to sell arms to Sri Lanka's Tamil Tiger rebels.
http://www.guampdn.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070201/NEWS01/702010312/1002
http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/local/bal-md.arms31jan31,0,5570491.story
A Philippine army division has identified local officials who received or paid New People's Army (NPA) extortion demands.
http://www.sunstar.com.ph/static/cag/2007/02/02/news/army.lists.execs.giving.in.to.communist.rebels.html
Russian prosecutors are planning to file new money laundering charges against former Yukos chairman, Mikhail Khodorkovsky.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6330411.stm
Saudi Arabia has arrested ten people on suspicion of funding the insurgency in Iraq.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/low/middle_east/6327665.stm
Boston, Massachusetts private equity firm Overland Capital is under federal investigation for alleged connections to groups financing Islamic extremists, through tax law violations.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/02/01/business/terror.php
Memphis Tennessee county commission candidate Joe Cooper has pleased guilty to money laundering involving drugs and cars.
http://www.myeyewitnessnews.com/mostpopular/story.aspx?content_id=c6bd23e6-47e0-4196-bb07-8c0bb2ca5275
A Memphis police officer became the 15th officer caught in the FBI's Operation Tarnished Blue. Orlando Hebron has been charged with laundering money for an informant, and related activities.
http://www.wreg.com/Global/story.asp?S=5990739
Defense Contractor Robert Stein pleaded guilty to charges of corruption, fraud and money laundering related to his siphoning money from Iraq reconstruction funds as treasurer for the Coalition Provisional Authority in Hillah. A US businessman in Romania helped move the money.
http://www.usdoj.gov/opa/pr/2007/January/07_crm_051.html
http://english.hotnews.ro/Ex-US-official-in-Iraq-sentenced-for-laundering-money-in-Romania-articol_44220.htm
Barclay's Bank, Standard Chartered Bank and the insurance firm Old Mutual are reportedly helping to finance Robert Mugabe's corrupt and abusive regime in Zimbabwe.
http://observer.guardian.co.uk/world/story/0,,2000349,00.html
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AML/CFT Legislation and Regulation
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The South America Financial Action Group (GAFISUD) has found Chile's money laundering measures deficient. It falls short of international standards in supervision and risk assessment of non-financial activity, does not cover all sectors, and fails to provide statistical information.
http://www.tcgnews.com/santiagotimes/index.php?nav=story&story_id=12859&topic_id=15
http://www.gafisud.org/actividades.asp (in Spanish)
The European Data Protection Supervisor (EDPS) released its opinion on the role of the European Central Bank in the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) case, which involved the transfer of financial information to US agents searching for terrorist financiers. EDPS finds that the European Central Bank (ECB) should be held jointly responsible for SWIFT's breach of data protection laws. ECB says that its responsibility is for financial stability and has no authority to oversee SWIFT's legal compliance, particularly in dealing with a US subpoena. It suggests that legislators should provide legal certainty in conflicting jurisdictions.
http://www.edps.europa.eu/EDPSWEB/webdav/site/mySite/shared/Documents/Supervision/Inquiries/07-02-01_Opinion_ECB_role_SWIFT_EN.pdf
http://www.ecb.int/press/pr/date/2007/html/pr070201.en.html
http://www.swift.com/index.cfm?item_id=61059
Indonesia's Attorney General's Office continues to find it difficult to handle money laundering cases.
http://www.tempointeractive.com/hg/nasional/2007/01/29/brk,20070129-92138,uk.html
Malta's government gazette has published the names and other identifying information of four people accused in a carousel money laundering case, despite the court banning the media from publishing the details.
http://www.maltatoday.com.mt/2007/01/28/t5.html
North Korea has linked further discussions regarding its nuclear programs to US financial sanctions.
http://www.columbian.com/news/APStories/AP01312007news99122.cfm
http://english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/e_international/187060.html
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/01/AR2007020100138.html
The UK parliament's International Development Select Committee has released a report on Development Assistance and the Occupied Palestinian Territories that criticizes the financial boycott of the Palestinian Authority, which is not only harming Palestinians, but also drawing them closer to Iran.
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200607/cmselect/cmintdev/114/114i.pdf
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200607/cmselect/cmintdev/114/114ii.pdf
NASD has fined Banc of America Investment Services $3 million for failures to comply with AML rules regarding high-risk accounts.
http://www.nasd.com/PressRoom/NewsReleases/2007NewsReleases/NASDW_018404
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AML/CFT Modalities
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This, from the Council on Foreign Relations, discusses the need for a new approach to disrupting terrorist financing:
http://www.cfr.org/publication/12523/rethinking_terrorist_financing.html?breadcrumb=%2Fissue%2F135%2Fterrorism
"Illegal logging: Cut it Out" finds that only China and Japan import more illegal timer than the UK, and calls on ministers to push for EU and UK legislation to prevent the practice.
http://www.wwf.org.uk/news/n_0000003562.asp
This article, addressing militant training of British citizens, says, " Militant groups based in Pakistan have spent more than 20 years establishing and financing their links in Britain to ensure that the most promising British radicals can be smuggled to their camps for training".
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-2580119,00.html
Climate change, pandemics, and global economic imbalances are just a few of the threats emerging in this 21st century. Subscribers to the Emerging Threat Monitor stay a step ahead with monthly analysis of trends and responses worldwide. It offers executives a heads-up of new risks, and details of the policies and best practices gleaned from every country around the globe.
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ETM Corruption and Transnational Crime
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Ahead of the World Bank's spring meeting in April, a poll of 47 developing countries affected by anti-corruption strategies finds support for governance and anti-corruption efforts.
http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/NEWS/0,,date:2007-01-31~menuPK:34461~pagePK:34392~piPK:64256810~theSitePK:4607,00.html
Bangladesh's Anti-Corruption Commission (ACC) will investigate allegations against former communication minister Nazmul Huda and associates for alleged bribery and illegal commissions.
Israel's former Justice Minister Haim Ramon has been found guilty of sexually harassing a female soldier. This is one of several similar cases involving senior Israeli officials.
