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AUTHOR:
TerrorismCentral Editorial Staff

TITLE:
TerrorismCentral Newsletter - July 16, 2006

SOURCE:
TerrorismCentral, July 16, 2006

TEXT:

India's commercial capital, Mumbai (Bombay), was the scene of a major attack on 11 July when seven coordinated explosions ripped apart local trains during the rush hour commute, killing more than 230 people and injuring more than 700 injured. A day later, this tragedy was pushed aside by the widening conflict in the Middle East. Already launching major operations in Gaza, Israel opened a second front against Hezbollah and Lebanon. Meanwhile, the issues of nuclear terrorism and the unresolved issues regarding the nuclear programs in North Korea and Iran continue to fester, and global security is plumbing new depths. On a different note, the Happy Planet Index, which measures consumption levels, life expectancy, and happiness rather than national economic wealth, finds that Vanuatu is the happiest nation - islands in general performed well.

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CONTENTS:

NEWS HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK:

1. Global Terrorism Monitor
2. Political Risk Monitor
3. AML/CFT Monitor
4. Emerging Threat Monitor
5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor
6. Disaster Reduction Monitor
7. Recommended Reading
8. Asset Management Network News


1. Global Terrorism Monitor

For detailed analysis, background information and source documents become a Global Terrorism Monitor subscriber. You can purchase this and other titles here:
TAMNI Publications

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GTM Africa
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The Front for the Liberation of the Enclave of Cabinda (FLEC) says they are prepared for dialog with the Angolan government rather than continuing the 30-year conflict fought for self-determination. A delegation from the oil-rich area, which provides more than half of Angola's income, will meet next week with the Angolan government and African Union representatives in Brazzaville, Republic of Congo, next week. This delegation represents one faction of FLEC.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=54542
http://www.cabinda.org/
http://www.ibinda.com/ (in Portuguese)
http://www.irinnews.org/webspecials/cabinda/default.asp

A Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) military tribunal in the northeastern Ituri region is trying in absentia former Union of Congolese Patriots (UPC) commander and Party for the Unity and Safeguarding the Integrity of the Congo (PUSIC) founder Yves Kahwa Panga Mandro. The former militia leader refuses to attend the tribunal because he believes it is under the influence of the UN mission. He is charged with organizing an insurrection and committing crimes against humanity. The government has agreed to National Integration Front (FNI) leader Peter Karim Udaga request to be integrated into the national army.

In southern Nigeria two explosions damaged an oil pipeline, but the operator Agip, a subsidiary of Eni, said that only minor repairs are needed and will be completed soon. Nigerian militants have shut down about a quarter of Nigeria's normal oil production.

Heavy fighting in Somalia's capital Mogadishu concluded in the defeat of warlord Abdi Qeybdid's forces and victory for the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC). Two days of rocket and artillery fire left about 100 dead and 200 injured. Qeybdid fled to Baidoa to meet with interim President Abdullahi Yusuf, while some 500 of his militiamen surrendered to UIC. UIC controls Mogadishu, and about a fifth of the country.

Internecine fighting among rebel groups in Darfur, Sudan has left more than 80 people dead. This latest fighting began earlier this month, when Minni Minnawi's faction of the Sudan Liberation Army (SLA) attacked the town of Korma. Amid brutal fighting, systematic violence against women, and arbitrary executions - previously associated with government-backed militias - control of the town has changed hands three times. There has been massive displacement of the population and outside peacekeepers and humanitarian workers have not been able to reach the area. Minnawi's faction of SLA is the only group involved in the peace agreement, which has been rejected by the other rebel groups.

Ugandan President Museveni has extended the deadline for peace talks with Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) rebels to mid-September. The Ugandan government and a junior delegation of Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) rebels have begun peace talks in southern Sudan, with the rebels stressing they remain willing and able to continue fighting. Senior LRA leaders, wanted by the International Criminal Court (ICC), did not attend.
http://www.icc-cpi.int/press/pressreleases/167.html
http://www.icc-cpi.int/cases/UGD.html
http://www.un.org/Docs/journal/asp/ws.asp?m=s/2006/478
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GTM Americas
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A series of attacks in Sap Paulo, Brazil has left six people dead and many others injured. The organized criminal gang, First Command of the Capital (PCC), is believed responsible for nearly 40 assaults against police stations, banks, supermarkets, car dealerships, buses, and other commercial targets. Following 68 incidents in which buses were set afire, companies refused to continue operating. Police are not patrolling major bus routes, thereby permitting limited bus travel.

Canada's Federal Court of Appeal panel dismissed government arguments to again imprison al Qaeda suspect Mohamed Harkat. He will be under heavily restricted bail while arguments continue over deportation Harkat's native Algeria, where he claims he would be tortured.

The Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) has kidnapped 170 timber workers from the Choco jungles. Ten were killed, and five hostages escaped. The timber workers were accused of collaborating with paramilitary forces that have been fighting FARC.

In El Salvador, a police officer was shot dead by suspected Mara 18 gang members, three of whom were also killed. Police carried out a major anti-gang operation in which more than 190 suspected members of the ultra-violent gang were arrested, some while attending church services.

The US Senate Judiciary Committee held a hearing on "Hamdan v. Rumsfeld: Establishing a Constitutional Process". Reviewing options following the Supreme Court's decision that the military tribunals as constituted violated both domestic and international law, the Bush administration called for the Congress to endorse the tribunals as they are. That testimony was followed by six Judge Advocates, representing all branches of the military, who made it clear that changes to the Commissions were both necessary and in keeping with security and policy goals. They also cited frequent factual errors, easily disproved assertions, and other issues, while calling the code of military justice a gold standard. Committee members have made it clear that there will be no blank check and that administration policy would be reviewed in full. The same day, the White House modified a 2002 executive order to say that terror detainees are now entitled to the Geneva Conventions, in accordance with the Supreme Court's interpretation.
http://judiciary.senate.gov/hearing.cfm?id=1986
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/07/14/AR2006071401307.html

The House Committee on Homeland Security, Subcommittee on Management, Integration, and Oversight, held oversight hearings on Post 9/11 Assistance to New York City. The 3-part sessions covered Response, Recovery, and Rebuilding. The Committee is preparing a report incorporates multiple findings about the hodgepodge response in disaster assistance. Already it is clear that many lessons learned in the 9/11 response have not been applied to more recent disasters. Here are links to the testimony:
Ms. Ruth Ritzema, Special Agent in Charge for New York, Office of Inspector General, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyRitzema.pdf
Hon. Eric Thorson, Inspector General, U.S. Small Business Administration
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyThorson.pdf
Mr. Douglas Small, Deputy Assistant Secretary
Employment and Training, U.S. Department of Labor
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonySmall.pdf
Mr. Leroy Frazer, Bureau Chief, Special Prosecutions Bureau
New York County District Attorney?s Office
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyFrazer.pdf
Ms. Eileen Mildenberger, Chief Operating Officer, Empire State Development Corporation
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyMildenberger.pdf
Mr. Stefan Pryor, President, Lower Manhattan Development Corporation
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyPryor.pdf
Mr. John Wang, Founder and President, Asian American Business Development Center
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyWang.pdf
Ms. Bettina Damiani, Project Director, Good Jobs New York
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyDamiani.pdf
Mr. Bernard Cohen, Director, Lower Manhattan Recovery Office, Federal Transit Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyCohen.pdf
Mr. Todd J. Zinser, Acting Inspector General, U.S. Department of Transportation
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyZinser.pdf
Mr. Ron Calvosa, Director of Fraud Prevention, Lower Manhattan Construction Command Center
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyCalvosa.pdf
Mr. Michael Nestor, Director Office of Investigations, Port Authority of New York and New Jersey
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyNestor.pdf
Mr. Joe Picciano, Deputy Director for Region II, Federal Emergency Management Agency
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyPicciano.pdf
Hon. Richard Skinner, Inspector General U.S. Department of Homeland Security
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonySkinner.pdf
Mr. Greg Kutz
Director Financial Management and Assurance, U.S. Government Accountability Office
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyKutz.pdf
Hon. Rose Gill Hearn
Commissioner New York City Department of Investigation
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyHearn.pdf
Mr. David J. Varoli, General Counsel New York City Department of Design and Construction
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyVaroli.pdf
Mr. Neil Getnick, President International Association of Independent Inspectors General
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyGetnick.pdf
Ms. Carie Lemack, Co-Founder Families of September 11
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyLemack.pdf
Ms. Leigh Bradley, Senior Vice President for Enterprise Risk
American Red Cross
http://hsc.house.gov/files/TestimonyBradley.pdf

The US Department of Homeland Security's (DHS) Inspector General released "Progress in Developing the National Asset Database" (NADB). This database is one of the components in the risk management framework to coordinate critical infrastructure protection. As of January, NADB contained 77,069 assets, not distinguished by criticality pending completion of the essential step of risk assessment. The report summarizes the status of the project, and expresses particular concerns about unusual or out-o-place assets identified by states. NADB indicates that 32,631 listed assets are not nationally significant, outnumbering significant assets by 3 to 1. Examples cited include petting zoos, retail establishments including donut and bait shops, bingo, and a popcorn company. There are many other indications of problematic data, not least of which is that Indiana lists 8,591 assets, more than any other state, and 50 percent more than New York. Such inconsistencies gravely hinder understanding of risk and the ability to appropriately assess protective measures and necessary investments.
http://www.dhs.gov/dhspublic/interweb/assetlibrary/OIG_06-40_Jun06.pdf

Marko Boskic was found guilty in federal court on two counts of lying to US immigration. Posing as a refugee, he in fact participated in a Serbian unit involved in the ethnic cleansing at Srebrenica during the Bosnian war. Sentencing is scheduled for 24 October. Evidence against Boskic was deemed insufficient to justify special charges under federal torture laws that require intent.
http://www.boston.com/news/globe/city_region/breaking_news/2006/07/bosnian_immigra.html

"Venezuela: Terrorism Hub of South America?" was the topic of a House International Relations Committee hearing that included testimony alleging links to terrorist organizations and state sponsors of terrorism. Failure to fully cooperate with the US counterterrorism efforts results in a US prohibition against arms sales.
http://wwwc.house.gov/international_relations/itnhear.htm
http://www.voanews.com/english/2006-07-13-voa71.cfm
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GTM Asia Pacific
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Australian Justice Anthony Whealy was preparing to sentence Faheem Khalid Lodhi, the first person convicted of planning a terrorist act in Australia, only to discover a legislative change that must be taken into account prior to sentencing, which will now take place 23 August.
http://www.theage.com.au/news/National/New-laws-delay-Lodhis-terror-sentencing/2006/07/13/1152637783656.html

Burma's separatist Karen National Union (KNU) rebels have demanded that Thailand cease construction of a highway that KNU says would increase the suppression of the minority group, one of many under attack by Burma's military government.