Nigeria's Economic and Financial Crime Commission (EFCC) arrested at least nine senior government leaders of Ebonyi state for an alleged N30 billion fraud. Nigerian President Obasanjo often uses corruption charges against political opponents and to garner international support.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/cover/january07/29012007/f229012007.html
Oil and corruption are both soaring in Nigeria. "Chop Fine: The Human Rights Impact of Local Government Corruption and Mismanagement in Rivers State, Nigeria" is a new report from Human Rights Watch that finds local government officials have squandered oil revenues that could provide basic health and education for some of Nigeria's poorest people. State officials deny the charges.
http://hrw.org/reports/2007/nigeria0107/
http://allafrica.com/stories/200702010120.html
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/africa/article2201108.ece
Former Puerto Rican officials Rene Vazquez-Botet and Marcos Morell-Corrada have been sentenced to five years in prison for an extortion scheme connected to a construction project.
http://sanjuan.fbi.gov/pressrel/2007/sj013007.htm
Russia has launched a criminal investigation into alleged tax evasion by private oil company Russneft. A similar investigation caused the bankruptcy of Yukos.
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,9072-2573629,00.html
There have been more arrests in Britain's cash-for-peerages scandal, which is moving ever closer to Prime Minister Blair, who is being questioned further.
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/funding/story/0,,2002249,00.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/4812822.stm
The Serious Fraud Office is also investigating the sale of an air traffic control system to Tanzania. Prime Minister Blair was accused of pushing the useless system through, in a squalid and scandalous deal in which Barclay's Bank had colluded.
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200607/cmhansrd/cm070130/debindx/70130-x.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/6315799.stm
Zambia's anti-corruption drive is failing because the government has been concentrating its resources on investigating the corrupt practices of the previous regime, allowing present graft in the public service to flourish.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57245
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ETM Economies and Financial Systems
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The World Bank has launched a $26 million investment using microfinance as part of a program to use technology to deliver banking services around the world.
http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/NEWS/0,,contentMDK:21198794~pagePK:64257043~piPK:437376~theSitePK:4607,00.html
The Crockett Report gives the findings of the Committee to Study Sustainable Long-term Financing of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). They review a variety of issues, and recommend that IMF sell $6.6 billion of gold and invest the proceeds in higher-yielding assets, set off by equivalent sales among global central banks to offset the impact. IMF can no longer rely on profits from lending to finance all operations: many of the long-term loans extended during financial crises have been repaid.
http://www.imf.org/external/np/oth/2007/013107.pdf
The Travel Industry of America reports a nearly 20-percent drop in the US share of the overseas travelers since 2000, primarily due to the US's rating of having the world's worst entry process. This decline has caused serious economic damage:
* 58 million fewer visitors;
* 194,000 lost jobs;
* $25.9 billion in lost payroll;
* $94 billion in lost spending; and
* $15.6 billion in lost taxes to federal, state and local governments.
http://www.poweroftravel.org/release-1-23-07.aspx
http://www.poweroftravel.org/release-11-20-06.aspx
The Discover America Partnership released "A Blueprint to Discover America," outlining a series of policy changes to improve the entry process, address growing concerns with traveling to the U.S. among international travelers, and attract more visitors.
http://www.poweroftravel.org/pdf/DAP_blueprint.pdf
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ETM Environment and Climate Change
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The World Glacier Monitoring service reports that mountain glaciers are melting three times faster than in the 1980s, mostly attributable to human-induced climate change.
http://www.unep.org/Documents.Multilingual/Default.asp?DocumentID=498&ArticleID=5502&l=en"
Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) reviewed the effects of climate change in the state of New South Wales (NSW). It portrays a doomsday scenario of life in Sydney, with rising heat and declining rainfall making the area unsustainable over the next 20 years if climate change is unchecked.
http://www.abc.net.au/pm/content/2007/s1837611.htm
http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2007/01/31/1169919346716.html (links to the report)
NSW's Department of Natural Resources reports that farmers have cleared 17,964 hectares a year, reducing canopy cover in woodlands to substantially less than 20 percent. Previously, the government had promised to end clearing. The NSW Wilderness Society says this land clearing is even worse than reported, and suggests that independent review would be valuable. The Society also says that this clearing is the equivalent of greenhouse gases from three million cars on the road year round.
http://www.nativevegetation.nsw.gov.au/reports/
http://www.wilderness.org.au/campaigns/landclearing/nsw/land-clearing-climate-change/
China has failed to progress in its efforts to protect the environment compared to other nations, ranking it 100th out of 118 countries evaluated. In "China's Modernization Report 2007", the Chinese Academy of Sciences offers ten suggestions for China's ecological modernization:
* Develop and implement a roadmap for ecological modernization at national and regional levels
* Curb new sources of environmental pollution by embarking on a road of green development
* Continue the efforts in pollution control and traditional industry transformation so as to wipe out the environmental pollution left by history
* Push forward the ecological engineering programs such as natural forest protection and carry out regular ecological assessment at the national level
* Actively promote the construction of ecological cities, communities, parks and countryside
* Develop ecological farming practice, environment-friendly industries, and circular industry
* Introduce systems for ecological compensation, environmental responsibility in key positions and environmental risk evaluation
* Launch programs on green homeland, green services and green consumption
* Formulate a national strategy for promoting the safety of resources, energy and environment
* Establish State ministries of environment, energy, and regional development.
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2007-01/27/content_794469.htm
http://english.cas.ac.cn/eng2003/news/detailnewsb.asp?InfoNo=26392
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6306881.stm
The European Commission proposed new standards for transport fuels that will reduce their contribution to climate change and air pollution, including through greater use of biofuels. http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/07/120
French President Jacques Chirac has called on the US to sign both Kyoto and a future agreement, and warned that the EU carbon tax on non-signatories would harm the US economy. The EU is the largest export market for US goods.
As part of France's Lights Out public awareness campaign, lights across Paris dimmed for five minutes on Thursday.
Eyes On The Forest has asked Indonesia's Ministry of Forestry to cancel auctions for two logging concessions that would endanger Sumatran tigers and elephants and threaten the livelihood of the indigenous population.
http://eyesontheforest.or.id/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=95&Itemid=6
Milan, Italy, has banned 170,000 older vehicles that do not pass environmental controls, to help combat chronic pollution problems. The trial will last until mid-April.
In England, the Richmond Council has voted to charge parking fees based on carbon dioxide emissions from the vehicle.
http://www.richmond.gov.uk/press_office/press_releases/january_2007_press_releases/richmond_councillors_vote_for_co2_parking_charges.htm
The US Senate held a hearing on Senators'' Perspectives on Global Warming, in which each Senator was asked to provide views on the issue and the nation's response.