Indonesian police have arrested a third suspect in last week's bombing in South Sulawesi that killed a 13-year-old boy.

Unrest in southern Thailand continued. Suspected militants undertook multiple drive-by shootings. Among the casualties were a rubber tapper, a dam guard, defense volunteers and police. A homemade bomb detonated by mobile phone near the entrance to a school injured a security officer and two children. Troops responding to the attack were targeted by a boobytrap that left the soldiers unharmed but severely injured a civilian driving behind.

Rommuelee Jeh-ha Samoh, with the Thai militant group Runda Kumpulan Kecil (RKK), has been placed on the most wanted list of Muslim insurgents for his role in the school attack.
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GTM Europe
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In the Georgia-Ossetia conflict zone, tensions have increased since the only border crossing was closed on 8 July, although Georgia has permitted crossings at an unofficial border point. A Security official was killed in a bomb attack in South Ossetia: details are under investigation. South Ossetian officers briefly detained two international monitors. On Friday morning, a bomb exploded in the South Ossetian town of Tskhinvali. 16-year-old Ibragim Gazzayev and 15-year-old Artur Tedeyev were killed. A 13-year old and two other people were injured. The incident is being investigated as a terrorist attack. South Ossetia has blamed Georgian secret services.

Russian security forces report that Chechen rebel warlord Shamil Basayev - the mastermind of the Beslan school siege - and three other militants have died in an explosion. Conflicting reports attribute the deaths to a truck carrying explosives or a Russian special operation. Despite claims from Russia, his death is unlikely to end the separatist movement.
http://www.hurriyet.com.tr/english/4745169.asp?gid=74
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4727935.stm
http://www.cfr.org/publication/11095/babitsky.html

In fighting in Dagestan, one report suggests that a chemical weapon was used against the rebels.
http://www.kavkazcenter.com/eng/content/2006/07/13/4967_print.html

Britain has released "Countering International Terrorism: The United Kingdom?s Strategy".
http://security.homeoffice.gov.uk/news-and-publications1/publication-search/general/Contest-Strategy

Parliament's House of Commons debated the annual report of parliament's Intelligence and Security Committee. Home Secretary John Reid revealed an error in the official account of the 7/7 bombings, which provided a chronology that said the four bombers had left Luton train station at 0740 when they had actually left at 0725. Police brought out the inaccuracy, and Reid has asked for an explanation of the error, which he believes is the only one.
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200506/cmhansrd/cm060711/debtext/60711-0875.htm#06071165000001
http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/intelligence/

Court proceedings against "LL" have been launched for breaching a control order. This is the first such case, and cannot proceed until the Court of Appeal reviews court rulings that the control orders are illegal because they impose detention without charge, in violation of the European Convention on Human Rights. The hearing on Friday was the last one in the Bow Street Magistrate's Court, which has been closed after 267 years, and will be turned into a luxury hotel.

The UK Home Office has unveiled a new system of terror threat alert that reduces the number of levels from seven to five, and links to them three response levels to indicate appropriate security response. The new system launches 1 August.
http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news/counter-terrorism-documents

The Independent Police Complaints Commission (IPCC) is conducting an inquiry into the shooting involved in last month's anti-terror raid. IPCC has now launched a second inquiry into claims by neighbors that they were also assaulted.
http://www.ipcc.gov.uk/

In Northern Ireland, tens of thousands joined the Twelfth of July parades marking the anniversary of the Battle of the Boyne, and the climax of the Protestant marching season. This was the most peaceful in several years, with only minor disturbances and no need for army support of police. Note our prior coverage of marching season:
https://terrorismcentral.com/Newsletters/2003/070603.html#FeatureArticle

Sinn Fein leader Gerry Adams said the way the Irish Republican Army (IRA) had dealt with the bodies of those they abducted and murdered was wrong, and a violation of human rights. He said that Sinn Fein, the IRA, and the Irish government are cooperating to recover the five remaining Disappeared. IRA members involved in the killings have visited burial sites with a forensic expert, but these people had indirect knowledge only because those directly responsible had died in the intervening years.
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/story.jsp?story=698478
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GTM Middle East
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Egypt's North Sinai Governor Ahmed Abdel Hamid ordered a state of emergency to deal with a possible border crisis following Palestinian militants destruction of a section of the Egypt-Gaza border wall, to enable hundreds of stranded people to cross into Gaza.

Egypt's Foreign Ministry reports that a civilian ship was hit by Israeli fire exchanged with Hezbollah in Lebanon, which Israel is holding under a total naval blockade. The 12 crew members were rescued, and only one was seriously injured.

In Gaza an Israeli air strike killed three teenagers and injured a fourth as they played soccer. As their offensive to free abducted soldier Gilad Shalit continued, two Islamic Jihad militants were killed and six people were injured. A Hamas militant was killed and a second wounded. Another attack directed against Hamas injured an 8-year-old girl and four other Palestinians. Israel's promise to intensify Operation Summer Rains was kept in strikes that continued throughout the week, including further attacks against infrastructure targets that have further deepened the humanitarian crisis. During air raids on Tuesday, one Palestinian was killed and about six injured. On Wednesday, a couple and their seven children were killed in an air raid targeting a Hamas member. Other military actions killed at least 16 more Palestinians, and injured twice that number. The Palestinian Foreign ministry was bombed on Thursday, injuring ten children including a 4-month and a 6-month old babies. A number of people have died from heat or illness when stranded at border crossings or unable to get medical treatment. Fighting continued on Friday while Israeli troops pulled back, but they returned on Saturday. An air strike on a house killed one person and injured several others, including children. Another Palestinian was killed by helicopter fire. An air strike early on Sunday killed three and injured eight.

The weekend wave of vicious sectarian attacks in Baghdad continued as the new week began. A series of explosions in several areas of Baghdad killed at least ten people and injured more than 40. Gunmen ambushed a bus , killing six. A roadside bomb injured five policemen. In Suwayra, five unidentified bodies were found. Outside Kurdish party offices in Kirkuk a suicide bomber blew up a truck, killing at least three and injuring seven. Near Hilla a roadside bomb killed a policeman and injured four. Diyala provincial councilor Adnan Iskandar al-Mahdawi was killed in a drive-by shooting. On Tuesday, gunmen attacked a minibus in Baghdad, killing ten Shia on their way to a funeral. A suicide bomber at a Baghdad restaurant popular among police killed five and injured ten. Five Iraqi employees of a Saudi import/export company were shot dead. In other incidents, 20 more people were killed. On Wednesday, a suicide bomber in a Baghdad restaurant killed seven and injured 20. Gunmen seized some 80 passengers and drivers from a bus station in Diyala province. 23 bodies were found soon after, and 22 more bodies were found on Thursday. Other incidents on Thursday left at least 12 more dead. On Friday, gunmen used rocket-propelled grenades and machine guns to attack a checkpoint south of Kirkuk, killing 13 Iraqi soldiers. Prayer services on Friday attracted more attacks, including two bombs in Baghdad that killed at least four, and injured many others. Mortar rounds at another mosque killed two and injured five. There were other shootings, and several bodies found. On Saturday, gunmen kidnapped Iraq's Olympic committee head Ahmed al-Hadjiya, 30 other officials, and 20 bodyguards and staff. The body of one guard was found soon after. Five officials have been released. The kidnappers wore army or police uniforms when they took control of the convoy. A British soldier died during fighting insurgents in Basra. Today, a suicide bomber in a northern cafe killed at least 19 and injured 25.

The al-Qaeda-linked Mujahideen Shura Council released a video showing the mutilated bodies of two US soldiers. The Council said they had been killed to revenge the US soldiers' rape and murder of a 14-year-old Iraqi girl. The soldiers involved have been charged in the case.

The International Crisis Group released "Iraq's Muqtada Al-Sadr: Spoiler or Stabiliser?" They explain:
"With stepped-up U.S.-led raids against Muqtada al-Sadr's militia, Jaysh al-Mahdi, and media allegations of its responsibility for the horrific killings in Baghdad on 9 July that threaten new escalation of sectarian violence, he and his movement have become more vital than ever. In the immediate aftermath of Saddam's ouster, Muqtada was known chiefly for disruptive behaviour. Two years later, he has political power and a very different role. The Sadrist movement has deep roots in contemporary Iraq and expresses many justified grievances. But as sectarian tensions have grown, so too has his movement's involvement in the dirty war of Sunnis against Shiites. Muqtada must be recognised as a serious political actor, but if he is to be a constructive one, he must do more to exercise responsible leadership and defuse his movement's violent inclinations."
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?l=1&id=4210

Israel opened a second front on Wednesday after Hezbollah captured two Israeli soldiers. Again refusing a prisoner exchange, Israel launched massive attacks in Lebanon (see below). Fighting was focused in Lebanon until Saturday, when Hezbollah launched rockets that landed in Israel's coastal city of Haifa. This was the first time rockets were able to reach that far south. On Sunday the rocket attacks took a deadly turn in Haifa, killing eight Israeli railway workers and injuring dozens when one of more than a dozen rockets crashed through the roof of a railway depot. Following this, Hezbollah leader in Beirut, Sayyed Hassan Nasrullah, has declared open war with Israel.

Here is background on Hezbollah, "Party of God", a Shia Muslim organization with a powerful military, backed by Iran, and participates in the Lebanese parliament.
https://terrorismcentral.com/Library/terroristgroups/Hizballah/HizballahDS.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/4314423.stm

The death toll from this offensive includes twelve Israeli soldiers, four Israelis in addition to the eight rail workers, and more than 100 Lebanese, mostly civilians. Many times these numbers have been injured.

Lebanese Prime Minister Fouad Seniora has made a desperate, emotional plea for a ceasefire and a UN-supervised truce to end the "murderous machine" and collective punishment of a country whose government played no part in the Hezbollah attacks. In addition to heavy casualties, Israeli attacks are destroying the country's infrastructure, still not recovered from its tragic civil war. Israel is enforcing a complete air and sea blockade. The international airport, bridges, roads, fuel depots, power stations, and other critical infrastructure components have been seriously damaged or destroyed. Israel has dropped leaflets warning residents to leave their homes in the south, as they are targeting homes and neighborhoods with a Hezbollah presence. Attacks today reportedly included a number of foreign visitors.

Interpol has issued a worldwide alert following confirmation of a prison break in Saudi Arabia by suspected Al Qaeda-linked terrorists. The six Saudis and one Yemeni escaped from the Malaz prison in Riyadh on 8 July. Blue Notices including photographs and fingerprints have been issued. This is the second time in six months that Interpol has learned about the escape of charged or convicted terrorists through the media, exposing a serious weak link in the chain of global security.
http://www.interpol.int/Public/ICPO/PressReleases/PR2006/PR200623.asp
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GTM South Asia
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In Afghanistan's Uruzgan province, an Afghan soldier was killed and three US-led coalition soldiers injured in an air operation that reportedly killed more than 40 Taleban insurgents. A suicide taxi bomber drove his vehicle into a US-led troop convoy, killing himself and a child, and injuring two US soldiers and three children. Some 19 suspected Taleban were killed in clashes in Helmand on Thursday. Further heavy fighting in the south killed 26 suspected Taleban on Saturday. Today, a suicide bomber in Paktia province killed four people outside a government building checkpoint, and injured 23.

"Lessons in Terror: Attacks on Education in Afghanistan" is a new report from Human Rights Watch that documents 204 attacks on teachers, students, and schools since January 2005. More attacks remain undocumented, but indications are that attacks so far this year already exceed the total for all of 2005.
http://www.hrw.org/english/docs/2006/07/06/afghan13700.htm

In Bangladesh, trials of Jama'atul Mujahideen Bangladesh (JMB) leaders have been delayed repeatedly when prison and law enforcement authorities were unable or unwilling to bring the accused to court as scheduled.
http://www.thedailystar.net/2006/07/11/d6071101096.htm

India's commercial capital, Mumbai (Bombay), was the scene of a major attack on 11 July when seven coordinated explosions ripped apart local trains during the rush hour commute. At least 223 people were killed and more than 700 injured. The subsequent investigation revealed that the bomb used plastic explosives and a timer, and were planted in first-class men's compartments, thereby targeting the city's business elite. Monsoon rains hindered recovery efforts, but the immediate political response stemmed any economic threat, demonstrated by a rise in the stock market. Several militant groups have issued denials or responsibility, but none have claimed credit. The investigation has focused on militant Islamic groups, particularly Lashkar-e-Toiba. There have been suggestions that, as in the similar cases in London and Madrid, links to al Qaeda may yet be found. Lashkar itself has denied involvement, but they have used the simultaneous explosion technique in the past.

In Indian-administered Kashmir, there have been a number of attacks. The most serious was on 11 July when a tourist vehicle was attacked with grenades, killing eight people and injuring 30. A second attack killed four and injured two Mudasir Gujri ("Raju"), an Indian, has been arrested on suspicion of masterminding the attacks.

Nepali police arrested two Pakistani men on explosives charges and are investigating possible connections to the Mumbai bombings.

Pakistani Shia cleric Allama Hassan Turabi was killed by a suicide bomber in Karachi. A relative was also killed, and two of his security guards were injured. At the funeral angry mourners took to the streets and there were scenes f sectarian violence.

Sri Lankan government forces clashed with Tamil Tigers in the eastern Batticaloa district, killing at least 12 soldiers and four rebels. A Tiger sniper is suspected in the death of a Trincomalee sailor.


2. Political Risk Monitor

For detailed analysis, background information and source documents available only to subscribers of the Political Risk Monitor, visit our online store:
TAMNI Publications

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PRM Africa
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Central African Republic will receive military personnel and logistics support from France to help restore security in the north, where large numbers of foreign troops are operating.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=54583

Democratic Republic of Congo is preparing for its historic elections and campaigning has begun. An investigation has been launched into an incident on Tuesday, when Kinshasa police fired tear gas to break up an opposition demonstration. At least ten people were injured, and the inquiry is evaluating whether such force was justified. Incidents of intimidation and obstruction have also been reported, but campaigning is generally proceeding well.
http://www.cartercenter.org/doc2401.htm
http://www.irinnews.org/DRCelection.asp

Guinea's opposition leader Jean-Marie Dore has called for President Lansana Conte to resign due to his ill health.

Ivory Coast has delayed distribution of identity papers to establish citizenship for individuals (with at least one Ivorian parent) who were born in the country. The issue of immigrants as citizens was one of the main triggers to the 2002 civil war, and the identification plan remains both controversial and problematic.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=54612
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L13826841.htm
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L13767866.htm

Somalia's international airport has resumed flights for the first time in eleven years. The first flight took a Union of Islamic Courts (UIC) delegation to the Sudan to attend talks with the Arab League and the interim government. However, interim President Abdullahi Yusuf has accused UIC of breaking a ceasefire and with the backing of foreign fighters from Ethiopia, Turkey, Afghanistan, and Arab states, is planning an attack on the interim government's base in Baidoa. The UIC went ahead with the Arab League meeting, despite Yusuf's boycott, and reiterated their respect for the legitimacy of the interim government. Meanwhile, the UN says it is prepared to lift the arms embargo to support an international peacekeeping force.

About 100 traders in the Somali town of Jowhar protested against new taxes imposed by the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC). UIC arrested several of the protestors, and one person was shot dead.

Zimbabwean opposition member of parliament Timothy Mubawu, with the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), has been charged and denied bail for allegedly organizing last week's attack on Trudy Stevenson and four other parliamentarians who are with a rival MDC faction. MDC leader, Morgan Tsvangirai, continues to charge the government with responsibility for the assault.
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PRM Americas
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Argentina's effort to stop Uruguay's construction of two pulp mills along the River Uruguay has been defeated in the International Court of Justice (ICJ). Argentina fears the mills will pollute the shared river and harm the eco-tourism industry, but the ICJ ruled that construction could continue while evaluating the risks presented during operation. Although failing to achieve the provisional ruling, Argentina's case will now be studied in full. The final conclusion of the case could take several years.
http://www.icj-cij.org/icjwww/idocket/iau/iauframe.htm

Cuba's National Assembly president Ricardo Alarcon warned dissidents of consequences if they conspired with the US by accepting funds from the Commission for Assistance to a Free Cuba. The Bush administration has approved funding of $80 million to " support the Cuban people as they transition from the repressive control of the Castro regime to freedom and a genuine democracy".
http://www.plenglish.com/article.asp?ID=%7BECD70271-0340-40BD-A6B8-4FD7411900E0%7D)&language=EN
http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/news/world/cuba/15006235.htm
http://www.state.gov/p/wha/rt/cuba/
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/07/20060710.html

On the occasion of former Haitian President Jean-Bertrand Aristide's birthday (15 July 1953) thousands of his supporters took to the streets to demand his return. Three UN peacekeepers were injured.

In Mexico, narrowly defeated presidential candidate Andrew Manual Lopez Obrador has filed a legal challenge, charging fraud and electoral irregularities before and during the election. Although a full recount was requested, it is not supported under Mexican law, although partial results by polling booth can be reviewed. The Federal Electoral Institute and EU observers failed to detect any irregularities. The Federal Electoral Tribunal will review the complaints. A winner must be declared by 6 September.

The US House Committee on Government Reform Subcommittee on National Security, Emerging Threats and International Relations, held a hearing on "The Evolving National Strategy for Victory in Iraq". Testimony focused on a Government Accountability Office report, "Rebuilding Iraq: More Comprehensive National Strategy Needed to Help Achieve U.S. Goals", and official responses to its findings.
http://reform.house.gov/NSETIR/Hearings/EventSingle.aspx?EventID=46791
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-788

Former CIA agent Valerie Plame and her husband, Ambassador Joseph Wilson, have filed suit against Vice President Dick Cheney, and other senior officials. The suit charges "intentional and malicious exposure by senior officials of the federal government of?Valerie Plame Wilson, whose job it was to gather intelligence to make the nation safer, and who risked her life for her country". This case follows the deliberate leaking of Plame's identity after her husband had criticized intelligence prior to the invasion of Iraq.
http://news.findlaw.com/hdocs/docs/iraq/wilsonlibby71306cmp.html

Washington DC Police Chief Charles Ramsey has declared a "crime emergency" to combat a recent sharp increase in crime.
http://app.mpdc.dc.gov/newsroom/newsroom.asp
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PRM Asia Pacific
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China's Communist Party expelled 44,738 members last year for failing to meet party standards.
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2006-07/13/content_640204.htm

East Timor's Prime Minister Jose Ramos-Horta's new Cabinet has been sworn in, marking further progress to renewed stability after three months of unrest. Alleged hit squad leader Vincente da Concecao and his men surrendered their weapons, a step that will both help maintain peace and provide evidence in connection with claims that former Prime Minister Mari Alkatiri had ordered the former interior minister to arm the group and attack political rivals.

Indonesia's parliament passed the Aceh autonomy law required under the 2005 peace agreement. Former Free Aceh Movement (GAM) rebels believe the law falls short of what the government promised, by maintaining current laws and maintaining government control over natural resources. Government opponents object to offering any concessions to GAM, and there was a general strike on Tuesday to protest. None of these objections are likely to disrupt the peace process.