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Hearings.Hearing&Hearing_id=5584be8e-802a-23ad-499a-ea3c20ff687d
The House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform held a hearing on Political Influence on Government Climate Change Scientists. The testimony indicated that the White House seriously distorted and suppressed reports of climate change science. The Senate will hold a similar hearing next week.
http://oversight.house.gov/story.asp?ID=1162&Issue=Environment
http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0131/p01s04-uspo.html
These findings are supported by research from the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) and the Government Accountability Project (GAP). UCS surveyed 1,600 climate scientists. Respondents reported at least 435 occurrences of political interference in their work over the past five years:
* 46 percent perceived or personally experienced pressure to eliminate the words "climate change," "global warming," or other similar terms from a variety of communications.
* 43 percent reported changes or edits during review of their work that changed the meaning of their scientific findings
* 46 percent reported new or unusual administrative requirements that impair climate-related work
* Scientists who are not federal employees, reported far fewer instances of interference
http://www.ucsusa.org/news/press_release/investigation-reveals-0007.html
GAP conducted 40 in-depth interviews with climate scientists and a review of 2,000 agency documents. Their investigation revealed that agency media policies often unnecessarily hinder scientists' interaction with the media rather than facilitate public dissemination of their research.
http://www.whistleblower.org/content/press_detail.cfm?press_id=713
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ETM Human Rights
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The European Parliament has adopted a joint resolution with 591 votes in favor, 45 against and 31 abstentions for a universal moratorium on the death penalty.
http://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/expert/infopress_page/015-2614-031-01-05-902-20070130IPR02600-31-01-2007-2007-false/default_en.htm
Reporters Without Borders released its 2007 annual press freedom survey, which reviews journalists' rights and regional aspects of media and internet freedom in 98 countries. 2006 was the deadliest year for reporters in more than a decade, with 81 journalists and media staffers killed worldwide: most in Iraq. China jailed 32 journalists last year, the most of any country, out of a total of 871. Although countries like North Korea, Eritrea, Cuba and Turkmenistan are extremely repressive, democratic countries also need to improve, and stand up for their values. The controversy over Danish cartoons of the Prophet Mohamed illustrates this, with several democratic countries refusing to defend Denmark and its journalists.
http://www.rsf.org/article.php3?id_article=20843
The US Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division has launched a unit dedicated to human trafficking cases.
http://www.usdoj.gov/opa/pr/2007/January/07_crt_060.html
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ETM Infectious Diseases
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Gambian President Yahya Jammeh claims that he can cure AIDS in three days, as well as asthma, using a secret mixture of medicinal herbs, and the Koran.
http://www.statehouse.gm/hiv-treatmnt-rsult_310107.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6323449.stm
Through 29 January there have been 270 laboratory-confirmed cases of human avian influenza H5N1 infections, of which 164 have been fatal. Since then:
* The EU has confirmed that H5N1 was found on a farm in Hungary
* Indonesia, where more than a third of global human deaths have occurred, is undertaking compulsory culling of thousands of backyard chickens, and plans to declare the epidemic a national disaster, which would release additional funds to combat the disease. The ban on backyard chickens has changed a whole way of life, providing a safety net against price rises and a way to earn a little extra money.
* Japan has confirmed a third outbreak this year
* Nigeria has reported its first human fatality from avian influenza
* Thailand announced a third outbreak and culled the affected flock
* H5N1 has killed tens of thousands of turkeys at a commercial farm in Suffolk, England, to try to contain the UK's first mass outbreak. The source of the infection has not been determined.
The World Health Organization has revised flu vaccine development guidelines.
http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/guidelines/earlyrelease2007/en/index.html
The US Centers for Disease Control (CDC) has released "Interim Pre-pandemic Planning Guidance: Community Strategy for Pandemic Influenza Mitigation in the United States - Early Targeted Layered use of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions". Because vaccines are unlikely to be available at the start of a pandemic, this plan suggests other measures to help reduce or delay the spread of the virus. This includes social distancing strategies such as closing schools, canceling public gatherings, planning for liberal work leave policies, telecommuting, and voluntary isolation and quarantine. In addition, pandemics would be characterized by degree, like hurricanes. There is no strategy to pay for these efforts, or to address prolonged absences from the workplace.
http://www.pandemicflu.gov/plan/community/community_mitigation.pdf
http://www.cdc.gov/od/oc/media/transcripts/%20t070201.htm
In Kenya Rift Valley Fever infections appear to be declining. Through 30 January, there have been 411 suspected cases, including 121 deaths. The outbreak has spread to Somalia, where 100 cases and 48 deaths are reported. Conflict in Somalia is interfering with control measures.
An international computing grid is analyzing drug compounds to find treatment for malaria.
http://www.cclrc.ac.uk/Activity/News2007;SECTION=9955;
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ETM Legal Systems
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In Nigeria's Delta State, the Committee for the Defense of Human Rights (CDHR) has asked the Commissioner of Police to reduce congestion in police cells and improve sanitary conditions, calling the poor hygiene an eyesore and constitutes unjust suffering to prisoners.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/niger_delta/nd229012007.html
Her Majesty's Inspectorate of Prisons released its annual report. Chief Inspector Anne Owers warns that the jail system is in serious crisis. Overcrowding has increased risk, and hindered rehabilitation. There is particular concern over mentally ill inmates, and immigration detention centers.
http://inspectorates.homeoffice.gov.uk/hmiprisons/docs/Annual_Report_2005-2006.pdf
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/6313561.stm
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-2575624,00.html
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/tm_headline=free-the-women&method=full&objectid=18553685&siteid=94762-name_page.html
http://commentisfree.guardian.co.uk/david_ramsbotham/2007/01/post_1028.html
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ETM Natural Resources
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Ivory Coast cocoa merchants are increasingly attractive targets for robberies.
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=L31521625
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ETM Populations
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A new report by the Legal Assistance Center entitled "Our Land They Took" highlights the San's dispossession of land and their status as the most marginalized ethnic group in Namibia.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=297819&area=/breaking_news/breaking_news__africa/
South Africa's Deputy President Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka said that South Africa is in danger of becoming an African country where its citizens cannot speak, read or write African languages, and called for students to be able to study in African languages.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=297691
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ETM Technology
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Rutherford Appleton Laboratory researchers are developing a laser-based technique to trace counterfeit drugs while sill in their packages.
http://www.cclrc.ac.uk/Activity/News2007;SECTION=9953;
The University of Edinburgh has developed prototypes of microscopic engines powered light that could in the future sort and move molecules.
http://www.ed.ac.uk/news/070130maxwell.html
Intel has announced plans to begin manufacturing processors just 45 nanometers wide. IBM has developed a transistor that can be incorporated in chips of this size.