Kyrgyzstan has agreed to extend the US lease on the Manas airbase, which is used for many US operations in Afghanistan. The US will provide a $150 million aid package. Meanwhile, two US diplomats were expelled for their contacts with non-governmental organizations.
http://www.president.kg/press/news/1327/ (in Russian)

Malaysia and Thailand have agreed to cooperate to solve the problem of dual nationality, which seems to have been exploited by separatists. Malaysia is also launching a new operation to deport some half a million illegal migrants - about two percent of the population.

The Solomon Islands have set up a commission to investigate the April riots by opponents of the election of Snyder Rini as Prime Minister.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200607/s1687181.htm

Thailand's Attorney General completed an investigation into alleged electoral fraud against both the governing Thai Rak Thai party and the opposition Democrats, and has recommended legal action to the Constitutional Court, which has accepted the case. Three smaller parties also face charges. The trial could lead to the dissolution of both parties, and may delay new elections scheduled for October.
--------------------------------------------------
PRM Europe
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Belarus opposition leader Alexander Kozulin has been sentenced to 5.5 years in prison for hooliganism and incitement to mass disorder for his role in post-election protests.

Bulgaria recalled its ambassador to Finland for engaging in the illegal sale of embassy alcohol.

Cyprus's Greek and Turkish community leaders have agreed to proceed with technical talks to address the daily lives of people on both sides of the divided island. Tassos Papadopoulos and Mehmet Ali Talat also agreed to broad principles under which the next diplomatic steps can be taken.
http://www.ana.gr/anaweb/user/showplain?maindoc=4422341&maindocimg=4031662&service=6
http://www.turkishpress.com/news.asp?id=132922

Polish President Lech Kaczynski has sworn in the new Prime Minister, his twin brother, Jaroslaw.

Six former Serbian officials have gone on trial in the International War Crimes Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia over actions of Serb troops in Kosovo in 1999. The former officials (Milan Milutinovic (Serbian President), Nikola Sainovic (deputy Prime Minister of Yugoslavia),  Dragoljub Ojdanic (army chief of staff), Nebojsa Pavkovic (Kosovo army commander), Vladimir Lazarevic (Pristina Corps commander), and Sreten Lukic (Kosovo police chief) are charged with murder, persecution, and deportation of ethnic Albanians.
http://www.un.org/icty/

Ukraine parliamentarians are attempting to resolve another political crisis that may force new elections. On the verge of forming an Orange alliance, the Socialist party broke from the other two pro-Western parties to join Victor Yanukovych's Party of the Regions and the Communist Party. President Yushchenko has rejected a proposal to appoint Yanukovych Prime Minister.

A British mosque has closed following a racial attack against its Imam, Awad Kareem.
--------------------------------------------------
PRM Middle East
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Failed decades of Middle East policy are clearly illustrated this week in the reactions to the growing regional crisis. The festering disputes over Iran's nuclear program, the movement towards civil war in Iraq, and Israel's decision to wage war on two fronts against Palestinians and Lebanese have led to finger-pointing towards Iran and Syria. Attempting to move the focus to Iran and Syria by accusing them of responsibility for the conflicts by supporting terrorists will neither achieve Israel's goals nor address the deep, long-standing grievances on all sides, and the complex interrelations among Iran, Syria, Lebanon, and non-state actors. The Middle East "Quartet" (US, EU, Russia, UN) has virtually abandoned diplomatic efforts including the "roadmap", at a time when practical diplomacy and a channel for dispute resolution is sorely needed. The Arab League has warned against further escalation, says the peace process is dead and has called for UN intervention. Increasingly, world governments are protesting a massively disproportionate response, and struggling to find a way to separate terrorist attacks and military response from long-standing complaints rooted in decades of neglect and the unresolved issue of Palestine. Lebanon has been left once again in the role of a battleground for other people's conflicts. Many observers have commented on the perfect storm of crises and the doomsday scenarios of regional fragmentation and a third world war. (See GTM/Middle East, above)

Foreign Policy in Focus (FPIF) released three policy briefs addressing key Middle East issues:
"The Alleged Destabilizing Iranian Role in Iraq"
http://fpif.org/fpiftxt/3342
"A Unilateral Ride over the Edge?" (Gaza)
http://fpif.org/fpiftxt/3348
"The Iraqi Civil Conflict: Another Reason for Bringing the Troops Home"
http://fpif.org/fpiftxt/3359

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad warned that they would respond to any attack on Syria, which would be considered an attack against all of Islam.

Following the extraordinary sectarian violence last weekend, Sunni politicians called for a UN peacekeeping force in Iraq to replace US-led occupation forces that cannot protect Iraqis. U.S. General George Casey Jr. suggests that more troops may be needed in Baghdad.

Kuwait's ruling emir has approved a new cabinet dominated again by his own family. The cabinet has approved a major electoral reform to reduce the number of parliamentary constituencies from 25 to five. Previously an attempt to move from 25 to 10 sparked opposition protests that led to the dissolution of parliament and a win for the opposition in May elections.

Lebanese Prime Minister Fouad Seniora has made a desperate, emotional plea for a ceasefire and a UN-supervised truce to end the destruction of the country. International response at this time has focused on how to evacuate their nationals.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/5184134.stm

Saudi Arabia is disputing a United Arab Emirates (UAE) undersea pipeline project that crosses Saudi territory.

UAE is moving ten percent of its foreign exchange reserves from the dollar to the euro.

Yemen President Ali Abdullah Saleh completed his visit to Libya, where he joined Colonel Muammar Gaddafi in an appeal to the international community to stop Israeli strikes on Palestinian territories and protect the Palestinian people.
--------------------------------------------------
PRM South Asia
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Afghanistan President Karzai has launched an inquiry into an airstrike in which a number of civilians may have been killed. In southern Afghanistan at lease 600 of the 1100 fatalities this year have been civilians. Meanwhile, Afghanistan's Ministry for Religious Affairs has recommended re-establishing the Department for the Promotion of Virtue and the Prevention of Vice, which terrorized the population under the Taleban.

The UK believes that the Taleban resurgence can be attributed to too few troops. They are sending additional forces and believe that the expanded alliance can reverse the trend.

In India's Maharashtra state, about 35 farmers have committed suicide. The announced federal aid package has not yet reached the poverty-stricken population, and little of the assistance provides immediate relief. Most of the projects announced will take 3-5 years to complete.

India has paused the peace process with Pakistan following suggestions that those responsible for the Mumbai explosions (that killed at least 223 and injured more than 700) may have connections in Pakistan. Prime Minister Singh said Pakistan must end support for terrorism before normalization and peace can move forward.

Pakistan-administered Kashmir held legislative assembly elections. The ruling Muslim Conference party took 20 of 41 seats, and is set to form a coalition government. There are reports of multiple election irregularities. None of the militant Islamic candidates won.
http://www.paktribune.com/news/index.php?id=149631
http://www.thepeninsulaqatar.com/Display_news.asp?section=World_News&subsection=Pakistan+%26+Sub-Continent&month=July2006&file=World_News20060714151841.xml


3. AML/CFT Monitor

The AML/CFT Monitor is a monthly 16-page print publication. News highlights from the past week are provided in this free email update, but detailed analysis, background information and source documents are only available to subscribers. Purchase a subscription at our online store:
TAMNI Publications

--------------------------------------------------
AML/CFT Incidents/Cases
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Alan Drazek has been sentenced in US court to two months in prison, two years probation, 200 hours of community service, and a $15,000 fine for his role in a tax fraud that stemmed from his laundering nearly $400,000 through his direct mail company. The republican political consultant did this as a favor to lobbyist Donald Udstuen, a close associate of Illinois Governor Ryan.
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/custom/newsroom/chi-060712drazek,1,1580010.story?

A family of travelers (gypsies) was sentenced in English court to prison terms and other punishments for crimes associated with money laundering operations involving nearly GBP 1 million.
http://www.harboroughtoday.co.uk/ViewArticle2.aspx?SectionID=760&ArticleID=1625111

Animal dealer C.C. Baird and his wife were sentenced to probation and fines amounting to more than $1 million following their conviction for money laundering related to sale of dogs and cats to research facilities.
http://www.semissourian.com/story/1160388.html

Federal authorities in California have blocked the sale of three condominiums tied to Lorenzo Arce Flores, recently designated under the Foreign Narcotics Kingpin Act (see below).
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/metro/20060714-9999-7m14launder.html

Jean-Cyril Spinetta, the CEO of air France-KLM, is being questioned in France as part of an investigation into alleged money laundering and illegal employment practices.
http://www.forbes.com/2006/07/12/spinetta-air-france-cx_cn_0712autofacescan06.html
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AML/CFT Legislation and Regulation
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The EU's Court of First Instance has clarified the rights of individuals whose funds have been frozen in connection with the fight against international terrorism. It provides for judicial rule before national courts and calls for Member States to:
* Ensure so far as possible that the persons concerned are put in a position to argue their point of view effectively before the competent national authorities;
* Not refuse to initiate the review procedure solely because the persons concerned could not provide precise and relevant information, owing to their having been unable to ascertain the precise reasons for which they were included in the list in question, on account of the confidential nature of those reasons; and
* Be bound to act promptly in order to ensure that such persons? cases are presented without delay and fairly and impartially to the Sanctions Committee, if that appears to be justified in the light of the relevant information supplied.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=CJE/06/57&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en

Australia has released a revised exposure draft of the anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing bill for public comment. The current version reflects suggestions from the superannuation sector, to implement customer identification requirements on payout from a fund rather than up front.
http://www.ag.gov.au/agd/WWW/justiceministerHome.nsf/Page/Media_Releases_2006_3rd_Quarter_13_July_2006_-_Revised_exposure_draft_of_anti-money__laundering_and_counter-terrorist_financing_Bill__released_for_public_comment

Cambodia's cabinet endorsed proposed AML/CFT legislation and approved a draft counterterrorism bill.
http://www.philstar.com/philstar/NEWS_FLASH07162006313_7.htm