http://www.intel.com/pressroom/archive/releases/20070128comp.htm
http://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/20980.wss
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/6299147.stm
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ETM Weapons (WMD, Proliferation)
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International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director Mohammed ElBaradei has called for a timeout regarding the Iranian nuclear issue. The US rejected the suggestion and insisted that sanctions in place are not open to new interpretations. Iran dismissed the proposal as immature. Russia likes the idea. Increasing fears in Europe that the US plans to attack Iran are contributing to the failure to agree on a strategy for how to deal with Iran's nuclear program.
http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2007/iran_timeout.html
http://today.reuters.com/news/articlebusiness.aspx?type=tnBusinessNews&storyID=nL31729379
http://www.irna.com/en/news/view/line-22/0702011146010552.htm
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20070201/60027123.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,,2002319,00.html
Failure to resolve US financial sanctions against North Korea could lead the latter to undertake a second nuclear test.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/31/AR2007013100554.html
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/01/30/america/NA-GEN-US-Koreas.php
News this week on the polonium-210 poisoning death of Alexander Litvinenko includes:
"Litvinenko file given to prosecutors"
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/articlenews.aspx?type=UKNews1&storyID=2007-02-01T060148Z_01_L31720354_RTRUKOC_0_UK-BRITAIN-LITVINENKO.xml
"Lugovoi is 'most likely poisoner'"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/6319935.stm
"Ex-FSB officer Litvinenko knew no secrets - Putin"
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20070201/60041391.html
"Litvinenko Shooting Gallery"
http://www.kommersant.com/p738293/r_530/Litvinenko_Shooting_Gallery/
"Russia seeks UK Litvinenko probe"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/6328875.stm
Australia has launched the National Center for Biosecurity.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/National/New-national-biosecurity-centre-opens/2007/01/31/1169919406681.html
The American Society for Clinical Pathology conducted a survey of clinical laboratory professionals. Their report, "Chemical Terrorism: How Prepared are the Clinical Laboratories?" finds that less than half believe their laboratory could effectively respond in a hazardous chemical emergency.
http://www.ascp.org/AboutUs/NewsRoom/NewsArticle.aspx?PrimaryCode=CHEM
The US Department of State released to Congress a preliminary report on its investigation into Israel's use of cluster bombs in civilian areas of Lebanon last summer, which finds it likely that Israel violated the terms of the Arms Export Act.
http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2007/79467.htm
http://www.pmddtc.state.gov/reference.htm
Following reports that Iran was obtaining spare parts from retired F-14 fighter jets, the US defense department has frozen all sales pending review.
http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1583715,00.html
5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor
The 21st century is the interdependent century. Understanding the implicit and explicit networks on which we rely, and the interdependencies among the sectors of the critical infrastructure is essential for business continuity, economic success, and our very survival. The Critical Infrastructure Monitor, published monthly, analyzes these sectors, regulatory frameworks, and issues of enterprise risk management in global supply chains.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP
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CIM Agriculture and Food
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International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas member states and regions agreed to cut the catch quota of bluefin tuna in the Eastern Atlantic and Mediterranean for this year to 29,500 tons from 32,000 tons in 2006, and continue gradual reductions. This level of reduction is unlikely to help the species recover.
http://search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-bin/nb20070130a5.html
http://www.wwf.org.uk/news/n_0000003568.asp
China has banned some fishing along a stretch of the Yangtze River to protect fish stocks.
http://www.china.org.cn/english/China/161171.htm
The US Department of Agriculture has revealed details of the 2007 Farm Bill, which proposes to reduce payments to farmers by $10 billion over the next five years, and eliminate support entirely for those earning more than $200,000 per year. Such measures could accommodate World Trade Organization demands and help restart the stalled Doha trade talks.
http://www.usda.gov/wps/portal/!ut/p/_s.7_0_A/7_0_1UH?navid=FARM_BILL_FORUMS&navtype=SU
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CIM Banking and Finance
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Following last month's collapse of the Rebar Group, Taiwan's Financial Supervisory Commission's new chairman has promised to strengthen financial supervision to take into account market information and other details in addition to corporate financial statements.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/91fb367e-afef-11db-94ab-0000779e2340.html
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CIM Cybersecurity
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IBM Internet Security Systems X-Force released its 2006 security statistics report. Key findings include:
* Within the last year, the volume of spam has increased by 100 percent over what ISS reported in 2005.
* The US, Spain and France are the three largest originators of spam worldwide.
* After English, German is the most popular language in which spam messages are written. (X-Force predicts that as computer users become more savvy at detecting and deleting spam, spammers will increasingly localize their messages in languages other than English to improve the rate at which they are opened.)
* The most popular subject line for spam in 2006 was "Re: hi."
* South Korea accounts for the highest source of phishing e-mails.
* The largest threat category of malware in 2006 was Downloaders, accounting for 22 percent of all malware. (A Downloader is a piece of low-profile malware that installs itself on machines for the purpose of later downloading a more sophisticated malware agent.)
* The most popular exploit used on the Internet to infect Web browsers with malware was for Microsoft's MS-ITS vulnerability (MS04-013), disclosed in 2004.
* The busiest month in 2006 for vulnerability disclosure was June, while the busiest week was the week before Thanksgiving and the most popular day of the week to disclose vulnerabilities was Tuesday.
http://www.iss.net/about/press_center/releases/us_ibm_report.html
Some of the personal GPS devices, Tom Tom GO 910s, shipped with a virus.
http://www.tomtom.com/news/category.php?ID=2&NID=349&Language=1
Microsoft's claim that Vista is more secure than other operating systems is both untrue and an open challenge to hackers.
* Secure operating systems
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/6316253.stm
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/30/technology/30bugs.html
* Internet Explorer
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/02/01/windows_vista_security/
* Voice recognition vulnerabilities
http://isc.sans.org/diary.html?storyid=2148
http://blogs.technet.com/msrc/archive/2007/01/31/issue-regarding-windows-vista-speech-recognition.aspx
http://blogs.zdnet.com/Ou/?p=418
Javelin Strategy and Research released its 2007 Identity Fraud Survey. They found security improvements and a reduction in US identity theft losses, to $49 billion. They report that, 8.4 million adult Americans, or one in 27, learned last year that criminals committed fraud with personal data such as credit card or Social Security numbers. That’s down from 8.9 million in 2005 and 10.1 million in 2003. Adults under 25, African-Americans, and people who make more than $150,000 were among the groups most likely to suffer fraud. More than half of consumers spent nothing to clear up a fraud, but the average expense for those who did was $535.
http://www.javelinstrategy.com/2007/02/01/us-identity-theft-losses-fall-study/#more-607
Multinational retail giant TJX acknowledges that the security breach that affected hundreds of thousands or more customer accounts will affect their quarterly earnings. They have launched a major advertising campaign to deal with the fallout, including their month-long failure to notify of the breach. TJX also face a class action suit, bank lawsuits, local legal actions, and new regulations. Fifth Third Bank, which processes the TJX cards, is also facing legal action. More than 60 banks have reported compromised accounts. The government of Canada has launched its own investigation.
http://www.tjx.com/tjx_message.html
http://today.reuters.com/news/articleinvesting.aspx?view=CN&storyID=2007-02-01T141828Z_01_N01287011_RTRIDST_0_TJX-OUTLOOK-UPDATE-1.XML
http://www.seacoastonline.com/news/01302007/business-ph-por-TJX.update.html
http://www.boston.com/business/globe/articles/2007/01/30/tjx_faces_class_action_lawsuit_in_data_breach/
http://www.javelinstrategy.com/2007/01/26/fraud-linked-to-tjx-data-heist-spreads/#more-601
http://sev.prnewswire.com/banking-financial-services/20070131/CLW15031012007-1.html
http://www.privcom.gc.ca/media/nr-c/2007/nr-c_070131_e.asp
Stephanie McLaughlan asked the Halifax Bank of Scotland for a statement and received 600 pages of confidential information on 75,000 clients. The bank is investigating.
http://www.thisisnorthscotland.co.uk/displayNode.jsp?nodeId=149664&command=displayContent&sourceNode=149490&contentPK=16523463&folderPk=85696&pNodeId=149221
The agency of Human Services for the US state of Vermont has notified 70,000 people of a computer compromise that may have exposed personal data. Accounts at the New England Federal Credit Union may also be affected.
http://humanservices.vermont.gov/news-info/whats-new/frequently-asked-questions-regarding-computer-security-incident-involving-the-agency-of-human-services-and-the-child-support-office
http://www.nefcu.com/pdf/janletter.pdf
The Cyber Security Industry Alliance released its Federal Progress Report for 2006 and 2007. They gave US federal government a D grade.
https://www.csialliance.org/news/pr/view?item_key=d318795a670390bea4a352c8c578096535df6d0a
Voting machines used in the US have been found, in whole and in part, for sale on eBay.
http://www.ajc.com/metro/content/metro/stories/2007/01/29/0130metvoter.html
http://www.examiner.com/a-536447~E_voting_components_found_in_old_furniture__sold_on_eBay.html
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CIM Dams and Bridges
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The US Army Corps of Engineers completed its assessment of dams across the nation, identifying 146 as structurally deficient.
http://www.hq.usace.army.mil/cepa/releases/leveesafety.htm
In the Puget Sound region of Washington state, dams on the Klamath River must be removed or modified to allow unfettered passage for salmon. Pacificorp, which owns the dams, will install fish ladders and screens and other necessary steps.
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2007/s2783.htm
http://www.newportnewstimes.com/articles/2007/01/31/news/news03.txt
http://blog.seattlepi.nwsource.com/enviroreaderblog/archives/111075.asp
http://www.yubanet.com/artman/publish/article_50382.shtml
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CIM Defense Industrial Base
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The US House Armed Services Committee Subcommittee on Terrorism, Unconventional Threats and Capabilities, held a hearing regarding current manning, equipping and readiness challenges facing Special Operations Forces. The exodus of skilled workers to the private sector is among many challenges facing US forces.
* Chairman Adam Smith's opening statement
http://armedservices.house.gov/apps/list/speech/armedsvc_dem/smith_openingSOCOM013107.shtml
* General Doug Brown, USA, Commander, US Special Operations Command
http://armedservices.house.gov/pdfs/TUTC013107/Brown%20testimony013107.pdf
* Lieutenant General Robert W. Wagner, USA, Commander, US Army Special Operations Command
http://armedservices.house.gov/pdfs/TUTC013107/Wagner%20testimony013107.pdf
* Rear Admiral Joseph Maguire, USN, Commander, U.S. Naval Special Warfare Command
http://armedservices.house.gov/pdfs/TUTC013107/Maguire%20testimony013107.pdf
* Lieutenant General Michael W. Wooley, USAF, Commander, U.S. Air Force Special Operations Command
http://armedservices.house.gov/pdfs/TUTC013107/Wooley%20testimony013107.pdf
* Major General Dennis J. Hejlik, USMC, Commander, U. S. Marine Corps Special Operations Command
http://armedservices.house.gov/pdfs/TUTC013107/Hejlik%20testimony013107.pdf
The same day, the Readiness and Air and Land Forces subcommittees met jointly on the topic of Army equipment reset. Testimony described the heavy toll military operations in Afghanistan and Iraq place on Army equipment, and the difficulties in monitoring equipment repair, replacement, and modernization to a degree that can effectively predict required funding.
* Chairmen opening statements
http://armedservices.house.gov/apps/list/speech/armedsvc_dem/ortiz_opening_reset013107.shtml
http://armedservices.house.gov/apps/list/speech/armedsvc_dem/aberc_opening013107.shtml
* Testimony
http://armedservices.house.gov/pdfs/joint013107/multi%20testimony013107.pdf
* Government Accountability Office, "Preliminary Observations on the Army's Implementation of Its Equipment Reset Strategies"
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-439T
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CIM Emergency Services
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The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) conducted a pandemic preparedness drill.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/01/health/01flu.html
New York's congressional delegation obtained $25 million of $250 million needed for care and treatment of 9/11 first responders who became ill from the toxic dust at Ground Zero.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/31/nyregion/31dust.html
http://www.cdc.gov/niosh/topics/wtc/
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CIM Energy
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Cyprus signed an agreement with Lebanon to delineate an undersea border to facilitate oil exploration. Turkey has protested this measure, and insists it will protect its interests in the area.
http://yalibnan.com/site/archives/2007/02/cyprus_denounce.php
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/02/europe/EU-GEN-Cyprus-Turkey-Oil.php
http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D8N0E1400.htm
The European Commission adopted a Communication on the protection of critical infrastructure in energy and transport setting out criteria which can be used to identify European infrastructure in this area.
http://ec.europa.eu/dgs/energy_transport/security/infrastructure/index_en.htm.