Indonesia's Financial Transaction Reports Analysis Center (PPATK) has proposed amending the 2003 Money Laundering Law to give PPATK the power to sanction entities that fail to report suspicious transactions.
http://www.thejakartapost.com/yesterdaydetail.asp?fileid=20060711.L01
http://www.ppatk.go.id/

Financial Services Ireland (FSI), an industry group, warned that the absence of a national identity card system puts Ireland at a major disadvantage in fighting organized crime and terrorist financing.
http://www.ibec.ie/ibec/press/presspublicationsdoclib3.nsf/wvPCSN/E78787126012E526802571AA00385415?OpenDocument

The State Bank of Pakistan has issued changes to AML regulations to better comply with FATF recommendations, including stronger Know Your Customer rules and more rigorous suspicious transaction investigation and reporting, particularly in any case that may be associated with terrorist financing.
http://www.sbp.org.pk/bpd/2006/C5.htm

Swaziland's Anti-Corruption Act has come into force, permitting the Anti-Corruption Unit to seize assets illegally acquired through bribery or kickbacks, and includes penalties for those offering bribes. The law will be enforced following a public education campaign.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=54618

The Bank of England has added Dragan Zelenovic to the list of those subject to financial sanctions against individuals indicted by the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia.
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/news/2006/074.htm

HM Revenue and Customs has released a leaflet providing AML advice to money transmitters and bureau de change. It is available n English, Bengali, Farsi, Hindi, Punjabi, Spanish, and Urdu.
http://customs.hmrc.gov.uk/channelsPortalWebApp/channelsPortalWebApp.portal?_nfpb=true&_pageLabel=pageVAT_ShowContent&propertyType=document&id=HMCE_PROD1_025708

A joint assessment of United States' AML/CFT standards by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) and the Asia Pacific Group (APG) found:
* The US has a comprehensive legal and institutional framework for investigating and prosecuting money laundering and terrorist financing offenses.
* The US vigorously pursues, seizes and confiscates the assets of criminals involved in money-laundering and terrorist financing.
* The US has an effective regulatory and supervisory framework for monitoring compliance with AML/CFT measures and has imposed severe financial penalties on financial institutions that do not comply with the measures.
* Customer identification requirements apply to most types of financial institutions; however, these could be strengthened, particularly in relation to the identification of beneficial owners.
* AML/CFT measures presently apply to a broad range of financial institutions; however, the FATF recommends that comprehensive AML/CFT measures should also apply to a wider range of non-financial businesses and professions.
* Company formation procedures and reporting requirements are such that the information on beneficial ownership of legal persons may not, in most instances, be adequate, accurate or available on a timely basis.
http://www.fatf-gafi.org/dataoecd/44/12/37101706.pdf (summary)
http://www.fatf-gafi.org/dataoecd/44/9/37101772.pdf (report)
http://www.fatf-gafi.org/dataoecd/44/11/37101744.pdf (annexes)

The US Treasury Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) identified 34 companies and individuals associated with two Mexican drug cartels, the Arellano Felix Organization and the Arriola Marquez Organization, pursuant to the Foreign Narcotics Kingpin Designation Act (Kingpin Act). OFAC states that under the leadership of Lorenzo Arce Flores, this financial network uses money services businesses and other front companies in Mexico to launder drug monies.
http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/hp08.htm

The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) took action regarding two Latvian banks. In the case of Multibanka, FinCEN withdrew its April 2005 finding that Multibanka was a financial institution of primary money laundering concern and also withdrew the notice of proposed rulemaking against Multibanka. The second action involved VEF Banka. In this case, FinCEN issued a final rule which imposed a special measure against VEF Banka as an institution of primary money laundering concern, thereby prohibiting US financial institutions from opening or maintaining correspondent accounts for or on their behalf. FinCEN determined that VEF was a banking resource for illicit shell companies in financial fraud rings, permitting ATM withdrawals in significant amounts, which is an essential component of the execution of large financial fraud schemes. Although VEF has revised its policies and procedures, closed approximately 600 questionable accounts, and changed its management, reported links between VEF owners and organized crime groups continue to raise concern.
http://www.fincen.gov/latvia_311_withdraw.html
http://www.fincen.gov/311multibanka070706.pdf
http://www.fincen.gov/vef_final_rule_070706.pdf"

FinCEN announced the termination of the unsuccessful Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) Direct Retrieval and Sharing Component project.
http://www.fincen.gov/bsa_direct_nr.html
http://www.fincen.gov/bsa_direct_report_071306.pdf"

The Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) announced an industry-wide conference call on "BSA/AML - Getting it Right", to provide information on best practices, common violations, and consequences of noncompliance to the BSA and AML regulations.
http://www.ots.treas.gov/docs/7/776030.html

Note the Congressional Research Service report, "Treasury's Terrorist Finance Program's Access to Information Held by the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT)".
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/natsec/RS22469.pdf

The State of Nevada's Gaming Control Board is considering repealing the state AML Regulation 6A, to instead comply with the more stringent Patriot Act and FinCEN regulations.
http://www.casinocitytimes.com/news/article.cfm?contentID=159735
http://gaming.nv.gov/

The Florida International Bankers Association (FIBA) trade association has launched the FIBA Anti-Money Laundering Institute to focus on special training for higher risk business and international transactions.
http://www.fiba.net/index.cfm/id/234.html
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AML/CFT Modalities
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Canadian troops in Afghanistan were able to confirm the connection between the drug trade and financing of Taleban activities, when they found evidence including about $3 million in opium, inside the Taleban compound they were battling.
http://www.canada.com/topics/news/story.html?id=34814976-7f4f-40f3-870e-a25c0f427920&k=97691

Afghan President Karzai has urged people to replace their poppy crops with pomegranates, but a kilo of dry opium fetches about $140 while a kilo of pomegranates garners only between .50 and $2.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=2&article_id=73948


4. Emerging Threat Monitor

For detailed analysis, background information and source documents consider subscribing. Subscriptions to Emerging Threat Monitor can be purchased at our online store:
TAMNI Publications

--------------------------------------------------
ETM Corruption and Transnational Crime
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Some two dozen Egyptian newspapers suspended publication on Sunday to protest a draft law that makes it a crime punishable by prison to question the financial integrity of an individual. Journalists say this will prevent investigations into corruption.

Insider trading charges against Taiwan President Chen Shui-Bian's son-in-law, Chao Chien-ming have further undermined Chen's political standing. These charges join prior scandals involving Chen's family and close allies. In June, more than half of the legislature backed a recall motion, but fell short of the two-thirds majority required to pass.

Tongsun Park has become the first person convicted of criminal charges in connection with Iraq's oil-for-food program. The South Korean businessman was found guilty in US court of conspiracy, and sentencing was scheduled for 26 October.
http://times.hankooki.com/lpage/nation/200607/kt2006071418395911990.htm
http://www.tongsunpark.com/

Swaziland's King Mswati III has signed the law putting into force a government Anti-Corruption Unit, ten years after it was established.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=54618

The UK "cash for peerages" scandal has reached a new level with the arrest of Lord Levy, the Labor party's chief fundraiser, Middle East envoy, and close friend of Prime Minister Blair. As the investigation proceeds, at least two Ministers and politicians from multiple parties are being questioned, as suspects and as potential witnesses.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/4812822.stm
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/funding/story/0,,1820055,00.html
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,59-2269187,00.html

The UK Department for International Development issued a new white paper, "Making Governance Work for the Poor". Key points include:
* Delivering the promises made in 2005
* Putting governance at the center of our work
* Increase our effort to help people have security, incomes through growth and public services, committing 50 percent of all future bilateral aid to public services for poor people
* Working internationally to tackle climate change
* Helping create a 21st century international system with more effective international bodies
http://www.dfid.gov.uk/wp2006/default.asp
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ETM Economies and Financial Systems
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World Trade Organization (WTO) members have approved a new transparency mechanism under which regional trade agreements can be assessed early to see if they are consistent with WTO rules, helping speed assessment and reduce the current approvals backlog.
http://www.wto.org/english/news_e/news06_e/rta_july06_e.htm

Russia and the US failed to agree on terms for Russia to join the WTO.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/5183892.stm

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has invited public comment on draft guidelines to help governments and regulators improve the funding and benefit security of pensions, part of a broader effort to restore public confidence in pensions.
http://www.oecd.org/document/3/0,2340,en_2649_34853_37083779_1_1_1_1,00.html

Vietnam's stock market valuation increased by nearly 50 percent following the listing of its first bank, Saigon Commercial Bank (Sacombank). With a market capitalization of nearly $1 billion, it is the largest company on the exchange.
http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/showarticle.php?num=01BAN130706
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aH31vQii2KtU
http://www.sacombank.com/
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ETM Environment and Climate Change
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15 July is the International Day of Direct Action Against Climate Change.
http://www.climateimc.org/?q=node/493

The US Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works, Subcommittee on Clear Air, Climate Change and Nuclear Safety, held a hearing on the Environmental Protection Agency's proposed revisions to particulate matter air quality standards.
http://epw.senate.gov/hearing_statements.cfm?id=258490
http://www.epa.gov/pmresearch/

Republican committee members took an opportunity to criticize recent documentaries on global warming.
http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2006/07/13/publiceye/entry1799623.shtml
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601088&sid=aioxPLZizTeg

Scottish environmentalists warned of threats to Firth of Forth wildlife while oil is transferred from smaller tankers to a supertanker for onward shipment
http://news.scotsman.com/index.cfm?id=1028982006
http://www.mcga.gov.uk/c4mca/mcga-newsroom/mcga-press-releases.htm?id=BB4ADD8240095F5D&m=7&y=2006

Tara Arctic 2007 is a 2-year scientific expedition investigating the impact of climate change in the Arctic.
http://www.unep.org/Documents.Multilingual/Default.asp?DocumentID=483&ArticleID=5310&l=en
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ETM Human Rights
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The US state of Ohio has executed Rocky Barton under new guidelines for lethal injection.
http://news.enquirer.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060713/NEWS01/607130347/1077
http://www.drc.state.oh.us/Public/press246.htm