Germany plans to phase out its heavily subsidized coal mining industry, but there is a regional dispute over the timetable and the fate of the miners.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,463174,00.html
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601100&sid=aR5PXdLea.38
In his annual press conference, Russian President Putin denied using oil and gas resources to manipulate foreign policy.
http://www.allheadlinenews.com/articles/7006328177
Russia has offered Ukraine access to its oil and gas fields, in exchange for access to Ukraine's pipelines that connect Russia to Europe. They are discussing this and other forms of energy cooperation and integration.
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20070202/60119504.html
http://www.regnum.ru/english/776664.html
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CIM Information Technology
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The World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) hosted the Third Global Congress on Combating Counterfeiting and Piracy. Counterfeiting results in global economic losses of more than $100 billion each year, while pirated medicines endanger health.
http://www.wipo.int/edocs/prdocs/en/2007/wipo_pr_2007_475.html
http://www.interpol.int/Public/FinancialCrime/IntellectualProperty/Meeting/3rdGlobalCongress2006/Default.asp
The US Energy Policy Act moved the start and end of daylight saving time, requiring review of software and hardware systems that use timestamps to ensure this change is addressed.
http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=500587
http://www.dstinfo.com/site/2007/01/vendor_links_1.html
Sony BMG has agreed a settlement with the US Federal Trade Commission regarding problems caused by hidden anti-piracy software.
http://www.ftc.gov/opa/2007/01/sony.htm
Microsoft has released its new Windows Vista system, which will be adjusted to accommodate EU requirements.
http://www.microsoft.com/windows/products/windowsvista/default.mspx?pill=-1&WT.mc_id=?MSF601A
http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&articleId=9009780
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CIM Nuclear Reactors, Materials, and Waste
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Russia and the US have begun efforts to improve security at a 9th, and final, Russian nuclear warhead site, under the 2005 Bratislava Agreement.
http://www.nnsa.doe.gov/docs/newsreleases/2007/PR_2007-01-31_NA-07-02.htm
The US House Committee on Energy and Commerce held a hearing on Continuing Security Concerns at Los Alamos National Laboratory. Committee members expressed intense frustration with continued security lapses that were deemed totally unacceptable. Energy Secretary Bodman insisted that arrogant scientists, not the unwieldy bureaucracy, are responsible for the endemic security problems.
http://energycommerce.house.gov/cmte_mtgs/110-oi_hrg.013007.LANL.shtml
The Government Accountability Office (GAO) released a related report, "National Nuclear Security Administration: Additional Actions Needed to Improve Management of the Nation's Nuclear Programs". It cites the following factors that contribute to continued cyber security weaknesses:
* Weak organization of headquarters security. Until recently, NNSA did not have consistent leadership or direction at the headquarters level for its security program.
* Security staffing shortages at NNSA site offices. Since NNSA became operational, five of its six site offices have not been staffed at the required levels, according to GAO's analysis. Site offices oversee NNSA contractor security operations.
* Inadequate security staff training. NNSA has not implemented a training program that provides federal security officials with the skills needed to effectively oversee contractor security programs.
* Incomplete security data. DOE's database for tracking security deficiencies identified by security oversight assessments is incomplete, and, as a result, NNSA lacks a comprehensive understanding of the overall effectiveness of its security program.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-36
A related hearing was undertaken by the House Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Strategic Forces, regarding the Defense Department's implementation of the National Nuclear Security Administration Act of 2000. In addition to Energy Secretary Bodman, representatives from the GAO presented their findings, highlighting numerous management weaknesses.
http://armedservices.house.gov/apps/list/speech/armedsvc_dem/tauscher_openingNNSA013107.shtml
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-428T
The Department of Energy has awarded grants to support studies of possible nuclear fuel recycling plant sites.
http://www.energy.gov/news/4674.htm
The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has rejected a petition to require nuclear plants protect themselves from air attacks.
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/news/2007/07-012.html
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/29/AR2007012900572.html
NRC has scheduled a public meeting to discussed proposed physical security requirements for nuclear power plants, on 14 February.
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/news/2007/07-017.html
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CIM Public Health and Healthcare
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The United Nations refugee agency, UNHCR, has launched a new policy to ensure that HIV-positive refugees and other displaced people around the world have access to life-prolonging antiretroviral (ARV) medication.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57240
Clinical trials of a microbicide to prevent HIV transmission have been halted after finding a higher number of infections. Three other studies continue.
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2007/s01/en/index.html
http://www.monitor.co.ug/news/news02023.php
Chile's President Michelle Bachelet has signed a decree so that the morning-after contraceptive pill can be given to girls as young as 14 without their parents' consent, overriding the Constitutional Court.
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory?id=2835577
A workplace smoking ban has come into effect across France.
Baghdad hospitals are in crisis from lack of security and a shortage of medicine.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57224
The University of South Africa (Unisa) reports that the HIV/AIDS pandemic, often regarded as a disease of the poor, is rapidly increasing among the country's richest and best-educated people.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=297442
Thailand's health ministry has approved production of generic versions of anti-AIDS and heart drugs, to make them more affordable. Thailand has half a million HIV positive people, and says this represents a national public health emergency that makes manufacture of patented medicines permissible under international trade rules.
http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0131/p07s02-woap.html
The US Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, Subcommittee on Oversight of Government Management, the Federal Workforce, and the District of Columbia, held a hearing on "Private Health Records: Privacy Implications of the Federal Government's Health Information Technology Initiative". Testimony pointed to the critical importance of privacy in health information, and the lack of a comprehensive strategy from the Department of Health and Human Services responsible for new technology efforts.
http://hsgac.senate.gov/index.cfm?Fuseaction=Hearings.Detail&HearingID=417
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CIM Transportation
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High security costs coupled with low demand has led El Al to stop flights between Cyprus and Turkey.
Senegal and South Africa have signed an Agreement on Civil Aviation Security Cooperation to share information about airport security and cooperate in counterterrorism and information sharing.
http://www.sundaytimes.co.za/News/Article.aspx?id=374726
Thai airport authorities have halted repairs at the 4-month-old Suvarnabhumi airport pending a thorough investigation into the causes of cracks that have appeared on runways and taxiways. In the meantime, the old airport will be reopened.
Japan, Malaysia and Thailand held their first joint anti-piracy exercise in the Straits of Malacca.
http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BT/Monday/Nation/BT607271.txt/Article/
The US House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee held an oversight hearing on the Coast Guard's Integrated Deepwater System. Testimony focused on cost overruns and construction delays, as well as design flaws in new ships that are causing hulls to crack. The ambitious program has already forced several boats to be removed from service. Given such results, the program is at risk of cancellation, at a time when operational assets are in dire need of improvement.
http://transportation.house.gov/hearings/hearingdetail.aspx?NewsID=24
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CIM Water
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The Australian state of Queensland has cancelled plans to have a referendum on drinking water that contains recycled sewage because the water shortage is so severe they have no choice but to adopt the practice.
In Kenya, the Nairobi Water and Sewerage Company began disconnecting customers in arrears from their water supplies, leading to a stampede as they rushed to pay.
http://www.nationmedia.com/dailynation/nmgcontententry.asp?category_id=1&newsid=90716
Natural and manmade events are inevitable, but they need not become disasters. Subscribers to the monthly Disaster Reduction Monitor learn from past incidents to prevent future disasters. It includes analysis of historical events, emerging risks and risk mitigation, and features new techniques to address disaster reduction, ranging from technical advances to regulatory best practices and micro-finance.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP
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DRM Incidents
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Flooding in Jakarta has killed 20 and displaced 340,000 people and left many parts of the Indonesian capital under neck-deep water.
The governor of the US state of Florida declared an emergency, and President Bush named four counties disaster areas after powerful storms and tornadoes, most intense in the central part of the state, left at least 20 people dead.
Heavy rains and landslides in Bolivia have caused at least 17 deaths and affected some 94,000 people.
A gas explosion in China's southwestern Yile coal mine killed eleven miners and left five missing. The cause is under investigation.
The cause of a hotel fire in southern Chile that killed ten foreign tourists is under investigation.
The US Chemical Safety Board has deployed an investigative team to assess a fatal fuel tank explosion at the Flat Top Little General Store and Gas station in Ghent, West Virginia, while left four people dead, including emergency responders, and seriously injured nine.
In the Indian state of Gujarat, four people were killed and 18 injured when an oil refinery caught fire. Workers were welding near a naphtha pipeline, and its leakage caused the fire.
Landslides in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia, killed three people.
Three miners died and 27 are trapped in a Colombian coal mine, following a gas explosion.
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DRM Response and Recovery
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Indonesia is struggling to recover the Adam Air plane or its black box, but has been unable to get the necessary international support for a recovery effort. A US ship located the black box, but would not recover it due to other obligations and lack of funding to engage in a 2000-meter recovery effort. Meanwhile, Adam Air is holding a ritual at sea to commemorate the 102 people who died on board.
http://www.tempointeractive.com/hg/nasional/2007/01/31/brk,20070131-92285,uk.html
http://www.tempointeractive.com/hg/nasional/2007/01/30/brk,20070130-92204,uk.html
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/01/30/news/adamside.php
The UK Maritime and Coastguard Agency is continuing to remove oil and unload containers from the grounded MSC Napoli. The case has increased pressure for new safety standards.
http://www.mcga.gov.uk/c4mca/mcga-newsroom/incident.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/england/devon/6325071.stm
A British court has agreed to hear a class action case against Trafigura, the international oil trader implicated in toxic waste dumping in Ivory Coast.
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/articlenews.aspx?type=topNews&storyID=2007-02-02T194110Z_01_L02227138_RTRUKOC_0_UK-IVORYCOAST-TOXIC-TRIAL.xml
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6324051.stm
The US Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs held a field hearing in New Orleans on the topic of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita: Outstanding Need, Slow Progress. Repairs and prevention were the focus of testimony from federal, state and local officials, and there was other lively participation from residents.
http://hsgac.senate.gov/index.cfm?Fuseaction=Hearings.Detail&HearingID=415
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-418T
http://www.newschannel5.tv/News/Other/5647/
http://www.bayoubuzz.com/News/Louisiana/Hurricane_Rita/New_Orleans_Homeland_Security_Hearings_Shameful__2688.asp
http://www.cw.ua.edu/vnews/display.v/ART/2007/01/31/45c051be37d4b
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DRM Risks
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The US Army Corps of Engineers completed its assessment of dams across the nation, identifying 146 as structurally deficient.
http://www.hq.usace.army.mil/cepa/releases/leveesafety.htm
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DRM Mitigation
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New Orleans has developed a Unified New Orleans Plan for citywide recovery, requiring an infusion of some $14 billion over the next ten years.
http://www.nola.com/news/t-p/frontpage/index.ssf?/base/news-7/1170228330319700.xml
http://recovery.blogs.nola.com/default.asp?item=465073
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, produced by Working Group I. Working Group II on Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability will be released in April, and Working Group III on Mitigation of Climate Change will be released in May. In addition to our reports on this topic, you can refer to IPCC's website:
http://www.ipcc.ch/
Also note the activities of these participating organizations:
* World Meteorological Organization
http://www.wmo.int/
* UN Environment Program
http://www.unep.org/
And these global initiatives:
* United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
http://unfccc.int/2860.php
* Kyoto Protocol
http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/items/2830.php
IPCC's last report was issued in 2001. The 2007 report reviews progress in understanding and attributing climate change; findings from observations of the atmosphere, oceans, sea level, snow and ice; how the climate has behaved in the last hundreds of thousands years; and projections of future changes. It's conservative assessment finds that human activities are warming the climate system at a dangerous rate of a minimum 4.5 degrees by 2100. Unless drastic changes are taken this change is irreversible within a human lifetime, and would take decades or centuries to reverse. The impact of rising temperatures includes massive extinctions, rising sea levels, drought, and other calamitous effects.
Here is the press announcement, which summarizes the findings:
EVIDENCE IS NOW "UNEQUIVOCAL" THAT HUMANS ARE CAUSING GLOBAL WARMING - UN REPORT
New York, Feb 2 2007 1:00PM
Changes in the atmosphere, the oceans and glaciers and ice caps now show unequivocally that the world is warming due to human activities, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said in new report released today in Paris.
Welcoming the findings, Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon pointed to the "scientific consensus regarding the quickening and threatening pace of human-induced climate change" and called for the global response “to move much more rapidly as well, and with more determination.”
In a statement released by his spokesman, the Secretary-General said the new study and expected follow-up IPCC reports "will be critical guides for the UN's response to anthropogenic climate change," and will support action by those concerned globally, nationally and locally.
http://www.un.org/apps/sg/sgstats.asp?nid=2433
The IPCC, which brings together the world's leading climate scientists and experts, concluded that major advances in climate modeling and the collection and analysis of data now give scientists "very high confidence" - at least a 9 out of 10 chance of being correct - in their understanding of how human activities are causing the world to warm. This level of confidence is much greater than the IPCC indicated in their last report in 2001.