Australia's Ministerial Council on Immigration and Multicultural Affairs held their annual meeting. One of the topics discussed was the use of racial descriptions by police, such as "of Middle Eastern appearance". The current application of such descriptors will be subject to an independent review.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/which-faces-fit-middle-east-tag/2006/07/14/1152637872158.html

The UN has published a strategy for review, which would address exploitation and abuse by UN staff and related personnel.
http://www.un.org/Docs/journal/asp/ws.asp?m=A/60/
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ETM Infectious Diseases
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As of 14 July, there have been 230 confirmed cases of human H5N1 avian influenza, of which 132 have died. Indonesia confirmed that a child who died last week was the 41st H5N1 victim in the country, in which there have been 53 cases in total.
http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/country/cases_table_2006_07_14/en/index.html
http://www.who.int/csr/don/2006_07_14/en/index.html

Avian influenza is being controlled in Western Europe and in Southeast Asia apart from Indonesia, but is still expanding in Africa, presenting a threat that will remain for many years. Africa faces particular difficulties in enforcing control measures and addressing the illegal poultry trade.
http://www.fao.org/newsroom/en/news/2006/1000359/index.html

Following the New England Journal of Medicine letter in which Chinese scientists reported a case of avian influenza in 2003, China's Ministry of Health has contacted the scientists and is investigating the matter.
http://english.people.com.cn//200607/10/eng20060710_281704.html
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ETM Populations
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European and African countries held an emergency meeting to address growing levels of illegal immigration. Representatives of 57 countries agreed to closely coordinate and collaborate, to establish a tracking system, to increase awareness of the dangers of illegal migration, and to offer incentives such as financial support and employment. Human trafficking networks will also be targeted.
http://www.unhcr.org/cgi-bin/texis/vtx/news/opendoc.htm?tbl=NEWS&id=44b513f76
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2006/dsgsm291.doc.htm
http://www.un.org/events/tenstories_2006/story.asp?storyID=2200

The Happy Planet Index surveyed 178 nations, evaluating consumption levels, life expectancy, and happiness rather than national economic wealth. The index concludes that Vanuatu is the happiest nation, followed by several south and central American countries. G8 countries scored poorly, with Italy 66th, Germany 81st, Japan 95th, UK 108th, Canada 111th, France 129th, US 150th, and Russia 172nd. The report says that "Islands perform well. Perhaps a more acute awareness of environmental limits has sometimes helped their societies to bond better and to adapt to get more from less. Combined with the enhanced well-being that stems from close contact with nature, the world as a whole stands to learn much from the experience of islands".
http://www.happyplanetindex.org
Also note, "What's so great about living in Vanuatu?"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2hi/uk_news/magazine/5172254.stm

South Africa's investment in subsidized housing is no closer to overcoming shortages. In its place the pace of homelessness and informal settlement continues to increase.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=54511

World Population Day was marked on 11 July.
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2006/sgsm10553.doc.htm"
http://www.unfpa.org/news/news.cfm?ID=821
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ETM Technology
--------------------------------------------------
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has released proposed new Guidelines for Quality Assurance in molecular Genetic Testing for public comment.
http://www.oecd.org/sti/biotechnology/qualityassurance

Diamond Light Source, the largest scientific facility built in the UK for 30 years, has produced its first "synchotron" light beam that will launch a series of breakthrough physics experiments.
http://www.diamond.ac.uk/default.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi//science/nature/5178034.stm

The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) has launched the Program in Systems Immunology and Infectious Disease Modeling (PSIIM), which uses computational systems biology to better understand the complex biochemical networks that regulate the interactions between infectious organisms and the human or animal cells they infect.
http://www3.niaid.nih.gov/news/newsreleases/2006/systemsbio.htm

Freescale has unveiled a magnetoresistive random-access memory (MRAM) chip that can store data as a hard disc does.
http://www.freescale.com/webapp/sps/site/overview.jsp?nodeId=015424&tid=FSH
http://www.mram-info.com/
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ETM Weapons (WMD, Proliferation)
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There have been no advances in diplomatic efforts to resolve disagreements over the nuclear program in Iran.

North Korea has rejected a unanimous UN Security Council resolution that imposes limited sanctions in response to its recent missile tests, bans all trade in weapons material or technology, and demands suspension of the ballistic missile program. North Korea says it will instead expand its weapons programs.
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=19211&Cr=Korea&Cr1=

Interpol held a workshop for the American on Preventing Bioterrorism. 78 delegates from 26 countries committed to measures including:
* regular threat and risk assessments to be made through the sharing of information between health, medical and law enforcement agencies
* creation or development of appropriate national legislation, inter-agency protocols, joint working procedures, early warning systems, equipment and regular training
* enabling of the implementation of necessary measures to prevent, respond to and investigate bioterrorism.
http://www.interpol.int/Public/BioTerrorism/Workshops/ChileJuly2006/default.asp

An historical case of proposed bioterrorism has been found in a letter from US General George Washington written to John Hancock in 1775, discussing the threat of smallpox.
http://www.usnews.com/usnews/news/articles/060716/16gw_eye.htm

The UK Ministry of Defense published The Historical Survey of the Porton Down Service Volunteer Programme 1939-1989. The chemical weapons testing it documents included a small number of tests that involved serious departures from ethical standards.
http://www.mod.uk/DefenceInternet/DefenceNews/DefencePolicyAndBusiness/ModPublishesPortonDownVolunteersHistoricalSurvey.htm

Papua New Guinea has established a Chemical Weapons Convention National Authority, under the Department of Foreign Affairs.
http://www.opcw.org/pressreleases/2006/PR37_2006.html


5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor

Critical Infrastructure Monitor gives you the background and analysis missing from these news briefings. Subscriptions can be purchased from our online store:
TAMNI Publications

--------------------------------------------------
CIM Banking and Finance
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The European Anti-Fraud Office (OLAF) issued its annual report, which says that in 2005 OLAF recovered EU203 million lost through fraud and other irregularities, and is investigating 452 cases involving nearly EU2 billion.
http://ec.europa.eu/comm/anti_fraud/reports/index_en.html

In the UK fraud, error and overpayment costs the country some GBP1.7 billion each year. HM Revenue and Customs explained measures it is taking to tackle error and fraud in tax credits, including significant improvements to its IT systems.
http://www.hmrc.gov.uk/about/random-enquiry.pdf">Child and Working Tax Credit error
http://www.hmrc.gov.uk/about/error-and-fraud.pdf

The US Securities and Exchange Commission has published a Concept Release in advance of guidance for management in assessing internal controls for financial reporting, and addressing ways to mitigate compliance costs.
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2006/2006-112.htm

The US House of Representatives voted to approve HR2990, the Credit Rating Agency Duopoly Relief Act of 2006, which would make the credit rating industry more transparent and competitive, and subject to greater oversight.
http://financialservices.house.gov/news.asp?FormMode=release&id=834&NewsType=1

The Financial Services held oversight hearings on diversity and industrial loan corporations, and the terror finance tracking program.
http://financialservices.house.gov/hearings.asp?formmode=All&congress=11
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CIM Chemical
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A leaky pipe in a chemical factory sent toxic chlorine fumes through the town of Yinchuan in northwestern China, hospitalizing 164 people, in a population of 210,000.

The State Environmental Protection Administration (SEPA) warns that nearly half of China's chemical plants pose serious risks of major environmental harm unless effective safety measures are taken. The chlorine gas leak is just one example of far too many cases of poor construction or maintenance that are increasingly posing threats to rivers, lakes, and densely populated areas.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2006-07/11/content_4818672.htm
http://www.zhb.gov.cn/
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CIM Cybersecurity
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Microsoft's latest security update includes five patches for critical vulnerabilities.
http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/ms06-jul.mspx
http://www.us-cert.gov/cas/techalerts/TA06-192A.html
http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/ms06-036.mspx
http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/ms06-035.mspx

The US Department of State was subjected to a large-scale break-in involving backdoors in computers at headquarters and offices dealing with Asia. Recovery and investigation are ongoing.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/07/11/AR2006071101032.html

The US Department of Veterans Affairs' Inspector General issued " Review of Issues Related to the Loss of VA Information Involving the Identity of Millions of Veterans". The report is highly critical of management and information security policies and operations that led to the loss of personal data of more than 26 million veterans, and slow notification and recovery.
http://www.va.gov/oig/51/FY2006rpts/VAOIG-06-02238-163.pdf
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/07/13/AR2006071301609.html

A recent fraud demonstrates ways phishers are circumventing two-factor authentication.
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/securityfix/2006/07/citibank_phish_spoofs_2factor_1.html
http://www.schneier.com/crypto-gram-0503.html#2

Cornell University researchers with the Global Positioning System Laboratory have broken the codes used by Europe's Galileo navigation satellite.
http://www.news.cornell.edu/stories/July06/GPS.code.cracked.TO.html

Stephen Pincock writes in The Scientist of how "Biology fights computer viruses", modeling defenses after animal immune systems in a crowded environment.
http://www.the-scientist.com/article/daily/23794/

UK Information Commissioner Richard Thomas released his annual report, calling for personal data to be protected lest public trust be damaged by the huge costs of getting details wrong, confused, or outdated. He also warned that just because technology can enable data sharing does not mean that it should be. Carelessness has led to fraud and even mistaken criminal cases. Guidance on transferring personal data abroad was also released.
http://www.ico.gov.uk/cms/DocumentUploads/share_data_properly_or_risk_losing_public_confidence_13070.pdf
http://www.ico.gov.uk/cms/DocumentUploads/Guidance_issued_on_transferring_personal_information_overseas_100706.pdf

Memoranda obtained from the Times (London) suggest that the UK Identity Card scheme is likely to fail. The Home Office denies the plan will be scrapped, but reports suggest it is likely to face alterations or delays. Identity cards were not included in the new counterterrorism strategy (GTM/Europe, above).
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2087-2261631,00.html
http://www.identitycards.gov.uk/index.asp
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CIM Dams
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In Iraq, there is a special US Marine unit that focuses on dam protection: the Dam Security Unit.
http://www.usmc.mil/marinelink/mcn2000.nsf/0/AADB459ECBA68BC7852571A400360C32?opendocument

Israeli targets in Lebanon included the Barad river dam, as well as many bridges. The damage has been extensive.