Today's report, the first of four volumes to be released this year by the IPCC, also confirms that it is "very likely" that humanity's emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and other greenhouse gases have caused most of the global temperature rise observed since the mid-20th century. The report says that it is likely that effect of human activity since 1750 is five times greater than the effect of fluctuations in the sun's output.
Susan Soloman, co-chair of the IPCC working group that produced the report, said records from ice cores, going back 10,000 years, show a dramatic rise in greenhouse gases from the onset of the industrial era. "There can be no question that the increase in these greenhouse gases are dominated by human activity."
Three years in the making, the report is based on a thorough review of the most-up-to-date, peer-reviewed scientific literature available worldwide. IPCC Chair Rajendra Pachuari said the science has "moved on" and the extent of knowledge and the research carried is now several steps beyond what was possible for the last report.
The report describes an accelerating transition to a warmer world - an increase of 3 degrees C is expected this century - marked by more extreme temperatures including heat waves, new wind patterns, worsening drought in some regions, heavier precipitation in others, melting glaciers and Arctic ice, and rising global average sea levels.
"This report by the IPCC represents the most rigorous and comprehensive assessment possible of the current state of climate science and has considerably narrowed the uncertainties of the 2001 report,” said Michel Jarraud, Secretary General of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
"The 2nd of February, 2007 in Paris will perhaps one day be remembered as the day where the question mark was removed behind the debate on whether climate change has anything to do with human activity on this planet," said Achim Steiner, Executive Director of the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP).
"Momentum for action is building; this new report should spur policymakers to get off the fence and put strong and effective policies in place to tackle greenhouse gas emissions," he said.
The report also concludes that:
* The world's average surface temperature has increased by around 0.74 degrees C over the past 100 years (1906 - 2005). A warming of about 0.2 degrees C is projected for each of the next two decades.
* The best estimates for sea-level rise due to ocean expansion and glacier melt by the end of the century (compared to 1989 - 1999 levels) have narrowed to 28 - 58 cm, versus 9 - 88 cm in the 2001 report, due to improved understanding. However, larger values of up to 1 m by 2100 cannot be ruled out if ice sheets continue to melt as temperature rises.
* Sea ice is projected to shrink in both the Arctic and Antarctic regions. Large areas of the Arctic Ocean could lose year-round ice cover by the end of the 21st century if human emissions reach the higher end of current estimates. The extent of Arctic sea ice has already shrunk by about 2.7 percent per decade since 1978, with the summer minimum declining by about 7.1 percent per decade.
* Snow cover has decreased in most regions, especially in spring. The maximum extent of frozen ground in the winter/spring season decreased by about 7 percent in the Northern Hemisphere over the latter half of the 20th century. The average freezing date for rivers and lakes in the Northern Hemisphere over the past 150 years has arrived later by some 5.8 days per century, while the average break-up date has arrived earlier by 6.5 days per century.
* It is "very likely" that precipitation will increase at high latitudes and "likely" it will decrease over most subtropical land regions. The pattern of these changes is similar to what has been observed during the 20th century.
* It is "very likely" that the upward trend in hot extremes and heat waves will continue. The duration and intensity of drought has increased over wider areas since the 1970s, particularly in the tropics and subtropics. The Sahel, the Mediterranean, southern Africa and parts of southern Asia have already become drier during the 20th century.
* The number of tropical cyclones (typhoons and hurricanes) per year is projected to decline. However, the intensity of these storms is expected to increase, with higher peak wind speeds and more intense precipitation, due to warmer ocean waters.
The IPCC does not conduct new research. Instead, its mandate is to make policy-relevant assessments of the existing worldwide literature on the scientific, technical and socio-economic aspects of climate change. Its reports have played a major role in inspiring governments to adopt and implement the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Kyoto Protocol, a binding pact on greenhouse gas emissions.
PRESS REPORTS AND ANALYSIS
* Al Jazeera (Qatar)
"The Pacific's Climate Refugees"
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/C61077B9-6AE7-47FD-A7E9-63B6EC9B4B4A.htm
* BBC (UK/Worldwide)
"Climate paper prompts call to act"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6326667.stm
* Carbon Positive (Netherlands)
"IPCC report ups the Kyoto ante"
http://www.carbonpositive.net/viewarticle.aspx?articleID=583
* Europa (EU)
"Climate change: New report from the world's leading scientists underlines the need for urgent global action"
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/07/128
* (Fox) News (Australia)
" Bosses heed climate warning"
http://www.news.com.au/business/story/0,23636,21170993-462,00.html
* Guardian (UK)
"We cannot let the Kyoto debacle happen again"
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/story/0,,2005608,00.html
* The Hindu (India)
"Global warming unstoppable for centuries"
http://www.hindu.com/thehindu/holnus/001200702031131.htm
* Los Angeles Times (US)
"Deal with warming, don't debate it, scientists warn"
http://www.latimes.com/news/science/la-sci-warming3feb03,0,7793146.story
* Mail and Guardian (South Africa)
"Minister urges action on climate change"
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=297815
* Malaysia Star (Malaysia)
"Mankind to blame for global warming say scientists"
http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2007/2/3/worldupdates/2007-02-03T103132Z_01_NOOTR_RTRJONC_0_-286068-10&sec=Worldupdates
* New York Times (US)
"Science Panel Calls Global Warming 'Unequivocal'"
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/03/science/earth/03climate.html
* Reuters (Global)
"Factbox: Global warming: impacts of temperature rises" (describes effects of one, two, three, four and five degree increases"
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L01701640.htm
* Sydney Morning Herald (Australia"
"We've Wrecked the Weather"
http://www.smh.com.au/news/environment/weve-wrecked-the-weather/2007/02/03/1169919583022.html
* Times Picayune (US)
"Global warming could hit New Orleans Hard"
http://www.nola.com/news/t-p/frontpage/index.ssf?/base/news-7/1170488524298180.xml
* Washington Post (US)
"Humans Faulted for Global Warming: International Panel of Scientists Sounds Dire Alarm"
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/02/AR2007020201754.html
8. Asset Management Network News
NEW REPORTS:
* "The Interconnected Century: Critical Security Issues" describes the ways in which individuals, governments, and businesses rely for their very survival on networks, both explicit and informal. It raises the issues of how these networks interact, and provides examples of practical ways to address risks and opportunities in each sector of the critical infrastructure.
* "Trends in Terrorism 2006" provides statistical summaries and analysis of the trends in attacks, tactics, facilities, geographic distribution and other areas for 2006. It includes quantitative comparison over time, and compares these to trends over the past 40 years, and how they compare to natural disasters. This year has expanded to include a chronology of major incidents.