A dam security guard in Thailand's southern Yala province was shot dead by militants, who also stole his pistol. The dam was unharmed.
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CIM Defense Industrial Base
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The UK Ministry of Defence and Swan Hunter have agreed to end a Tyneside ship building contract, which will now be transferred to BAE Systems in Scotland.
http://www.mod.uk/defenceinternet/defencenews/presscentre/pressreleases/wayaheadonlsdaprogrammeannounced.htm
http://www.swanhunter.com/

The US Army has terminated Halliburton's lucrative logistics contract in favor of splitting contracts among several companies, helping ensure better prices, as well as more accountability and transparency.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/07/11/AR2006071101459_pf.html
http://www.halliburton.com/
http://www.afsc.army.mil/home/index.htm

The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) reviewed "Weapons Acquisition: DOD Should Strengthen Policies for Assessing Technical Data Needs to Support Weapon Systems".
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-839
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CIM Emergency Services
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Emergency responders in the US city of Cleveland, Ohio, have acquired a new emergency vehicle that incorporates on-site identification of potential biological or chemical agents.
http://www.cleveland.com/news/plaindealer/index.ssf?/base/cuyahoga/1152693074277600.xml&coll=2
http://www.mccrone.com/

A UK bill making its way through parliament would impose tough penalties against those obstructing emergency services.
http://www.24dash.com/content/news/viewNews.php?navID=7&newsID=8152
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CIM Energy
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The G8 meeting plans to focus on energy and energy security. Other key issues include combating infectious diseases, education and demography, counterterrorism, and WMD proliferation. The unforeseen crisis in the Middle East will likely have a major impact on the discussions.
http://en.g8russia.ru/
http://ec.europa.eu/commission_barroso/president/focus/g8_en.htm

A 19-nation poll finds that energy policies pose grave threats of harming the Earth?s environment and climate, destabilizing the global economy, and sparking conflict and wars:
* 81 percent are concerned about the impact current energy policy is having on the Earth?s environment and climate.
* 77 percent express concern that energy shortages and prices will destabilize the world economy and 73 percent that competition for energy will lead to greater conflict and war between nations
* Strong majorities favor tax incentives to develop renewable energy supplies and higher fuel efficiency standards for automobiles
* Just one-half favor nuclear energy to reduce reliance on oil and coal. http://199.202.238.2/news_archives/bbcwsenergy/

China is the largest consumer of energy in the world after the US, and every two years adds as much power generation capacity as the total in France of Canada. Rapid growth has raised tensions with the needs for environmental protection and greater equity. The International Energy Agency discusses these issues in "China's Power Sector Reforms: Where to Next?"
http://www.iea.org/Textbase/press/pressdetail.asp?PRESS_REL_ID=183

The UK has published the conclusions of the Energy Review. Among proposals are:
* New nuclear power stations
* Electricity companies increasing from 15 to 20 the percent generated from renewables
* Storing carbon dioxide in old oil fields
* Energy efficiency incentives for homes and businesses
* Placing generators close to where power is used
http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/review/index.html

The UK Commons Trade and Industry Select Committee suggested that the energy review dialogue should continue and the government should not rush into key policy decisions. The committee, which has issued reports on nuclear power, suggests that it may be advisable to extend the life of some nuclear plants rather than shut them down.
http://www.parliament.uk/parliamentary_committees/trade_and_industry.cfm

The US Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources held a hearing regarding Geothermal Energy and other renewable energy production on federal lands in western states. Among those testifying was a representative from the Government Accountability Office (GAO), who addressed the findings in the GAO report, "Renewable Energy: Increased Geothermal Development Will Depend on Overcoming Many Challenges".
http://energy.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Hearings.Hearing&Hearing_ID=1576
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-629

The Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline, which links Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey, has been officially opened.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/06/282&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en
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CIM Information Technology
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Colorado State University (US) researchers are working on models to predict the likely flaws in the next version of a particular application or operating system.
http://www.cs.colostate.edu/testing/

Microsoft has ended support for the Windows 98 operating system.

The European Commission has imposed a penalty payment of EU280.5 million on Microsoft for continued non-compliance with its March 2004 competition decision.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/06/979&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/06/277&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en (FAQ)
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CIM Nuclear Reactors, Materials, and Waste
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"Securing the Bomb 2006 is a report commissioned by the Nuclear Threat Initiative that warns, "Urgent actions are needed to prevent a nuclear 9/11. Terrorists are actively seeking nuclear weapons and the materials to make them. With the needed nuclear materials in hand, making at least a crude nuclear bomb, capable of turning the heart of any modern city into a smoking ruin, is potentially within the capabilities of a sophisticated terrorist group. Yet scores of sites where the essential ingredients of nuclear weapons exist, in dozens of countries around the world, are clearly not well enough secured to defeat the kinds of threats that terrorists and criminals have demonstrated they can pose". The report goes on to review securing stockpiles in the former Soviet Union and the rest of the world, and provides recommendations to reduce the risks.
http://www.nti.org/e_research/stb06webfull.pdf

Russian President Putin and US President Bush have announced a global initiative to combat nuclear terrorism.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/07/20060715-3.html

"Nuclear Cleanup of Rocky Flats: DOE Can Use Lessons Learned to Improve Oversight Of Other Sites' Cleanup Activities" is a new report from the US Government Accountability Office (GAO). GAO identified four factors leading to clean-up of the former nuclear weapons production facility at Rocky Flats: overcoming challenges, an accelerated cleaning process, specific site characteristics, and financial incentives to the contractor. GAO recommended that the Department of Energy systematically track lessons learned at all of its cleanup sites.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-352
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CIM Public Health and Healthcare
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The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved a once-a-day, 3-drug combination antiretroviral treatment for HIV-1.
http://www.fda.gov/bbs/topics/NEWS/2006/NEW01408.html
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CIM Telecommunications
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The European Commission has proposed a regulation that would introduce the "European Home Market Approach" to telecommunication roaming charges within EU member states. If adopted, the a cap on roaming charges could cause the cost of making calls while traveling in the EU to fall by up to 70 percent.
http://ec.europa.eu/commission_barroso/president/focus/roaming_en.htm
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=CJE/06/59&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/06/276&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en (FAQ)

US District Judge Emmet Sullivan wants to call new witnesses to examine the Department of Justice's approval last October of SBC Communication's acquisition of AT and T. and Verizon Communication's acquisition of MCI. He said there are doubts that the deals are in the public interest.
http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&articleId=9001743&source=NLT_PM&nlid=8
http://www.dcd.uscourts.gov/

India's launch of the INSAT-4C on Monday failed when the rocket carrying it veered off course and exploded. The loss of the satellite was a blow to both the space program (following an equally unsuccessful test-fire of a nuclear-capable ballistic missile) and to the telephone, television, and other business applications relying on the enhancements that would have been made available through the satellite.

The world's two-billionth mobile phone user was connected earlier this month, and new users are signing up at the rate of 1,000 per minute..
http://www.gsmworld.com/news/press_2006/press06_29.shtml

Computing Which? Studied free Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) services, finding useful features, but limitations that suggest the continued need for a backup landline.
http://www.which.co.uk/press/press_topics/product_news/computing_which_magazine/dialling_over_the_internet_571_89148.jsp
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CIM Transportation
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Israel has destroyed the international airport in Lebanon and launched a total blockade of Lebanese ports.

The US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has announced a rule proposing that DHS collect passenger information for flights and cruises bound for the US prior to their departure.
http://www.dhs.gov/dhspublic/display?content=5735

Australia's air marshal program is struggling with an internal investigation into accusations of preferential positions and other breaches of professional standards.
http://www.news.com.au/story/0,10117,19768362-421,00.html

An incident in which a Canadian national was able to pass through airport security checks has led to calls to tighten security at Indian airports. Seven kilos of heroin escaped detection in a suitcase cavity that could also have held an explosive or weapon.
http://www.hindustantimes.com/news/181_1745363,000600010001.htm

Panama's congress has approved a plan to widen the Panama Canal. A referendum on the matter will be held later this year.
http://www.acp.gob.pa/

The US Subcommittee on Government Management, Finance, and Accountability, House Committee on Government Reform held a hearing on "Securing Our Ports: Information Sharing is Key to Effective Maritime Security". Testimony found improvement, including an update to a prior Government Accountability Office (GAO) report on the topic.
http://reform.house.gov/GMFA/Hearings/EventSingle.aspx?EventID=46675
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-05-394

Chittagong anchorage, Bangladesh remains subject to an International Maritime Bureau piracy alert. The Barguna Trawler Owners' Association and the Workers' Association report multiple cases of mass piracy n the Bay of Bengal, citing injuries to some 80 fishermen and crew; abduction of 90; theft of 10 trawlers, and other crimes in the past week. Hefty ransoms are demanded for ships, cargo, and crew.
http://www.southasianmedia.net/cnn.cfm?id=308106&category=Law&Order&Country=BANGLADESH
http://www.thedailystar.net/2006/07/10/d60710061781.htm
http://www.icc-ccs.org/prc/piracyreport.php

Following the devastating rail explosions in Bombay (Mumbai), Rekha Chakravarthi, with the Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies, explains why terrorists target public transport systems: "... they present high concentrations of people, and provide ample scope for large-scale destruction. Ensuring effective security is difficult because of the high traffic volume. A large number of access points with few or no inspection procedures compound security problems. The lack of mandatory passenger identification for boarding these systems also makes mass transit systems preferred targets when compared with government or military facilities".
http://www.ipcs.org/whatsNewArticle1.jsp?action=showView&kValue=2084&status=article&mod=b

Australian rail passengers will no longer be locked inside trains after a crash or terrorist attack. RailCorp had adopted this policy to protect passengers from electric rails, but now plan to refit all carriage doors to better protect passengers from new threats and in accordance with the findings of the Waterfall accident inquiry.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/train-system-open-to-terrorist-attack/2006/07/13/1152637808194.html
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/passengers-wont-be-locked-in--railcorp/2006/07/14/1152637872188.html
http://www.cityrail.info/general/waterfall.jsp


6. Disaster Reduction Monitor

News highlights from the past week are provided in this free email update, but detailed analysis, background information and source documents are only available to subscribers. Disaster Reduction Monitor subscriptions and other titles can be purchased here:
TAMNI Publications

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DRM Incidents
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Typhoon Bilis has killed at least 115 people in southeastern Chine.

A Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) aging Fokker passenger plane crashed, killing all 45 people on board. Preliminary analysis suggests a technical fault caused engine failure, and has ruled out a terrorist attack. The other planes in the fleet have been barred from passenger use and will be limited to freight.

In northern Bangladesh, a train collided with a crowded bus at an unmanned level crossing. At least 32 people were killed and 30 injured. An inquiry is under way.

Heavy rains in the Punjab has killed at least 25 Pakistanis.

Landslides in western Nepal have killed at least 17 people, with 15 missing. Local villagers, the Red Cross, and Maoist rebels are helping the rescue operation.

Flooding in Chile have left at least 15 people dead, and many communities cut off by mudslides.

Ten people are dead and 17 missing following flash floods and landslides in South Korea.

Soaring temperatures have contributed to raging wildfires in at least six locations in Portugal. In the Famalicao area, five Chileans employed to aid the local fire brigade, and a local man died when the wind suddenly changed and they were trapped in the fire.

The US state of California has declared a state of emergency in San Bernardino county where two huge brush fires have merged, creating a raging wildfire. One fatality has been found.
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-yucca15jul15,1,3636644.story?coll=la-headlines-california
http://www.cnn.com/2006/US/07/15/wildfires.ap/
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DRM Response and Recovery
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The collapse of a roof section in Boston, Massachusetts "Big Dig" tunnel system has been traced to compromised bolts or connector rods. Investigators have sent out a national appeal to try to identify any other tunnels using the same bolt-and-epoxy ceiling fasteners.
http://www.boston.com/news/traffic/bigdig/articles/2006/07/15/nationwide_search_begun_for_other_flawed_tunnels/

Entrepreneurial villagers affected by the devastating toxic mudflow that followed a gas well leak have been using the mud to build bricks. The chemical qualities of the toxic mud made them stronger, and production was less expensive in part because the hot mud needs less firing.
http://www.thejakartapost.com/yesterdaydetail.asp?fileid=20060712.A06

Individual Disaster Assistance Programs: Framework for Fraud Prevention, Detection, and Prosecution, by Gregory D. Kutz, managing director, forensic audits and special investigations, before the Subcommittee on Management, Integration, and Oversight, House Committee on Homeland Security. GAO-06-954T, July 12.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-06-954T

The US Army Corps of Engineers and the Bush administration submitted to Congress the Preliminary Technical Report on Louisiana Protection and Restoration. Apart from saying it would be expensive and take a long time, it was short on detail.
http://www.hq.usace.army.mil/cepa/releases/lacpr.htm

The Louisiana Insurance Commissioner has ordered property insurance providers in the state to give homeowners and business owners an extended deadline, to two years, to file lawsuits. Companies that do not grant the extension could face penalties including fines and license revocation.
http://www.ldi.state.la.us/
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DRM Risks
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Philippines residents near Mayon volcano have evacuated as it began a slow eruption.

Ecuador's Tungurahua volcano began releasing ash, gas, and magma at the end of the week. Increasingly active since May, high risk villages are being evacuated.

Colombia is urging residents at the foot of the Galeras volcano to evacuate, following an explosion of rock and gas.

Indonesia has lowered the highest alert status for Mount Merapi after the volcano's activity has declined.
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DRM Mitigation
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The Tsunami Evaluation Coalition has released its report, calling for a fairer system of emergency funding. The report finds that emergency relief is not given on the basis of need as much as in response to political pressure and demands of the donating public. For the 2004 tsunami, a total of over US $7,100 for every affected person was raised. In stark contrast, only $3 per head was spent on someone affected by the 2004 floods in Bangladesh. The report calls for independent monitoring to ensure funding is impartial, flexible, transparent, and in line with the principles of Good Humanitarian Donorship.
http://www.tsunami-evaluation.org/The+TEC+Synthesis+Report/Press+Release.htm

Only three buildings were left standing in the Indonesian village of Wonokromo after the 27 May earthquake in Java. These three buildings were built following earthquake resistance advice in a manual from Indonesian Islamic University's Center for Earthquake Engineering, Dynamic Effect and Disaster Studies.
http://www.thejakartapost.com/yesterdaydetail.asp?fileid=20060714.S01

The UN has reached an agreement with Thuraya Satellite Telecommunications Company to provide portable satellite terminals for rescue operations.
http://www.itu.int/newsroom/press_releases/2006/12.html

The Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland released "Business Continuity Oversight Expectations for Systemically Important Payment Systems (SIPS)".
http://www.centralbank.ie/frame_main.asp?pg=nws%5Farticle%2Easp%3Fid%3D199&nv=nws_nav.asp


7. Recommended Reading

Cover-ups and racist attacks are a contemporary reality, but as the number and scale of such incidents have mounted around the world, one incident in history helps place such cases in a broader context.

The Dreyfus Affair began in September 1894 when an anonymous note to the German military attache in Paris was found. It appeared to implicate Captain Alfred Dreyfus is leaking French military secrets. Because Captain Dreyfus was the highest-ranking Jewish artillery officer in the army, military authorities feared the wrath of a virulently anti-Semitic press and rushed the case to trial. Although it quickly became clear there was little evidence against Dreyfus, a court martial was rushed through, rife with procedural errors, and false or secret evidence. Dreyfus was convicted of high treason and sentenced to life in prison on Devil's Island, French Guiana. Soon after, it became obvious that the responsible officials had made a catastrophic error. The cover-up that followed involved at least eight generals and other officers, including the actual criminal, Commandant Ferdinand Esterhazy, whose guilt was established by 1896.

Dreyfus, his family and friends fought to expose the anti-Semitic conspiracy that had driven the conviction, and prove Drayfus's innocence. The case split society between liberal intellectuals and the conservative opposition supported by the military and clergy.

On 13 January 1898, novelist Emile Zola published an open letter to French President Felix Faure that was published in the L'Aurore newspaper. The publication of "J'accuse" became a seminal event in the history of journalism and a masterpiece of polemic writing against abusive authority. Zola provided a detailed explanation of the case, revealed the cover-up, disclosed the guilty party (who had since been tried and acquitted) and went on to accuse each of the conspirators of their crimes. J'Accuse can be found in collections of Zola's writings, or online here:
http://www.chameleon-translations.com/sample-Zola.shtml

Zola was charged with criminal libel. During the high-profile trial that followed, the truth did come out, but it did not prevent Zola's conviction (and subsequent personal ruin). It did however dramatically swing public opinion and, in 1899 Dreyfus was given a second trial. Again he was convicted, but was quickly pardoned and released. Only in 1906 was he formally cleared of the charges, when France's highest court reversed the judgement. Dreyfus was adjudged innocent, reinstated in the army, promoted, and awarded the Legion of Honor.

The centenary of Dreyfus's exoneration was marked on 12 July, with ceremonies to honor him and the principles of freedom and challenging authority that represents the French republic today, and reminds us all of the need to continue the fight against racism, anti-Semitism, and other hate crimes. Coverage of the centennial commemoration can be found here:
http://www.elysee.fr/elysee/elysee.fr/francais/actualites/deplacements_en_france/2006/juillet/centieme_anniversaire_de_la_rehabilitation_d_alfred_dreyfus.55159.html (in French)
http://tf1.lci.fr/infos/france/0,,3314263,00.html (in French)
http://www.lemonde.fr/web/article/0,1-0@2-3224,36-792598,0.html?xtor=RSS-3224 (in French)
http://www.mahj.org/gb/cadres/02_encemoment/c_expos.htm
http://www.justice.gouv.fr/musee/themes/detenus/34l.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/5166904.stm
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/story/0,,1819221,00.html

Books detailing the Dreyfus affair, its aftermath, and the historical context include:
* Jean-Denis Bredin, "The Affair: The Case of Alfred Dreyfus" (Braziller)
* Michael Burns, "France and the Dreyfus Affair: A Brief Documentary History"
* William I. Brustein, "Roots of Hate: Anti-Semitism in Europe Before the Holocaust", Cambridge University Press
* Guy Chapman, "The Dreyfus Trials", (Stein and Day)
* Christopher E. Forth, "The Dreyfus Affair and the Crisis of French Manhood", (Johns Hopkins University Press)
* Martin P. Johnson, "The Dreyfus Affair: Honour and Politics in the Belle Epoque" (Palgrave Macmillan)
* Jacques Kayser, transl. Nora Bickley, "The Dreyfus Affair", (Kessinger Publishing)
* Albert S. Lindemann, "The Jew Accused: Three Anti-Semitic Affairs (Dreyfus, Bellis, Frank), 1894-1915", (Cambridge University Press)

This website provides a comprehensive digital bibliography:
http://www.dreyfuscase.com/

There have been a number of movies of the case, beginning with silent short films in 1899, soon after Zola's J'Accuse letter was published.
http://www.imdb.com/find?s=all&q=dreyfus


8. Asset Management Network News

For the first anniversary of the 7 July London bombings, we compiled "Report of the Official Account of the Bombings in London on 7 July", "Intelligence and Security Committee Report into the London Terrorist Attacks on 7 July 2005", and the government response to that report, on a single CD. Email [email protected] if you're interested in this, or if you'd like more information about out publications and services.

Visit our online store to purchase subscriptions to the Monitor series as well as our Special Reports, including our new Special Report "Trends in Terrorism: 2005".

Email [email protected] for details about the new products, publications, and information about services, including custom research.